• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.11 no.1
• /
• pp.1-9
• /
• 2008

Recently, various researches have been studied on the predict method of land change according to its development. The Cellular Automata(CA) is one of the most popular methods in the urban growth modeling. The basis principle of CA is to repeat operations, which convert the current cell into new cell state by the transaction rule. It will minimize the loss of data by using Fuzzy-AHP and it can lead the flexible urban growth modeling. However, AHP would have a disadvantage to repeat the procedure of the collecting intentions until it derives the weight. Also, it is necessary for the simulation of CA to repeat the operations and the test of data accuracy should be accompanied. The purpose of this study is to predict the Busan city growth model and analyze it according to the automated test method by applying CA as well as Fuzzy-AHP. This study shall improve the difficulties caused by complexity and repetitiveness in the urban grow modeling. The practical modeling could be derived from the verification, and the derived modules could be applied to the similar case studies.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.19 no.3
• /
• pp.75-88
• /
• 2016

In this study, we used the CLUE-s model to predict the future land-use change based on the urban growth scenario in South Korea. The land-use maps of six classes (water, urban, rice paddy, upland crop, forest, and grass) for the year 2008 were obtained from the Ministry of Environment (MOE), and the land-use data for 5-year intervals between 1980 and 2010 were obtained from the Water Resources Management Information System (WAMIS), South Korea. For predicting the future land-use change, the MOE environmental conservation value assessment map (ECVAM) was considered for identifying the development-restricted areas, and various driving factors as location characteristics were prepared for the model. The predicted results were verified by comparing them with the land-use statistics of urban areas in each province for the year 2008. The prediction error rates were 9.47% in Gyeonggi, 9.96% in Gangwon, 10.63% in Chungbuk, 7.53% in Chungnam, 9.48% in Jeonbuk, 6.92% in Jeonnam, 2.50% in Gyeongbuk, and 8.09% in Gyeongnam. The sources of error might come from the gaps between the development of political decisions in reality with spatio-temporal variation and the mathematical model for urban growth rate in CLUE-s model for future scenarios. Based on the land-use scenario in 2008, the land-use predictions for the year 2100 showed that the urban area increased by 28.24%, and the rice paddy, upland crop, and forest areas decreased by 8.27, 6.72, and 1.66%, respectively, in South Korea.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
• /
• v.21 no.2
• /
• pp.158-167
• /
• 2012

The purpose of this paper is to examine the factors that encouraged the industrial growth of Koran city gas industry during 1995-2009, by carrying out input-output structural decomposition analysis(IO-SDA) using Syrquin's model. The results show that the main factors which contributed to the growth of the Korean city gas industry are final domestic demand(48.4%) and technological change(38.6%). By examining the results for the three periods of 1995-2000, 2000-2005, and 2005-2009, the tendency of changes between the two main factors is drawn. In contrast to the drastic decreasing tendency of the final domestic demand's contribution to the growth, 84.5%, 18.9%, and 15.4%, respectively for each period, there is an increasing tendency for technological change as seen by the results of 7.4%, 70.0%, and 42.2%, respectively. These findings may be a result from the fact that the rate of gas supply in the residential sector has been saturated recently. They are also reflective of the energy consumption trend of industrial activities as there has been a shift in the approach for supplying energy, from the traditional approach which use fossil fuels to the newer approach which uses environmentally friendly energy sources. For the continued growth of the city gas industry, policymakers sould consider greater investment in the expansion of city gas supply infrastructure for industrial activities rather than for the residential sector.

• Korea Real Estate Review
• /
• v.24 no.1
• /
• pp.27-37
• /
• 2014

Recently increasing the supply of housing policy has not been able to reflect social phenomena as like decreasing birth rate, aging of the population and increasing 1 or 2 person households. This study analyze the housing demand in the city with the point of population growth rate and economic character changes. Growing cities have positive population growth rate and economic character, but shrinking cities have the opposite. By comparing housing demand of growing cities and shrinking cities, we want to find out housing policy implications. In this study, results suggest that the peak age of housing demand of shrinking cities is the late 60's. But the growing cities's age peak is the mid-80's. But further analysis of the economic variables and 1 or 2 person old and young household dummies, the result is that the peak age of housing demand is reduced. These results suggest that housing demand should be differentiated the cities's population structure and economic characteristics of the household. In short, housing demand will vary depending on the condition of individual cities.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.16 no.1
• /
• pp.7-24
• /
• 1998

1960년대 이후 경제규명의 괄목할 만한 성장과 생산규모가 확대되어 비용 최소화를 통한 물류분 야의 근대화가 핵심적인 문제로 대두됨에도 불구하고 체계적이며 효율적인 물류체계의 부재로 인한 물 류비의 상승은 산업경쟁력을 약화시켜 물가상승등의 경제불안을 초래하고 있다. 또 가중되는 도시내 교 통혼잡과 최근들어 시행되고 잇는 도시내 화물차량에 대한 각종 규제로 물류비중 수송비의 비증은 지속 적으로 증가되고 있는 실정이다. 이에 따라 사회적으로 물류비를 절감시킬수 있는 물류시설에 관한 관 심이 고조되고 있으며 국가나 지방자치 단체 차원에서도 지역간의 물류거점으로서의 유통단지나 복합화 물터미널 등에 대한 필요성이 강조되고 있는 실정이다. 그러나 이러한 지역간 물류거점으로서 체계뿐만 아니라 도시내에서의 물류활동 즉 도시내에 위치한 최종소비자를 대상으로한 수·배송은 도시교통문제 와 물류서비스를 최종적으로 실행과 직결되어 있다는 점에서 매우 중요한 의미를 갖는다. 따라서 본연 구에서는 도시내 물류거점 시설인 배송센타를 대상으로 배송센타 1일 가동시 총물류비용 모형을 도출하 여 1일 총물류비용을 최소화 할 수 있는 배송센터 최적수 결정 모의 실험 모형을 구성하였다. 이와 병 행하여 최근 들어 대형화물차량에 대한 도심진입규제 통행제한 등 각종 화물차량 규제로 인하여 배송행 태 변화에 따른 사례를 상정하여 민간 차원에서 규제후 변화된 물류비의 변화정도와 그비용을 감소시킬 수 있는 방안의 검토를 시행하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.12 no.2
• /
• pp.44-51
• /
• 2009

The main purpose of this study is to identify urban spatial structure by applying geographic information system and remote sensing data. This study identifies the urban spatial structure of non-megalopolis by analyzing the spatial distribution of population and employment in the case of Daegu metropolitan area. For this purpose, multi-temporal satellite image data (Landsat TM; 1995, 2000 and 2005) were utilized through the geographic information system. The distance-decay estimations in terms of population and employment density show that Daegu region as a whole shows monocentric urban characteristics. However, some evidences of polycentricism such as low explanation power of monocentric urban model, rises in multiple employment centers, decentralization of employment are emerging.

• Spatial Information Research
• /
• v.2 no.1
• /
• pp.3-14
• /
• 1994

The external diseconomy has been accelerated by the megaspatial structure of metropolis such as Seoul Capital Region(below SCR), Korea in which the more than 10 million populations inhabit. The main course for It could be elaborated by the overconcentration of the urban and regional function of various kinds. The study is performed to analyze quantitatively the status quo of the region as described above and proceed into forecasting the future population trend, the land use at location for the increment of regional population and to set the location of new towns in Seoul Capital Region System projected by the methods in computer algorithm of descriptive models such as the simple and multiple regress ion analysis models, the gravity model and the facility location on a plane model analysis. The goal and object ive of the metropolitan planning are to decentralize the regional growth management to the optimum degree, which will not hinder the economic growth of the region, but the result of the study is that we can not discourage the functional concentration of Seoul Capital Region and, we have to provide the region with the appropriate new towns.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2008.05a
• /
• pp.878-882
• /
• 2008

경제성장에 따른 도시화 현상으로 경작지나 녹지와 같은 투수 지표면이 대단위 주택단지나 도로, 상업지구 등의 도시시설 및 산업화에 따른 공장시설과 같은 불투수 지표면으로 변화되어 도시의 불투수 지표면의 구성비가 증가되므로 이로 인해 침투량과 증발산량이 감소하며 지하수 유출량을 감소된다. 또한 도시유역의 조도계수의 감소로 도달시간이 단축되어 첨두홍수량이 증가하게 되는 등 도시유출특성이 변화되어 홍수피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 광주광역시 서구 상무지구를 대상으로 불투수면적비의 변화에 따라 유출모의를 실시하였다. 유출모의를 위한 대상지구의 유역 및 관로 시스템의 제원은 수치지도와 관망도를 이용하여 유역을 구분한 후 배수 관망, 유입구 제원, 맨홀 등 관로시스템 자료 및 유역의 지표면과 지하 배수시설 및 토지이용상태를 조사하여 유역의 불투수지역(Impervious area) 및 투수지역(pervious area)으로 구분하였다. 불투수면적비에 따른 유출량과 유출률, 첨두유량, 기저시간의 변화를 비교분석 하였다. 모의 값의 정확성을 판단하기 위하여 2008년에 측정한 실측자료를 통해 매개변수를 최적화를 실시하여 SWMM모형으로부터의 모의 값과 실측자료를 비교 분석 하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2015.05a
• /
• pp.92-92
• /
• 2015

도시하천유역은 인위적인 하수계통으로 인해 강우-유출관계의 불확실성이 클 뿐만 아니라 홍수의 도달시간이 매우 짧고 강우-유출관계의 비선형성도 매우 크다. 현재의 수문해석절차에서는 유역의 확률강수량을 수문모형의 입력자료로 활용하여 확률홍수량을 추정하는 방법이 채택되고 있으며, 입력되는 확률강수량의 빈도와 추정되는 홍수량의 빈도가 동일하다는 가정에 근거하고 있다. 그러나 유역에 발생하는 강수량 및 유역의 수문학적 특성에 따라 동일한 강수라 하더라도 유역의 반응 측면에서 변동성이 매우 큰 것으로 알려지고 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 도시하천유역에서 강우-유출관계의 다양한 불확실성요소를 고려하여 확률홍수량을 추정할 수 있는 홍수빈도곡선 개발절차를 수립하고자 한다. 도시하천유역에서 강우-유출 관계의 불확실성을 고려하기 위하여 첫째, 강수 및 강우-유출모형 매개변수의 변동성을 파악한 후 이를 확률밀도함수를 통해 모의할 수 있는 절차를 수립하고 둘째, 강우-유출 모의를 통해 앙상블형태의 유출수문곡선을 도출한다. 최종적으로 도출된 유출수문곡선 앙상블을 토대로 홍수량의 성장곡선(growth curve)를 개발하여 모의기반의 홍수빈도해석을 수행하고, 기존 수문해석절차와의 비교 분석을 통하여 제안된 방법론의 장단점을 평가하고자 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.7 no.3
• /
• pp.118-125
• /
• 2004

The purpose of this study is to decide an appropriate neighborhood and a transition rule of cellular automata by analyzing the past growth process of urban areas in Gimhae. With cellular automata which can manage the change based on the dynamic model and time, this study analyzes the urban growth of Gimhae from 1987 to 2001. Also, through the simulation of different types for neighborhood and transition rules, we can find the appropriate neighborhood and the transition rule for Gimhae. In conclusion, the forecast of physical urban growth pattern is more accurate under conditions when the number of matrixes for the neighborhood is small, the shape of the neighborhood is rectangular, "${\alpha}$" value, which control the pace of urban growth, is low and the transition possibility ($P_{ij}$) is high.