• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.59-69
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• 2023

FIDIC White Book is a Model Services Agreement between the Client and the Consultant. This study aimed to derive the Key Risk Sub-Clauses out of 63 Sub-Clauses of General Conditions of the FIDIC White Book by using the Delphi technique. A panel of 40 experts with more than 10 years of experience and expertise in overseas construction services agreements and FIDIC White Book was formed, and the reliability was improved in the direction of increasing the consensus of experts through a total of three Delphi survey processes. In the first Delphi survey, a closed-type survey was conducted on the impact of risk among 63 Sub-Clauses of General Conditions on a Likert 5-point scale, and 26 main risk Sub-Clauses were derived. The Content Validity of the results of the first Delphi survey was verified with the CVR value. In the 2nd and 3rd Delphi surveys, a closed-type survey was conducted on a Likert 10-point scale for 26 main risk Sub-Clauses and the risk possibility and impact of each main risk Sub-Clause were evaluated. The reliability of the 3rd Delphi survey result was verified with the COV value. Total 14 Key Risk Sub-Clauses were derived by applying the average risk possibility and impact of each of the 26 main risk Sub-Clauses to the PI Risk Matrix. The results of deriving Key Risk Sub-Clauses showed that agreement on specific scope of service, delay management, and change management were the most important. As a result of this study, from a practical point of view, consultants of consulting companies provide guidelines that should be reviewed to minimize contractual risks when signing service contracts with clients. From an academic point of view, the direction of research on deriving key risks related to service contracts for consultants participating in overseas construction is presented.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.289-294
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• 2007

새로운 시스템이나 제품이 철도운영환경에서 이용할 수 있을 만큼 안전하다는 것은 체계적인 문서화를 통해 입증해야 한다. 이러한 적정성을 제공하기 위해서는 안전성 관련 사항들은 논의에 대한 유효성을 판단하기에 앞서 독립적인 검증기관이나 자체적인 전문 평가를 수행하는 기관(또는 관리기관)에 제시되어져야 한다. 이러한 유효성은 종합안전대책기술서 형태로 제공되어지며 이는 사실에 대한 단순한 열거가 아니라 해당 시스템이나 제품의 실제 사용시 안전하다는 확신을 해당 기관에게 줄 수 있도록 고안되어 있는 일련의 논의들이다. 종합안전대책기술서는 관계자가 시스템 및 제품의 신규도입으로부터 발생되는 모든 리스크에 대한 분석 및 평가 수행여부와 이러한 리스크를 어떻게 관리하고 개선시켜 왔는지를 나타내주는 문서이다. 또한 관리가 효과적이고 지속적으로 적용되었음을 확인하기 위한 관리시스템을 제시해 주기도 한다. 본 연구는 유럽의 철도산업 범주내에서 종합안전대책기술서 그 자체의 특성과 시스템의 형태 및 적용 가능한 제품에 대해 정의를 내리는데 그 목적이 있으며 기술서의 취지와 구조, 보조문서 및 관련법규에 관한 사항에 초점을 맞출 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.350-352
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• 2022

자율운항선박을 IMO 자율화등급 3단계 이상으로 운용하기 위해서는 내·외부 통신시스템의 사이버보안뿐만 아니라 실시간으로 데이터를 교환하는 데이터 및 시스템 사이버안전에 대한 고려가 필수적으로 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 자율운항선박 사이버안전체계 구축방안에 대해서 살펴본다. 자율운항선박 사이버안전체계 구축을 위해서는 선박 내 사이버위협을 실시간으로 탐지하고 영향을 모니터링하는 통합 보안 시스템 구축이 필요하며, 선박 사이버안전 설계 타당성을 검증하는 사이버리스크평가 기술, 사이버안전체계를 검증하기 위한 CVE(Common Vulnerabilities Enumeration)기반 취약성 진단 및 침투테스트 기술, V-Model을 활용한 통합 소프트웨어 품질인증 기술, ISO 25024 기반 데이터 무결성 검증 기술 적용이 필요하다.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.11a
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• pp.155-155
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• 2011

신재생에너지 수요가 확대됨에 따라 신재생에너지 관련 제품에 소요되는 물질에 대한 관심이 확대되고 있다. 이들 물질은 공급리스크가 존재하는 희유금속이 주를 이루고 있다. 본 연구에서는 신재생에너지 등의 high tech 기술 확대로 인한 희유금속의 수요 및 공급을 전망하고 있는 미국의 critical raw material 관리 전략을 살펴보고자 한다. 미국은 2010년 12월 미국 에너지성(DOE : Department of Energy)에서 위기 물질 전략(Critical Materials Strategy)에 관한 리포트를 공표하였다. 클린 에너지 기술 4개 분야(영구자석, 선진 전지, 태양전지 박막, 형광 물질)에서 핵심이 되는 물질(희유금속 등)의 수급 불균형이 일어날 가능성에 대해 조사를 실시하여 리스크 평가하여 단기, 중단기로 구분하여 위기물질을 선정하였다. 클린 에너지 기술 4개 분야에서 핵심이 되는 물질(네오디움, 디스프로슘, 코발트, 리튬, 랜턴, 세륨, 테룰, 인듐, 갈륨, 유로피움, 테르비움, 이트륨)의 12광종 수급을 2025년까지 전망한 결과 전체적으로 단기(2010년~2015년)보다 중기(2015년~2025년)에 공급 부족이 확대한다고 예측되었다. 단기적으로는 인듐이 약간 부족하는 것 외에 디스프로슘과 이트륨에 관해서도 공급 부족할 것으로 예측되었다. 중기적으로는 코발트(전지 기술에 사용)와 유로피움(고효율 조명용의 형광 물질에 사용) 외 대상이 된 다른 모든 물질은 공급 부족이 발생할 것으로 전망되었다. 이를 종합하여 단기적으로는 디스프리슘, 유로피움, 인듐, 테르븀, 네오디움, 이트륨 등이, 중기적으로는 디스프리슘, 유로피움, 테르븀, 네오디움, 이트륨 등이 위기물질(Critical Material)로 분석되었다. 에너지성은 위기물질을 공급원다각화, 대체물질개발, 리유즈, 리사이클링 등을 국제적 파트너와 함께 추진하여 리스크를 관리할 것이며, 2011년까지 최신정보를 구축하여 위기물질 전략을 재설정할 예정이다. 체계적인 위기물질 선정 및 관리전략 등을 참조하고, 신재생에너지기술 변화에 따른 원재료의 중요성 및 리스크 관리현황을 기초로 우리나라에 적합한 위기관리 물질 선정 및 관리가 필요할 것이다.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.127-134
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• 2008

Potential economic impact of a hypothetical severe accident at a nuclear power plant(Uljin units 3/4) was estimated by applying the Delphi method, which is based on the expert judgements and opinions, in the process of quantifying uncertain factors. For the purpose of this study, it is assumed that the radioactive plume directs the inland direction. Since the economic risk can be divided into direct costs and indirect effects and more uncertainties are involved in the latter, the direct costs were estimated first and the indirect effects were then estimated by applying a weighting factor to the direct cost. The Delphi method however subjects to risk of distortion or discrimination of variables because of the human behavior pattern. A mathematical approach based on the Bayesian inferences was employed for data processing to improve the Delphi results. For this task, a model for data processing was developed. One-dimensional Monte Carlo Analysis was applied to get a distribution of values of the weighting factor. The mean and median values of the weighting factor for the indirect effects appeared to be 2.59 and 2.08, respectively. These values are higher than the value suggested by OECD/NEA, 1.25. Some factors such as small territory and public attitude sensitive to radiation could affect the judgement of panel. Then the parameters of the model for estimating the direct costs were classified as U- and V-types, and two-dimensional Monte Carlo analysis was applied to quantify the overall economic risk. The resulting median of the overall economic risk was about 3.9% of the gross domestic products(GDP) of Korea in 2006. When the cost of electricity loss, the highest direct cost, was not taken into account, the overall economic risk was reduced to 2.2% of GDP. This assessment can be used as a reference for justifying the radiological emergency planning and preparedness.

• Magazine of RCR
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.15-18
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• 2012

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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• 2004.04a
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• pp.393-396
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• 2004

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.605-615
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• 2017

Recently, financial supervisory authority of Korea and international credit rating agencies have been concerned about a stand-alone rating that is calculated without incorporating guaranteed support of parent companies. Guaranteed by parent companies, most foreign subsidiaries keeps good credit rate in spite of weak financial status. However, what if the parent companies stop supporting the foreign subsidiaries, they could have a probability to go bankrupt. In this paper, we have validated a credit rating model through statistical measurers such as performance, calibration, and stability for Korean companies owning foreign subsidiaries.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.90-98
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• 2016

High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.103-115
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• 2016

The 106 buildings of 200 meters' height or greater were completed around the world in 2015 (CTBUH, The Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat). They beat every previous year on record, including the previous record high of 99 completions in 2014. This brings the total number of 200-meter-plus buildings in the world to 1,040, exceeding 1,000 for the first time in history and marking a 392% increase from the year 2000, when only 265 existed. South Korea recorded three completions during 2015 - improving slightly over 2014, in which it had one. This study focused on the fact that high-rise building development project risks have not reduced in Korea in spite of numerous studies and measures. And it attempted to examine whether existing studies and measures have been presented on the basis of the accurate analysis of existing studies and measures and classify and analyze the characteristics of each phase' s risk factors in the hope that its results would be one reference point as to the measure to prevent high-rise building development project risks in the future. A high-rise building development project is the high risk project as compared with the low-rise project. Because a high-rise development project takes long and is very sensitive to the changing environment. Therefore, in order to succeed the project it becomes necessary to effectively manage the risk involved in the process of the high-rise building development project. The result of this study can be used as the guideline to make the risk management system for the high-rise development project.