• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동태적 비일관성

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The Impact of Oil Exploration and Development on the Dynamic Structure of Tariff Imposed by Oil Importing Country: The Case of OPEC (석유 탐사 및 개발이 석유 수입관세의 동태적 부과구조에 미치는 영향: OPEC의 경우)

  • Lee, Dug Man
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.255-276
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    • 2016
  • This paper is designed to investigate the dynamic structure of optimal tariff imposed by the oil importing country from OPEC when OPEC increases the oil reserves through exploration and development. For this purpose, we used a Stckelberg differential game modeling approach, and tried to analyze two cases such that the one is the extraction cost is dependent on the oil reserves and the other is the extraction cost is independent of it. On the basis of this analysis, we propose that the importing contry has to impose dynamically inconsistent tariffs if the extraction cost is dependent on the oil reserves. Otherwise, she should impose dynamically consistent tariffs announced at initial time. In addition, we found that whether or not the exporting country uses some portion of oil produced for domestic consumption does not affect our policy proposition stated above.

The Structure of Optimal Tariff Levied on Non-Renewable Resource : A Dynamic Approach (비재생자원 수입관세의 동태적 구조에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dug Man;Lee, Young Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we analyzed the dynamic structure of optimal tariff levied on importing non-renewable resources such as petroleum, iron, coal, etc. According to the previous literature that have studied this objective, the time inconsistent open loop tariff has been suggested to be imposed in order to improve the welfare level of importing country. We set up the efficient model to identify how to impose the optimal tariff over time. Based on this model, we have found that the previous literature ignored that the costate variable for the stock for non-renewable resource decomposed between the scarcity effect and the cost effect. On the basis of the role of costate variable, we, however, have found that the proposition of the previous literature has led into errors. Hence, we suggest that the dynamically consistent open loop tariff for non-renewable resources would improve the welfare level of importing country.

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Dynamic Hedging Performance and Test of Options Model Specification (시뮬레이션을 이용한 동태적 헤지성과와 옵션모형의 적격성 평가)

  • Jung, Do-Sub;Lee, Sang-Whi
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.227-246
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the dynamic hedging performances of the Black-Scholes model and Heston model when stock prices drift with stochastic volatilities. Using Monte Carlo simulations, stock prices consistent with Heston's(1993) stochastic volatility option pricing model are generated. In this circumstance, option traders are assumed to use the Black- Scholes model and Heston model to implement dynamic hedging strategies for the options written. The results of simulation indicate that the hedging performance of a mis-specified Black-Scholes model is almost as good as that of a fully specified Heston model. The implication of these results is that the efficacy of the dynamic hedging performances on evaluating the specifications of alternative option models can be limited.

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A Study on Price Discovery and Dynamic Interdependence of ETF Market Using Vector Error Correction Model - Focuse on KODEX leverage and inverse - (VECM을 이용한 상장지수펀드 시장의 가격발견과 동태적 상호의존성 - KODEX 레버리지와 인버스 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Soo-Kyung;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Byun, Youngtae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2019
  • This study attempts to analyze the role of price discovery and the dynamic interdependence between KOSPI200 Index and KODEX Leverage(KODEX inverse), which are Korea's representative ETFs, using the vector error correction model. For the empirical analysis, one minute data of KODEX leverage, KODEX inverse and KOSPI200 index from April 10, 2018 to July 10, 2018 were used. The main results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, between KODEX Leverage and KOSPI200 index, we found evidence that KODEX leverage plays a dominant role in price discovery. In addition, the KOSPI200 index is superior to price discovery between KODEX inverse and KOSPI200 index. Second, the KOSPI200 index has a relatively strong dependence on KODEX leverage, which is consistent with the KODEX leverage index playing a dominant role in price discovery compared to the KOSPI200 index. On the other hand, KOSPI200 index has a dependency on KODEX inverse index, but it is weaker than KODEX leverage index. These results are expected to be useful information for investors in capital markets.

The Effects of Technological Progress on Growth, Employment and Distribution (성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배에 대한 기술진보의 파급효과)

  • Im, Yang-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2005.02a
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    • pp.220-267
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구의 분석목표는 순요소증가형 CES 생산함수를 실증적으로 추정함으로써 한국 제조업부문의 기술변화의 유형을 규명하고 성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배에 대한 기술진보의 파급효과를 분석하는 것이다. 이 분석결과를 토대로 하여, 본 연구는 성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배를 동시적으로 추구할 수 있는 정책방향을 기술경제 패러다임의 시각에서 제시하였다. 본 연구의 실증적 분석결과는 다음과 같이 요약할 수 있다 : 한국 제조업부문의 기술변화의 유형은 Hicks형 비(非)중립적인 자본사용적(B(t)>0) 즉 노동절약적 기술진보인 것으로 추정되었다. 이 결과, 잠재적 고용수준은 감소될 수밖에 없었다. 또한, Hicks형 중립적 기술진보를 나타내는 총요소생산성 증가율(${\gamma}$)은 감소하였던 반면에, 비(非)중립적 기술진보를 나타내는 요소간 대체탄력도(${\sigma}$)와 자본집약도(${\delta}$)는 증가하였다. 이에 따라 노동(L)이 자본(K)으로 광범위하게 대체되었을 뿐만 아니라, 자본투입(K)이 노동투입(L)보다 상대적으로 더 빠르게 증가 (K/K > L/L 즉 k/k > 0)되었다. 이 결과, 소득분배구조가 악화 (S/S< 0)된 것으로 추정되었다. 그러므로, 오늘날 경제성장의 한계 봉착, 대량실업의 폭발, 계층간 갈등의 심화를 초래한 요인은, 성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배를 동시적으로 추구하는 산업 ${\cdot}$ 기술경제정책을 일관성있게, 또한 과감히 추진하지 않았던 결과, 노동사용적 중소기업의 몰락, 노동의 생산효율성 증진을 위한 인적자본 투자의 미흡, 자본의 생산효율성 증진을 위한 자본절약적 기술진보의 저조, 총요소 생산성 증가의 부진, 만성적인 인플레이션에 의한 실질 임금수준의 하락 및 실물 자산가치의 상승 등이라고 말할 수 있다. 따라서 성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배의 조화는 바로 노동효율 증가형 기순혁신이며, 이를 위한 인적자본에의 투자라고 말할 수 있다. 본 연구가 기술경제 패러다임(techno-economic paradigm)의 시각에서 제시하는 한국경제의 성장 ${\cdot}$ 고용 ${\cdot}$ 분배를 위한 정책방향은 다음과 같은 동태적발전과정으로 요약할 수 있다 : 기초과학연구능력 확충 ${\rightarrow}$ 소화 ${\cdot}$ 흡수 ${\cdot}$ 개량 ${\rightarrow}$ 토착화 능력의 배양 ${\rightarrow}$ 자체기술개발, 선진기술 도입, 산업간 및 산업내 기술확산, 국제기술협력 ${\rightarrow}$ 기술혁신의 촉진 ${\rightarrow}$ 총요소생산성과 기업경쟁력(자원 및 역량, 프로세스 경쟁력, 품질경쟁력, 시장경쟁력, 고객성과, 시장성과, 재무성과)의 제고 ${\rightarrow}$ 가격경쟁력(임금, 금리, 물류비용, 환율 등)과 비(非)가격경쟁력(디자인, 에프터서비스, 품질, 운송 등)의 제고 ${\rightarrow}$ 국가경쟁력의 제고 ${\rightarrow}$ 국제수지 흑자 ${\rightarrow}$ 성장 ${\rightarrow}$ 물가 및 고용 안정 ${\rightarrow}$ 분배 ${\rightarrow}$ 최대다수의 최대행복이다.

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A Dynamic Study of Women's Labor Market Transitions: Career Interruptions and its Determinants (여성의 동태적 노동공급 - 취업연속성과 첫 노동시장 퇴출행태를 중심으로 -)

  • 김영옥
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.5-40
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    • 2002
  • Using detailed data of women's work history, this study analyses the transition process between employment and non-employment over the life history in order to identity individual and structural determinants in the processes. Korean women comprise very heterogeneous groups in terms of work continuity: one group having a continuous work history and another having an interrupted work experience. While 4.0% of total women have stayed in the labor market since leaving school, 17.3% have not worked outside at all and remaining 87.9% have experienced into and out of the labor market at least once. On the average, the cumulated time of employment per woman is 8.2 years and the cumulated time of unemployment is 13.1 years. Thus Korean women work a total of only 38.5% of their whole lifetime after leaving school. We can conclude that the increase of the employment rate of married women in Korea since the 1970s has been due to the increase of the new entrants with short or little working careers into the labor market, not to the increase of women's work continuity on the whole. A women's educational achievement does not seem to be positively related to employment duration, contrary to the suggestion of the human capital theory, Rather, family variables, especially the existence of the child under 6 yens old, is a more significant determining factor for an individual's exit from employment. And there is little difference among different age cohorts which implies little improvement in the employment continuity of younger women. This study also documents the importance of structural variables, such as the type of occupation, as significant determining factors for the hazard rate. Specially women with professional jobs tend to stay longer in the labor market. Therefore, women's entry into more professional occupations is expected to contribute to the continuity of employment. Our results also show that duration-dependence is not spurious. When unobserved heterogeneity is controlled, the negative relation between the rate from employment and the duration of employment does not disappear.