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Analysis of Determinants of Electricity Import and Export in Europe Using Spatial Econometrics (공간계량 방법론을 활용한 유럽의 전력수출입 결정요인 분석)

  • Hong, Won Jun;Lee, Jihoon;Noh, Jooman;Cho, Hong Chong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.435-469
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to identify the determinants of electricity import and export in 26 European Union countries using the Spatial durbin model(SDM). In particular, we would like to mainly explain it based on the amount of power generated by each energy source. Not just the usual way of constructing a weighting matrix based on contiguity, we adopt a weighting method based on the proportion of trade among countries with connected electricity systems. Moreover, the electricity systems of European countries are directly and indirectly connected, which is reflected in the weighting matrix. According to the results, nuclear power has a positive effect on exports and a negative effect on imports, and an increase in wind and solar power has a positive effect on both exports and imports by increasing power system instability. While Korea is unable to trade electricity due to geopolitical conditions, the results of this study are expected to provide implications for energy policies.

Analysing Spatial Usage Characteristics of Shared E-scooter: Focused on Spatial Autocorrelation Modeling (공유 전동킥보드의 공간적 이용특성 분석: 공간자기상관모형을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sujae;Koack, Minjung;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Sanghun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.54-69
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    • 2021
  • Policy improvement such as the revision of the Road Traffic Act are proposed for personal mobility(especially e-scooter) usage. However, there is not enough discussion to solve the problem of using shared e-scooter. In this study, we analyze the influencing factors that amount of pick-up and drop-off of shared e-scooter by dividing the Seoul into a 200m grid. we develop spatial auotcorrelation model such as spatial lag model, spatial error model, spatial durbin model, and spatial durbin error model in order to consider the characteristics of the aggregated data based on a specific space, and the spatial durbin error model is selected as the final model. As a result, demographic factor, land use factor, and transport facility factors have statistically significant impacts on usage of shared e-scooter. The result of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting efficient operation strategies considering the characteristics of weekday and weekend.

Design of a Lossless Audio Coding Using Cholesky Decomposition and Golomb-Rice Coding (콜레스키 분해와 골롬-라이스 부호화를 이용한 무손실 오디오 부호화기 설계)

  • Cheong, Cheon-Dae;Shin, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.1480-1490
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    • 2008
  • Design of a linear predictor and matching of an entropy coder is the art of lossless audio coding. In this paper, we use the covariance method and the Choleskey decomposition for calculating linear prediction coefficients instead of the autocorreation method and the Levinson-Durbin recursion. These results are compared to the polynomial predictor. Both of them, the predictor which has small prediction error is selected. For the entropy coding, we use the Golomb-Rice coder using the block-based parameter estimation method and the sequential adaptation method with LOCO-land RLGR. The proposed predictor and the block-based parameter estimation have $2.2879%{\sim}0.3413%$ improved compression ratios compared to FLAC lossless audio coder which use the autocorrelation method and the Levinson-Durbin recursion. The proposed predictor and the LOCO-I adaptation method could improved by $2.2879%{\sim}0.3413%$. But the proposed predictor and the RLGR adaptation method got better results with specific signals.

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Theoretical Foundations and a Conceptual Model of Therapeutic Readers' Advisory Services (치료적 독자상담의 이론적 근거와 개념적 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kee-Myung;Lee, Jae-Whoan
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 2012
  • The purposes of this research are to search and analyze information theories which are useful to approach bibliotherapy in terms of 'therapeutic' readers' advisory service, and to propose a conceptual model of 'therapeutic' readers' advisory service on the basis of such theoretical foundations. To the end, Dervin's sense-making theory and Kuhlthau's ISP model are introduced and applied to the conceptual model. The conceptual model is profoundly based on Dervin's situation-gap-use metaphor and Kuhlthau's Uncertainty Principle.

Estimating Automobile Insurance Premiums Based on Time Series Regression (시계열 회귀모형에 근거한 자동차 보험료 추정)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Park, Wonseo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.237-252
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    • 2013
  • An estimation model for premiums and components is essential to determine reasonable insurance premiums. In this study, we introduce diverse models for the estimation of property damage premiums(premium, depth and frequency) that include a regression model using a dummy variable, additive independent variable model, autoregressive error model, seasonal ARIMA model and intervention model. In addition, the actual property damage premium data was used to estimate the premium, depth and frequency for each model. The estimation results of the models are comparatively examined by comparing the RMSE(Root Mean Squared Errors) of estimates and actual data. Based on real data analysis, we found that the autoregressive error model showed the best performance.

Incorporating Users into System Design Processes: Overview and a Proposed User Model (이용자 중심의 시스템 디자인 방법론에 대한 개략 및 이용자 모델 제시)

  • Ju, Bo-Ryung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.22 no.4 s.58
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2005
  • In order to make interactive computing systems, including information systems, usable it is important to bring users into the design process. This article surveys and introduces several major system design approaches that are widely accepted as approaches from a users' perspective. A user model developed by the author is introduced following these existing approaches. This user model is developed from actual users' understanding of their goals and strategies to solve their information needs by using Dervin's Sense-Making Theory with Sense-Making Timeline Interviews. This user model reveals a different timeline from the default menu presentation orders that originally comes with the software. Steps for developing a user model from the Sense-Making Timeline Interviews are suggested for further application and guidelines in developing user models for system design and evaluation.

Improvement of the Linear Predictive Coding with Windowed Autocorrelation (윈도우가 적용된 자기상관에 의한 선형예측부호의 개선)

  • Lee, Chang-Young;Lee, Chai-Bong
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.186-192
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a new procedure for improvement of the linear predictive coding. To reduce the error power incurred by the coding, we interchanged the order of the two procedures of windowing on the signal and linear prediction. This scheme corresponds to LPC extraction with windowed autocorrelation. The proposed method requires more calculational time because it necessitates matrix inversion on more parameters than the conventional technique where an efficient Levinson-Durbin recursive procedure is applicable with smaller parameters. Experimental test over various speech phonemes showed, however, that our procedure yields about 5 % less power distortion compared to the conventional technique. Consequently, the proposed method in this paper is thought to be preferable to the conventional technique as far as the fidelity is concerned. In a separate study of speaker-dependent speech recognition test for 50 isolated words pronounced by 40 people, our approach yielded better performance too.

Classification of Whale Sounds using LPC and Neural Networks (신경망과 LPC 계수를 이용한 고래 소리의 분류)

  • An, Woo-Jin;Lee, Eung-Jae;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Chong, Ui-Pil
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2017
  • The underwater transients signals contain the characteristics of complexity, time varying, nonlinear, and short duration. So it is very hard to model for these signals with reference patterns. In this paper we separate the whole length of signals into some short duration of constant length with overlapping frame by frame. The 20th LPC(Linear Predictive Coding) coefficients are extracted from the original signals using Durbin algorithm and applied to neural network. The 65% of whole signals were learned and 35% of the signals were tested in the neural network with two hidden layers. The types of the whales for sound classification are Blue whale, Dulsae whale, Gray whale, Humpback whale, Minke whale, and Northern Right whale. Finally, we could obtain more than 83% of classification rate from the test signals.

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A Critical Reinterpretation of Dervin's Sense-Making Theory as Communication Theory (소통 이론으로서 Dervin의 의미형성 이론의 비판적 재해석)

  • Park, Seongwoo;Hong, Soram
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.193-214
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    • 2022
  • Sense-Making Theory gives persuasive power to information seeking behavior while acknowledging the diversity of subjects. It is being used as a theory and methodology to explain the phenomenon of information seeking in various temporal and spatial contexts related to the communication of individuals' inner realms, face-to-face, organization, and mass communication. However, it is not to be a theory to explain the information seeking behavior of a group in that it explains the individual epistemological interpretation of the subjects. Also, the purpose of the theory was to establish a receiver-centered communication theory that constructs sense-making by itself, away from the receiver who unilaterally accepts the sender's information from the perspective of communication theory. However, Dervin accepted the existence of object information without explaining the relationship between the recipient's external information and the receiver. Owing to the establishing his concept of information following the Popper(1972)'s world concept, its object of observation is not World III(objective content of thought), but the process of sense making in which World II(psychological world) receives information generated in World III. In this context, Dervin's theory is not to explain the communication behavior at a group level.

Prediction of Seasonal Nitrate Concentration in Springs on the Southern Slope of Jeju Island using Multiple Linear Regression of Geographic Spatial Data (지리 공간 자료의 다중회귀분석을 이용한 제주도 남측사면 용천수의 시기별 질산성 질소 농도 예측)

  • Jung, Youn-Young;Koh, Dong-Chan;Kang, Bong-Rae;Ko, Kyung-Suk;Yu, Yong-Jae
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-152
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    • 2011
  • Nitrate concentrations in springs at the southern slope of Jeju Island were predicted using multiple linear regression (MLR) of spatial variables including hydrogeological parameters and land use characteristics. Springs showed wide range of nitrate concentrations from <0.02 to 86 mg/L with a mean of 20 mg/L. Spatial variables were generated for the circular buffer when the optimal buffer radius was assigned as 400 m. Selected regression models were tested using the p values and Durbin-Watson statistics. Explanatory variables were selected using the adjusted $R^2$, Cp (total squared error) and AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion), and significance. In addition, mutual linear relations between variables were also considered. Small portion of springs, usually <10% of total samples, were identified as outliers indicating limitations of MLR using circular buffers. Adjusted $R^2$ of the proposed models was improved from 0.75 to 0.87 when outliers were eliminated. In particular, the areal proportion of natural area had the greatest influence on the nitrate concentrations in springs. Among anthropogenic land uses, the influence of nitrate contamination is diminishing in the following order of orchard, residential area, and dry farmland. It is apparent quality of springs in the study area is likely to be controlled by land uses instead of hydrogeological parameters. Most of all, it is worth highlighting that the contamination susceptibility of springs is highly sensitive to nearby land uses, in particular, orchard.