• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대설지역

Search Result 65, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Probable annual maximum of daily snowfall using improved probability distribution (개선된 확률밀도함수 적용을 통한 빈도별 적설심 산정)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.4
    • /
    • pp.259-271
    • /
    • 2020
  • In Korea, snow damage has happened in the region with little snowfalls in history. Also, accidental damage was caused by heavy snow leads and the public interest on heavy snow has been increased. Therefore, policy about the Natural Disaster Reduction Comprehensive Plan has been changed to include the mitigation measures of snow damage. However, since heavy snow damage was not frequent, studies on snowfall have not been conducted on different points. The characteristics of snow data commonly are not the same as the rainfall data. Some southern coastal areas in Korea are snowless during the year. Therefore, a joint probability distribution was suggested to analyze the snow data with many 0s in a previous research and fitness from the joint probability distribution was higher than the conventional methods. In this study, snow frequency analysis was implemented using the joint probability distribution and compared to the design codes. The results were compared to the design codes. The results of this study can be used as the basic data to develop a procedure for the snow frequency analysis in the future.

Cloud-cell Tracking Analysis using Satellite Image of Extreme Heavy Snowfall in the Yeongdong Region (영동지역의 극한 대설에 대한 위성관측으로부터 구름 추적)

  • Cho, Young-Jun;Kwon, Tae-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.83-107
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study presents spatial characteristics of cloud using satellite image in the extreme heavy snowfall of the Yeongdong region. 3 extreme heavy snowfall events in the Yeongdong region during the recent 12 years (2001 ~ 2012) are selected for which the fresh snow cover exceed 50 cm/day. Spatial characteristics (minimum brightness temperature; Tmin, cloud size, center of cloud-cell) of cloud are analyzed by tracking main cloud-cell related with these events. These characteristics are compared with radar precipitation in the Yeongdong region to investigate relationship between cloud and precipitation. The results are summarized as follows, selected extreme heavy snowfall events are associated with the isolated, well-developed, and small-scale convective cloud which is developing over the Yeongdong region or moving from over East Korea Bay to the Yeongdong region. During the period of main precipitation, cloud-cell Tmin is low ($-40{\sim}-50^{\circ}C$) and cloud area is small (17,000 ~ 40,000 $km^2$). Precipitation area (${\geq}$ 0.5 mm/hr) from radar also shows small and isolated shape (4,000 ~ 8,000 $km^2$). The locations of the cloud and precipitation are similar, but in there centers are located closely to the coast of the Yeongdong region. In all events the extreme heavy snowfall occur in the period a developed cloud-cell was moving into the coastal waters of the Yeongdong. However, it was found that developing stage of cloud and precipitation are not well matched each other in one of 3 events. Water vapor image shows that cloud-cell is developed on the northern edge of the dry(dark) region. Therefore, at the result analyzed from cloud and precipitation, selected extreme heavy snowfall events are associated with small-scale secondary cyclone or vortex, not explosive polar low. Detection and tracking small-scale cloud-cell in the real-time forecasting of the Yeongdong extreme heavy snowfall is important.

Analysis of Cloud Properties Related to Yeongdong Heavy Snow Using the MODIS Cloud Product (MODIS 구름 산출물을 이용한 영동대설 관련 구름 특성의 분석)

  • Ahn, Bo-Young;Cho, Kuh-Hee;Lee, Jeong-Soon;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Kwon, Tae-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-87
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, 14 heavy snow events in Yeongdong area which are local phenomena are analyzed using MODIS cloud products provided from NASA/GSFC. The clouds of Yeongdong area at observed at specific time by MODIS are classified into A, B, C Types, based on the characteristic of cloud properties: cloud top temperature, cloud optical thickness, Effective Particle Radius, and Cloud Particle Phase. The analysis of relations between cloud properties and precipitation amount for each cloud type show that there are statistically significant correlations between Cloud Optical Thickness and precipitation amount for both A and B type and also significant correlation is found between Cloud Top Temperature and precipitation amount for A type. However, for C type there is not any significant correlations between cloud properties and precipitation amount. A-type clouds are mainly lower stratus clouds with small-size droplet, which may be formed under the low level cold advection derived synoptically in the East sea. B-type clouds are developed cumuliform clouds, which are closely related to the low pressure center developing over the East sea. On the other hand, C-type clouds are likely multi-layer clouds, which make satellite observation difficult due to covering of high clouds over low level clouds directly related with Yeongdong heavy snow. It is, therefore, concluded that MODIS cloud products may be useful except the multi-layer clouds for understanding the mechanism of heavy snow and estimating the precipitation amount from satellite data in the case of Yeongdong heavy snow.

Regional snows scenario for the support systems Analysis (지역별 제설 시나리오 응원체계 구축연구)

  • Kim, Heejae;Oak, Youngsuk;Kim, Geunyoung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.163-172
    • /
    • 2017
  • Because of abnormal weather, a heavy snow on the Northern latitudes occurs frequently. This has resulted in significant damage and recovery costs. In korea, it has been declared a special disaster area due to heavy snowfall in Gangneung and Pohang 2004, 2005 and 2011, so there was a revision of action instruction for the road snow removal. Although, in our current system, snow removing methodology, regional equipment holdings, and snow responsible interval, respectively, has been classified by the National Highway, near cities and provinces support system not yet prepared. Only, if snow removing is not possible within the region itself, which contained the contents of "support and assistance to military or nearby offices requests". In this thesis, we studied the disaster scenario development according to heavy snow and the response and support system to the features of each regional. For the scenario deduction, we preferentially collected day snowfall and disaster yearbook data to regionals, classified similar pattern and plotted GIS snow map. We also classified heavy snow disaster by region and type and we deduced five-step scenario. The five-step scenario is nationwide(1st-stage), the National Capital region(2nd-stage), the Chungcheong Provinces(3rd-stage), the Kangwon province(4th-stage) and the Ch?l a provinces(5th-stage). Therefore we build near provinces support system according to five-step scenario.

Synoptic Analysis on Snowstorm Occurred along the East Coast of the Korean Peninsula during 5-7 January, 1997 (1997년 1월 5-7일에 발생한 동해안 대설에 관한 지역별 종관 특성)

  • Kwak, Byung-Chull;Yoon, Ill-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.258-275
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate diurnal variations of snowstorm occurred along the East Coast of the Korean Peninsula. The snowstorm which occurred on 5${\sim}$7 January 1997 have been analyzed. The pressure patterns were analyzed through surface and upper-air chart(850hPa). Diurnal variations of four areas, i. e. Youngdong, Mt. Taebaek, Youngseo and Kyungbuk regions were analyzed through wind direction and speed, cloud amounts, surface temperature, dewpoint temperature, relative humidity and sea level pressure. And snowfall amounts over four areas were analyzed through regional distribution, daily and temporal variations. The snowfall which occurred on January 5 was caused by the weak low pressure which is located in Kyusu region of Japan. The snowfall of January 6 occurred due to the Siberian high's expansion and instability. And northeasterly wind is one factor of the snowstorm which occurred in Mt. Taebaek region on 7 January. Heavy snowfall was caused by westerly wind but easterly wind occurred weak snowfall in Youngdong area. The precipitation of Kyungbuk region(eapecially, Pohang) was less than that of Youngdong region because the air mass which was not modified had influence on Kyungbuk region on 6${\sim}$7 January, 1997.

  • PDF

Development of Natural Disaster Risk Assessment Technique (자연재난 위험도 평가 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Changwon;Bae, Changyeon;Kang, Hoseon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.87-87
    • /
    • 2018
  • 지난 30년간 한반도의 연평균 기온은 $1.2^{\circ}C$ 상승하여, 전세계 100년간 평균 기온 상승 $0.74^{\circ}C$에 비해 그 상승폭이 크게 증가하였다. IPCC 5차 평가보고서(2013년)의 RCP 시나리오에 따르면, 4차 평가보고서(2007년)의 SRES 시나리오에서 보다 우리나라의 기후변화 영향이 크게 증가될 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 2050년 연평균기온의 변화가 기존 $2.0^{\circ}C$에서 $3.2^{\circ}C$로, 강수량은 기존 11.5%에서 15.6%대로 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 우리나라의 최근 10년간 발생한 자연재난을 살펴보면 호우, 태풍에 의한 피해가 가장 크게 나타났고, 대설, 강풍에 의한 피해가 뒤를 이었으며, 기후변화의 영향으로 재난 재해의 형태는 점차 대형화 다양화 되어가고 있다. 이러한 기후변화에 대비하여 효율적인 재난 대응 및 대책수립을 위해 재난 위험도 평가의 필요성이 증대되고 있으며 국내의 다양한 부처에서 연구를 수행하고 있다. 그러나 재난 위험도 평가체계 및 방법론이 각 연구별로 다원화되어 있고, 실무적용 또한 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 UNISDR 등 국제기구에서 제시하는 위험도 평가방법론을 기반으로 우리나라에 적용 가능한 위험도 평가 방법론을 정립하고, 홍수, 태풍, 대설, 가뭄 등에 대한 재난 위험도 평가 기법을 개발하였다. 또한 실제 피해 통계와 평가 결과에 대한 비교 및 적정성 분석을 통해 우리나라 실정에 맞는 최적의 위험도 평가 체계 및 방법론을 구축하고자 하였다. 본 연구를 통해 위해성, 노출성, 취약성 및 저감능력 지표로 구성된 재난 위험도 평가 기법을 개발하였고, 재난 유형별 지역별 10단계, 5등급의 위험도 평가 결과를 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 홍수, 태풍, 대설, 가뭄 등 6개 자연재난 유형에 대한 위험도 평가 지표를 개발하였으며, 향후, 국가 및 지역 재난안전관리계획에 자연재난 위험도 평가 결과 활용을 위해 후속 연구를 추진 중에 있다.

  • PDF

Development of a Daily Snowmelt Depth Model using Multiple Linear Regression (다중회귀모형을 활용한 일 단위 융설 깊이 예측 모형 개발)

  • Oh, Yeoung Rok;Lee, Gyumin;Shin, Hyungjin;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.374-374
    • /
    • 2021
  • 최근 우리나라에도 대설로 인한 피해가 발생하고 있으며, 피해의 대부분은 강설 발생 이후 남아 있는 적설량이 주된 원인이 되고 있다. 적설량에 대한 예측은 대설피해에 대응하기 위한 중요한 정보이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 융설량에 영향을 미칠것으로 판단되는 적설량, 기온, 습도, 일사량을 반영하여 일일 융설량을 모의하는 다중회귀모형을 구성하였다. 모형은 2000년부터 2020년까지의 강설 사상을 대상으로 구축하였으며, 2021년에 발생한 광주, 대관령, 목포, 서산, 전주 지역의 강설 사상에 적용하였다. 분석 대상 지역의 평균 적설량은 7.41 cm로 나타났으며, 평균 RMSE는 1.64 cm가 발생하였다. 오차의 원인으로는 적설량이 1 cm 미만 감소했을 경우, 바람이나 승화의 영향이 상대적으로 크게 작용할 수 있으나, 본 연구에 이용된 함수는 바람과 증발산 등이 고려되지 않았다. 또한, 회귀계수 결정에서 급격한 온도 변화를 능동적으로 반영하기 어려워 급상승한 온도나 매우 낮은 온도에 오차가 더 크게 나타난다. 따라서, 본 함수를 통하여 융설 깊이를 예측하기 위해서는 매우 높은 온도나, 매우 낮은 온도에서의 영향을 통제할 수 있는 변수 또는 상수를 추가할 필요가 있는 것으로 판단된다. 또한 초기 강설 당시의 기온과 습도 등에 따라, 눈의 결정이 달라지고, 이에 따라 융설에도 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 점을 이해하여, 초기 적설에 대한 변수도 고려되어야 할 것이다.

  • PDF

Snowfall and Ocean Conditions Characteristic in the West Sea of Korea in Winter (동계 서해의 해황과 적설 특성)

  • Go, Woo-Jin;Kim, Sang-Woo;Jang, Lee-Hyun;Choi, Yong-Kyu;Yang, Joon-Yong
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.185-189
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study was conducted to find out the effects of relationship between ocean conditions and snowfall when cold and dry continental air mass passes through the West Sea of Korea. Route of continental high atmospheric pressure can cause effect on snowfall at the west regions (Inchoen, Gunsan, Mokpo) of the Korean Peninsula. The continental high atmospheric pressure extend from the southern China to western coastal region of the Korean Peninsula during the December, and it extend from the north side of China through Bohai Sea and Yodong Peninsula to central area of the Korean Peninsula during the February. Therefore, more snowfall recorded in Incheon is higher during Feb. than Dec.. whereas Gunsan and Mokpo is the opposite. The heavy snowfall at the western coastal region of Korea was caused by loss of the heat from the ocean to air when it's higher than $100W/m^2$. the heavy snowfall was also observed when the arrangement of continental high atmospheric pressure and low pressure was high at the West and low at the East, which formed a front in West and when the wind blow from the North or North West at the speed of $4\sim8m/sec$. There were not much relation between salinity in the western sea and snowfall in the western coastal region of Korea.

  • PDF

Assessment of climate change impact on Hydrology and water quality by snowmelt (기후변화를 고려한 미래 융설이 수문-수질에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Saet-Byul;Ha, Rim;Yu, Yung-Seok;Yi, Jae-Eung;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.126-126
    • /
    • 2012
  • 기후변화는 전 세계적으로 다양한 영향을 미치고 있으며 특히, 홍수나 대설로 인한 수문변화에 영향을 준다. 본 연구는 준분포형 연속 모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)모형을 이용하여 우리나라 3대 대설지역에 속하는 다목적댐인 충주댐유역(6642.0 m)의 기후변화에 따른 융설이 수문과 수질에 미치는 영향을 분석하고자 한다. 먼저, 융설 모형의 매개변수인 적설분포면적감소곡선 (Snow Cover Depletion Curve; SCDC)을 구축하기 위하여 10년(2000-2010)동안의 Terra MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) 위성영상자료와 6개 기상관측소(충주, 제천, 원주, 영월, 대관령, 태백)의 최심적설자료를 이용하여 연도별 SCDC을 구축하였다. 구축 결과, 눈이 50% 피복 일 때 snow volume은 연 평균 0.47로 분석되었다. 이를 SWAT 모형에 적용하여 수문과 수질에 대한 적용성 평가를 실시한 결과, 유출의 경우 NSE는 융설기간 동안 평균 0.8, 전체기간은 평균 0.6으로 나타났으며 수질(Sediment, T-N, T-P)의 경우 각각 평균 0.72, 0.70, 0.85을 나타내었다. 미래 기후자료는 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 SRES(Special Report on Emission Scenarios) A1B, B1 기후변화시나리오의 HadCM3 모델의 결과 값을 이용하였으며 기간은 과거 30년 기후자료(1981-2010, baseline)를 바탕으로 2040s(2020-2059), 2080s(2060-2099)의 두 기간으로 나누어 각각 분석하였으며 기후변화 결과 값의 불확실성을 줄이고자 과거 자료와 GCM의 1981년에서 2000년까지의 값을 비교하여 온도와 강수량의 보정을 실시한 후 LARS-WG를 이용하여 온도와 강수량 자료를 구축하였다. SWAT 모형을 적용한 결과, 평균 1.92 증가한 것으로 나타났으며 유출은 융설기간(Nov-Apr)이 비융설기간(May-Oct)보다 10% 더 증가하였다. 본 연구에서는 SWAT 모형을 통한 유출 및 환경부하량 전망을 목표로 하여 미래 기후변화를 고려한 융설이 다목적댐에서의 유출과 수질 (Sediment, Total Nitrogen, Total Phosphorus)에 미치는 영향을 평가해 보고자 한다.

  • PDF