• Title/Summary/Keyword: 돌발

Search Result 632, Processing Time 0.041 seconds

Simulation of flooding of coastal urban areas by rainfall and storm surge (강우와 폭풍해일에 의한 해안 도시지역 범람 모의)

  • Yoo, Jaehwan;Jang, Sedong;Kim, Beom Jin;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.233-233
    • /
    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 집중호우 및 돌발홍수의 증가로 침수피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 마찬가지로 해안지역의 피해 또한 증가하고 있으나, 해안지역의 특성을 고려한 연구가 미비한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서 해안지역의 특성을 고려해 폭풍해일로 인한 월파뿐만 아니라 강우도 고려하여 해안지역의 범람 양상을 확인하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 국내 해안지역에 대한 빈도별 폭풍해일과 강우로인한 범람 모의를 진행하였다. 우선, 수치해석 모형의 경계조건을 산정하기 위해 EurOtop(2018)의 경험식을 이용하여 월파량을 산정하였다. EurOtop의 월파량 산정 시 암석 옹벽이 아닌 콘크리트 옹벽으로된 경사식 단면으로 고려하여 계산하였고 산책로와 벽까지 고려하여 계산하였다. 경험식 계산을 위해 매개변수(유의파고, 여유고, 구조물의 조도계수, 구조물의 기울기 및 경사 등)를 조정하여 계산하였다. 이 중, 계산에 사용된 유의파고는 시나리오별 강우에 대해 SWAN(Simulating WAves Nearshore)으로 계산된 값을 활용하였고, 해안선을 두 부분으로 나누어 해안지역 각 지점별 파고값의 평균을 사용해 월파량 계산을 진행했다. 이때, 파고의 종류로 5% 확률의 파고, 평균 파고, 중앙값 파고, 95% 확률의 파고로 분류해 월파량 계산을 진행했고, 그 중, 평균 파고를 이용해 계산한 월파량을 수치해석 모델의 입력자료로 활용하였다. 시나리오별로 계산된 월파량만을 이용해 2차원 침수모형인 FLO-2D의 경계조건 입력값으로 사용하여 침수 양상을 표출하기 위해 Mapper와 ArcGIS를 이용하여 침수와 범람 양상을 확인하였다. 또, 다른 조건으로 시나리오별 계산된 월파량, 연구유역 해안 반대편에 위치한 산으로부터 유입되는 물의 양 그리고 해안지역 전체에 내리는 강우를 입력자료로 사용해 모의를 진행한 후 Mapper와 ArcGIS로 표출하여 침수 및 범람 양상을 확인하였다.

  • PDF

Applicability of SURR Model for Geum-River Basin (금강 유역에 대한 SURR 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Lim, Ye Jin;Heo, Jae-Yeong;Ngoc, Tien Duong;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.361-361
    • /
    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화의 영향으로 국지성 집중호우에 의한 홍수 피해가 빈번히 발생하고 있으며, 이로 인한 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하고 있다. 2020년의 경우, 최장 기간 장마로 인해 금강유역을 비롯한 전국에서 산사태, 제방 붕괴, 침수 등 많은 피해가 발생하였다. 이러한 홍수피해 저감을 위해서는 신뢰도 높은 홍수량 예측이 요구된다. 특히, 토양수분과 같이 시간에 따른 유역 수문 정보를 모의 과정에서 고려하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 아울러, 유역 전반에 대한 토양수분 정보는 실시간으로 획득하는 것이 어려워 이를 고려할 수 있는 강우-유출모형을 활용하는 것이 바람직하다. 이러한 수문모형으로 SURR(Sejong University Rainfall Runoff) 모형이 있으며 다양한 적용 및 평가를 통해 모형 활용성에 대한 증진이 요구되는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 저류함수 기반의 시단위 연속형 강우-유출모형(SURR 모형)을 활용한 강우-유출 모의를 수행하여 홍수 피해가 컸던 금강유역을 대상으로 모형의 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 평가기간은 2006~2020년으로써 유량관측 지점별 매개변수 검·보정을 수행하였다. 관측 및 모의 유량에 대한 도시적 및 통계적(CC, RMSE, NSE) 평가를 수행하여 유출 모의에 대한 정확도를 평가하였다. 평가결과, 관측 및 모의 유량 간의 거동이 유사한 것으로 나타났으며 첨두유량 및 시간이 비교적 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타나 대상유역의 신뢰도 높은 유출량을 모의하는데 적합한 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 AI 기법과 연계한 돌발홍수 예측 연구에 활용하여 정확도 높은 유역 홍수량 예측 및 선행시간 확보에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

  • PDF

Artificial Intelligence-based Real-time Risk Estimation Method of Construction Site Workers (인공지능기반 공사현장 작업자의 실시간 위험성 추정 방법)

  • Kang, Sung-Hwan ;Lee, Dong-Yeop;Cheung, Chong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
    • /
    • 2023.11a
    • /
    • pp.307-308
    • /
    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 공사현장 작업자의 실질적 영향을 미치는 요소들을 고려하여 인공지능기반의 실시간 위험성 추정 기법을 개발하였다. 기존 재난안전학 또는 안전공학에서는 위험성평가를 실시하여 강도·빈도에 의하여 위험성을 추정하고 도출된 값을 통해 위험한 정도를 분류하는 경우가 많다. 그러나 대부분의 공사현장에서는 정적인 위험성평가를 통해 해당 유해위험요인을 근거로 형식적인 위험성평가가 이루어지고 있기 때문에 대부분의 사고 후 증빙 자료로만 활용되고 있는 것이 현실이다. 이 위험성평가를 진행하면서 변화하는 환경의 유해위험을 실시간으로 반영할 수 없게 되고, 이는 실질적인 작업자의 안전을 보장해 주지 못하는 문제를 발생시킨다. 이러한 점에서 위험성평가와 더불어 실질적인 안전한 작업장을 만들기 위해서 작업자의 건강정보 및 실시간 공사현장의 영상정보에 기반한 위험성 추정 기법은 실질적 안전사고를 예방하는 방법론 중 하나가 될 수 있다. 작업자의 건강정보는 개개인 맞춤형 건강 데이터에 근거한 해석이 가능하고 실시간 공사현장 영상은 작업 중 발생할 수 있는 돌발상황에 대비하기위해 사용된다. 이러한 위험성 추정 방법은 다양한 공사현장의 위험성 추정 기법으로 사용될 수 있다. 이로 인해 높은 정확도의 위험성 추정 수치를 얻을 수 있으며, 이는 실질적안 안전 예방활동에 있어서 매우 중요하게 작용한다. 위험성 추정 수치 예제를 통하여 본 논문에서 제시된 위험성 추정 방법론이 타당함을 확인하였다. 본 논문에는 기존 위험성평가에 더해 작업자의 건강정보 및 공사현장 실시간 영상정보를 이용하여 실질적인 작업자 안전을 위한 예방 방법을 제시하였다.

  • PDF

A preliminary study for development of an automatic incident detection system on CCTV in tunnels based on a machine learning algorithm (기계학습(machine learning) 기반 터널 영상유고 자동 감지 시스템 개발을 위한 사전검토 연구)

  • Shin, Hyu-Soung;Kim, Dong-Gyou;Yim, Min-Jin;Lee, Kyu-Beom;Oh, Young-Sup
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.95-107
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, a preliminary study was undertaken for development of a tunnel incident automatic detection system based on a machine learning algorithm which is to detect a number of incidents taking place in tunnel in real time and also to be able to identify the type of incident. Two road sites where CCTVs are operating have been selected and a part of CCTV images are treated to produce sets of training data. The data sets are composed of position and time information of moving objects on CCTV screen which are extracted by initially detecting and tracking of incoming objects into CCTV screen by using a conventional image processing technique available in this study. And the data sets are matched with 6 categories of events such as lane change, stoping, etc which are also involved in the training data sets. The training data are learnt by a resilience neural network where two hidden layers are applied and 9 architectural models are set up for parametric studies, from which the architectural model, 300(first hidden layer)-150(second hidden layer) is found to be optimum in highest accuracy with respect to training data as well as testing data not used for training. From this study, it was shown that the highly variable and complex traffic and incident features could be well identified without any definition of feature regulation by using a concept of machine learning. In addition, detection capability and accuracy of the machine learning based system will be automatically enhanced as much as big data of CCTV images in tunnel becomes rich.

Age Related Prevalence of Antibodies to Hepatitis A Virus, Performed in Korea in 2005 (국내에서 2005년에 실시한 연령별 A형 간염 바이러스 항체 보유율)

  • Choi, Hea Jin;Lee, Soo Young;Ma, Sang Hyuk;Kim, Jong Hyun;Hur, Jae Kyun;Kang, Jin-Han
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.186-194
    • /
    • 2005
  • Purpose : Hepatitis A viral infections have been continued after re-emerging since mid 1990s in Korea. The incidence of this disease has been increased in young adults younger than 30 years of age since 2000. This study was performed to evaluate the prevalence of antibody to hepatitis A in Korea(two regions; Incheon and Changwon) in 2005, and was compared with the results of similar studies in mid 1990s. Methods : The study was conducted from January 2005 to June 2005, and consisted of 1,301 enrolled subjects, neonates to 50 years old, living in Incheon and Changwon in Korea. All sera were frozen and stored at $-70^{\circ}C$ until assayed. Anti-HAV IgG antibodies were measured by microparticle enzyme immunoassay(HAVAB, Abbott Lab., IL, USA). Results : The prevalence of anti-HAV IgG was 61.1% in infants younger than 1 year old, 30.5% in 1~5 years, 14.6% in 6~10 years, 1.7% in 11~15 years, 6.5% in 16~20 years, 36.6%in 21~30 years, 77.5% in 31~40 years, and 99.8% in 41~50 years. Statistical differences were not found between male and female, but there was statistical difference in 6~10 years old age group between the two areas. Conclusion : Our study indicate that the prevalence of antihepatitis A virus antibody has shifted from children to old adolescents and young adults. This result suggests that the risk of sudden outbreaks or increasing incidence of hepatitis A viral infections in young adults may be expected in our society. The preventive strategies of hepatitis A including vaccination should be prepared.

  • PDF

The Significance of the Early Electroencephalographic Findings in Severely Asphyxiated Newborn Infants (중증 주산기 가사 환아에서 시행한 초기 뇌파 검사의 임상적 의의)

  • Lee, Jong Uk;Choi, Won Joung;Kim, Chun Soo;Lee, Sang Lak;Kim, Jun Sik
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
    • /
    • v.46 no.8
    • /
    • pp.784-788
    • /
    • 2003
  • Purpose : Perinatal asphyxia occurring in newborn is one of the major causes of acute mortality and chronic neurological disability in survivors. We have studied the relationship between early electroencephalography(EEG) findings and clinical course and neurologic outcome in severe asphyxiated neonates. Methods : Between the period of July 1999 and June 2002, 25 neonates who were diagnosed with severe perinatal asphyxia(1-minute Apgar score of ${\leq}3$ and initial pH is less than 7.2) at NICU in Dongsan Medical Center were enrolled. An EEG was recorded and analyzed within three days of life and divided into two groups - group 1(normal or focal change on EEG) and group 2(generalized abnormal EEG). Between the two groups, clinical courses and neurologic outcomes were compared. Results : Fifteen infants(60%) were group 1 and ten infants(40%) were group 2(polyspikes, burst-suppression, generalized low voltage). Associated maternal disease, days of hospitalization, need for ventilator support, delay of oral feeding and convulsion duration are significantly higher and longer in group 2. Also, poor neurologic outcome(expire, developmental delay) was significantly higher in group 2(60%) than group 1(13.3%). Conclusion : Thus, the early neonatal EEG in asphyxiated newborn can be a predictable diagnostic tool in assessment of neurologic outcome.

An Analysis of Efficiency of Security Services : A Comparative Determinants Analysis of Public and Private Security (경호업무 효율성에 관한 연구 : 공공경호와 민간경호의 효율성 영향요인의 비교분석)

  • Park, Moon-Sun
    • Korean Security Journal
    • /
    • no.19
    • /
    • pp.67-103
    • /
    • 2009
  • Objectives of this study is develop security services through determinants analysis on the efficiency of security works regarding security and guarding business in Korea because nowadays the modern society like Korea let alone all over the world faces the increase of dangerous factors in every security field of the human societies, and also it is the very present situation that an individual's life even the national security itself can be at the risk without guaranteeing the efficiency of the security services. For this purpose, this study reviewed related documents, surveyed and interviewed security personnels to identify what the potentially influential factors are in both the public and private security organizations regarding the efficiency of present security services and organizations, and what differences are. Also, comparing the public and private security sectors, this study intended to suggest policy agendas how to enhance the efficiency of security services in the future. This study surveyed the 177 agents and former agents of the Presidential Security Service(PSS) for the public security sector, and also surveyed, interviewed, and internet-based polled 821 randomly selected personnels for the private security sector. This research showed that regarding the efficiency of the security services number of independent variables which had positive responses in the public security sector was more than that in the private security sector. Among the 21 questions regarding this issue, there were all of 21 positive responses in the public security sector while there were 18 negative responses in the private security sector. As a result of synthesizing all the answers of the both sides, it is possible to understand that mostly the ratio of the positive response was much higher. In the public security service, statistically significant variables were budget support for events, prior access of information, an integrated teamwork training, organizational atmosphere, morale of organization personnel. However, practical training of the security service and mutual communication showed unexpectedly negative(-) signs. In the private security service, statistically significant variables were budget support for events, integrated teamwork training, socially friendly atmosphere, compensation for the personnels, bullet-proof equipments and vehicles, mood of organization, personnel recruit and disposition, unexpected incidents and basic attitude for security services. In sum, while organizational personnel variables and organizational management variables were significant in the public security service, some organizational management variables and all socio-environment variables were statistically significant at 5% significance level.

  • PDF

Leaf Damage Symptom of Grape (Vitis vinifera) by Tea Bagworm (Eumeta minuscula) and Control Efficacies of Several Insecticides against the Eumeta minuscula (차주머니나방(Eumeta minuscula)에 의한 포도 잎 피해증상 및 몇 가지 약제의 차주머니방에 대한 방제효과)

  • Song, Jin Sun;Lee, Chae Min;Lee, Dong Woon
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-32
    • /
    • 2013
  • Damage of tea bagworms, Eumeta minuscula was observed for the first time from grape leaves of grape (varieties: Cambell Early and M.B.A.) from a vinery at Gumho-up, Gyeongsan, Gyeongbuk on 31 August, 2012. Activity of insecticides [Bacillus thuringiensis var. kurstaki (serotype IIIa, IIIb) WP, chlorantraniliprole 5% GP, methoxyfenozide 21% SC, spinetoram 5% GP, and spinosad 10% GP] was tested on fourth instar larvae of Eumeta minuscula in laboratory. Mortality of 4th instar of Eumeta minuscula was higher when treated with spinosad 10% WG (88.7%) and spinetoram 5% WG (67.7%) sprayed with field recommended concentration using a home sprayer in laboratory. Mortality decreased as the concentration decreased, however leaf damage rate was significantly different between the one-fourth rate and the control. Spinetoram 5% WG and spinosad 10% WG showed 63.7 and 55.7% respectively mortality of fourth instar Eumeta minuscula in field. Though these two insecticides could be used for the control of bagworms on grape, a more effective insecticide needs to be found.

Developing a Transit Assignment Model Considering Waiting Time Variation and Line Capacity (대기시간변동 및 용량을 고려한 대중교통 통행배정모형)

  • Kim, Jin Howan;Kim, Dong Sun;Kim, Ji Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1525-1534
    • /
    • 2014
  • In recent years, the passengers are likely to decide their route on impulse due to the development of the integrated public transport system, and real-time information system. Especially, public transport fare integration in Seoul Metropolitan area, 2004 makes them not to have resistance about changing the modes or routes and their route choice is most effected by the degree of congestion. Assignment model have limitations to describe route changes by congestion. In this study, the concept of a link cost function used in road assignment and Effective frequency is introduced to describe the passengers' behavior when the capacity of public transport is over and the waiting time variation. Two situations, new transit line operation and accident, are set up to validate the model, as a result of the transit assignment by this model, the traffic on networks is not over the capacity. It is expected that this study will be of help to reflect the various behaviors in transit assignments.

An Application of the Multi-slope MUSCL to the Shallow Water Equations (천수방정식에 대한 다중 경사 MUSCL의 적용)

  • Hwang, Seung-Yong;Lee, Sam-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.10
    • /
    • pp.819-830
    • /
    • 2011
  • The multi-slope MUSCL, proposed by T. Buffard and S. Clain, determines slopes of conserved variables at each edge of a cell in the linear reconstructions of data. In this study, the second order accurate numerical model was developed according to the multi-slope MUSCL to solve the shallow water equations on the unstructured grids. The HLLL scheme of approximate Riemann solvers was used to calculate fluxes. For the review of the applicability of the developed model, the results of the model were compared to the 'isolated building test' and the 'model city flooding experiment' conducted as part of the IMPACT (Investigation of extreMe flood Processes And unCerTainty) project in Europe. There were limitations to predict abrupt rising of water depths by the resistance of model buildings and water depths at the specific locations among the buildings. But they were identified as the same problems also revealed in results of the other models to the same experiment. On the more refined meshes to the 'model city flooding experiment' simulated results showed good agreement with measurements. It was verified that the developed model simulated well the complex phenomena such as a dam-break problem and the urban inundation by flash floods.