• Title/Summary/Keyword: 데이터 불확실성 분석

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Development of Structural Reliability Analysis Platform of FERUM-MIDAS for Reliability-Based Safety Evaluation of Bridges (신뢰도 기반 교량 안전성 평가를 위한 구조신뢰성 해석 플랫폼 FERUM-MIDAS의 개발)

  • Lee, Seungjun;Lee, Young-Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.884-891
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    • 2020
  • The collapse of bridges can cause massive casualties and economic losses. Therefore, it is thus essential to evaluate the structural safety of bridges. For this task, structural reliability analysis, considering various bridge-related uncertainty factors, is often used. This paper proposes a new computational platform to perform structural reliability analysis for bridges and evaluate their structural safety under various loading conditions. For this purpose, a software package of reliability analysis, Finite Element Reliability Using MATLAB (FERUM), was integrated with MIDAS/CIVIL, which is a widely-used commercial software package specialized for bridges. Furthermore, a graphical user interface (GUI) control module has been added to FERUM to overcome the limitations of software operation. In this study, the proposed platform was applied to a simple frame structure, and the analysis results of the FORM (First-Order Reliability Method) and MCS (Monte Carlo simulation), which are representative reliability analysis methods, were compared. The proposed platform was verified by confirming that the calculated failure probability difference was less than 5%. In addition, the structural safety of a pre-stressed concrete (PSC) bridge was evaluated considering the KL-510 vehicle model. The proposed new structural reliability analysis platform is expected to enable an effective reliability-based safety evaluation of bridges.

The Effect of Self-Efficacy and Failure Experience on the Needs of Start-up Support Services (창업자의 자기효능감 및 실패 경험이 창업지원서비스에 대한 니즈에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Il-Sook;Sul, Won-Sik
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we hypothesized that the needs for start-up support services may vary depending on the founder's psychological characteristics, such as self-efficacy or his attitude toward uncertainty. To verify this, a survey was conducted on the founders of 86 companies located in Business Incubators at Seoul and Daejeon and an empirical analysis was conducted based on the data. According to the analysis, the higher the self-efficacy of the founder, the more active he expressed his willingness to accept the start-up support service, which aims to provide start-up zones to busy areas outside the university. While the founder, who has experienced failure in the past, responded positively to attracting customers located outside the university. The results of this study supported the hypothesis and suggest that differentiated start-up support services should be designed by including not only characteristics at the level of start-up companies, such as industries and growth stages, but also the psychological characteristics of start-ups in important consideration.

The Effects of Individual Characteristics and Entrepreneurship on Entrepreneurial Intentions: Moderating effect of Hofstede's Cultures Dimensions (개인 특성 및 기업가정신이 창업의도에 미치는 영향: 홉스테드 문화특성의 조절 효과를 중심으로)

  • Oh, Hae Dong;Choi, Jiyeon;Noh, Jeon Pyo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2016
  • Individual characteristics and entrepreneurship are important factors to determine entrepreneurial intentions. Despite this, little attention has been given to external factors, which effects to venture start-up decision. This study examines the relationship between individual characteristics and entrepreneurship by moderating effect of Hofstede's cultures dimensions theory. For this, 244 copies of the questionnaire were empirically analyzed. According to the results of analysis, internal locus of control, self-efficacy were found to have positive effects on autonomy, innovativeness, pro-activeness. In addition, uncertainty avoidance of Hofstede's cultures dimensions theory were found the moderating effects on entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial intentions. Therefore, this study suggests theoretical and practical implications, as below, according to the results. Firstly, pro-activeness take a important part on venture start-up. Thus, venture start-up institution and venture managers need to develop "venture education curriculum" that fostering the pro-activeness mind of entrepreneur. Secondly, In order to anticipate entrepreneurial intentions more precisely, analyzing the interaction between environmental variables and individual variables is desirable. Lastly, in the future study of entrepreneurship, the comprehensive analysis of correlation between the factors that including three factors of entrepreneurship is need to be conducted and more effective way of readdressing the entrepreneurship is necessary.

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Development of Risk Analysis Structure for Large-scale Underground Construction in Urban Areas (도심지 대규모 지하공사의 리스크 분석 체계 개발)

  • Seo, Jong-Won;Yoon, Ji-Hyeok;Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Jee, Sung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2010
  • Systematic risk management is necessary in grand scaled urban construction because of the existence of complicated and various risk factors. Problems of obstructions, adjacent structures, safety, environment, traffic and geotechnical properties need to be solved because urban construction is progressed in limited space not as general earthwork. Therefore the establishment of special risk management system is necessary to manage not only geotechnical properties but also social and cultural uncertainties. This research presents the technique analysis by the current state of risk management technique. Risk factors were noticed and the importance of each factor was estimated through survey. The systemically categorized database was established. Risk extraction module, matrix and score module were developed based on the database. Expected construction budget and time distribution can be computed by Monte Carlo analysis of probabilities and influences. Construction budgets and time distributions of before and after response can be compared and analyzed 80 the risks are manageable for entire whole construction time. This system will be the foundation of standardization and integration. Procurement, efficiency improvement, effective time and resource management are available through integrated management technique development and application. Conclusively decrease in cost and time is expected by systemization of project management.

Development of Traffic Accidents Prediction Model With Fuzzy and Neural Network Theory (퍼지 및 신경망 이론을 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-Uk;Nam, Gung-Mun;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2006
  • It is important to clarify the relationship between traffic accidents and various influencing factors in order to reduce the number of traffic accidents. This study developed a traffic accident frequency prediction model using by multi-linear regression and qualification theories which are commonly applied in the field of traffic safety to verify the influences of various factors into the traffic accident frequency The data were collected on the Korean National Highway 17 which shows the highest accident frequencies and fatality rates in Chonbuk province. In order to minimize the uncertainty of the data, the fuzzy theory and neural network theory were applied. The neural network theory can provide fair learning performance by modeling the human neural system mathematically. Tn conclusion, this study focused on the practicability of the fuzzy reasoning theory and the neural network theory for traffic safety analysis.

Cultural Differences of Choice on Interaction Problem (인터랙션 문제에 대한 선택의 문화적 차이)

  • Yeoun, Myeong-Heum
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.711-720
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    • 2010
  • This study is aimed to compare choices on interaction problems, and to consider the reason of the choices. It was expected that the interaction problems are influenced from national culture, age, gender and so on. The first interaction problem in this study is default answer button when user operates to delete all messages on SMS in-box. Second one is action when pop-p window warning dangerousness of install showed on web browsing. The third one is type(analog/digital) and information expression of control panel on soup maker. 639 Korean data and 784 data from China, Japan and the Netherlands are analyzed through cross-tabulation and chi-square test. In the results, many Japanese choose 'No' answer at SMS delete problem, while many Dutch choose 'Yes'. The result suggests that uncertainty avoidance effect on interaction problems. On warning pop-up, Younger generation and men choose actively 'install' than older one and women. On type of control panel, Dutch subjects preferred analog type than other countries' subjects. On expression of control panel, older generation and individualistic subjects relatively preferred text style than other style.

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A dispatching policy for stochastic scheduling simulation considering machine breakdowns (연구연속제조업 일정계획 문제에서 기계고장을 고려한 통계적 시뮬레이션 Dispatching 방법 연구)

  • Ko, Dong-Jin;Lee, Chul-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2010
  • We develop a dispatching policy for stochastic scheduling simulation especially for a continuous manufacturing system with machine breakdowns. The proposed dispatching policy computes an urgency index with the consideration of re-heating, setup cost and remaining due date. Prioritized by the index, we execute swapping or reassigning material sequences so as to minimize the total penalty cost. To evaluate the performance of the proposed policy, a discrete event simulation is developed. With 200 data sets and 20 iterations, we compare the performance of the urgency policy with those of SPT (Shortest Processing Time) and FCFS (First Come First Serve) which are the most common policies. The result shows that the proposed policy consistently gives the lowest total costs by reducing the penalty costs for lateness.

A Study on ICT Conversion and Change of Industrial Society (ICT 융합과 산업사회의 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Moon, Seung Hyeog
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.653-658
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    • 2021
  • Convergence of ICT technology and various industry have been proliferated. It makes human life affluent pulling existing industry paradigm down while they do not realize. Also, it impacts on personal life and becomes a driving force which strengthen the state level and its competitiveness. Complexity is increasing, knowledge is expanding and ICT technology is evolving in the present industrial society. Thus, new business model is being created, established business without competitiveness is eliminated and new ecosystem is constructed for industry change or creation. The new business and its competitive order driving in current convergence environment is apt to be exposed to uncertainty risk. These changes promote the collapse of existing industry or create new business models. There are digital transformation and ICT convergence in the center of the changes. The change of society and industry caused by this phenomenon will be analyzed. Also, development direction, strategy and execution method for securing industry competitiveness of ICT convergence will be researched.

Water management digital transformation, digital twin-based water management platform development (물관리 디지털 전환, 디지털 트윈 기반 플랫폼 구축)

  • Kim, Hyun-jin;Kwon, Moon-hyuck;Cho, Wan-hee;Kim, Ki-chul;Kim, Jin-gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.284-287
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    • 2022
  • In order to respond to the complexity and uncertainty of water management due to the climate crisis, K-water established a digital twin water management platform based on our experience in operating ICT infrastructure such as hydrological data sensing and high-quality data management and water management capabilities. In this platform, data from related organizations and real-time observation data in the basin are displayed on 3D topographic domain. Also it is configured to support optimal decision-making through simulation for various situations, displaying and analyzing results, and feedback on them. It is completed to establish the platform for Sunjim river basin. Based on this technologies and experience, K-water is planning to expand this digital twin to 5 major rivers in Korea. Through this, it plans to build comprehensive decision-making system for efficient water management considering various conditions in entire basin. Also it aims to create a new water industrial ecosystem and contribute to secure technological competitiveness cooperating with private companies.

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Development of Overseas Construction Big Issues based on Analysis of Big Data (빅 데이터 분석을 통한 해외건설 빅 이슈 개발)

  • Park, Hwanpyo;Han, Jaegoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • This study derived big issues in overseas construction through big data analysis. To derive big issues in overseas construction, candidate groups of big issues were identified through big data analysis targeting 53,759 issues including 39,436 issues from major portal sites, 10,387 issues from daily newspapers, and 336 issues in construction magazines from Oct. 1, 2016 to Sep. 30, 2017. The main results are as follows: First, the main issues of overseas construction for the past one year showed that markets were concentrated in Middle East Asia and most of them were low-price order plant projects, which revealed the limitations. Although orders of overseas construction were slightly upward in the first half of 2017 compared to previous year, overseas construction orders are still unstable due to uncertainties in the international affairs and drops in oil prices. Second, the interest topics based on the 8th core keywords of overseas construction among the overseas construction issues for the past one year showed that region (29.9%), corporation environment (22.0%), profitability (17.0%), organizations (15.1%), projects (5.2%), market environment (3.6%), policy and system (3.6%), and education (3.5%) in the order of interest. Third, 10 core issues that have expandability and persistence of discourse were extracted out of 30 issue candidates with regard to eight keywords. Based on the extracted issues, detailed analysis on each of the core issues in overseas construction and correlation analysis between 10 core issues were conducted.