• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로지스틱 신뢰도

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Size selectivity of round traps for greenling (Hexagrammos otakii) in the western sea of Korea (원통형 통발에 대한 서해안 쥐노래미 (Hexagrammos otakii)의 망목선택성)

  • 신종근;박해훈
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2003
  • This study investigated the size selectivity of the round traps for greenling (Hexagrammos otakii) in the western sea of Korea. The selection curve for the greenling from the experiments on Oct. 2000 and Ar. 2001 was fitted by Kitahara's method to a polynomial equation and two parameter logistic selection curve. The selectio curve of the latter was more reasonable than that of the former. The equation of selectivity curve obtained using a logistic function with least square method was , s(R)=1/1+exp(-1.1169R+6.4565), where R=1/m, and 1 and m are total length and mesh size, respectively. The size selectivity curve showed that the current regulated mesh size(35mm) in case of the round trap was close to the L50 (37.0mm) of the selection curve for the biological minimum length (21.4cm) of the greenling.

Estimating Probability of Mode Choice at Regional Level by Considering Spatial Association of Departure Place (출발지 공간 연관성을 고려한 지역별 수단선택확률 추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.656-662
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    • 2009
  • In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The statistical models considered here are spatial logistic regression model and conditional autoregressive model taking a spatial association parameter into account. We employed the Bayesian approach in order to obtain more reliable parameter estimates. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas.

The preference for direct marketing according to the characteristics of policyholders in the life insurance industry (생명보험산업에서 보험계약자 특성에 따른 비대면채널 선호 분석)

  • Jung, Se-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1137-1143
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyse the preference for direct marketing according to the characteristics of policyholders and suggest implications for marketing strategies with regard to direct marketing. A marked characteristic of this paper is a good quality of data and the results gained from analysing the data can be trusted very much. Binary logistic regression is employed. A statistically significant preference is shown in the group such as male, a younger generation, a hazardous occupation, the metropolitan area, and the customer of foreign company. The results suggest that promotion for female is needed to revitalize direct marketing. A tight underwriting for a hazardous occupation is also required.

A Study on the Empirical Basis of Prejudice towards the Credibility of Persons under Investigation (수사관 편견의 실증적 근거에 관한 연구 - 교통사고 피조사자의 인구사회학적 특성에 따른 수사관의 편견을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Ju-Lak;Tark, Jong-Eon
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.15
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    • pp.285-301
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    • 2008
  • Police officers have an obligation to their profession to continuously strive for fairness for all the people they serve. However, some police officers are believed to have developed prejudicial attitudes towards some groups of the society and exercised police power unfairly against them. Especially, when the actions of the police are prejudicial during criminal investigation, this can affect outcomes of the investigation. Therefore, the police need to tackle this problem effectively. In order to develop a preventive strategy, the police must have a clear understanding of prejudice. However, there has been little research on this topic in Korea. Thus, this study attempted to fill the gap. The purpose of the current study was to examine if prejudice of police officers are statistically valid. In order to answer this research question, the present study utilized the results of 173 polygraph examinations that had been employed to investigate traffic accidents in a provincial police agency in 2006. From the polygraph examination reports, information relating to the subjects could be identified and this information was analyzed, using a logistic regression. The results of the logistic regression revealed that most of the variables relating to the subjects did not affect the credibility of the subjects' statements. This means the police officers' belief that some groups of people make false statements more often than others during criminal investigation is an unfounded prejudice.

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A Modified Logistic Regression Model for Probabilistic Prediction of Debris Flow at the Granitic Rock Area and Its Application; Landslide Prediction Map of Gangreung Area (화강암질암지역 토석류 산사태 예측을 위한 로지스틱 회귀모델의 수정 및 적용 - 강릉지역을 대상으로)

  • Cho, Yong-Chan;Chae, Byung-Gon;Kim, Won-Young;Chang, Tae-Woo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.40 no.1 s.182
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2007
  • This study proposed a modified logistic regression model for a probabilistic prediction of debris flow on natural terrain at the granitic rock area. The modified model dose not contain any categorical factors that were used in the previous model and secured higher reliability of prediction than that of the previous one. The modified model is composed of lithology, two factors of geomorphology, and three factors of soil property. Verification result shows that the prediction reliability is more than 86%. Using the modified regression model, the landslide prediction maps were established. In case of Sacheon area, the prediction map showed that the landslide occurrence was not well corresponded with the model since, even though the forest-fred area was distributed on the center of the model, no factors were considered for the landslide predictions. On the other hand, the prediction model was well corresponded with landslide occurrence at Jumunjin-Yeongok area. The prediction model developed in this study has very high availability to employ in other granitic areas.

Understanding the Key Factors Influencing the Success of Sharing Accommodation Services: Evidence from Airbnb.com (공유숙박 서비스 성공에 미치는 요인에 대한 실증연구)

  • Jee Hee Kim;Gunwoong Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.69-89
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    • 2019
  • Recently, consumers are increasingly interested in the sharing economy, which utilizes various resources by sharing unused or under-used products/services with others. This study focuses on Airbnb, a representative sharing economy platform, to identify the success factors of the sharing accommodation services. The key properties of sharing accommodation services are extensively surveyed from extant literature and are classified them into the three important factors (economic, convenience, and trust) that influence the success of room-sharing services. The research data include 1,673 Airbnb hosts who offered accommodations in New York City, USA, in June 2018. The research variables of economic-, convenience-, and trust-related factors are utilized in the empirical analyses. The results of this study show that the number of available facilities, flexibility of refunds, the response rate and time to customer requests, and the status of Super host are positively associated with guest satisfaction from sharing accommodation services. This study bears significant managerial implications by suggesting a set of practical guidelines to participants in sharing accommodation services.

Wild Boar (Sus scrofa corranus Heude ) Habitat Modeling Using GIS and Logistic Regression (GIS와 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 멧돼지 서식지 모형 개발)

  • 서창완;박종화
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2000
  • Accurate information on habitat distribution of protected fauna is essential for the habitat management of Korea, a country with very high development pressure. The objectives of this study were to develop a habitat suitability model of wild boar based on GIS and logistic regression, and to create habitat distribution map, and to prepare the basis for habitat management of our country s endangered and protected species. The modeling process of this restudyarch had following three steps. First, GIS database of environmental factors related to use and availability of wild boar habitat were built. Wild boar locations were collected by Radio-Telemetry and GPS. Second, environmental factors affecting the habitat use and availability of wild boars were identified through chi-square test. Third, habitat suitability model based on logistic regression were developed, and the validity of the model was tested. Finally , habitat assessment map was created by utilizing a rule-based approach. The results of the study were as folos. First , distinct difference in wild boar habitat use by season and habitat types were found, however, no difference in wild boar habiat use by season and habitat types were found , however, ho difference by sex and activity types were found. Second, it was found, through habitat availability analysis, that elevation , aspect , forest type, and forest age were significant natural environmental factors affecting wild boar hatibate selection, but the effects of slope, ridge/valley, water, and solar radiation could not be identified, Finally, the habitat at cutoff value of 0.5. The model validation showed that inside validation site had the classification accuracy of 73.07% for total habitat and 80.00% for cover habitat , and outside validation site had the classification accuracy of 75.00% for total habitat.

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A Prediction Model of Landslides in the Tertiary Sedimentary Rocks and Volcanic Rocks Area (제3기 퇴적암 및 화산암 분포지의 산사태 예측모델)

  • Chae Byung-Gon;Kim Won-Young;Na Jong-Hwa;Cho Yong-Chan;Kim Kyeong-Su;Lee Choon-Oh
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.14 no.4 s.41
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2004
  • This study developed a prediction model of debris flow to predict a landslide probability on natural terrain composed of the Tertiary sedimentary and volcanic rocks using a logistic regression analysis. The landslides data were collected around Pohang, Gyeongbuk province where more than 100 landslides were occurred in 1998. Considered with basic characteristics of the logistic regression analysis, field survey and laboratory soil tests were performed for both slided points and not-slided points. The final iufluential factors on landslides were selected as six factors by the logistic regression analysis. The six factors are composed of two topographic factors and four geologic factors. The developed landslide prediction model has more than $90\%$ of prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is possible to make probabilistic and quantitative prediction of landslide occurrence using the developed model in this study area as well as the previously developed model for metamorphic and granitic rocks.

Determinants of Trust in Local Governments - Focusing on Risk Perception (사회 안전인식에 따른 지방자치단체 신뢰도 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Yun Ju;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.591-597
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    • 2022
  • As social anxiety is increasing due to the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic, the responses at the level of local governments are also changing depending on the characteristics. We analyzed the factors influencing perceptions of social safety as they relate to the trustworthiness of local governments. Based on a 2020 social survey of 16 cities, counties, and districts in Busan Metropolitan City, the effects of householder characteristics, economic characteristics, local attachment characteristics, and social safety perception characteristics on the reliability of the local government were analyzed through an ordinal logistic regression analysis. It was found that the more vulnerable the class was and the safer the region was, the higher the trust was in the basic local government. In order to respond and preemptively recover damage in natural and social disaster situations, continuous efforts are needed to strengthen the capabilities of basic local governments.

Risk Factors for Malassezia pachydermatis-associated Dermatitis in dogs: a Case-control Study (개에서 Malassezia pachydermatis에 의한 피부염의 위험요인에 관한 Case-control 연구)

  • Son-il Pak;Hwa-young Youn
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 1999
  • Malassezia(Pityrosoprum) pachydermatis에 의한 피부염의 위험요인을 파악하고자 1997년 1월에서 1998년 12월까지 서울대학교 수의과대학 부속동물병원에 내원하여 본 질환으로 진단된 29두와 동일한 기간 동안 피부과 검사에서 임상적으로 건강한 개로 확인된 97 두의 대조군을 대상으로 분석하였다. 각 설명변수에 대한 교차비(odds ratio, OR)와 신뢰구간(confidence interval, CI)은 변수보정법을 사용하여 계산하였다. 다른 공변수를 보정한 상태에서 다중 로지스틱 회귀분석(multiple logistic regression analysis)을 시행한 결과 피부병기왕력(p=0.0059; OR, 4.44; CI, 1.5∼12.8)과 비만(p=0.0013; OR, 5.38; CI, 1.9∼14.9)은 유의한 위험요인으로 나타났다. 단변량 분석(univariate analysis)에서 주 사료로 고기를 섭취하는 경우 피부염의 위험이 높은 변수로 작용하였지만(p=0.0398; OR, 6.38; CI, 1.1∼37.3) 다른 공변수를 보정한 분석에서는 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 성별, 품종, 및 예방접종은 위험요인으로 작용하지 않았다.

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