• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대선 분석

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An Analysis of the 2017 Korean Presidential Election Using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 2017년 한국 대선 분석)

  • An, Eunhee;An, Jungkook
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2020
  • Recently, big data analysis has drawn attention in various fields as it can generate value from large amounts of data and is also used to run political campaigns or predict results. However, existing research had limitations in compiling information about candidates at a high-level by analyzing only specific SNS data. Therefore, this study analyses news trends, topics extraction, sentiment analysis, keyword analysis, comment analysis for the 2017 presidential election of South Korea. The results show that various topics had been generated, and online opinions are extracted for trending keywords of respective candidates. This study also shows that portal news and comments can serve as useful tools for predicting the public's opinion on social issues. This study will This paper advances a building strategic course of action by providing a method of analyzing public opinion across various fields.

SNS Analysis Related to Presidential Election Using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 대선 관련 SNS 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Woo;Jung, Deok-Gil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.361-363
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    • 2017
  • 최근 소셜 미디어의 이용률이 폭발적으로 증가함에 따라, 방대한 데이터가 네트워크로 쏟아져 나오고 있다. 이들 데이터는 기존의 정형 데이터뿐만 아니라 이미지, 동영상 등의 비정형 데이터가 있으며, 이들을 포괄하여 빅데이터라고 불린다. 이러한 빅데이터는 오피니언 마이닝, 테스트 마이닝 등의 기술적인 분석 기법과 빅데이터 요약 및 효과적인 표현방법에 대한 시각화 기법에 대하여 활발한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 이 논문은 인기 있는 사회연결망 서비스인 Twitter의 트윗을 수집하고, 빅데이터 분석 기법인 텍스트 마이닝을 활용하여 2017년 대선에 대하여 분석하였다. 또한 분석된 자료의 효과적인 전달을 위해 워드 클라우드 진행하였다. 이 논문을 위하여 인기 있는 SNS인 Twitter의 최근 7일간 트윗(tweet)을 수집하고 분석하였다.

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The Nature of Regional Voting and Its Change: Theoretical Issues and Empirical Analyses (지역주의 투표의 특성과 변화: 이론적 쟁점과 경험분석)

  • Moon, Woojin
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.81-111
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    • 2017
  • This article analyzes three major issues related to regional voting in South Korea. First, is regional voting a regional problem or an ideological problem? Second, is regional voting caused by regional identity or regional interest? Third, has regionalism waxed or waned? Analyses of the cumulative data set since the 15th presidential election yield the following results. First, Yongnam people are more conservative than Honam people. Second, regional voting consists of ideological and regional components. Third, there exist both a hometown effect and an abode effect in regional voting, but the latter is significantly greater than the former. Forth, regionalism had weakened between the 15th National Assembly election and the 16th Presidential election, but has not varied much since then.

Analysis of the Influence of Presidential Candidate's SNS Reputation on Election Result: focusing on 19th Presidential Election (대선후보의 SNS 평판이 선거결과에 미치는 영향 분석 - 19대 대선을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Ye Na;Choi, Eun Jung;Kim, Myuhng Joo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2018
  • Smartphones and PCs have become essential components of our daily life. People are expressing their opinions freely in SNS by using these devices. We are able to predict public opinions on specific subject by analyzing the related big data in SNS. In this paper, we have collected opinion data in SNS and analyzed reputation by text mining in order to make a prediction for the will of the people before 19th presidential election in South Korea. The result shows that our method makes more accurate estimate than other election polls.

A Qualitative Study on the Use of Fallacies in the 2022 Korean Presidential Debates (20대 대선 후보 TV토론에서의 오류 사용에 관한 질적 연구)

  • Heo, Man-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.676-690
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    • 2022
  • The present study aims to explore how fallacies, arguments that seem valid but are not, appear in 2022 South Korean presidential debates. It qualitatively analyzes the candidates' remarks in the first and last presidential debates (240 minutes) using 20 formal and informal fallacy concepts as a theoretical framework. Results show that the three candidates used 23 informal fallacies from 15 categories, including the straw man, red herring, begging the question, complex question, hasty generalization, appeal to the masses, and you too. The candidates relied on fallacies to defend their image and electoral agenda from adversary attacks and to contaminate their opponent's image and agenda. The arguers, who struggled with tough questions, frequently made fallacies as pseudo-arguments to avoid the situation without lying and violating election laws. This study indicates that the fallacy system can be a framework for analyzing crucial political content. Moreover, it warns against the abuse of fallacies in TV debates.

A Study on National Security Policy Platforms by South Korea's Ruling Parties During General and Presidential Elections (17대·18대 대선과 18대·19대·20대 총선에 나타난 새누리당의 외교안보통일 공약 분석 : 북핵, 남북관계 그리고 한미동맹 공약을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jong Kun
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.53-75
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    • 2016
  • This article presents a descriptive analysis on national security policy platforms promoted by the ruling parties of South Korea during general and presidential elections. National security platforms made during the elections campaigns are a window that allows us to see how the ruling party perceives the threat environment, opportunity-structures, policy preferences and material capabilities faced by the state. South Korea presents a unique case since it faces constant military threats from North Korea and interacts with China and the United States. Therefore, the national security policy platforms, which are explicitly campaigned during the general and presidential elections, showcases the worldview of the ruling party. The study essentially focuses on three areas of the platforms - its threat perception on North Korea, the ROK-US alliance and the future vision for the Korean peninsula by covering two presidential elections and three general elections for the last 20 years.

Election Forecasting and Exit-poll : The 16th Presidential Election in Korea (선거예측과 출구조사 : 16대 대선을 중심으로)

  • 김정훈
    • Survey Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2003
  • Till now, much progress has been made in election forecasting. But fixed-line telephone survey has limitations, because it has become more and more difficult to get a representative sample, Exit poll has been considered to provide a new solution. From the beginning, exit poll provided more accurate predictions than those based on surveys using fixed-line phone. In 2002 presidential election, prediction based on exit poll was perfect. Its predictive error was zero. This paper describes how the exit poll was done in 2002 presidential elections. Specifically, we are to show the estimating procedures as well as sampling and polling process. Among many factors, sampling procedure has been fond to be the most important factor in exit poll accuracy.

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