• 제목/요약/키워드: 도시 열현상

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Impact of climate change on hydrological cycle components in North Korea basins by statistical analysi (북한지역의 수문순환요소의 통계특성분석을 통한 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Kwon, Bo Ra;Jeung, Se Jin;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.202-202
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    • 2017
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화로 인해 슈퍼태풍 및 극한 강우, 폭설과 한파, 온난화 현상이 발생하고 있으며, 한반도의 기후변화는 전 세계 평균보다도 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 특히 북한지역은 오랜 식량난과 에너지난으로 산림생태계가 훼손되어 홍수 및 이수와 같은 기후변화 관련 자연재해에 매우 취약하며, 무분별한 도시화에 따른 불투수층의 증가로 인해 유역내의 수문순환요소가 변화하고 있다. 이러한 기후변화에 효율적으로 대처하기 위해서는 체계적이고 과학적인 기상 및 기후정보의 활용이 중요하다. 하지만 본 논문의 대상지역인 북한지역은 우리가 수문자료를 구하기가 힘들고, 직접 측정 할 수 없기 때문에 수문순환분석에 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 WMO에서 제공하고 있는 북한의 27개 기상관측소의 강수량, 기온자료를 제공 받아 분석에 사용하였다. 본 논문에서는 기상정보를 이용하여 각 관측소별 잠재 증발산량을 산정하였으며, 또한 lumped conceptual model 인 WASMOD 모형을 이용하여 북한 미계측 유역의 유출량을 산정 하였다. 이렇게 산정된 수문순환요소 시계열 자료를 이용하여 통계분석, BCP, 유황분석등 시계열 분석을 통해 북한지역의 수문순환특성을 파악하고자 한다.

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Analysis of the Effect of Heat Island on the Administrative District Unit in Seoul Using LANDSAT Image (LANDSAT영상을 이용한 서울시 행정구역 단위의 열섬효과 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung Il;Ryu, Jieun;Jeon, Seong Woo;Jung, Hui Cheul;Kang, Jin Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_3
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    • pp.821-834
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    • 2017
  • The increase in the rate of industrialization due to urbanization has caused the Urban Heat Island phenomenon where the temperature of the city is higher than the surrounding area, and its intensity is increasing with climate change. Among the cities where heat island phenomenon occurs, Seoul city has different degree of urbanization, green area ratio, energy consumption, and population density in each administrative district, and as a result, the strength of heat island is also different. So It is necessary to analyze the difference of Urban Heat Island Intensity by administrative district and the cause. In this study, the UHI intensity of the administrative gu and the administrative dong were extracted from the Seoul metropolitan area and the differences among the administrative districts were examined. and linear regression analysis were conducted with The variables included in the three categories(weather condition, anthropogenic heat generation, and land use characteristics) to investigate the cause of the difference in heat UHI intensity in each administrative district. As a result of analysis, UHI Intensity was found to be different according to the characteristics of administrative gu, administrative dong, and surrounding environment. The difference in administrative dong was larger than gu unit, and the UHI Intensity of gu and the UHI Intensity distribution of dongs belonging to the gu were also different. Linear regression analysis showed that there was a difference in heat island development intensity according to the average wind speed, development degree, Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) value. Among them, the SAVI and NDBI showed a difference in value up to the dong unit and The creation of a wind route environment for the mitigation of the heat island phenomenon is necessary for the administrative dong unit level. Therefore, it is considered that projects for mitigating heat island phenomenon such as land cover improvement plan, wind route improvement plan, and green wall surface plan for development area need to consider administrative dongs belonging to the gu rather than just considering the difference of administrative gu units. The results of this study are expected to provide the directions for urban thermal environment design and policy development in the future by deriving the necessity of analysis unit and the factors to be considered for the administrative city unit to mitigate the urban heat island phenomenon.

Development of path travel time forecasting model using wavelet transformation and RBF neural network (웨이브렛 변환과 RBF 신경망을 이용한 경로통행시간 예측모형 개발 -시내버스 노선운행시간을 중심으로-)

  • 신승원;노정현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구에서는 도시 가로망에서의 구간 통행시간을 예측하기 위하여 time-frequency 분석의 일종인 웨이브렛변환과 RBF신경망 모형을 이용한 예측모형을 개발하였다. 웨이브렛 변환을 이용한 시계열 자료 분석을 통해서 통행시간에 내재되어 있는 다양한 패턴의 특징을 추출함으로써 오전/오후의 첨두현상, 신호교차로의 현시주기 등 주기적으로 발생되는 요인들에 의해서 통행시간 시계열 자료의 패턴에 나타나는 규칙성을 분석해 내었다. 분석된 패턴정보에 대한 규명은 카오스 이론을 근간으로한 시간지연좌표를 이용하여 시계열 자료의 규칙성을 시각적으로 판별하여 예측모형 구축에 활용하도록 하였다. 또, RBF신경망을 이용하여 예측범위의 공간적/시간적 확대에 따른 모형 구축에 소요되는 시간을 최소화하도록 하였으며, 시내버스 노선의 정류장간 운행시간 예측을 통해서 기존 연구에서 제기되었던 현실세계의 단순화, 다단계 예측시 정확성 등의 문제를 해결하였다. 예측실험결과 웨이브렛 변환을 데이터의 전처리 과정에 삽입하여 링크 통행시간의 패턴정보 예측에 활용할 경우, 기존의 예측모형에 비해서 훨씬 정확한 예측이 가능한 것으로 나타났으며, RBF 신경망은 짧은 학습시간에도 불구하고 역전파 신경망보다 우수한 예측력을 갖고 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

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A Study on Retrieval of Storage Heat Flux in Urban Area (우리나라 도심지에서의 저장열 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Darae;Kim, Honghee;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Doo-Il;Hong, Jinkyu;Hong, Je-Woo;Lee, Keunmin;Lee, Kyeong-sang;Seo, Minji;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.2_1
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    • pp.301-306
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    • 2018
  • Urbanization causes urban floods and urban heat island in the summer, so it is necessary to understanding the changes of the thermal environment through urban climate and energy balance. This can be explained by the energy balance, but in urban areas, unlike the typical energy balance, the storage heat flux saved in the building or artificial land cover should be considered. Since the environment of each city is different, there is a difficulty in applying the method of retrieving the storage heat flux of the previous research. Especially, most of the previous studies are focused on the overseas cities, so it is necessary to study the storage heat retrieval suitable for various land cover and building characteristics of the urban areas in Korea. Therefore, the object of this study, it is to derive the regression formula which can quantitatively retrieve the storage heat using the data of the area where various surface types exist. To this end, nonlinear regression analysis was performed using net radiation and surface temperature data as independent variables and flux tower based storage heat estimates as dependent variables. The retrieved regression coefficients were applied to each independent variable to derive the storage heat retrieval regression formula. As a result of time series analysis with flux tower based storage heat estimates, it was well simulated high peak at day time and the value at night. Moreover storage heat retrieved in this study was possible continuous retrieval than flux tower based storage heat estimates. As a result of scatter plot analysis, accuracy of retrieved storage heat was found to be significant at $50.14Wm^{-2}$ and bias $-0.94Wm^{-2}$.

Analysis of Urban Heat Island Effect Using Time Series of Landsat Images and Annual Temperature Cycle Model (시계열 Landsat TM 영상과 연간 지표온도순환 모델을 이용한 열섬효과 분석)

  • Hong, Seung Hwan;Cho, Han Jin;Kim, Mi Kyeong;Sohn, Hong Gyoo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2015
  • Remote sensing technology using a multi-spectral satellite imagery can be utilized for the analysis of urban heat island effect in large area. However, weather condition of Korea mostly has a lot of clouds and it makes periodical observation using time-series of satellite images difficult. For this reason, we proposed the analysis of urban heat island effect using time-series of Landsat TM images and ATC model. To analyze vegetation condition and urbanization, NDVI and NDBI were calculated from Landsat images. In addition, land surface temperature was calculated from thermal infrared images to estimate the parameters of ATC model. Furthermore, the parameters of ATC model were compared based on the land cover map created by Korean Ministry of Environment to analyze urban heat island effect relating to the pattern of land use and land cover. As a result of a correlation analysis between calculated spectral indices and parameters of ATC model, MAST had high correlation with NDVI and NDBI (-0.76 and 0.69, respectively) and YAST also had correlation with NDVI and NDBI (-0.53 and 0.42, respectively). By comparing the parameters of ATC model based on land cover map, urban area had higher MAST and YAST than agricultural land and grassland. In particular, residential areas, industrial areas, commercial areas and transportation facilities showed higher MAST than cultural facilities and public facilities. Moreover, residential areas, industrial areas and commercial areas had higher YAST than the other urban areas.

An Empirical Study on the Consumption Function of Korean Natural Gas for City Gas - Using Time Varying Coefficient Time Series Model - (한국 도시가스용 천연가스의 소비함수에 대한 실증분석 - 시간변동계수(TVC) 시계열모형 활용 -)

  • Kim, Jum-Su;Yang, Chun-Seung;Park, Jung-Gu
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.318-329
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    • 2011
  • This study focuses on enhancing the accuracy of consumption function of Korean natural gas for city gas. It is using time-series model with time-varying coefficients taking into account the recent abnormal temperature phenomenon and the changing gross domestic product (GDP) as important variables. This study estimates the cointegrating regression model for the long-run estimation and the error correction model for the short-run estimation. The consumption function of Korean natural gas is estimated to be influenced by the time-varying coefficients of GDP and temperature. Using the estimated time-series model with time-varying coefficients, this study forecasts the consumption of natural gas for city gas from July 2011 to December 2012. The consumption in 2011 would be 18,303 thousand tons, which is little different from the imported 18,681 thousand tons. The consumption of natural gas for city gas in 2012 is forecast to be 19,213 thousand tons. The consumption model of this study is needed to extend by considering the relative prices between natural gas and its substitutes, the scale of consumers and others.

A Time Series Analysis on Urban Weather Conditions for Constructing Urban Integrated Energy System (차세대에너지시스템 구축을 위한 도시기상조건 시계열분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ok;Han, Kyung-Min;Yee, Jurng-Jae;Yoon, Seong-Hwan
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2009
  • This study was analysed influence of urban higher temperature in Busan about time series analysis of AWS data. The results are as follows. (1) The temperature of Busan show min $13.2^{\circ}C$ ~max $15.8^{\circ}C$ by 50 years, it is on the rise. (2) The seasonal adjustment series, summer appeared min $17.5^{\circ}C$ ~max $28.9^{\circ}C$ with primitive series similarly. The winter was min $-11.4^{\circ}C$ ~max $17.9^{\circ}C$, the minimum temperature was more lowly than primitive series and maximum temperature was more higher than primitive series. The results, seasonal adjustment series is guessed with influence difference urban structural element beside seasonal factor. (3) Regional analytical result, January appeared with range of min 28% ~max 196% of the seasonal factor and August appeared min 90% ~ max 106%. One of the case which is of 100% or more of the seasonal factor January 12nd~17th, August appears at the 15~17th.

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Application of Flux Profile Method for Evaluating the Temperature Decreasing Effects of Green roof (여름철 옥상녹화의 온도저감효과 평가를 위한 Flux Profile Method의 적용)

  • Kwon, You Jeong;Seo, YongWon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.94-94
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    • 2021
  • 현재 전 지구적으로 일어나고 있는 극단적 기후현상과 이로 인한 자연재해의 원인은 복합적이다. 기후변화로 인한 영향과 동시에 도시화 또한 하나의 원인으로 작용하고 있다. 이러한 영향을 완화하기 위한 방안으로 도시의 그린인프라와 저영향개발은 최근 지속가능한 발전을 위해 꼭 필요한 요소로 자리잡고 있다. 그린인프라 유형 중 하나인 옥상녹화는 많은 이점을 제공한다. 도시에 위치한 건물의 상층부, 내부 및 주변 온도을 낮춤으로써 얻을 수 있는 에너지절감 효과와 강우 시 상당량의 빗물을 저류함으로써 기대되는 우수유출 저감효과, 그리고 도시 공간 내 식물의 적극적인 도입으로 인한 이산화탄소 배출 저감 효과 등을 기대할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 도시지역의 열섬현상완화와 유출저감의 방안 중 하나인 옥상녹화(Green roof)의 효과를 정량적으로 평가하기 위해 콘크리트로 이루어진 동일한 제원의 실험동을 구축하고, 실험동 내외부의 연직방향 온도, 습도, 강우, 풍속, 일사량 등의 기상자료를 측정할 수 있는 센서를 설치하였다. 각 실험동에서 측정된 기상자료를 Flux Profile Method를 적용하여 무강우기간과 강우발생기간 동안의 연직 방향의 현열속, 잠열속, 토양열속(H, LE, G) 을 산정하였다. 에너지 평형에 따라 산정된 각 실험동의 열속과 지표면 복사량 관측자료을 정량적으로 비교하여 적용성을 평가하였다. 실험의 대조군인 일반 코팅재로 마감된 콘크리트 지붕의 무강우 기간 중 최대 현열속 693.82 W/m2 잠열속은 330.15 W/m2 으로 나타났으며, 실험군인 옥상녹화가 조성된 지붕의 최대 현열속 436.27 W/m2, 잠열속 949.20 W/m2 으로 나타났으며, 산정치와 관측치 시계열의 NSE는 0.81 으로 Flux Profile Method를 통해 산정된 열속의 정확도는 비교적 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 방법으로 옥상녹화의 정량적 평가가 가능해짐으로써 향후 기후변화 대응방안 및 전략 수립 시 옥상녹화의 온도저감효과 분석에 적극 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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A Way for Creating Human Bioclimatic Maps using Human Thermal Sensation (Comfort) and Applying the Maps to Urban and Landscape Planning and Design (인간 열환경 지수를 이용한 생기후지도 작성 및 도시·조경계획 및 디자인에의 적용방안)

  • Park, Soo-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to find applicabilities of human bioclimatic maps, using human thermal sensation(comfort) in summer, with microclimatic in situ data and computer simulation results at the study site of downtown Daegu. This includes the central business district(CBD) area and two urban parks, the Debt Redemption Movement Memorial Park and the 2.28 Park, for urban and landscape planning and design. Climatic data and urban setting information for the analysis of human thermal sensation were obtained from in situ measurement and the geographic information system data. As a result, the CBD had higher air temperature than the parks when the wind speed was low. Relative humidities were opposite to the air temperature. Especially, same directional streets with local wind direction had lower air temperature than streets perpendicular to the wind direction. The most important climatic variable of human thermal sensation in summer was direct beam solar radiation. Also, creating shadow areas would be the most relevant method for modifying hot thermal environments in urban areas. The most effective method of creating shadow patterns was making a tree shadow over a pergola, and the second best one was making a tree shadow on the front of north directional building walls. Moreover, how to plant trees for creating shadow patterns was important as well as what kind of trees should be planted. The results of human thermal sensation were warm to very hot at sunny areas and neutral to warm at shaded ones. At the sunny areas, wide, squared shape areas had a little bit higher thermal sensation than those of narrow streets. The albedo change of building walls 0.15 and ground surface 0.1 could change 1/6 of a sensation level at the shaded areas and 1/3 at the sunny ones. These microclimatic approaches will be useful to find appropriate methods for modifying thermal environments in urban areas.

Stream Environment Monitoring using UAV Images (RGB, Thermal Infrared) (UAV 영상(RGB, 적외 열 영상)을 활용한 하천환경 모니터링)

  • Kang, Joon-Oh;Kim, Dal-Joo;Han, Woong-Ji;Lee, Yong-Chang
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2017
  • Recently, civil complaints have increased due to water pollution and bad smell in rivers. Therefore, attention is focused on improving the river environment. The purpose of this study is to acquire RGB and thermal infrared images using UAV for sewage outlet and to monitor the status of stream pollution and the applicability UAV based images for river embankment maintenance plan was examined. The accuracy of the 3D model was examination by SfM(Structure from Motion) based images analysis on river embankment maintenance area. Especially, The wastewater discharged from the factory near the river was detected as an thermal infrared images and the flow of wastewater was monitored. As a result of the study, we could monitor the cause and flows of wastewater pollution by detecting temperature change caused by wastewater inflow using UAV images. In addition, UAV based a high precision 3D model (DTM, Digital Topographic Map, Orthophoto Mosaic) was produced to obtain precise DSM(Digital Surface Model) and vegetation cover information for river embankment maintenance.

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