• Title/Summary/Keyword: 도시 열현상

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Methodology for Real-time Detection of Changes in Dynamic Traffic Flow Using Turning Point Analysis (Turning Point Analysis를 이용한 실시간 교통량 변화 검지 방법론 개발)

  • KIM, Hyungjoo;JANG, Kitae;KWON, Oh Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.278-290
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    • 2016
  • Maximum traffic flow rate is an important performance measure of operational status in transport networks, and has been considered as a key parameter for transportation operation since a bottleneck in congestion decreases maximum traffic flow rate. Although previous studies for traffic flow analysis have been widely conducted, a detection method for changes in dynamic traffic flow has been still veiled. This paper explores the dynamic traffic flow detection that can be utilized for various traffic operational strategies. Turning point analysis (TPA), as a statistical method, is applied to detect the changes in traffic flow rate. In TPA, Bayesian approach is employed and vehicle arrival is assumed to follow Poisson distribution. To examine the performance of the TPA method, traffic flow data from Jayuro urban expressway were obtained and applied. We propose a novel methodology to detect turning points of dynamic traffic flow in real time using TPA. The results showed that the turning points identified in real-time detected the changes in traffic flow rate. We expect that the proposed methodology has wide application in traffic operation systems such as ramp-metering and variable lane control.

A Dynamic Analysis of the Women's Labor Market Transition: With a Focus on the Relationship between Productive and Reproductive Labor (여성의 생산노동과 재생산노동의 상호연관성이 취업에 미치는 영향에 관한 경험적 연구)

  • 이재열
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.5-44
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    • 1996
  • Wornen's lahor market participation as well as the policy concern for wider utilization of married women, have continuously grown up. However, research efforts on the determinants of women's labor market participation, in the context of the relationship hetween life courses and active entry into lahor market, has been far behind the growing interest in this field. This study has conducted an event histoiry analysis of women's labor market transition utilizing personal occupational history data collected by the Korea Institute for Women's Development in 1991. The analysis is divided into tow parts: First part introduces logit regression to analyze the determinants of women's labor market participation and exit. The second part employs Cox regression to see the variation of transition rate between employment and non-employment. The result shows that there is a wide variation in women's labor market participation according to age, cohort, and family formation. Special note is needed for the significantly negative effect of marriage and child birth on labor market participation. The transition pattern of lower class women with less education fits well to the prediction of neo-classical economics; but the tendency of highly educated women's regression to non-employment reveals the strong influence of the unfavorable labor market structure, which can be better explained by the neo-structuralist perspective. There is a strong trade-off between productive and reproductive labor of women, which can only be corrected by strong policy implementation, such as extended child care facilities, abolition of discriminatory employment practices, and expansion of flexible part-time employment.

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Seasonal Precipitation Prediction using the Global model (전지구 모델 GME를 이용한 계절 강수 예측)

  • Kim, In-Won;Oh, Jai-Ho;Hong, Mi-Jin;Huh, Mo-Rang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.351-351
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    • 2011
  • 최근 지구온난화와 더불어 이상기후가 대두됨에 따라 기상 예측이 더욱더 중요시되고 있다. 또한 이전부터 가뭄 및 홍수와 같은 기상현상으로 인한 피해 사례가 빈번하였으며, 이로 인하여 물 관리의 어려움을 겪고 있다. 한 예로 이상기후가 유난히 잦았던 2010년 여름철 경우 평년보다 발달한 북태평양고기압의 영향으로 여름철 92일 가운데 81일의 전국 평균기온이 평년보다 높게 나타났다. 또한 강우 일수가 평년에 비해 7.4일 많은 44.2일을 기록하였으며, 국지성 집중호우 사례가 빈번하였다. 또한 8월 9일 발생한 태풍 `뎬무'를 포함해서 한 달 동안 3개의 태풍이 한반도에 영향을 끼치는 이례적인 사례가 발생하였다. 따라서 본 연구는 이러한 기상재해에 따른 물 관리를 장기적으로 대비하고자 고해상도 전지구 모델 GME를 이용하여 2010년 여름철 강수 예측을 실시하였다. 강수 예측에 사용된 전지구 모델 GME는 기존의 카테시안 격자체계를 가진 모델과 달리 전구를 삼각형으로 구성된 20면체로 격자화 한 Icosahedral-hexagonal grid 격자체계로 구성되어 있어, 해상도 증가에 용이할 뿐만 아니라, HPC(High Performance Computing)환경에서 효율성이 높은 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 계절 예측을 수행함에 있어 발생하는 잡음을 최소화하고자, Time-lag 기법을 이용하여 5개의 앙상블 멤버로 구성되어있으며, 이를 비교 분석하기위해 Climatology를 이용하여 총 10개의 앙상블 멤버로 규준실험을 수행하였다. 선행 연구에 따르면 1개월 이상의 장기 적분의 경우 초기조건보다 외부 강제력이 더 중요한 역할을 한다고 연구된 바 있다. (Yang et al., 1998) 특히 계절 변동성의 경우 대기-해양간의 상호작용에 의해 지배되며, 이를 고려하여 본 연구는 해수면 온도를 경계 자료로 사용하여 계절 예측을 수행하였다. 앞서 말한 실험 계획을 바탕으로 하여 나온 결과를 통해 동아시아지역 및 한반도 도별 강수 및 온도 변수에 대해 순별 및 월별 카테고리맵 분석을 실시하여 한눈에 보기 쉽게 나타냈다. 또한 주요 도시별 강수량 및 온도의 시계열 분석을 실시하여 시간이 지남에 따라 나타나는 변동성을 확인하였다. 계절 예측 결과에서 온도의 경우 평년보다 높게 나타났으며, 이는 실제 온도 예측과도 유사한 패턴을 가졌다, 강수의 경우 7월부터 8월 중순까지 평년보다 다소 적게 모의되었으며, 8월 하순경 회복하는 것으로 예측하였다. 따라서 본 계절 강수 예측은 다소 역학 모델이 가지는 한계를 가지고 있으나, 실제와 비교하여 어느 정도의 경향성이나 패턴에 있어 유사성을 보임을 확인하였으며, 이를 장기적 차원의 물관리를 함에 있어 참고 및 활용 가능할 것으로 예상한다.

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Correlation analysis of pollutants using IoT technology in LID facilities (LID 시설 내 IoT 기술을 활용한 오염물질 상관성 분석)

  • Jeon, Minsu;Choi, Hyeseon;kevin, Geronimo Franz;Reyes, N.J.DG.;Kim, Leehyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.453-453
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    • 2021
  • 도시지역 비점오염원관리, 물순환 회복, 침투 및 증발산량 증가, 열섬현상 저감을 위한 주요한 방안으로 저영향개발(low impact development, LID)과 그린인프라 기법의 적용되고 있다. LID 시설은 소규모 분산형 시설로써 넓은 지역에 많고 다양한 시설들이 적용되어 시설의 개수가 많으며, 수질 및 토양 내 기성제품에 대한 센서들의 가격은 고가로 형성되어 있어 기기의 경제성 및 유지관리 등 적용하는데 제한적이다. 따라서 과거 모니터링 자료를 기반으로 오염물질들과의 상관성 분석을 통하여 계측이 어려운 항목들을 계측가능한 항목들로부터 예측 가능하며, 선정된 항목들에 대한 비용효율적인 센서를 개발하여 실시간 LID 모니터링이 가능한 비용효율적 모니터링을 개발하였다. 공주대학교 천안캠퍼스의 LID 시설들은 2013년에 조성되어 현재까지 시설이 운영되고 있으며, 5년이상의 과거 강우시 모니터링 자료들을 이용하여 오염물질 상관성 분석을 수행가능 하기에 대상지로 선정하였다. 오염물질 상관성 분석은 2013년부터 2017년도에 침투도랑에서 수행된 강우시 모니터링 자료를 활용하여 각 오염물질들의 상관성을 분석을 수행하였다. 침투도랑 내 유입되는 평균 유입수는 TSS 286.1±318.3 mg/L, BOD 22.6±39.5 mg/L, TN 8.96±5.85 mg/L, TP 1.01±1.11 mg/L로 나타났다. 겨울철에 비해 여름철에서의 오염물질의 유입농도가 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 여름철 고온건조로 인한 노면 내 차량의 주행으로 인한 중금속, 폐타이어 등과 장마철 강우 시 유출된 토사로 인하여 유입수의 농도가 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 오염물질 부하량은 TSS와 COD 0.66으로 유의성이 높은 것으로 나왔으며, COD와 TSS, TP, TN 등 유의성이 높은 것으로 분석되었다. Arduino와 Raspberry PI를 활용하여 저비용 센서와 LTE 모뎀통신과 데이터 베이스 연결하여 개발된 프로그램을 통해서 무선으로 LID 시설에 대한 모니터링을 침투화분2와 식생체류지에 조성하였다. 전력공급이 어려운 식생체류지의 경우 태양열(Solar system) 시스템과 보조 전력 배터리를 조성하여 장마철이나 장기적인 악천후로 인한 전력을 생산하지 못할 경우 보조전력배터리에서 전력을 제공하여 지속적인 모니터링이 이루어지도록 설계하였다. 토양함수량, 토양온도와 Conductivity 등 3종류의 센서를 적용하였으며, 프로그램은 현재 2단계를 통한 2차수정을 통하여 프로그램을 구축하였다. 오차, 오작동, 계측값에 대한 검·보정 작업이 필요하다. 또한 대기자료의 구축을 통해 보다 토양과 LID 시설에 대한 영향분석이 필요한 것으로 사료된다.

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Climatic Yield Potential Changes Under Climate Change over Korean Peninsula Using 1-km High Resolution SSP-RCP Scenarios (고해상도(1km) SSP-RCP시나리오 기반 한반도의 벼 기후생산력지수 변화 전망)

  • Sera Jo;Yong-Seok Kim;Jina Hur;Joonlee Lee;Eung-Sup Kim;Kyo-Moon Shim;Mingu Kang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.284-301
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    • 2023
  • The changes in rice climatic yield potential (CYP) across the Korean Peninsula are evaluated based on the new climate change scenario produced by the National Institute of Agricultural Sciences with 18 ensemble members at 1 km resolution under a Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) emission scenarios. To overcome the data availability, we utilize solar radiation f or CYP instead of sunshine duration which is relatively uncommon in the climate prediction f ield. The result show that maximum CYP(CYPmax) decreased, and the optimal heading date is progressively delayed under warmer temperature conditions compared to the current climate. This trend is particularly pronounced in the SSP5-85 scenario, indicating faster warming, except for the northeastern mountainous regions of North Korea. This shows the benef its of lower emission scenarios and pursuing more efforts to limit greenhouse gas emissions. On the other hand, the CYPmax shows a wide range of feasible futures, which shows inherent uncertainties in f uture climate projections and the risks when analyzing a single model or a small number of model results, highlighting the importance of the ensemble approach. The f indings of this study on changes in rice productivity and uncertainties in temperature and solar radiation during the 21st century, based on climate change scenarios, hold value as f undamental information for climate change adaptation efforts.

Properties of Temperature Reduction of Cooling Asphalt Pavements Using High-Reflectivity Paints (고반사 도료를 사용한 차열성 아스팔트 도로포장의 온도저감특성)

  • Hong, Chang Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.317-327
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    • 2013
  • Air pollution and artificial heat of urban areas have caused the urban heat island in which asphalt pavements absorb solar heat during the daytime and release the heat at night. Hence, in order to improve the environment of urban areas, it is necessary to examine cooling pavements that can reduce heat on road pavements in urban areas. The application of temperature insulation paints on road pavements require to reduce black brightness for visibility, to increase the reflection rate of infrared light and minimize the reflection rate of visible light. In the study, one part of Acrylic-emulsion was used as a main binder, and the changes in black brightness and the changes of addition ratio (0%, 15%, 30%) of hollow ceramics, as well as kinds of paints (carbon black pigment, mixed mineral pigment) were selected as the main experimental factors. The performance of temperature reduction of cooling pavements was analyzed through the reflection rate of spectrum, the reflection rate of solar heat, and the lamp test. Abrasion resistance, UV accelerated weather resistance, and sliding resistance were tested in real situations. In addition, the performance of heat reduction of testing pavements covered with high-reflection paints was analyzed by using an infrared camera. As the test results, when using mixed mineral paints and hollow ceramic of 30%, the reflection rate of spectrum was 43% in the area of near-infrared ray and 17% in the area of visible light at black brightness of $L^*$=42.89 and the reflection rate of solar heat was 27.5%. Total color difference was ${\Delta}E$=0.27 in the test of UV Accelerated Weather Resistance, indicating almost no changes in color. BPN was more than 53 when scattering #2 and #4 silica sand of more than $0.12kg/m^2$. In Taber's abrasion resistance test, abrasion loss was up to 86.4mg at 500 rotations. The performance of heat reduction was evaluated using an infrared camera at the test section applying high-reflection paints to asphalt pavements, in which the results showed that the temperature was reduced by $12.7^{\circ}C$ on CI-30-40 cooling pavements ($L^*$=38.76) and by $14.2^{\circ}C$ on CI-30-60 cooling pavements ($L^*$=57.12).

A Phenology Modelling Using MODIS Time Series Data in South Korea (MODIS 시계열 자료(2001~2011) 및 Timesat 알고리즘에 기초한 남한 지역 식물계절 분석)

  • Kim, Nam-Shin;Cho, Yong-Chan;Oh, Seung-Hwan;Kwon, Hye-Jin;Kim, Gyung-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.186-193
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to analyze spatio-temporal trends of phenological characteristics in South Korea by using MODIS EVI. For the phenology analysis, we had applied double logistic function to MODIS time-series data. Our results showed that starting date of phenology seems to have a tendency along with latitudinal trends. Starting date of phenology of Jeju Island and Mt. Sobeak went back for 0.38, 0.174 days per year, respectively whereas, Mt. Jiri and Mt. Seolak went forward for 0.32 days, 0.239 days and 0.119 days, respectively. Our results exhibited the fluctuation of plant phonological season rather than the change of phonological timing and season. Starting date of plant phenology by spatial distribution revealed tendency that starting date of mountain area was late, and basin and south foot of mountain was fast. In urban ares such as Seoul metropolitan, Masan, Changwon, Milyang, Daegu and Jeju, the phonological starting date went forward quickly. Pheonoligcal attributes such as starting date and leaf fall in urban areas likely being affected from heat island effect and related warming. Our study expressed that local and regional monitoring on phonological events and changes in Korea would be possible through MODIS data.

Preparation of EVA/Intumescent/Nano-Clay Composite with Flame Retardant Properties and Cross Laminated Timber (CLT) Application Technology (난연특성을 가지는 EVA/Intumescent/나노클레이 복합재료 제조 및 교호집성재(Cross Laminated Timber) 적용 기술)

  • Choi, Yo-Seok;Park, Ji-Won;Lee, Jung-Hun;Shin, Jae-Ho;Jang, Seong-Wook;Kim, Hyun-Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the importance of flame retardation treatment technology has been emphasized due to the increase in urban fire accidents and fire damage incidents caused by building exterior materials. Particularly, in the utilization of wood-based building materials, the flame retarding treatment technology is more importantly evaluated. An Intumescent system is one of the non-halogen flame retardant treatment technologies and is a system that realizes flame retardancy through foaming and carbonization layer formation. To apply the Intumescent system, composite material was prepared by using Ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) as a matrix. To enhance the flame retardant properties of the Intumescent system, a nano-clay was applied together. Composite materials with Intumescent system and nano - clay technology were processed into sheet - like test specimens, and then a new structure of cross laminated timber with improved flame retardant properties was fabricated. In the evaluation of combustion characteristics of composite materials using Intumescent system, it was confirmed that the maximum heat emission was reduced efficiently. Depending on the structure attached to the surface, the CLT had two stages of combustion. Also, it was confirmed that the maximum calorific value decreased significantly during the deep burning process. These characteristics are expected to have a delayed combustion diffusion effect in the combustion process of CLT. In order to improve the performance, the flame retardation treatment technique for the surface veneer and the optimization technique of the application of the composite material are required. It is expected that it will be possible to develop a CLT structure with improved fire characteristics.

Assessment of Environmental Conservation Function using Changes of Land Use Area and Surface Temperature in Agricultural Field (용인시의 토지이용면적과 지표면 온도 변화를 이용한 환경보전 기능 변동 계량화)

  • Ko, Byong-Gu;Kang, Kee-Kyung;Hong, Suk-Young;Lee, Deog-Bae;Kim, Min-Kyeong;Seo, Myung-Chul;Kim, Gun-Yeob;Park, Kwang-Lai;Lee, Jung-Taek
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2009
  • This study was aimed at assess environmental conservation functions by analyzing the change of land use areas in agricultural fields between 1999 and 2006, and comparing land surface temperature distribution between 1994 and 2006 in Yongin city. Land use maps of Yongin city were obtained from soil maps for 1999, Quickbird satellite images(less than 1 m) and parcel map for 2006. The land use area for Yongin city was in the order of forest > paddy field > upland > residence & building in 1999, and forest > residence & building > paddy field > upland in 2006. Decrease of paddy and upland fields reduced 34% and 41% of the capability of agricultural multifunctionality as to environment including flood control, groundwater recharge, and air cooling. Land surface temperature(LST) was derived from Landsat TM thermal infrared band acquired in September of 1994 and 2006 and classified into three grades. The results impplied that green vegetation in agricultural field and forest play an important role to reduce land surface temperature in warm season.

Effect of Shading Levels on the Soil Properties, Growth Characteristics, and Chlorophyll Contents of Ligularia stenocephala (차광정도가 곤달비의 토양변화, 생육상황 및 엽록소 함량에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Byoung-Mo;Kim, Chang-Hwan;Bae, Jong-Hyang;Shin, Jung-Ryeul
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.352-356
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    • 2011
  • It is true that the industrial development has usually been accompanied with urbanization or centralization of population that has inevitably led to high-rise buildings and densely built-up living area in the cities. While it is badly needed to acquire as much green land within the city limits as possible to compensate for reduced space for recreational purpose in parallel with increasingly urbanized area, the living conditions of plants have become seriously devastated due to shortage of sun light walled-off by high-rise buildings and contaminated environment and air. The shade that is generated by high-rise and compact buildings hinders growth of plants, which makes it urgent to develop native ground cover plant that is strongly viable in the shade. For this purpose, Ligularia stenocephala, best known as greens for Ssam (rice and condiments wrapped in leaves) was cultivated under the 30%, 50%, and 80% shadings and observed to see if there would be any changes in soil conditions, growth of plants and chlorophyll contents depending on the shading rate. The leaf number was 10.8 pieces under the 50% shading and 8.4 under the 30%-shading, 7.7 pieces more than that cultivated under lighting. The leaf width turned out to be excellent from cultivation under the 50%- shading, an evidence indicating its possibility of being cultivated as native ground cover plant in the shade. The live weight of the plants cultivated under the shading increased to 31.63 g, 43.39 g and 19.40 g, respectively, compared to 90.43 g of those in the untreated control plot. The increase in growth of roots was particularly significant with 48.48 g in comparison to 12.33 g under 30% shading cultivation. The chlorophyll synthesis amounted to 46.2 under the 50% shading, showing an increase compared to 41.9 under lighting. The chlorophyll synthesis rather shrank under other shading conditions. The cultivation of Ligularia stenocephala under the 50% shading showed the best condition in growth as native ground cover plant.