• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 요소

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A Study on the Determination of Reference Parameter for Aircraft Impact Induced Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant (원전의 항공기 충돌 리스크 평가를 위한 대표매개변수 선정 연구)

  • Shin, Sang Shup;Hahm, Daegi;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.437-450
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we developed a methodology to determine the reference parameter for an aircraft impact induced risk assessment of nuclear power plant (NPP) using finite element impact analysis of containment building. The target structure used to develop the method of reference parameter selection is one of the typical Korean PWR type containment buildings. We composed a three-dimensional finite element model of the containment building. The concrete damaged plasticity model was used for the concrete material model. The steels in the tendon, rebar, and liner were modeled using the piecewise-linear stress-strain curves. To evaluate the correlations between structural response and each candidate parameter, we developed Riera's aircraft impact force-time history function with respect to the variation of the loading parameters, i.e., impact velocity and mass of the remaining fuel. For each force-time history, the type of aircraft is assumed to be a Boeing 767 model. The variation ranges of the impact velocity and remaining fuel percentage are 50 to 200m/s, and 30 to 90%, respectively. Four parameters, i.e., kinetic energy, total impulse, maximum impulse, and maximum force are proposed for candidates of the reference parameter. The wellness of the correlation between the reference parameter and structural responses was formulated using the coefficient of determination ($R^2$). From the results, we found that the maximum force showed the highest $R^2$ value in most responses in the materials. The simplicity and intuitiveness of the maximum force parameter are also remarkable compared to the other candidate parameters. Therefore, it can be concluded that the maximum force is the most proper candidate for the reference parameter to assess the aircraft impact induced risk of NPPs.

Risk-based Profit Prediction Model for International Construction Projects (해외건설공사의 리스크 분석에 기초한 수익성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.635-647
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    • 2006
  • Korean construction companies first advanced to the international markets in 1960's and so far have brought more than 4,900 projects which account for 193 billion dollars approximately. With the large increase of national employment and income being followed by the achievement, Korea's construction industry has made an enormous contribution to the improvement of domestic economy for the last 40 years. However, recently the increased risk in international markets as well as the sharpening competition with foreign companies promising in terms of advanced technologies and low labor cost have been driving Korean construction away from the market shares. According to ENR (Engineering News Record, 1994~2003), it is revealed that 15.1% of top 225 global contractors are suffering from loss in international construction markets. This phenomenon is largely due to the highly uncertain characteristics of international projects, which are inherently exposed to various and complicated risky situations. Furthermore, especially for Korean construction companies, it is often the case that the failure in an international construction project cannot be offset by even a sufficient number of successful domestic achievements. Therefore, not only the selective screening among the nominated projects which have strong possibility of collapse but the systematic strategies for controlling potential risk factors are also considered indispensable in international construction portfolio management. The purpose of this study is to first analyze the causal relationships of the profit-influencing variables and the project success, and develop the profitability forecasting model in international construction projects.

A Study on Continuous Monitoring Reinforcement for Sales Audit Using Process Mining Under Big Data Environment (빅데이터 환경에서 프로세스 마이닝을 이용한 영업감사 상시 모니터링 강화에 대한 연구)

  • Yoo, Young-Seok;Park, Han-Gyu;Back, Seung-Hoon;Hong, Sung-Chan
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2016
  • Process mining in big data environment utilize a number of data were generated from the business process. It generates lots of knowledge and insights regarding implementation and improvement of the process through the event log of the company's enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. In recent years, various research activities engaged with the audit work of company organizations are trying actively by using the maximum strength of the mining process. However, domestic studies on applicable sales auditing system for the process mining are insufficient under big data environment. Therefore, we propose process-mining methods that can be optimally applied to online and traditional auditing system. In advance, we propose continuous monitoring information system that can early detect and prevent the risk under the big data environment by monitoring risk factors in the organizations of enterprise. The scope of the research of this paper is to design a pre-verification system for risk factor via practical examples in sales auditing. Furthermore, realizations of preventive audit, continuous monitoring for high risk, reduction of fraud, and timely action for violation of rules are enhanced by proposed sales auditing system. According to the simulation results, avoidance of financial risks, reduction of audit period, and improvement of audit quality are represented.

Reliability Estimation of Site Investigation by Geotechnical Risk Analysis in Subway Tunnel (지하철 터널에서의 위험도 분석을 통한 지반조사 신뢰성 평가)

  • 김환준;김우성;김영근;이두화;박진우;김갑부
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 도심지 지하철 터널을 대상으로 지반공학적 위험요소가 공사비 및 공기에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하기 위하여 잔여 리스크 개념을 이용하여 조사개소의 증가에 따른 공사비 및 공기의 신뢰도를 분석하였다. 신뢰도 분석결과, 지반조사 개소가 증가함에 따라 공사비 및 공기에 대한 위험도가 축소됨을 확인하였으며, 이러한 결과를 통하여 도심지 지하철 터널에서의 지반공학적 위험도 분석의 유용성을 확인하였다.

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Introduction to BPM and its Application Examples (BPM 및 적용 사례 소개)

  • 김광명;민용기;김선호
    • Proceedings of the CALSEC Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2003
  • 기업환경 영역의 글로벌화 진전에 따라 파트너 쉽이 기업의 활동의 중요요소로 대두되고 있으며 협업을 위한 프로세스 관리에 어려움을 겪게 된다. 이렇게 확대 분산되고 있으며 잦은 변경, 프로세스 자체의 방대해짐과 복잡해짐과 동시에 사람의 판단에 대한 의존도가 높아지는데 따른 리스크의 증가를 극복하고 효율적인 경영을 하기 위해서는 기업을 구성하고 있는 고객, 파트너, 임직원, 정보시스템과 비즈니스 프로세스 등을 효율적으로 관리할 수 있어야 한다. 업무 생산성과 효율성을 높이기 위해서는 비즈니스프로세스를 중심으로 이러한 단위업무 들을 연계하고 자동화시킬 필요가 있으며, 이를 가능케 하는 해결책이 바로 BPM(Business Process Management) 솔루션이다. 본고에서는 통합 솔루션으로서의 BPM 과 그 적용 사례를 국내 기업 중심으로 소개한다.

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CGE 모형을 이용한 다목적댐 운영의 경제파급효과분석: 용수공급기능을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Gi-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hyeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.129-156
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the contribution to the national economy of the stable water supply through managing multi-purpose dam. For the analysis, we consider 17 major multi-purpose dams and build a CGE model with summer water and winter water being the production factors as the base year of 2007. We analyze the economic impact of meeting water demand due to the dam management and estimate the risk premium of reducing the uncertainty of water supply. The analysis results show a significant production decrease in the industries of agriculture, forestry and fisheries and tap water as well as the food and beverage industry using the former industries' output as intermediates in the production and show an production increase largely in steel industry and electronic and electrical industries. Being compared to the benchmark solution, GNP is analyzed as being reduced by 0.22~0.68%. Meanwhile, the risk premium is estimated to be about 4 billion to 24 billion won for the value 01 the measure of relative risk aversion in the range 01 0.5 to 3.0.

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A Study on improvement for a means of access to electronic financial service (전자금융서비스 접근매체 변화에 따른 법제도 개선방안)

  • Han, Se Jin
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2015
  • As financial deregulation policies implemented by the government, electronic financial service is improved but security concerns are increasing and ultimately weaken trust in the financial service. Electronic financial service becomes more and more dependant on the IT platform and the initiatives of access device is also gradually shift to that platform. As biometric sensor is mounted on the smartphone, structural change in the access device is coming. It must be a positive signs in terms of fintech development, in the other side, it can cause many problems such as weakness of regulation and ambiguity of principals of responsibility. So in this paper, by analysing this problem-the shift of service initiative-on the access device I'll propose the best way to the the legal amendments.

A Study on Development of Climate Change Adaptation in Ecosystem Sector - Focused on Policy and Research Base in Major Countries - (생태분야 기후변화 적응의 흐름과 발전방향 - 국내외 정책 및 연구기반을 중심으로 -)

  • Yeo, Inae;Hong, Seungbum;Park, Eunjin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2019
  • This study aims at deriving the implications for adaptation policy and research target regarding climate change risk assessment in ecosystem sector in Korea. The common ground of exemplary cases of "world leaders" in terms of adaptation policies and researches was that they emphasize nationwide study on climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem in target of establishing scientific evidence-bases and reducing uncertainty for their national adaptation policies and plans. In light of this trend, Korean government should settle down more successful adaptation structure by leading adaptation system in further national policy-settings to observe UNFCCC and CBD integratedly and effectively, considering the economic value of adaptation in policy, and strengthening scientific research programs and technology developments. Moreover, risks assessment based on diagnoses and analysis on the risk factors (hazard, exposure, and vulnerability) for climate change in nationwide habitats and species and consolidations with subsequent adaptation strategies could make adaptations in ecosystem sector more effective and successful.

A Study on Disaster Recovery Planning and Automation Support System Implementation in a Data Consolidation Center of Multi-organizations (다기관 통합전산센터의 재해복구체계 및 자동화시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Seong-Muk;Lee, Yeong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 다기관 통합전산센터의 다양한 운영모형 분석을 통한 효과적인 운영 대안을 수립하고, 최적 운영대안의 상시운영체계(BCP) 구성방향을 제시한다. 또한 현행 다기관 통합전산센터의 리스크 분석과 리스크 관리 특성을 모형화하여 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영계획 이행 절차의 자동화 시스템 구축 방안을 제시한다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 4가지 사항을 중점적으로 다루었다. 첫째, 통합전산센터와 관련한 다양한 용어에 대해 정리를 하고, 통합전산센터의 국내외 사례를 살펴봄으로써 통합전산센터의 중요요소를 도출하였다. 둘째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 논리적 운영모형을 분류하여 각 모형에 따른 장${\cdot}$단점과 실현가능성을 진단하고, 대표적인 모형에 대한 가상환경을 구성하여 운영비용 측면에서 비교하였다. 또한 AHP기법을 이용하여 관련 전문가 인터뷰를 통한 정성적인 측면에서의 비교도 실시하였다. 셋째, 운영모형분석을 통하여 도출된 최적대안에 대한 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 수립 방향에 대하여 기존의 정보시스템을 위한 방법론과의 비교를 통하여 설명하였다. 넷째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 구성방향을 반영한 자동화시스템의 기본적인 구축방안에 대하여 간략하게 정리하고 그 기대효과를 제시하였다.

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A Study on the Guidelines for IMO Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships(MASS) (IMO 자율운항선박 가이드라인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Han-Seon;Cha, Chong-ju;Jo, Min-chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.137-138
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    • 2019
  • The International Maritime Organization (IMO) adopted the Circular 101 (MSC / Circ. 1604) as an interim guidelines for MASS trials at the 101st Maritime Safety Committee. This guideline will be used as a guideline for the sea trials of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships(MASS) in the future and will be used by government authorities and stake-holders to secure infrastructure for MASS safety, environmental protection and remote operation. The purpose of this study is to analyze the Interim Guidelines for MASS Trials adopted by IMO and to clearly classify the responsibilities and obligations of governments of stake-holders, and to present the main points of risk management necessary for maritime test operation from the perspective of human factors.

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