• Title/Summary/Keyword: 등분산

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Study for comparison of storage lifetimes estimation between constant and time-variant variance of degradation data (열화데이터의 등분산 가정에 따른 저장수명예측 비교 연구)

  • Back, Seungjun;Son, Youngkap;Park, Sanghyun;Lee, Munho;Kang, Insik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.154-156
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    • 2017
  • Constant variance of degradation data over time has been generally assumed to estimate storage lifetime using destructive, accelerated degradation data over time. However, performance data of ammunitions deteriorate over time, and the standard deviation would tend to increase over time. This paper shows storage lifetime comparison results for constant variance and time-variant variance assumptions of degradation data over time, and proposes that time-variant variance assumption should be considered to increase accuracy in lifetime estimation.

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Variable Selection in Normal Mixture Model Based Clustering under Heteroscedasticity (이분산 상황 하에서 정규혼합모형 기반 군집분석의 변수선택)

  • Kim, Seung-Gu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1213-1224
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    • 2011
  • In high dimensionality where the number of variables are excessively larger than observations, it is required to remove the noninformative variables to cluster observations. Most model-based approaches for variable selection have been considered under the assumption of homoscedasticity and their models are mainly estimated by a penalized likelihood method. In this paper, a different approach is proposed to remove the noninformative variables effectively and to cluster based on the modified normal mixture model simultaneously. The validity of the model was provided and an EM algorithm was derived to estimate the parameters. Simulation studies and an experiment using real microarray dataset showed the effectiveness of the proposed method.

A statistical analysis on the selection of the optimal covariance matrix pattern for the cholesterol data (콜레스테롤 자료에 대한 적정 공분산행렬 형태 산출에 관한 통계적 분석)

  • Jo, Jin-Nam;Baik, Jai-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1263-1270
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    • 2010
  • Sixty patients were divided into three groups. Each group of twenty persons had fed on different diet foods over 5 weeks. Cholesterol had been measured repeatedly five times at an interval of a week during 5 weeks. It resulted from mixed model analysis of repeated measurements data that homogeneous toeplitz covariance matrix pattern was selected as the optimal covariance pattern. The correlations between measurements of different times for the covariance matrix are somewhat highly correlated as 0.64-0.78. Based upon the homogeneous toeplitz covariance pattern model, the time effect was found to be highly significant, but the treatment effect and treatment-time interaction effect were found to be insignificant.

Forecasting attendance in the Korean professional baseball league using GARCH models (일반화 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 모형을 이용한 한국프로야구 관중수의 예측)

  • Lee, Jang-Taek;Bang, So-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1041-1049
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    • 2010
  • In Korean professional baseball, attendance is the largest source of revenue for development of professional baseball and the highest concern of professional baseball teams. So, if there is demand forecasting model, it will be helpful for pennant chasers to work out the strategies for drawing attendance. For this reason, this research intends to suggest the model which estimates Korean professional baseball's attendance and uses all usable variables which have an effect on attendance in limited circumstances. We supposed that dependent variable is attendance as well as several independent variables and error term are homoscedastic variance. And then, we compared the models which assume conditional heteroscedastic variance like GARCH and EGARCH with GARCH-t models which use the assumption that error term's distribution follows student-t distribution. In result of that, we could confirm that the models which were made by using GARCH(1,1)-t made estimates the most accurately among the several models considered.

Comparisons of some subset selection procedures for K normal populations with unequal sample size (표본크기가 다른 정규모집단의 평균에 대한 부분집합선택절차론의 성질과 비교연구)

  • 손중권;김소연;김영훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 1990
  • The problem of selecting a nonempty subset of K(>2) normal means with unknown variances has been studies by many authors. But the comparisions of the properties and the efficiencies of the proposed subset selection procedures have not been carried out. Thus we investigate properties of the proposed procedures and compare their performances for various cases.

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Characteristics of Measurement Errors due to Reflective Sheet Targets - Surveying for Sejong VLBI IVP Estimation (반사 타겟의 관측 오차 특성 분석 - 세종 VLBI IVP 결합 측량)

  • Hong, Chang-Ki;Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2022
  • Determination of VLBI IVP (Very Long Baseline Interferometry Invariant Point) position with high accuracy is required to compute local tie vectors between the space geodetic techniques. In general, reflective targets are attached on VLBI antenna and slant distances, horizontal and vertical angles are measured from the pillars. Then, adjustment computation is performed by using the mathematical model which connects measurements and unknown parameters. This indicates that the accuracy of the estimated solutions is affected by the accuracy of the measurements. One of issues in local tie surveying, however, is that the reflective targets are not in favorable condition, that is, the reflective sheet target cannot be perfectly aligned to the instrument perpendicularly. Deviation from the line of sight of an instrument may cause different type of measurement errors. This inherent limitation may lead to incorrect stochastic modeling for the measurements in adjustment computation procedures. In this study, error characteristics by measurement types and pillars are analyzed, respectively. The analysis on the studentized residuals is performed after adjustment computation. The normality of the residuals is tested and then equal variance test between the measurement types are performed. The results show that there are differences in variance according to the measurement types. Differences in variance between distances and angle measurements are observed when F-test is performed for the measurements from each pillar. Therefore, more detailed stochastic modeling is required for optimal solutions, especially in local tie survey.

Analysis of health-related quality of life using Beta regression (베타회귀분석 방법을 이용한 건강 관련 삶의 질 자료 분석)

  • Jang, Eun Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.547-557
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    • 2017
  • The health-related quality of life data are commonly skewed and bounded with spike at the perfect health status, and the variance tended to be heteroscedastic. In this study, we have developed a prediction model for EQ-5D using linear regression model, beta regression model, and extended beta regression model with mean and precision submodel, and also compared the predictive accuracy. The extended beta regression model allows to model skewness and differences in dispersion related to covariates. Although the extended beta regression model has higher prediction accuracy than the linear regression model, the overlapped confidence intervals suggested that the extended beta regression model was superior to the linear regression model. However, the expended beta regression model could explain the heteroscedasticity and predict within the bounded range. Therefore, the expended beta regression model are appropriate for fitting the health-related quality of life data such as EQ-5D.

Bias-corrected imputation method for non-ignorable nonresponse with heteroscedasticity in super-population model (초모집단 모형의 오차가 이분산일 때 무시할 수 없는 무응답에서 편향수정 무응답 대체)

  • Yujin Lee;Key-Il Shin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.283-295
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    • 2024
  • Many studies have been conducted to properly handle nonresponse. Recently, many nonresponse imputation methods have been developed and practically used. Most imputation methods assume MCAR (missing completely at random) or MAR (missing at random). On the contrary, there are relatively few studies on imputation under the assumption of MNAR (missing not at random) or NN (nonignorable nonresponse) that are affected by the study variable. The MNAR causes Bias and reduces the accuracy of imputation whenever response probability is not properly estimated. Lee and Shin (2022) proposed a nonresponse imputation method that can be applied to nonignorable nonresponse assuming homoscedasticity in super-population model. In this paper we propose an generalized version of the imputation method proposed by Lee and Shin (2022) to improve the accuracy of estimation by removing the Bias caused by MNAR under heteroscedasticity. In addition, the superiority of the proposed method is confirmed through simulation studies.

Comparison of Storage Lifetimes by Variance Assumption using Accelerated Degradation Test Data (파괴적 가속열화시험 데이터의 분산가정에 따른 수명비교)

  • Kim, Jonggyu;Back, Seungjun;Son, Youngkap;Park, Sanghyun;Lee, Moonho;Kang, Insik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2018
  • Estimating reliability of a non-repairable system using the degradation data, variance assumption such as homogeneity (constant) or heteroscedasticity (time-variant) could affect accuracy of reliability estimation. This paper showed reliability estimation and comparison results under normal conditions using accelerated degradation data obtained from destructive measurements, according to variance assumption of the data at each measurement time. Degradation data from three accelerated conditions with stress factors of temperature and humidity were used to estimate reliability. The $B_{10}$ lifetime was estimated as 1243.8 years by constant variance assumption, and 18.9 years by time-variant variance. And variance assumption provided different analysis results of important stresses to reliability. Thus, accurate assumption of variance at each measurement time is required when estimating reliability using degradation data of a non-repairable system.