• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 중요도

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Sampling-based Approach for Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (지진 확률론적 리스크 평가를 위한 샘플링기반 접근법)

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun;Park, Junhee;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we develop a sampling-based seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) quantification technique that can accurately consider a partially dependent condition of component seismic fragility information. Specifically, the SPRA quantification method is proposed by combining the advantages of two representative methodologies: EPRI seismic fragility and JAERI seismic fragility input-based quantification. The most important feature of the proposed method is that it performs a SPRA using a sampling technique by transforming the EPRI seismic fragility input into JAERI seismic fragility input. When the proposed sampling-based approach was applied to an example of simple system and to a SPRA problem of a nuclear power plant, it was observed that the proposed method yields approximately similar system seismic fragility and seismic risk results as those of the exact solution. Therefore, it is believed that the approach proposed in this study can be used as a useful tool for accurately assessing seismic risks, considering the partial seismic dependence among the components; the existing SPRA method cannot handle such partial dependencies.

Analysis of influential factors in whole life insurance model (종신보험에서의 영향 변수의 영향력 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hyeon, Jeong-Min;Cha, Ji-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.71-86
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    • 2010
  • In life insurance, the net premium is derived based on the expected life time distribution and expected interest rate. The losses or risks of the insurer are significantly affected by the obtained net premium. Thus, in life insurance, these two factors, the life time distribution and expected interest rate, are considered as important influential factors. In this paper, we investigate the effect of these influential factors on the net premiums, management risks, and the probability of losses. Furthermore, relative influence of these factors is also studied.

An Effect of Organizational Environment and Commitment on the Operational Risk-Based Internal Control Commitment in Banks (조직환경 및 유효성이 은행의 운영리스크 내부통제유효성에 미치는 영향)

  • Chung, Hae-Won;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Ahn, Yeon-Shick
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2007
  • 지난 2004년 6월 24일에 공표된 신BIS 자기자본규제제도에 의거 회원국 은행들에 대한 체계적인 위험관리가 강화되는 상황에서 우리나라도 2009년부터 모든 은행이 신BIS기준을 도입및 적용할 예정이다. 신BIS협약은 운영리스크(부적절한 내부절차, 직원, 시스템)에 대해서도 리스크를 측정하여 은행의 소요 자기자본에 반영토록 하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구자는 은행의 조직환경 변수들이 조직유효성에 영향을 미치고 이들이 또한 내부통제절차의 상시 유효성에 영향을 미치는 지 알아보기 위하여 국내 소재 은행원들을 대상으로 실증분석함으로써 은행들이 효율적인 내부통제를 통해 금융사고를 미연에 방지하고 은행자산의 건전성에 기여하기 위한 지침을 제시하는 관점에서 연구를 진행하였다. 연구결과, 연구모형에서 예상한 바와 같이 조직환경이 내부통제유효성에 직접적으로 영향을 미치지만 조직몰입도나 집단응집력과 같은 조직유효성을 매개로 하여 내부통제유효성에 더욱더 영향을 미치고 있었다. 이러한 점에 비추어 본 연구의 결과를 토대로 은행내 중간관리자의 성향에 따라 개별조직 구성원들의 행동양식이나 가치관에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 현실을 감안하여 장기적인 안목에서 양질의 리더십, 조직문화 그리고 분위기 등 조직환경을 리드해 나갈 수 있도록 관리자들에 대한 교육훈련 및 소양교육을 지속적으로 펼쳐나가는 것이 중요하다고 본다.

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The Process Development and Application of the Contingency Management by the Performance Analysis (성과분석을 통한 건설공사 예비비 관리 프로세스 및 적용)

  • Lee, Man-Hee;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2007
  • To reduce uncertainties and make rational plans, the presumption of contingency against a failure of projects and an occurrence of unpredictable risks is important with accurate estimations as the work progressing. Therefore, if the presumption of contingency reflecting uncertainties carries out at a decision making point of time, be able to prepare for risks. The purpose of this paper is to present a management process of contingency through the performance analysis of project. In the cost planning phase, this study offers a process which is predictable contingency and predicts the range of fluctuation of the cost, laking an advantage of EVM in construction phase. With reflecting the results from this procedure, this study presents a process, rationally manageable contingency.

Improvement of Pressurizer PROV System through Micro-Computer and PRA (마이크로 컴퓨터와 확률론적 리스크 평가를 통한 가압기 보호계통의 설계 개선)

  • Jong Ho Lee;Soon Heung Chang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.302-316
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    • 1985
  • Small break LOCA caused by a stuck-open PORV is one of the important contributors to nuclear power plant risk. This paper deals with the design of a pressurizer surveillance system using microcomputer to prevent the malfunction of system and has assessed the effect of this improvement through Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) method. Micro-computer diagnoses the malfunction of system by a process checking method and performs automatically backup action related to each malfunction. Owing to this improvement, we can correctly diagnose “Spurious Opening”, “Fail to Reclose” and “Small break LOCA” which are difficult for operator to diagnose quickly and correctly and reduce the probability of a human error by an automatic backup action.

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Applying Enterprise Architecture to Enterprise-wide IT Risk Framework (전사적 정보기술 리스크 체계를 위한 엔터프라이즈아키텍처 활용)

  • Park, Jooseok;Koo, Jamyon;Kim, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Eehwan
    • Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.451-466
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    • 2013
  • 기업들은 정보기술 리스크(IT Risk)에 대하여 어떻게 대처하고 있을까? 금융기관이나 공공기관은 태생적으로 이미 위험관리를 적극적으로 수행하고 있다. 정보기술에 대한 위험관리도 지난 10년동안 전산망 마비, 해킹 사고, 디도스 공격, 고객정보 유출 등을 겪으면서 적극적으로 대응해 왔다. 특히 2011년 농협사태는 IT 성과보다는 IT 보안을 훨씬 중요하게 보는 계기가 되었다. IT 보안 인력과 예산이 대폭 강화되고 망분리 사업이 추진되는 것이 대표적인 사례이다. 하지만 그동안 IT 위험관리는 특정 기술에 대한 사전 대응 및 사후 대응 강화에 집중되었다. 현재 IT 위험관리는 단편적 관리에서 종합적 관리로 전환되고 있다. 최근에 많은 기업들이 전사 차원의 정보기술 리스크 거버넌스(IT Risk Governance) 체계를 구축하고 있거나 구축하는 계획을 갖고 있다. 하지만 아직도 IT보안은 전사적으로 통합되지 못하였으며, IT 위험관리 프로세스는 조직에 내재화 되지 못 하였고, IT 성과관리와 연계성은 고려하지 못하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 IT 관리와 기술을 효과적으로 연계하기 위하여, 그리고 IT 성과와 IT 위험을 균형되게 관리하기 위하여 엔터프라이즈아키텍처(EA: Enterprise Architecture) 활용을 제안하고자 한다.

FAIR-Based Loss Measurement Caused by Personal Information Breach of a Company (FAIR를 통한 개인정보 유출에 따른 기업의 손해금액 산출에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gyu;Lee, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.129-145
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    • 2017
  • This study proposes a methodology to estimate the financial damages by personal information breach of a company and to analyse risk systematically through a case study of a company which experiences private information breach. Using FAIR(Factor Analysis of Information Risk) model, estimate the loss amount and to analyse risk objectively of a company by personal information breach. This study estimates adequacy and importance of corresponding factors applying AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) on each factors for assessing loss amount. By adopting proposed methodology in this study, the person in charge of actual work can assess and prove the loss amount though the latest risk estimation methodology. In addition, the person in charge can select the proper parameters for the corresponding company and can obtain the objective quantitative estimation. Hence it can be reported to the management by accurately assessing loss amount caused by personal information breach.

Extraction and Analysis of Construction Phase Risk Factors in High-rise Construction Project (초고층 건설공사 시공단계 리스크 요인 도출 및 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyong;Kim, Sunghyun;Yang, Jinkook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2016
  • High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

A Study on Improvement Measures for Internal Controls in Cryptocurrency (가상자산 운영의 위험관리를 위한 내부통제 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Byoung Hoon Choi;JinYong Lee;Sam Hyun Chun
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2024
  • Cryptocurrency service providers and virtual asset operators, built on blockchain technology, face transaction risks such as cyber threats, wallet theft by internal personnel, theft of customers' private keys, and fraudulent cryptocurrency transfer signatures. To ensure secure operations against these threats, their security is validated through the ISMS-P certification. This study to analyze the risks presented in ISO TR 23576, which is specialized for cryptocurrency service providers and operators, in addition to the ISMS-P certification they obtain. The study will focus on the detailed inspection items of ISMS-P and ISO TR 23576 for cryptocurrency service providers and assess their importance. Based on this analysis, the study proposes an internal security control process for cryptocurrency service providers to address the top-priority risks, enabling practitioners to perform security control tasks more efficiently.

Identification and importance analysis of hazards affecting the stability of TBM tunnelling works (TBM 터널 굴착 안정성에 영향을 미치는 위험요소 도출 및 중요도 결정)

  • Seong, Joo-Hyun;Youn, Jun-Ung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.973-984
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    • 2017
  • There is a growing need to apply TBM tunnelling method for the construction of underground facilities such as subways and utility tunnels in urban areas. Due to the variability and uncertainty of the ground, tunnelling in urban areas has various safety hazards which could cause damage to people and properties and it is very costly to recover from accidents. Therefore, it is very important to identify hazards from the planning and design phase and to establish risk mitigation measures. In this study, a total of 31 hazards affecting the stability of TBM tunnelling works in urban areas were listed from both the technical literature and correspondence with experts in tunnelling area. The importance and priorities of the hazards were analyzed by conducting Delphi technique, which is a decision-making method by consensus among experts. Finally, 12 hazards that satisfy the content validity criteria were settled and could be used as major control factors for accident prevention during TBM tunnelling works.