• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매매전략

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Buy-Sell Strategy with Mean Trend and Volatility Indexes of Normalized Stock Price (정규화된 주식가격의 평균추세-변동성 지표를 이용한 매매전략 -KOSPI200 을 중심으로-)

  • Yoo, Seong-Mo;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2005
  • In general, stock prices do not follow normal distributions and mean trend indexes, volatility indexes, and volume indicators relating to these non-normal stock price are widely used as buy-sell strategies. These general buy-sell strategies are rather intuitive than statistical reasoning. The non-normality problem can be solved by normalizing process and statistical buy-sell strategy can be obtained by using mean trend and volatility indexes together with normalized stock prices. In this paper, buy-sell strategy based on mean trend and volatility index with normalized stock prices are proposed and applied to KOSPI200 data to see the feasibility of the proposed buy-sell strategy.

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The Prediction and Trading Strategy for Intraday Stock Price Movements: A Deep Learning Approach (딥러닝을 이용한 Intraday 주가 예측 및 매매전략)

  • Hong, Yoonsik;Joo, Changhee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 국내 주식의 intraday 가격변화를 딥러닝 모형들로 예측하고 그 예측모형을 이용한 매매전략 딥러닝 모형을 제안한다. 주식의 intraday 가격변화에 따라서, 고빈도 매매, 주문집행문제 (order execution problem), 자동화 매매 등과 같은 intraday 주식 트레이딩의 수익률이 달라지기 때문에, 주식의 intraday 가격변화 예측은 주식 투자에 있어서 중요하다. 해외 시장에 대해서는 인공지능 등을 이용한 intraday 가격변화 예측 연구가 활발히 이루어졌지만, 국내의 경우 관련한 연구가 드물어 그 효용성이 명확히 드러나지 않았었다. 그에 따라서, KOSPI 50의 구성 종목에 대하여 정준의(canonical) 딥러닝 모형들을 적용하여 예측 성능을 비교한다. 또한, 그 예측모형들을 활용하여 간소화된 주문집행문제에서의 매매전략 딥러닝 모형을 제안한다. 그리고, 제안한 매매전략 딥러닝 모형을 KOSPI 50의 구성 종목에 대하여 실험하여, 제안한 방법론이 유효함을 밝힌다. 제시된 모형을 실제 주식 매매에 직접 적용하여 수익성을 개선을 기대할 수 있고, 사람이 직접 거래할지라도 효과적인 보조 지표가 될 수 있기에 본 논문은 실용적 의미를 지닌다.

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An Empirical Study on the Cryptocurrency Investment Methodology Combining Deep Learning and Short-term Trading Strategies (딥러닝과 단기매매전략을 결합한 암호화폐 투자 방법론 실증 연구)

  • Yumin Lee;Minhyuk Lee
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.377-396
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    • 2023
  • As the cryptocurrency market continues to grow, it has developed into a new financial market. The need for investment strategy research on the cryptocurrency market is also emerging. This study aims to conduct an empirical analysis on an investment methodology of cryptocurrency that combines short-term trading strategy and deep learning. Daily price data of the Ethereum was collected through the API of Upbit, the Korean cryptocurrency exchange. The investment performance of the experimental model was analyzed by finding the optimal parameters based on past data. The experimental model is a volatility breakout strategy(VBS), a Long Short Term Memory(LSTM) model, moving average cross strategy and a combined model. VBS is a short-term trading strategy that buys when volatility rises significantly on a daily basis and sells at the closing price of the day. LSTM is suitable for time series data among deep learning models, and the predicted closing price obtained through the prediction model was applied to the simple trading rule. The moving average cross strategy determines whether to buy or sell when the moving average crosses. The combined model is a trading rule made by using derived variables of the VBS and LSTM model using AND/OR for the buy conditions. The result shows that combined model is better investment performance than the single model. This study has academic significance in that it goes beyond simple deep learning-based cryptocurrency price prediction and improves investment performance by combining deep learning and short-term trading strategies, and has practical significance in that it shows the applicability in actual investment.

Using genetic algorithm to optimize rough set strategy in KOSPI200 futures market (선물시장에서 러프집합 기반의 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 최적화 거래전략 개발)

  • Chung, Seung Hwan;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.281-292
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    • 2014
  • As the importance of algorithm trading is getting stronger, researches for artificial intelligence (AI) based trading strategy is also being more important. However, there are not enough studies about using more than two AI methodologies in one trading system. The main aim of this study is development of algorithm trading strategy based on the rough set theory that is one of rule-based AI methodologies. Especially, this study used genetic algorithm for optimizing profit of rough set based strategy rule. The most important contribution of this study is proposing efficient convergence of two different AI methodology in algorithm trading system. Target of purposed trading system is KOPSI200 futures market. In empirical study, we prove that purposed trading system earns significant profit from 2009 to 2012. Moreover, our system is evaluated higher shape ratio than buy-and-hold strategy.

The Study on Possibility of Strategic Trade using Disclosure Interval (공시시차를 이용한 전략적 매매의 개연성에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Hyuk-Jin;Park, Seong-Ho;Lim, Jun-Kyu;Park, Young-S.
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.165-189
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    • 2009
  • According to disclosure regulation, insider can hide their trading until disclosure day, because there be interval between trading time and disclosure time. To accommodate strategic trade, they have an incentive to be brought disclosure interval as long as possible. This research investigate whether strategical behaviour of informed traders using disclosure intervals exists in domestic stock market.ls xt, we aney he whether they can get abnormal return through stealth strategy after announcement date. We also evaluate the effect of mimicking trading on price impact with the assumption of existence of mimicking trading. Our major research results are as follows: In case of main shareholder without having no prompt disclosure duty, the frequency of trading started at the beginning of month is shown significantly higher than others. This result shows a direct evidence that informed traders buy or sell their equity strategically using disclosure intervals. Also, we find the result that the coefficient of strategic variables has highest value in middle size information. However, the empirical evidence that informed trader get abnormal return through strategic trading was not shown in this study. Meanwhile, stock price over-reacts for selling transaction on trading point and is recovered after disclosure date., so we assume possibility of mimicking trading exists in domestic stock market.

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The Profit Analysis of Pyramid Strategy in a rising curve on System Trading (시스템 트레이딩을 사용한 상승장에서의 피라미드 전략에 대한 수익성 분석)

  • Ko, Young-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.965-966
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 시스템 트레이딩을 사용하여 피라미드 전략이 상승장에서 어떠한 수익률을 보이는가를 분석한다. 옵션 시장에서 매도는 프리미엄의 감소라는 이점과 무제한 손실이라는 단점을 가지고 있다. 옵션의 매도는 증거금 제도로 인하여 개인의 매매 기법으로는 제한되어 있으나 효과적인 전략을 사용하면 수익성을 높이는데 매우 중요한 매매 기법이다. 다중 매도 진입으로 풀이되는 피라미드 전략을 제시하고 최근 상승장에서의 성능을 분석한다.

Using rough set to develop the optimization strategy of evolving time-division trading in the futures market (러프집합을 활용한 캔들스틱 트레이딩 최적화 전략)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ho;Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.881-893
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes to develop system trading strategy using rough set, decision tree in futures market. While there is a great deal of literature about the analysis of data mining, there is relatively little work on developing trading strategies in futures markets. There are three objectives in this paper. The first objective is to analysis performance of decision tree in rule-based system trading. The second objective is to find proper profitable trading interval. The last objective is to find optimized training period of trading rule training. The results of this study show that proposed model is useful trading strategy in foreign exchange market and can be desirable solution which gives lots of investors an important investment information.

A Study on the Relationship between Investor Groups and Stock Prices (투자자 유형과 주가의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Ku, Maeng-Hoe;Lee, Yun-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.43-66
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 투자자 집단에 따라 그 매매에 있어서 주가와의 관련성을 분석하고자 하였다. 투자자 집단의 매매 성향은 월별 순매매율로 측정하였으며 주가의 대용변수는 한국종합주가지수(KOSPI)의 월별 수익률로서 분석에 사용된 기간은 1992년 1월부터 1999년 12월까지이다. 분석을 위한 방법론으로 상관분석과 회귀분석을 이용하였다. 상관분석은 스피어만 순위상관분석을 이용하여 KOSPI와 각 투자자 집단의 순매매 비중의 상관계수를 도출하였으며 그 결과 KOSPI와 개인투자자의 순매매와는 음의 유의적 상관관계를, KOSPI와 외국인 투자자의 순매매율과는 양(+)의 유의적 상관관계를 알 수 있었다. 그러나 기관투자자의 경우 기관투자자 전체 범주로 볼 때 유의적 상관관계가 없었으나 세분화된 기관투자자 일부는 유의적 상관관계를 보였다. 또한 본 연구는 KOSPI와 각 투자자 집단의 매매에 대한 인과관계를 추론한 바 외국인 투자자의 매매는 KOSPI에 영향을 주며 개인투자자의 매매는 오히려 KOSPI에 영향을 받는 것으로 보였다. 그러나 기관투자자의 경우 세부기관마다 그 매매의 성격을 달리하는 것으로 보였다. 이러한 분석결과를 바탕으로 회귀분석을 실시하였으며 그 분석결과 외국인 투자자와 기관투자가 가운데 증권사와 투신사의 경우, 순매수가 늘어날수록 주가는 상승하고 순매도가 늘어날수록 주가는 하락하는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며 반면 개인투자자의 매매는 KOSPI 주가에 따라 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 주가가 상승할수록 매도에 치중하고 주가가 하락할수록 매수에 치중하는 것으로 분석되었다. 기관투자자 가운데 보험사의 매매 역시 주가에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 성과로는 특정 투자자 집단이 주가의 움직임에 따라 매매를 하는 수동적 전략의 의미보다는 적극적으로 주가를 움직이는 주체로서 외국인투자자와 일부 기관투자자의 존재를 확인할 수 있었다는 점이며, 주가 움직임에 따른 개인투자자와 일부 기관 투자자의 수동적 매매 스타일과 기관투자자 사이의 투자스타일의 이질성을 통계적으로 확인할 수 있었다는 데에 있다.

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Real Estate Management Strategy for The Prevention of Accidents Stater Founder Double Deal (초보창업자의 부동산 이중거래사고 예방을 위한 경영전략)

  • Lee, Mu Seon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2015
  • The initial start-up founders are also often successful and sometimes unsuccessful. Conditions of establishment, it is necessary to management strategies such as site selection and strong entrepreneurial spirit with matching funds force to their aptitude. However, novice founder, in real estate transactions, there is a case in which a freak accident, such as the double sale occurs. South Korea's real estate transactions practice, difficult subject to systematic support, even as has been resolved legally, the damage of the victim so that the difficult issues that remain intact occurs. Therefore, beyond the problem to punish the perpetrators in such breach of trust crimes a legally double trade to this, is the strategy through the management histological approach received victim now of damage is required. We want to be viewed as discussion of What about the management strategy for accident prevention of real estate transactions in elementary founder accident concerning transactions such as real estate of double trafficking.

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Study on the Experience of Escaping from Prostitution of Sexual Traffic Victims (성매매피해여성의 탈성매매경험에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hae-Kyung;Gu, Cha-Soon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.406-417
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze an experience of sexual traffic victims and contribute for its formation of theory based on the results. A method of study was performed by using grounded theory method of Strauss and Corbin(1988). Through the results of study, one hundred and five concepts and thirty five subcategories and seventeen categories were deducted. 'destroy of mind and body' from the central phenomenon. The core category of experience of escaping from prostitution was presented by 'return of ordinary life recovered from destroy of life 'and the process of escaping from prostitution was presented in order of 'destroy of mind and body step', 'abandonment step', 'recovery of will step', 'challenge of adaption of ordianry life step'. In the study, it followed that an independent their own will of a sexually exploited women play an important role for a successful escaping from prostitution.