• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대안

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Dialetheism and the Sorites Paradox (양진주의와 더미 역설)

  • Lee, Jinhee
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.87-124
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    • 2019
  • A dialetheic approach to the sorites paradox is to understand a borderline case as a true contradiction. In order to accommodate this approach, the possibility of an alternative that does not involve a contradiction should be considered first. Beall presents an alternative that has all virtues of dialetheic solution without contradiction. I do not think his alternative has no contradiction. Using the inclosure schema I will show it. Furthermore, I will show that all alternatives which do not accept the existence of cut-off point imply a contradiction. This means that we have to accept a true contradiction as long as we accept the intuition of vagueness, especially, what is called 'tolerance'.

Development of an Technique for Assessing Priority of Alternatives in Railroad Projects Considering Civil Petitions (민원을 고려한 철도대안 우선순위 판단기법 개발)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Hong, Sang-Yeon;Kim, Dong-Jun;Kim, Dong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2005
  • Through rail transit has many merits as a safe, environmental harmonic and scheduled transit, there are many problems to construct railroads because of the public resentment. However, there is no reasonable way to settle the conflict properly and it causes enormous social and economic losses. This paper suggests a methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). However, the result from the AHP has some defects to control conflicts because the interests related to railroad projects are so complex that it is hard to make people persuaded easily. Therefore, this paper suggests 'the improvement ranking method', 'the sensitive analysis', and 'the assessment of independence relationship' which can aid the basic AHP to be robust. And the AHP. modified by fuzzy method, is also suggested to apply this methodology to example rail paths in Korea.

Evaluating the Policy of Transfer System to Promote a Use of the Busan Subway (지하철 이용 활성화를 위한 환승체계의 정책대안 평가)

  • Jung, Hun-Young;Choi, Chi-Gook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.2 s.73
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper presents realistic policy alternative about recent tendency to decrease of subway-users and diminution of use efficiency which are serious problems of Busan Subway. Several policy alternatives have been studied until now, such as subway transfer impedance solution plan, introduction of subway to transfer fare discounting policy, and etc.. But, those policy alternatives are difficult to carried out, because they are less effective and overburden to financial aspect. Therefore, I made use of research on subway utilization to presuppose service improvement, as an alternative, in the transfer fare discounting system between bus and subway which might be powerful influence over subway-users. To verify this proposed study, I took advantage of Stated Preference(SP) where I estimated fare revenue and effects on fluctuation of subway-users with nested logit model based on research results. Suitable alternatives are as follows: First, If municipal government carries out transfer fare discounting policy without shortening in-vehicle time and out-of-vehicle time transfer fare, it is reasonable to discount transfer fare 50% off on the assumption of financial support as much as \6.700 million annually. Secondly, in case of application of multi-factors at a time, transfer fare discounting and in & out vehicle time, it is preferred to have no charge for transfer option with financial support as much as expected income-loss \5,600 million.

Establishment of Resilient Infrastructures for the Mitigation of an Urban Water Problem: 1. Robustness Assessment of Structural Alternatives for the Problem of Urban Floods (도시 물 문제 저감을 위한 회복탄력적 사회기반시설 구축: 1. 도시 홍수 문제 구조적 대안의 내구성 평가)

  • Lee, Changmin;Jung, Jihyeun;An, Jinsung;Kim, Jae Young;Choi, Yongju
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2016
  • Current cities encounter various types of water problems due to rapid urbanization and climate change. The increasing significance of urban water problems calls for the establishment of resilient alternatives to prevent and minimize social loss that results from these phenomena. As a background research for establishing resilient infrastructures for the mitigation of urban water problems, we evaluated the robustness of structural alternatives for urban flood as a representative case. Combining the robustness index (RI) and the cost index (CI), we suggested the robustness-cost index (RCI) as an indicator of the robustness of structural alternatives, and applied the index to assess the existing infrastructures and structural alternatives (i.e., sewer network expansion, additional storage tank construction, and green roof construction) at a site prone to floods located around Gangnam-station, Seoul, Korea. At a rainfall intensity frequency range of 2 to 20 years, the usage of a storage tank and a green roof showed relatively high RCI value, with a variation of an alternative showing greater RCI between the two depending on the size of design rainfall. For a rainfall intensity frequency of 30 years, installing a storage tank with some green roofing was the most resilient alternative based on the RCI value. We proposed strategies for establishing resilient infrastructures for the mitigation of urban floods by evaluating the robustness of existing infrastructures and selecting optimal structural alternatives with the consideration of scales of design disaster.

Capital Budgeting Methods Are Not Enough : Justification of Automation Projects

  • 박용태
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 1993
  • 최근, 시장환경 및 생산구조의 변화에 따라 이른바 첨단생산기술(advanced manufacturing technologies)의 개발과 활용이 산업계 및 학계의 큰 관심을 끌고 있다. 그러나 첨단생산기술의 급속한 기술적 발전과 전략적 가치의 증가에도 불구하고 산업에의 확산은 상대적으로 부진한 현실이다. 이러한 현상은 물론 초기 투자의 재원도달 문제에 기인한다고 말할 수 있지만 일차적으로는 적절한 대안을 선정하고 투자의 정당성을 분석하는 방법론의 미비도 그 원인으로 지적되고 있다. 본 고는 전통적(conventional) 생산기술과 비교한 첨단생산기술과 비교한 첨단생산기술의 특성에 대한 이해를 기초로, 새로운 기술대안들을 비교 분석하는 구체적인 기법의 개발에 관한 접근의 방향성과 개념의 틀(framework)을 제시하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 첨단생산기술의 대안선정과 정당성분석은 다음과 몇 가지 특성을 지니고 있다. 첫째, 투자대안의 속성이 다양하며(multi-attribute) 각각의 속성이 상위 적(conflicting)일 수 있다. 둘째, 기술대안들의 잠재적 기능이 생산체제의 신축성과 유연성(flexible)의 제고를 강조하고 있다. 셋째, 개별기술의 통합을 통해 시스템 전체의 상승효과(synergy effect)를 추구하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 특성에 대한 인식을 토대로 정량적이고 전략적인 장·단점에 대한 고려를 포함하는 종합적이고 객관적인 분석의 틀과 기법이 사용되지 않으면 첨단생산기술의 성공적인 도입과 활용은 기대하기 어려운 것이다. 새로운 생산기술의 도입이 공정의 부분적 개선을 위한 소규모 투자일 경우에는 경제성의 분석을 위해서는 전통적인 재무관리(capital budgeting) 기법들이 이용될 수 있고 직접적인 공정개선의 효과분석을 위해서는 시뮬레이션을 적용하는 것이 바람직하다고 할 수 있다. 그러나 기술대안의 규모가 크고 따라서 그 파급효과가 전체공정으로 확산되는 대규모 사업일 경우에는 다양한 장·단점들을 고려하는 종합적인 접근의 틀이 필요하게 된다. 이러한 방법들을 크게 세 가지 형태로 나누어 보면 (1) 모든 대안들에 대해, 모든 요소들에 관한 비교분석을 동시에 실시하는 동시적 접근(simultaneous approach), (2) 대안 또는 요소들을 그 성격에 따라 계층적 구조로 분할하고 단계별로 비교분석을 실시하는 계층적 접근(hierarchical approach), (3) 요소들을 속성에 따라 몇 개의 소그룹으로 나누고 각 그룹에 대해 순차적으로 대안들을 비교분석 함으로써 고려대상이 되는 대안들을 줄여나가는 순차적 접근(sequtial approach)등을 들 수 있다 이러한 접근법들의 장·단점들을 사업의 규모나 복잡성에 따라 달라지게 된다. 또한 동일한 접근방법 내에서도 구체적인 기법의 선택과 개발도 문제의 특성에 따라 달리 결정되어야 한다. 그러나 어떠한 경우에도 오늘날의 첨단생산기술에의 투자는 현금의 흐름에 대한 계량적 분석에만 의존하는 전통적인 기법만으로는 불충분하며 기업목표와 생산조직 전반에 관한 전략적 요소들을 포함하는 종합적인 접근이 바람직하다.

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An Assessment of the Alternative Selection of Energy System using AHP (AHP를 이용한 에너지시스템 대안 선정 평가)

  • Lee, Deok Ki;Park, Soo Uk;Yang, Jong Tack;Gim, Bong Jin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.611-635
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    • 2003
  • This study deals with the "Dissemination Stage", the final step in the R&D process consisting of R&DDD($R&D^3$ : Research & Development, Demonstration, Dissemination). At the "Dissemination Stage", the newly configured technical design is compared with other alternatives to come up with the most desirable selection. The assessment conducted at this stage is not a simple procedure. It goes through the complex evaluation process in which various elements including economic effects and technical characteristics are considered. The reason for taking such a complex procedure is that the assessment, selection and application of the desirable technical alternative is critical for the company's competitive edge in every field of industrial sectors, thus influencing its survival and continuous growth. This study reviews the AHP method for assessing technical alternatives of the heat supply system design. And, to show the practical validity of the AHP method, it is applied to the evaluation of waste heat system alternatives in the field of energy supply system technology.

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An Experimental Study on the Prospect Theory (전망이론에 관한 실험연구)

  • Guahk, Seyoung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2017
  • This paper performed an experimental study to test the validity of the prospect theory proposed by Tversky and Kahneman as an alternative to the expected utility theory. 115 college students attended the hypothetical games to choose one of two lotteries, one is safe option while the other one is risky. The risky options were set up to have low, medium or high probability of payoffs or losses. The amount of payoffs and losses of the lotteries was either large or small. Maximum likelihood estimation of the hypothetical games have shown that in case of high probability of positive payoffs the respondents were risk averse and when the probability of positive payoffs were small the respondents were risk loving. when the possibility of loss is high they were risk loving, while the probability is of loss is low the respondents were found to be risk averse. When the probability of risky options were medium the results were significant statistically in case of only losses. The amount of positive payoff or losses does not affect the results. Overall the results of this experiments support the prospect theory more than those of Laury & Holts (2008).

An Analysis of Alternatives for the Acquisition of Naval Surface Ships based on a Multi-Objective Decision-Making Method (다목표 의사결정 방법론 기반의 수상함 획득대안 분석)

  • Kim, Kyong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.3841-3848
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    • 2012
  • The process of an analysis of alternatives(AoA) attempts to select the best and balanced solution among a set of multiple candidate solutions under the constraints of cost, schedule, performance and risk(CSPR). The traditional AoA for the acquisition of a new weapon system has usually centered on the sequence of the requirement analysis, design synthesis, and cost estimation. An improved process for AoA is developed in this paper based on a multi-objective decision-making method, which is intended to be applied in the design concept refinement and material solution analysis stage for the acquisition of naval surface ships. The presentation of the proposed AoA approach is then followed by a case study for the next generation multi-purpose training ship based on the principles of systems engineering and also using the models of the effectiveness measure, cost estimation, and risk assessments.

The Role of Alternative Attractiveness in the Relationships among Job Performance, Satisfaction, Organizational Commitment, and Turnover Intention (영업사원의 직무성과, 만족, 조직몰입, 이직의도와의 관계에서 대안 매력도의 역할)

  • 전광호;김상용
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.45-73
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    • 2004
  • The goal of this study is to broaden our understanding about the antecedents for job turnover intention of salesforces. In addition to the previously studied antecedents such as job performance, satisfaction, organizational commitment, in this study we are particularly interested in the variable of alternative attractiveness which is often studied in social exchange theory, Thus, we suggest a model with a new antecedent for job turnover intention by introducing alternative attractiveness. We collected and analyzed the data from the survey on the 178 salespeople at the life insurance companies. We find the alternative attractiveness as an significant antecedent for the turnover intention. Specifically, the more attractive the alternative the greater the intention of turnover. However, we also find that the salesforces are less attracted to the alternative if they are satisfied with their works, Therefore, we believed this research can be a seminary work with the relational perspective for the studies of salesforce management.

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Re-evaluation of comprehensive flood management plan for the Yeongsan river basin using Robust Decision Making (로버스트 의사결정을 이용한 영산강유역 종합치수계획 재평가)

  • Kang, Dong-Heon;Kim, Young-Oh;Park, Junehyeong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2017
  • This research adopted a Robust Decision Making framework to re-evaluate four alternative strategies proposed by the Comprehensive Flood Management Plan for the Yeongsan River Basin report (MLTM, 2005) considering uncertainties of future floods under condition of climate change. To reflect the uncertainties, multiple sets of future flood scenarios were used with three uncertainty factors: the change in rainfall intensity based on the RCP climate change scenarios and the changes in the temporal and the spatial flood distributions. With combinations of these factors, 216 plausible flood scenario sets were generated and the performances of the four alternatives under different future states were evaluated. From the results, the most robust alternative among the strategies was identified. Moreover, the key factors which made the tested alternatives poor were discovered through assessment of the uncertainty factors. This information can provide detailed insights to decision makers and can be utilized to overcome alternatives' potential vulnerabilities by modifying the strategy to be more robust.