• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.139-147
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• 2023

As heavy precipitation rates have increased due to climate change, the risk of landslides has also become greater. Studies in the field of disaster risk assessment predominantly focus on evaluating intrinsic importance represented by the use or role of facilities. This work, however, focused on evaluating risks according to the external conditions of facilities, which were presented via debris flow simulation. A random walk model (RWM) was partially improved and used for the debris flow simulation. The existing RWM algorithm contained the problem of the simulation results being overly concentrated on the maximum slope line. To improve the model, the center cell height was adjusted and the inertia application method was modified. Facility information was collected from a digital topographic map layer. The risk level of each object was evaluated by combining the simulation result and the digital topographic map layer. A risk assessment technique suitable for the polygon and polyline layers was applied, respectively. Finally, by combining the evaluated risk with the attribute table of the layer, a system was prepared that could create a list of objects expected to be damaged, derive various statistics, and express the risk of each facility on a map. In short, we used an easy-to-understand simulation algorithm and proposed a technique to express detailed risk information on a map. This work will aid in the user-friendly development of a debris flow risk assessment system.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.30-40
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• 2022

Wildfires, which occur sporadically and irregularly worldwide, are distinct natural disturbances in combustible vegetation areas, important parts of the global carbon cycle, and natural disasters that cause severe public emergencies. While many previous studies have investigated the variability and changes in wildfires globally based on fire emissions, burned areas, and fire weather indices, studies on East Asia are still limited. Here, we explore the characteristics of variability and changes in wildfire danger over East Asia by analyzing the fire weather index for the 40 years-1981-2020. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of fire weather index variability represents an increasing trend in wildfire danger over most parts of East Asia over the last 40 years, accounting for 29% of the total variance. The major contributor is an increase in the surface temperature in East Asia associated with global warming and multidecadal ocean variations. The effect of temperature was slightly offset by the increase in soil moisture. The second EOF mode exhibits considerable interannual variability associated with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, accounting for 17% of the total variance. The increase (decrease) in precipitation in East Asia during El Nino (La Nina) increases (decreases) soil moisture, which in turn reduces (increases) wildfire danger. This dominant soil moisture effect was slightly offset by the temperature increase (decrease) during El Nino (La Nina). Improving the understanding of variability and changes in wildfire danger will have important implications for reducing social, economic, and ecological losses associated with wildfire occurrences.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1998.05b
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• pp.369-376
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• 1998

원자로 압력용기는 원자력발전소의 일차 압력경계를 구성하는 핵심 부품으로 이의 건전성은 원전의 안전성과 수명관리에 결정적인 영향을 미친다. 탄소강으로 구성된 압력용기는 노심에 근접하게 위치하여 운전중 계속되는 고속중성자 조사로 인하여 인성이 감소한다. 운전중 비상노심 냉각수가 주입되어 압력용기가 급격하게 냉각되면서 압력이 높게 유지되거나 재가압이 되는 가압열충격 현상이 발생하는 경우 조사취화된 압력용기가 적절한 안전여유를 가지지 못할 수도 있다. USNRC에서는 이에 대한 종합적인 연구결과를 바탕으로 가압열충격 규정을 제정하여 가압열충격 기준온도(RT$_{PTS}$)의 계산 방법과 심사기준온도를 제시하였다. 가압열충격 심사기준온도의 결정근거가 기술되어 있는 SECY 82-465에 의하면 축방향 용접부에 대한 위험도를 평가하여 270℉를 심사기준온도로 정하고 원주방향 용접부에 대해서는 30℉를 더하여 300℉를 심사기준온도로 제시하였다. 이 연구에서는 이렇게 제정된 원주방향 용접부에 대한 심사기준온도의 적정성을 평가하기 위하여 균열방향에 따른 가압열충격 위험도를 VISA-II 코드로 평가하였다. 우선 가압열충격 기준온도 제정 시 사용된 방법과 결과들을 검토하고 NRC의 계산결과를 재현하였다. 이를 바탕으로 원주방향 용접부에 대한 위험도를 평가한 결과 균열방향의 차이를 고려하기 위해 적용된 기술적 여유도인 30℉는 과도한 보수성을 내포하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 원주방향 용접부가 축방향 용접부와 동일한 수준의 가압열충격 위험도를 가지기 위한 심사기준온도 차이는 50℉ 이상인 것으로 평가되었다.을 수 있었다.ngineering because this field has large uncertainties on predicting the effect of earthquake on structures. This paper is based on the presented paper at the Bertero Symposium held in January 31an4 February 1 at Berkeley, California, USA which was entitled "Needs to Evaluate Real Seismic Performance of Buildings-Lessons from 1995 Hyogoken-Nambu Earthquake-". The lessons for buildings from the damage due to the Hyogoken-Nambu Earthquake are necessity to develop more rational seismic design codes based upon a performance-based design concept, and to evaluate seismic performance of existing buildings. In my keynote lecture at the Korean Association for Computational Structural Engineering, the history of seismic design and use of structural analysis in Japan, the lessons for buildings from

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.11 no.8
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• pp.229-236
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• 2020

This study was conducted to identify the influence of the convergent lifestyles of the elderly consisting of physical exercise, smoking, drinking and social participation and the types of social participation on the risk of cognitive decline by using the 6th Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing(KLoSA). Total 4,298 people aged 65 or older were included. Results show that all of lifestyle factors are significantly effected to prevent cognitive decline, social participation was derived as the most important explanatory variable to lower the risk of cognitive decline. In addition, participating in the religious groups, ascriptive groups, and expressive groups lowered the risk of cognitive decline. Therefore, active support at the community and policy for improving the convergent lifestyle of the elderly are needed.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.10
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• pp.342-350
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• 2008

The study begins with the proposition that customers' recognition of risk and their information level for a service firm and its product influence to the selection of information channel and loyalty of customers. Experimental study found that the likelihood of personal information channel selection would be increased as customers felt higher level of risk and as they had lower level of information when they purchased service products. The study also found that customer loyalty would be influenced by the risk recognition level, but the relationship between loyalty and information level was not significant.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2013.05a
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• pp.981-983
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• 2013

Damage of the road flooding has recently increased because of torrential rains. However, its prevention is in poor situation. In this study, we propose system expressing an information of flood risk for announcing to drivers to prevent damage of flooding or traffic jams. Our system implements on GUI enviroment that users can easily know the danger of road flooding using C# Language and ArcObjects API. If users use this system, they can know how dangerous of flooding.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.505-522
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• 2013

Previously, a new concept of indexing methodology has been proposed for quantitative assessment of tunnel collapse hazard level at each tunnel face with respect to the given geological data, design condition and the corresponding construction activity (Shin et al, 2009a). In this paper, 'linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are invariable, and 'non-linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are variable, are taken into account with some examples. Then, the 'non-linear' model is validated by using 100 tunnel collapse cases. It appears that 'non-linear' model allows us to have adapted weight values of influence factors to characteristics of given tunnel site. In order to make a better understanding and help for an effective use of the system, a series of operating processes of the system are built up. Then, by following the processes, the system is applied to a real-life tunnel project in very weak and varying ground conditions. Through this approach, it would be quite apparent that the tunnel collapse hazard indices are determined by well interlinked consideration of face mapping data as well as design/construction data. The calculated indices seem to be in good agreement with available electric resistivity distribution and design/construction status. In addition, This approach could enhance effective usage of face mapping data and lead timely and well corresponding field reactions to situation of weak tunnel faces.

• KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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• v.22 no.9
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• pp.441-448
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• 2016

RBAC(Role-Based Access Control), which is widely used in Medical Information Systems, is vulnerable to illegal access through abuse/misuse of permissions. In order to solve this problem, treatment based risk assessment of access requests is necessary. In this paper, we propose a risk evaluation method based on treatment information. We use network analysis to determine the correlation between treatment information and access objects. Risk evaluation can detect access that is unrelated to the treatment. It also provides indicators for information disclosure threats of insiders. We verify the validity using large amounts of data in real medical information systems.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.546-550
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 홍수시 제내지 침수로 인한 큰 인명 및 재산 피해의 가장 큰 원인이 되는 제방 붕괴과정을 제방의 침식 및 세굴이론 등 물리적 이론에 근거하여 해석하고 이를 토대로 하천제방 붕괴 모형을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형을 이용하여 하천제방 붕괴 모의를 수행하여 제내지의 2차원 침수양상을 분석하고 이를 이용하여 침수위험도를 작성하였다. 작성된 침수위험도는 제내지에 거주하는 주민들이 효율적으로 제방붕괴에 대한 대처할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 제방붕괴로 인한 홍수재해보험 보험요율 산정시 침수위험도에 근거한 합리적 산정이 가능할 것으로 판단되었다. 본 모형의 적용 결과 홍수로 인한 제내지 침수위험도 산정을 위해 하천흐름-제방붕괴-제내지 침수해석을 연계하여 일관성 있게 모의할 수 있는 수치모형을 개발하여 실제 유역에 적용한 결과 제내지에서의 침수심, 침수면적, 하천 홍수위, 제방붕괴 폭 등이 합리적으로 계산됨을 알 수 있었다. 시간에 따른 제방 붕괴폭은 기존의 모형에서 사용하고 있는 순간적, 선형적인 붕괴가 아니라 포물선형의 붕괴가 이루어지고 있었으며 시간에 따라 붕괴폭도 합리적으로 계산되고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 제내지의 침수심을 토대로 제내지 홍수시 침수위험도 산정기법을 개발하여 위험도를 산정한 결과 하천변에 위치한 지역이 위험도가 무조건적으로 높은 것은 아니라 지형에 따라 달라질 수 있음을 나타내었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2010.10a
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• pp.52-62
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• 2010

우리나라 손해보험 업계의 경영실적을 보면 2003년부터 2007까지 5년간 연평균 1조 1,130억원의 당기순이익이 발생하였으나 이는 투자이익에 기인한 것이고 손해보험사업 본업인 보험영업 손익에 있어서는 연평균 5,218억원의 손실을 기록하고 있다. 이와 같이 손실이 발생한 원인은 손해율 증감에 따른 보험요율의 조정미흡, 손해율상승 및 사업비 증가 등의 요인이 있으나 근본적인 요인은 해외 출수재의 불균등과 과다한 해외출재로 인한 수지차의 역조현상에 기인하고 있다. 특히 화재위험을 담보하고 있는 보험상품인 화재보험과 재산종합보험의 출재보험료는 약3,670억원으로써 전체 해외출재보험료에서 가장 높은 30.8%를 차지하고 있다. 이는 방재기술(Loss Control)의 활용미흡과 방재기술에 근간을 두고 있지 못한 보험인수 정책 즉 언더라이팅(Underwriting)기법의 낙후 때문이라고 할 수 있다. 따라서 전통적인 보험 상품인 화재보험에서 보험인수시 물건의 위험도를 측정할 수 있는 화재위험도 평가기법이 필요하고 이를 근간으로 위험을 인수하고 보유의 규모를 결정할 수 있는 체계의 구축이 필요한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 특정물건의 화재보험 인수과정에서 건물에 내재된 잠재 화재위험의 고저 또는 양 불량을 판정할 수 있는 화재위험도 평가 모형을 개발한 후 이 평가 모형에서 산출된 화재위험도보유계수를 활용하여 보유금액을 결정할 수 있는 보험인수 모형을 도출 하였다.