• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동적 분석

Search Result 4,177, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Risk Spillover between Shipping Company's Stock Price and Marine Freight Index (해운선사 주가와 해상운임지수 사이의 위험 전이효과)

  • Choi Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.115-129
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the risk spillover of BDI on shipping company stock prices through the Copula-CoVaR method based on daily data from January 4, 2010, to October 31, 2022. The main empirical analysis results and policy implications are as follows. First, copula results showed that there was a weak dependence between BDI and shipping company stock prices, and PAN, KOR, and YEN were selected as the most fitting model for dynamic Student-t copula, HMM was selected as the rotated Gumbel copula, and KSS was selected as the best model. Second, in the results of CoVaR, it was confirmed that the upside (downside) CoVaR was significantly different from the upside (downside) VaR in all shipping companies. This means that BDI has a significant risk spillover on shipping companies. In addition, as for the risk spillover, the downside risk is generally lower than the upside risk, so the downside and upside risk spillover were found to be asymmetrical. Therefore, policymakers should strengthen external risk supervision and establish differentiated policies suitable for domestic conditions to prevent systematic risks from BDI shocks. And investors should reflect external risks from BDI fluctuations in their investment decisions and construct optimal investment portfolios to avoid risks. On the other hand, investors propose that the investment portfolio should be adjusted in consideration of the asymmetric characteristics of up and down risks when making investment decisions.

Concept and Application of Groundwater's Platform Concurrency and Digital Twin (지하수의 플랫폼 동시성과 Digital Twin의 개념과 적용)

  • Doo Houng Choi;Byung-woo Kim;E Jae Kwon;Hwa-young Kim;Cheol Seo Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.13-13
    • /
    • 2023
  • 디지털 기술은 오늘날 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 기술도입을 통해 현실 세계를 네트워크와 가상세계와의 연결이 통합되어진 가상 현실 세계의 입문 도약이다. 현실에서 가상현실의 사이의 디지털 전환(digital transformation)에는 디지털 기술과 솔루션을 비즈니스의 모든 영역에 통합하는 것이 포함된다. 이러한 디지털 전환의 핵심은 데이터에 관한 것이며, 데이터를 활용하여 가치를 창출하고 고객경험과 비즈니스 영역을 극대화하는 방식을 제공한다. 최적의 데이터를 제공하기 위한 플랫폼과 가상 현실세계 구현을 위한 디지털 트윈의 상호연계 관한 기본 개념은 데이터 수집, 데이터 분석, 데이터 시각화 및 데이터 보고와 같은 데이터 비즈니스이다. 현장 데이터는 디지털 양식을 통해 수집, 기록, 저장된다. 현장 IoT 기반 데이터(사진 및 비디오 매체 등)는 지속적으로 수집되고 종종 다른 데이터베이스에 저장되지만 지리 공간적 위치에 연결되지 않는다. 모든 디지털 발전을 조화시키고 지하수 데이터에서 더 빠른 이해를 도출하기 위해서는 디지털 트윈이 시작되어야 한다. 단일 지하수플랫폼에서 현장 조건을 시각화하고 실시간 데이터를 스트리밍하며, 과거 3D 데이터와 상호작용하여지질 또는 지화학 데이터를 선택적 사용을 위해 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈이 연계되어야 한다. 데이터를 디지털 정보모델과 연결하면 디지털 트윈에 생명을 불어넣을 수 있지만 디지털 트윈의 가치를 극대화하려면 여전히 데이터 플랫폼 서비스와 전달 방식을 선택해야 한다. 지하수 플랫폼동시성을 갖는 디지털 트윈은 정적 및 동적 데이터를 저장하는 데이터베이스 또는 크라우드 서비스에서 데이터를 가져오는 API(애플리케이션 프로그래밍 인터레이스), 디지털 트윈을 위한 호스팅 공간, 디지털 대상을 구축하는 소프트웨어, 구성 요소 간 읽기/쓰기를 위한 스크립트, chatGPT 및 API를 활용할 수 있다. 이를 통해 수집된 데이터의 실시간 양방향 통신기술인 지하수 플랫폼 기술을 활용하여 디지털 트윈을 적용하고 완성할 수 있고, 이를 지하수 분야에도 그대로 적용할 수 있다. 지하수 분야의 디지털 트윈 기술의 근간은 지하수 모니터링을 위한 관측장치와 이를 활용한 지하수 플랫폼의 구축 및 양방향 자료전송을 통한 분석 및 예측기술이다. 특히 낙동강과 같이 유역면적이 넓고 유역 내 지자체가 많아 이해관계가 다양하며, 가뭄과 홍수/태풍 등 기후위기에 따른 극한 기상이변가 자주 발생하고, 또한 보 및 하굿둑 개방 등 정부정책 이행에 따른 민원이 다수 발생하는 지역의 경우 하천과 유역에 대한 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 동시성 기술적용 시 지하수 데이터에 대한 고려가 반드시 수반되어야 한다.

  • PDF

A study of Modeling and Simulation for Analyzing DDoS Attack Damage Scale and Defence Mechanism Expense (DDoS 공격 피해 규모 및 대응기법 비용분석을 위한 모델링 및 시뮬레이션 기술연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Ju-Li;Park, Eun-Ji;Jang, Eun-Young;Kim, Hyung-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-47
    • /
    • 2009
  • Recently, the threat of DDoS attacks is increasing and many companies are planned to deploy the DDoS defense solutions in their networks. The DDoS attack usually transmits heavy traffic data to networks or servers and they cannot handle the normal service requests because of running out of resources. Since it is very hard to prevent the DDoS attack beforehand, the strategic plan is very important. In this work, we have conducted modeling and simulation of the DDoS attack by changing the number of servers and estimated the duration that services are available. In this work, the modeling and simulation is conducted using OPNET Modeler. The simulation result can be used as a parameter of trade-off analysis of DDoS defense cost and the service's value. In addition, we have presented a way of estimating the cost effectiveness in deployment of the DDoS defense system.

Offshore Platform Installation Simulation Using Real-Time Maneuvering and Operation Simulator (Real-Time 조종 및 작업 시뮬레이터를 활용한 해양구조물 설치 작업 시뮬레이션)

  • Jonghyeon Lee;Solyoung Han;Dong-Woo Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-75
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this study, the dynamic characteristics of an offshore platform being installed and physical phenomena are analyzed from the perspective of interaction between operation and maneuvering simulation using a real-time Maneuvering & Operation simulator of Shipbuilding & Marine Simulation Center at Tongmyong University. It was simulated to install the semi-submersible drilling rig moored by 8 mooring lines according to a scenario that is similar to it on the real sea, and 4 tug boats for position keeping of the rig and an offshore support vessel for hook-up of the mooring lines were operated. During the simulation, the motion, trajectory, tension of the objects were output in real time, and they were analyzed at each work procedure. This study about the simultaneous simulation of operation and maneuvering showed the detailed motion of the offshore platform and ships on the operation procedure and the interaction between operation and maneuvering in specific environment condition. Also, it confirmed that the simulation can be utilized to determine the possibility of offshore platform installation in specific situations.

Prediction of Physical Properties and Shear Wave Velocity of the Ground Using the Flat TDR System (Flat TDR 시스템을 이용한 지반의 물리적 특성 및 전단파속도 예측)

  • Jeong, Chanwook;Kim, Daehyeon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.173-191
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, the shear wave velocity of the ground was measured using Flat TDR, and the precision analysis of the measured value and the verification of field applicability were performed. The shear wave velocity measurement value was derived in the field using the piezo-stack combined in the Flat TDR. analyzed. As a result of the experiment, the average value of the change in shear wave speed at the time of grout material injection was 10.15 m/s at the beginning of age, and the average value of the change in shear wave speed after the 7th to 14th days was 65.99 m/s, showing a tendency to increase with age. Also, it was found that dry density and shear wave speed increased as the water content increased on the dry side, and that the dry density and shear wave rate decreased as the water content increased on the wet side as the water content increased. The shear modulus value derived from the field test was confirmed to be a minimum of 17.36 MPa and a maximum of 28.13 MPa, confirming a measurement value similar to the reference value. Through this, it can be seen that the measured value of the shear modulus using Flat TDR is reliable data, and it can be determined that the compaction management of the site can be effectively managed in the future.

AI Security Plan for Public Safety Network App Store (재난안전통신망 앱스토어를 위한 AI 보안 방안 마련)

  • Jung, Jae-eun;Ahn, Jung-hyun;Baik, Nam-kyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2021.10a
    • /
    • pp.458-460
    • /
    • 2021
  • The provision and application of public safety network in Korea is still insufficient for security response to the mobile app of public safety network in the stages of development, initial construction, demonstration, and initial service. The available terminals on the Disaster Safety Network (PS-LTE) are open, Android-based, dedicated terminals that potentially have vulnerabilities that can be used for a variety of mobile malware, requiring preemptive responses similar to FirstNet Certified in U.S and Google's Google Play Protect. In this paper, before listing the application service app on the public safety network mobile app store, we construct a data set for malicious and normal apps, extract features, select the most effective AI model, perform static and dynamic analysis, and analyze Based on the result, if it is not a malicious app, it is suggested to list it in the App Store. As it becomes essential to provide a service that blocks malicious behavior app listing in advance, it is essential to provide authorized authentication to minimize the security blind spot of the public safety network, and to provide certified apps for disaster safety and application service support. The safety of the public safety network can be secured.

  • PDF

Applicability of the WASP8 in simulating river microplastic concentration (WASP8 모형의 하천 미세플라스틱 모의 적용성 검토)

  • Kim, Kyungmin;Park, Taejin;Jeong, Hanseok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.56 no.5
    • /
    • pp.337-345
    • /
    • 2023
  • Monitoring river microplastics is a challenging task since it is a time-consuming and high-cost process. The use of a physical model to have a better understanding of river microplastics' behaviors can complement the challenging monitoring process. However, there have been very limited studies on modeling river microplastics. In this study, therefore, we evaluated the applicability of one commonly used river water quality model, i.e., the Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP), in simulating the microplastic concentration in the river environment. We simulated the microplastic concentration in the Anyangcheon stream using the WASP's biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) and suspended solid (SS) variables as possible surrogate variables for the microplastics. Simulation analyses indicate that the SS state variable performs better than the BOD state variable to mimic the observed concentrations of microplastics. This is because of the characteristics of each water quality parameter; the BOD variable, a biochemical indicator, is inappropriate for modeling the behaviors of microplastics, which have generally constant biochemical features. In contrast, the SS variable, which has similar physical behaviors, followed the observed patterns of the microplastic concentrations well. To build a more advanced and accurate model for simulating the microplastic concentration, comprehensive and long-term monitoring studies of the river microplastics under different environmental conditions are needed, and the unit of microplastic concentration should be carefully addressed before its modeling application.

Analysis of Behavior due to Tendon Damage for Maintenance of PSC I Girder Bridge (PSC I 거더교 유지관리를 위한 긴장재 손상에 따른 거동 분석)

  • Jongho Park;Jinwoong Choi
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.53-60
    • /
    • 2024
  • Prestressed concrete (PSC) bridges are vulnerable to corrosion and fracture of tendons, and in particular, structures using the internal post-tensioned with grouted system have difficulties in maintenance due to limitations of inspection. In this study, the actual behavior of PSC I girder bridge was analyzed according to tendon damage. The target PSC I girder bridge, an decommissioned highway bridge of upper and lower bridges, had the service period of 33 years and 20 years, respectively. Deflection and concrete strain were measured according to the location of damaged tendon and loading method. Regardless of the age of the bridge, its structural performance decreased when the damaged tendon was closer to the center of the girder. The change in behavior increased as the truck load approached to the girder where the tendon cut. If the load was applied to the adjacent girder where the tendon was cut, the structural performance was likely to be maintained due to the influence of the entire structural system. The change in deflection was difficult to observe visually, while the concrete strain exceeded the cracking strain. Therefore, it is recommended that future monitoring and inspection of PSC I girder bridges should focus on concrete strain or cracking.

Analysis of Research Trends in Deep Learning-Based Video Captioning (딥러닝 기반 비디오 캡셔닝의 연구동향 분석)

  • Lyu Zhi;Eunju Lee;Youngsoo Kim
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-49
    • /
    • 2024
  • Video captioning technology, as a significant outcome of the integration between computer vision and natural language processing, has emerged as a key research direction in the field of artificial intelligence. This technology aims to achieve automatic understanding and language expression of video content, enabling computers to transform visual information in videos into textual form. This paper provides an initial analysis of the research trends in deep learning-based video captioning and categorizes them into four main groups: CNN-RNN-based Model, RNN-RNN-based Model, Multimodal-based Model, and Transformer-based Model, and explain the concept of each video captioning model. The features, pros and cons were discussed. This paper lists commonly used datasets and performance evaluation methods in the video captioning field. The dataset encompasses diverse domains and scenarios, offering extensive resources for the training and validation of video captioning models. The model performance evaluation method mentions major evaluation indicators and provides practical references for researchers to evaluate model performance from various angles. Finally, as future research tasks for video captioning, there are major challenges that need to be continuously improved, such as maintaining temporal consistency and accurate description of dynamic scenes, which increase the complexity in real-world applications, and new tasks that need to be studied are presented such as temporal relationship modeling and multimodal data integration.

A Study on the Calculation of Optimal Compensation Capacity of Reactive Power for Grid Connection of Offshore Wind Farms (해상풍력단지 전력계통 연계를 위한 무효전력 최적 보상용량 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Seong-Min Han;Joo-Hyuk Park;Chang-Hyun Hwang;Chae-Joo Moon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-76
    • /
    • 2024
  • With the recent activation of the offshore wind power industry, there has been a development of power plants with a scale exceeding 400MW, comparable to traditional thermal power plants. Renewable energy, characterized by intermittency depending on the energy source, is a prominent feature of modern renewable power generation facilities, which are structured based on controllable inverter technology. As the integration of renewable energy sources into the grid expands, the grid codes for power system connection are progressively becoming more defined, leading to active discussions and evaluations in this area. In this paper, we propose a method for selecting optimal reactive power compensation capacity when multiple offshore wind farms are integrated and connected through a shared interconnection facility to comply with grid codes. Based on the requirements of the grid code, we analyze the reactive power compensation and excessive stability of the 400MW wind power generation site under development in the southwest sea of Jeonbuk. This analysis involves constructing a generation site database using PSS/E (Power System Simulation for Engineering), incorporating turbine layouts and cable data. The study calculates reactive power due to charging current in internal and external network cables and determines the reactive power compensation capacity at the interconnection point. Additionally, static and dynamic stability assessments are conducted by integrating with the power system database.