• Title/Summary/Keyword: 득표수

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A Trial to Develop Forecasting Model for Turn-out Rates with the 2010 Korean Gubernatorial Election Data (후보자 득표율 예측 모형과 지표의 구성: 2010 광역단체장 선거를 중심으로)

  • Song, Keun-Won
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.31-63
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    • 2011
  • This study is to make an effective forecasting model for turn-out rates of the candidates with their visibilities, which are measured in their names on the media during the election period. I make a regressive model, with the data of 2010 gubernatorial election in Korea, where turn-out rate is dependent variable and each candidate's visibility, incumbency effect, local control party effect, corruption effect, strategy voting effect, restrain effect as a mid-term evaluation, and policy effect are independent variables. I got the model, T = -4.65 + 1.02V + 16.90 I + 16.78L - 9.12 R, where T is turn-out rate, V is candidate's visibility, I is incumbent effect, L is local control party effect, and R is restrain effect. This function can be used to predict turn-out rates of the candidates in the forthcoming gubernatorial election in Korea at a small outlay.

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The Relationship between General Programming TV's News Ratings and the Vote Shares of Conservative Parties (종합편성채널의 뉴스보도 시청률과 보수 정당의 선거득표율 간의 관계)

  • Lee, Seung Yeop;Lee, Sang Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2017
  • Television viewing affects viewers' attitudes and opinions on their political issues. Since the beginning of General Programming TV services in 2011, they are criticized of their politically biased programming. In order to investigate the effect of General Programming TV on voters' behavior, we analyzed whether or not there is a change in the voting behavior of the conservative parties among the areas with high and low TV ratings of general programming TV. Based on the result of 18th presidential election in December 2012, we could not find any difference in voting behavior on the Saenuri party among the areas with high and low ratings of general programming TV channels. However, in the 6th provincial election in June 2014, while the voting shares of the Saenuri party were higher in the areas with high ratings of TV Chosun, Channel A, and JTBC than in those areas with low ratings.

Estimating the Interim Rate of Votes Earned Based on the Exit Poll Results during the Coverage of Ballot Results by Broadcasters (선거 개표방송에서 출구조사 자료를 활용한 중간 득표율 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yoon-Dong;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2011
  • During major elections, three terrestrial broadcasting stations in Korea have covered the progresses of election results by announcing the simple sum of ballot counts of all ballot counting stations. The current approach, however, does not properly reflect the actual ballot count differences by ballot counting location, leading to cause unnecessary but possible confusions. In addition, the current coverage approach restricts the broadcasters from using regional poll data gained through exit polls by letting them to use the significant information on a one-off purpose to announce the initial prediction of the poll results and to fully disregard the exit poll results during the ballot counting process. Based on the understanding, this paper is designed to suggest a Bayesian approach to consolidate the exit poll results with the progressive ballot counting results and announce them as such. The suggested consolidation approach is expected to mitigate or avoid the possible confusions that may arise in connection with the different ballot counting paces by ballot counting station.

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독일의 대연립정권에 의한 에너지 정책의 개요

  • Korea Electric Association
    • JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL WORLD
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    • s.351
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    • pp.59-61
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    • 2006
  • 2005년 9월의 총선거를 거쳐 11월에 독일에서 처음으로 여성 수상인 앙켈라 메르켈 총리가 이끄는 대연립정권이 탄생하였다. 총선거 전에는 메르켈 총리가 소속된 기독민주사회동맹(CDU/CSU)이 자유민주당(FDP)과 연린정권을 구성하는 것으로 예상되었으나 사회민주당(SDP)의 선거전 후반의 맹렬한 추격으로 CDU/CSU의 득표수가 늘어나지 못하여, 결국 CDU/CSU는 SPD와 같이 대연립정권을 꾸미게 되었다. 이 양 당은 선거 전에 에너지정책 분야에서는 서로 용납치 않는 정책강력을 발표하여 왔었다. 특히 원자력 정책에 있어서는 양 당의 의견에 격차가 심하여 총선거 후에 실시되었던 정책 협의과정에서 최후까지 합의가 이루어지지 못한 사항의 하나였다. 2005년 11월 11일에 발표된 대연립정권의 정책강령에 담겨진 에너지 정책의 개요를 소개함과 동시에 에너지 정책에 있어서의 앞으로의 과제에 관하여 기술한다.

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Selective Word Embedding for Sentence Classification by Considering Information Gain and Word Similarity (문장 분류를 위한 정보 이득 및 유사도에 따른 단어 제거와 선택적 단어 임베딩 방안)

  • Lee, Min Seok;Yang, Seok Woo;Lee, Hong Joo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2019
  • Dimensionality reduction is one of the methods to handle big data in text mining. For dimensionality reduction, we should consider the density of data, which has a significant influence on the performance of sentence classification. It requires lots of computations for data of higher dimensions. Eventually, it can cause lots of computational cost and overfitting in the model. Thus, the dimension reduction process is necessary to improve the performance of the model. Diverse methods have been proposed from only lessening the noise of data like misspelling or informal text to including semantic and syntactic information. On top of it, the expression and selection of the text features have impacts on the performance of the classifier for sentence classification, which is one of the fields of Natural Language Processing. The common goal of dimension reduction is to find latent space that is representative of raw data from observation space. Existing methods utilize various algorithms for dimensionality reduction, such as feature extraction and feature selection. In addition to these algorithms, word embeddings, learning low-dimensional vector space representations of words, that can capture semantic and syntactic information from data are also utilized. For improving performance, recent studies have suggested methods that the word dictionary is modified according to the positive and negative score of pre-defined words. The basic idea of this study is that similar words have similar vector representations. Once the feature selection algorithm selects the words that are not important, we thought the words that are similar to the selected words also have no impacts on sentence classification. This study proposes two ways to achieve more accurate classification that conduct selective word elimination under specific regulations and construct word embedding based on Word2Vec embedding. To select words having low importance from the text, we use information gain algorithm to measure the importance and cosine similarity to search for similar words. First, we eliminate words that have comparatively low information gain values from the raw text and form word embedding. Second, we select words additionally that are similar to the words that have a low level of information gain values and make word embedding. In the end, these filtered text and word embedding apply to the deep learning models; Convolutional Neural Network and Attention-Based Bidirectional LSTM. This study uses customer reviews on Kindle in Amazon.com, IMDB, and Yelp as datasets, and classify each data using the deep learning models. The reviews got more than five helpful votes, and the ratio of helpful votes was over 70% classified as helpful reviews. Also, Yelp only shows the number of helpful votes. We extracted 100,000 reviews which got more than five helpful votes using a random sampling method among 750,000 reviews. The minimal preprocessing was executed to each dataset, such as removing numbers and special characters from text data. To evaluate the proposed methods, we compared the performances of Word2Vec and GloVe word embeddings, which used all the words. We showed that one of the proposed methods is better than the embeddings with all the words. By removing unimportant words, we can get better performance. However, if we removed too many words, it showed that the performance was lowered. For future research, it is required to consider diverse ways of preprocessing and the in-depth analysis for the co-occurrence of words to measure similarity values among words. Also, we only applied the proposed method with Word2Vec. Other embedding methods such as GloVe, fastText, ELMo can be applied with the proposed methods, and it is possible to identify the possible combinations between word embedding methods and elimination methods.

Estimation of the Percent of the Vote by Adjustment of Voter Turnout in Election Polls (선거여론조사에서 투표율 반영을 통한 득표율 추정)

  • Kim, Jeonghoon;Han, Sang-Tae;Kang, Hyuncheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2873-2881
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    • 2018
  • It is very important to obtain objective and credible information through election polls in order to contribute to the correct voting behavior of the voters or to establish appropriate election strategies for candidates or political parties. Therefore, many related organizations such as political parties, media organizations, and research institutions have been making efforts to improve the accuracy of the results of the polls and the election prediction. Kim et al. (2017) analyzed whether the non-response group responded that there is no support candidate in the election survey to increase the accuracy of the estimation of the vote rate. As a result, it has been confirmed that the accuracy of the estimation of the vote rate can be significantly improved by performing an appropriate classification on the non-response layer. In this study, we propose a method to estimate the turnout by each strata (sex, age group) under the condition that the total turnout rate is given for a specific district (region) and propose a procedure to predict the vote rate by reflecting the turnout. In addition, case studies were conducted using data gathered through telephone interviews for the 20th National Assembly elections in 2016.

Election Regionalism in the 18th Korean General Election : focusing on election campaign course and Voter's Choice (18대 총선에서 나타난 선거지역주의 -선거운동 과정과 유권자의 선택을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jai-Han
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.315-333
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    • 2014
  • The study was carried out to analyze election regionalism and to find out the spatial pattern of party support drawn in the 18th general election. Strongly biased pattern found to be caused by party strategies and voting behaviour preferring for the local party. Each party employed the strategies such as tactical and nepotic nomination, regional development pledges, and local instigation of regionalism. In consciousness survey done by the National Election Commission, primarily people tend to choose the representative by his(her) party and secondly, they consider their carrier and occupation. They vote for the same party in the local district and proportional representation. While election regionalism strongly found in voting behaviour of each party's main strongholds based on spatial pattern of major party support, voters of Seoul and Chungbuk tend to vote for their interests due to regional development pledges such as 'Newtown' Development and 'Multifunctional Administrative City' construction.

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Interview - "For everyone in the fence of architecture to coexist⋯" Setting a new milestone in the architectural world (인터뷰 - "건축의 울타리에 있는 모든 이들이 상생할 수 있도록⋯" 건축계 새로운 이정표 만드는데 최선)

  • Yuk, Hye-Min
    • Korean Architects
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    • s.622
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    • pp.26-29
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    • 2021
  • 지난 1월 15일, 석정훈 건축사(주.태건축설계 건축사사무소)가 60.04%의 득표율을 기록하며 대한건축사협회 제33대 회장으로 선출됐다. 협회 직선제 도입 3회 만에 탄생한 첫 연임 회장이다. 1월 19일 석정훈 대한건축사협회장을 직접 만나 연임의 의미와 더불어 추진 정책, 협회 운영방안에 관해 물어보는 시간을 가졌다.

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Music Retrieval Using the Geometric Hashing Technique (기하학적 해싱 기법을 이용한 음악 검색)

  • Jung, Hyosook;Park, Seongbin
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we present a music retrieval system that compares the geometric structure of a melody specified by a user with those in a music database. The system finds matches between a query melody and melodies in the database by analyzing both structural and contextual features. The retrieval method is based on the geometric hashing algorithm which consists of two steps; the preprocessing step and the recognition step. During the preprocessing step, we divide a melody into several fragments and analyze the pitch and duration of each note of the fragments to find a structural feature. To find a contextual feature, we find a main chord for each fragment. During the recognition step, we divide the query melody specified by a user into several fragments and search through all fragments in the database that are structurally and contextually similar to the melody. A vote is cast for each of the fragments and the music whose total votes are the maximum is the music that contains a matching melody against the query melody. Using our approach, we can find similar melodies in a music database quickly. We can also apply the method to detect plagiarism in music.

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Terminological Misuses and Institutional Coherence in Electoral Systems (선거제도의 개념 오용과 정합성: 비례대표성을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Chae-Han
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2019
  • In the process of changing the Korean electoral system, various terms such as representation, majority, minority, plurality, and proportionality are not used correctly, making normative judgment on its desirable electoral system difficult. This paper clarifies the concepts and terminology related to the electoral system in order to enable proper normative discussion. First, the misuse of the names of the electoral system is reviewed. This includes the majority representative system versus the minority representative system, the single-member constituency versus the multi-member constituency, the absolute majority system versus the relative majority system, and the majority representative system versus the proportional representative system. Next, the principles of representation, proportionality, democracy, direct ballot, and equal ballot are discussed to evaluate the decisions made by the Constitutional Court of Korea. In the current electoral system of the National Assembly, the equivalence between its constituency member and its proportional representation member is very low in terms of proportionality between votes received and seats allotted. Finally, the coherence between proportional representation and other political institutions is examined. Strengthening the proportionality of parliamentary elections alone does not necessarily increase the proportionality of the entire power structure.