• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개변수 민감도

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Analysis of the Effect of Objective Functions on Hydrologic Model Calibration and Simulation (목적함수에 따른 매개변수 추정 및 수문모형 정확도 비교·분석)

  • Lee, Gi Ha;Yeon, Min Ho;Kim, Young Hun;Jung, Sung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • An automatic optimization technique is used to estimate the optimal parameters of the hydrologic model, and different hydrologic response results can be provided depending on objective functions. In this study, the parameters of the event-based rainfall-runoff model were estimated using various objective functions, the reproducibility of the hydrograph according to the objective functions was evaluated, and appropriate objective functions were proposed. As the rainfall-runoff model, the storage function model(SFM), which is a lumped hydrologic model used for runoff simulation in the current Korean flood forecasting system, was selected. In order to evaluate the reproducibility of the hydrograph for each objective function, 9 rainfall events were selected for the Cheoncheon basin, which is the upstream basin of Yongdam Dam, and widely-used 7 objective functions were selected for parameter estimation of the SFM for each rainfall event. Then, the reproducibility of the simulated hydrograph using the optimal parameter sets based on the different objective functions was analyzed. As a result, RMSE, NSE, and RSR, which include the error square term in the objective function, showed the highest accuracy for all rainfall events except for Event 7. In addition, in the case of PBIAS and VE, which include an error term compared to the observed flow, it also showed relatively stable reproducibility of the hydrograph. However, in the case of MIA, which adjusts parameters sensitive to high flow and low flow simultaneously, the hydrograph reproducibility performance was found to be very low.

The Dynamic Optimal Fisheries Management for Spanish Mackerel (삼치어종의 동태적 최적어업관리)

  • Cho, Hoonseok;Nam, Jongoh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.363-388
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    • 2020
  • The purposes of this study are to not only estimate optimal harvests and efforts using the surplus production methods for Spanish mackerel caught by multiple fishing gears, but provide dynamic optimal fisheries management for these gears using the current value Hamiltonian method. To achieve the above purposes this study uses several models such as Gavaris's general linear model for standardizing fishing efforts, surplus production method for estimating biological and technological coefficients, current value Hamiltonian method for estimating dynamic optimal harvest and efforts, and sensitivity analysis for diagnosing economic influences of these fisheries. As a result, this study showed that Spanish mackerel was overfished by multiple fishing gears based on surplus production method and the current value Hamiltonian method. Also, this study found that when the price and cost proportionally changed, the optimal harvest and fishing effort sensitively responded to the stock level of Spanish mackerel. Next, this study suggested that the multiple fishing gears for Spanish mackerel should reduce unnecessary costs such as operating time or inefficient fuel consumption. Finally, this study provided reasons Spanish mackerel should be included in the TAC system in a view of profit maximization based on sustainable use of the Spanish mackerel.

Live Load Distribution in Prestressed Concrete I-Girder Bridges (I형 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 거더교의 활하중 분배)

  • Lee, Hwan-Woo;Kim, Kwang-Yang
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2008
  • The standard prestressed concrete I-girder bridge (PSC I-girder bridge) is one of the most prevalent types for small and medium bridges in Korea. When determining the member forces in a section to assess the safety of girder in this type of bridge, the general practice is to use the simplified practical equations or the live load distribution factors proposed in design standards rather than the precise analysis through the finite element method or so. Meanwhile, the live load distribution factors currently used in Korean design practice are just a reflection of overseas research results or design standards without alterations. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an equation of the live load distribution factors fit for the design conditions of Korea, considering the standardized section of standard PSC I-girder bridges and the design strength of concrete. In this study, to develop an equation of the live load distribution factors, a parametric analysis and sensitivity analysis were carried out on the parameters such as width of bridge, span length, girder spacing, width of traffic lane, etc. As a result, the major variables to determine the size of distribution factors were girder spacing, overhang length and span length in case of external girders. For internal adjacent girders, the determinant factors were girder spacing, overhang length, span length and width of bridge. For internal girders, the factors were girder spacing, width of bridge and span length. Then, an equation of live load distribution factors was developed through the multiple linear regression analysis on the results of parametric analysis. When the actual practice engineers design a bridge with the equation of live load distribution factors developed here, they will determine the design of member forces ensuring the appropriate safety rate more easily. Moreover, in the preliminary design, this model is expected to save much time for the repetitive design to improve the structural efficiency of PSC I-girder bridges.

Establishment of Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Prediction System Considering the Dam Outflow Effects (댐 방류영향을 고려한 수리 및 수질예측 통합체제 구축)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong;Cho, Wan-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.478-481
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 댐 건설로 인한 수자원환경이 변화된 낙동강 유역에 대해 국내외 다양한 연구 성과를 검토하여 CE-QUAL-RIV1모형을 이용한 비정상상태의 수질예측을 위한 최적시스템을 구성하였다. 수질매개변수에 대한 민감도 분석은 절대량의 변화를 도시하는 방법을 이용하였으며 구축된 수리 및 수질예측 통합 모형을 2001-2002년에 걸쳐 낙동강 유역의 실측자료를 이용하여 검증 및 보정을 실시하였다. 낙동강 유역의 주요 지점의 실측치 및 하류부 취수장에서의 일별 실측치와의 비교검토를 통해, 본 연구 모형의 적용성을 입증하였고, 댐 방류영향 및 지류의 무처리하수 유입시의 각 댐의 방류영향을 검토하였다. 본 연구를 통한 댐방류영향을 포함한 하천수질예측 모형체제 구축은 하천 수질 및 생태계의 수학적 표현을 통해 장래의 수질을 예측하고, 예측된 결과에 따라 합리적인 수질관리대책을 수립하는데 크게 기여할 수 있을 것이다.

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Monitoring of Internal and External Oral Device by Near Field Communication (NFC를 적용한 구강내외장치 모니터링)

  • Park, Mira;Choi, Bumkyyoo;Chung, Soon-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.1239-1240
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 구강내 장치를 이용한 악정형 치료에 있어 환자가 장치를 장착하는 시간과 적용되는 응력과 변형률을 측정하여 치료결과의 완성도를 높이는 데에 있어, 근접무선통신 장치인 NFC(Near Field Communication)를 매개로하여 구강내외 장치의 상태를 모니터링하는 방안에 대한 고찰을 중점적으로 수행하였다. 구강내외에 상태를 계측하기 위한 센서를 설치하고 근접무선통신을 이용하여 병원에서 내원한 환자 상태의 모니터링을 구현하는 시스템을 설계하였으며 무선전력송신 시험을 수행하여 설계변수에 대한 민감도를 살펴보았다.

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Shape Design Optimization of Electrode for Maximal Dielectrophoresis Forces (최대 유전영동력을 위한 전극의 형상 최적설계)

  • Jeong, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Seonho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2019
  • A continuum-based design sensitivity analysis(DSA) method is developed for electrostatic problems. To consider high order objective functions, we use 9-node finite element basis functions for analysis and DSA methods. As the design variables are parameterized with B-spline functions, smooth boundary variations are naturally obtained. To solve mesh entanglement problems during the optimization process, a mesh regularization scheme is employed. By minimizing the Dirichlet energy functional, mesh uniformity can be automatically achieved. In numerical examples for maximizing dielectrophoresis forces, the numerical results are compared with well-known electrode geometries and the obtained characteristics are discussed.

Modeling for Prediction of Water Quality According to Dredging Operation (퇴적물 준설에 따른 수환경 영향 예측 모의)

  • Ahn, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Mee-Kyung;Lee, Mi-Kyung;Hwang, Byung-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.1228-1237
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    • 2005
  • In order to predict the long-term effects of pollutants in sediment on the water quality and the improvement of water quality according to dredging operation, models applied to decide the location and the propriety of dredging were developed. At first, the area was divided into several segments and the developed model was applied to simulate the behaviors of contaminants in an aquatic environment by using estimated parameters. And then through the sensitivity analysis between parameters, the optimum values were determined. The long-term modelling in the area A forecasted that PCBs concentration in the hot spot was decreased from $3.1\;{\mu}g/L$ to $2.4\;{\mu}g/L$ in 30 years. Contaminants in sediment as a source of water pollution did not reduce remarkably in the long run. Therefore it is difficult to expect the improvement of water qualities without the fundamental isolation of contaminants from sediment. It is considered that the selective dredging in the spot improves the water quality consequently.

Numerical Simulation of the Coalescence of Air Bubbles in Turbulent Shear Flow: 2. Model Application (난류전단 흐름에서의 기포응집에 관한 수치모의: 2. 모형의 적용)

  • Jun, Kyung Soo;Jain, Subhash C.
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1365-1373
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    • 1994
  • A Monte-Carlo simulation model, developed to predict size distribution of air bubbles in turbulent shear flow, is applied to a laboratory-scale problem. Sensitivity to various numerical and physical parameters of the model is analyzed. Practical applicability of the model is explored through comparisons of results with experimental measurements. Bubble size increases with air-water discharge ratio and friction factor. Bubble size decreases with increasing mean flow velocity, but the total bubble surface area in the aeration region remains fairly constant. The effect on bubble size distribution of the longitudinal length increment in the simulation model is negligible. A larger radial length increment yields more small and large bubbles and fewer in between. Bubble size distribution is significantly affected by its initial distribution and the location of air injection. Collision efficiency is introduced to explain the discrepancy between collisions with and without coalescence.

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Analysis of Baseflow through Application of SWAT-BFlow β Parameter by Flow Conditions (SWAT-BFlow의 β 매개변수 유황별 적용을 통한 기저유출 분석)

  • Jeong Yeonji;Bak Sangjoon;Lee Seoro;Lee Gwanjae;Choi Yonghun;Jeong Yechan;Lim Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.200-200
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화로 홍수 및 가뭄의 빈도 증가로 인해 수자원 부족 현상이 지속되고 있다. 하천유량은 기저유출과 직접유출으로 구성되어 있으며 갈수기의 유량의 대부분은 기저유출로 이루어져 있다. 기저유출의 감소는 어류의 서식지 감소, 수질 악화 등 부정적인 영향을 하천 환경에 준다. 하천의 유역별로 직접유출과 기저유출을 분리하여 기저유출량을 정량적으로 산정하고 그 변동성을 해석하는 것은 유역관리에 있어 반드시 필요하다. 기저유출 분리 방법 중 BFlow (Baseflow filter program)는 유역 단위 모형인 SWAT과 연계되어 장기유출에 대한 기저유출 특성을 파악하는데 사용되어 왔다. BFlow는 유역의 특성에 따라 총 3개의 filter 중 한 개를 선택하여 하천유량에 대한 filter의 통과량으로 기저유출을 계산하며 총 세 번의 filter값을 각각 pass 1 ~ 3로 표현한다. 기존의 연구에서는 pass 1, pass 2를 이용해서 기저유출을 산정하였으나 pass 2보다 pass 1의 첨두가 하천유출수문곡선의 하강부에 있는 변곡점에 접근하여 기저유출이 분리된다. 또한, BFlow에서 기저유출 분리시 단일 β parameter가 적용되며 수문곡선의 감수부에 민감도가 높은 변수이다. SWAT 모형을 통해 모의된 유출량은 실측자료를 기반으로 검,보정하였고 모의 결과의 기저유출량과 BFlow의 β parameter를 유황별로 적용한 pass 1의 기저유출량 결과를 비교하였다. 기존 SWAT 기저유출량보다 수정된 BFlow를 통해 하천유량에서 기저유량을 분리한 결과가 수문곡선감수부의 변곡점에 기저유출 첨두가 위치되는 것으로 분석되어 유황별로 β parameter를 적용시켜 감수부 특징을 반영할 수 있게 수정하였다고 판단된다. 본 연구의 결과는 하천 및 유역 환경 관련 정책 수립 시 필요한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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The Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters of ILLUDAS for Eastiblishment of Urban Runoff Model (도시유출모형확립을 위한 ILLUDAS모형의 매개변수 민감도분석)

  • Seo, Kyu Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1998
  • In this study, the hydrological changes due to urbanization were investigated and fundamental theory and characteristics of typical urban runoff model such as ILLUDAS was studied. Above model was applied for urbanizing Dongsucheon basin, Incheon. The main parameters (II, IA, IS) which are included in model depending on runoff results were determined, and dimensionless values such as total runoff ratio($Q_{TR}$), peak runoff ratio($Q_{PR}$), and runoff sensitivity ratio ($Q_{SR}=Q_{TR}/Q_{PR}$) were estimated in order to evaluate and compare the characteristics of model based on relative sensitivity analysis.

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