• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다항회귀모형

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Latent causal inference using the propensity score from latent class regression model (잠재범주회귀모형의 성향점수를 이용한 잠재변수의 원인적 영향력 추론 연구)

  • Lee, Misol;Chung, Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.615-632
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    • 2017
  • Unlike randomized trial, statistical strategies for inferring the unbiased causal relationship are required in the observational studies. The matching with the propensity score is one of the most popular methods to control the confounders in order to evaluate the effect of the treatment on the outcome variable. Recently, new methods for the causal inference in latent class analysis (LCA) have been proposed to estimate the average causal effect (ACE) of the treatment on the latent discrete variable. They have focused on the application study for the real dataset to estimate the ACE in LCA. In practice, however, the true values of the ACE are not known, and it is difficult to evaluate the performance of the estimated the ACE. In this study, we propose a method to generate a synthetic data using the propensity score in the framework of LCA, where treatment and outcome variables are latent. We then propose a new method for estimating the ACE in LCA and evaluate its performance via simulation studies. Furthermore we present an empirical analysis based on data form the 'National Longitudinal Study of Adolescents Health,' where puberty as a latent treatment and substance use as a latent outcome variable.

A Study on Activity Type Based on Multi-dimensional Characteristics (개인의 복합적인 특성에 따른 활동유형 분석)

  • Na, Sung Yong;Lee, Seungjae;Kim, Joo Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.544-553
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    • 2014
  • Activity-based models analyze individuals' various daily activities that are identified as a decision-making unit for transportation planning. In other words, it is the model that determines the types of activities according to the social, economic and situational characteristics of the groups with the same activity patterns and predicts individuals' activity time, distance, spatial movement and transportation mode. The activity-based model is a method of estimating more efficient and realistic demand in transportation forecasting because traffic is regarded as a complex decision-making process that an individual and other people participate in. In this paper, we grasp the factors affecting choice behavior of activity pattern and analyze choice behavior of activity pattern based on multi-dimensional characteristic of each person. First, we classify activity types of reviewing the trip chain and activity purpose. Next, we identified preferable activity types using complicated characteristics of main agent of activity. We concluded that choice behavior of activity pattern is dependent on complex characteristics of each agent, and further multi-dimensional characteristics of each person are affected over the whole decision process of activity schedule.

Relations between ICT and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis on SMEs in Korea (정보통신(ICT)과 생산성의 관계 연구: 우리나라 중소기업에 대한 실증분석)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Kim, Seung-Keon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.2238-2249
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relations of innovation and productivity following the introduction of ICT and the effects in the process of innovative investments activity-innovation-productivity, not only by finding causes and effects. For this purpose we conducted surveys of SMEs classified into 7 categories by type of business. To put it concretely, this study was performed to find out the foactors which allow companies to secure competitiveness by enhancing of innovative measures through ICT, and to further analyze the political implications for the development of small and medium-size business by conducting an empirical analysis of the process, from the determination of innovative investments all the way through to production. Analysis model used CDM model using econometric methods such as multiple regression analysis and multinominal logit analysis to produce results. Also we established and analyzed models of innovation investment determinants, innovation determinants and productivity determinants to analyze specifically the relations between ICT and productivity.

A study on motion errors due to acceleration and deceleration types of servo motors (서보모터의 가감속형태에 따른 운도오차에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Soo;Chung, Sung-Chong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1718-1729
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    • 1997
  • This paper describes motion errors due to acceleration and deceleration types of servo motors in NC machine tools. Motion errors are composed of two components : one is due to transient response of a servomechanism and the other comes from gain mismatching of positioning servo motors. It deals with circular interpolation to identify motion errors by using Interface card. Also in order to minimize motion errors, this study presents an effective method to optimize parameters which are connected with motion errors. The proposed method is based upon a second order polynomial regression model and it includes an orthogonal array method to make the effective results of experiments. The validity and reliability of the study were verified on a vertical machining center equipped with FANUC 0MC through a series of experiments and analysis.

A Longitudinal Analysis of Adolescents' Achievement Motivation Profiles and their Relationship to Academic Achievement in Multicultural Family (잠재계층성장모형을 적용한 다문화 가정 자녀의 성취동기 변화 유형 및 예측요인 탐색: 학업성취 수준의 차이를 중심으로)

  • Yeon, Eun Mo;Choi, Hyo-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.404-414
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to explore latent classes in terms of changing patterns in achievement motivation among the samples from elementary school to middle school students in multicultural families and to investigate factors to predict latent groups and their relationship with academic achievement. 1254 pairs of mother and child from the 1st to 6th years of Multicultural Adolescents Panel Study (MAPS) was utilized for the Latent Class Growth Analysis (LCGA), One-way ANOVA, Multinomial Logistic Regression. The results showed that there were four distinct subgroups within the samples in terms of achievement goal orientations (i.e. very-high changing group, average changing group, low stable group, very-low stable group) at all six time points, and students who reported high achievement motivation were likely to have higher academic achievement. Four groups were extracted based on parent's efficacy, students' self-esteem, and teacher's support. Suggestions and practical implications for understanding the types of subgroups for the achievement motivation of multicultural families were discussed.

Longitudinal Patterns of Stages of Changes in Smoking Behaviors among Korean Adult Smokers: Applying the Transtheoretical Model of Change (범이론적 모델에 기반을 둔 흡연자의 금연행동 변화단계에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Park, Hyunyong;Jun, Jina;Sohn, Sunju
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.5-28
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    • 2018
  • Smoking is one of the important public health concerns because it is preventable causes regarding individuals' negative health consequences and increased social and economic cost. However, few studies have examined longitudinal patterns of stages of changes(SOC) in smoking behaviors among the general population. The purpose of the study is to explore the latent patterns of SOC over time among Korean adult smokers using the 2008-2016 Korea Welfare Panel Study. A repeated measure latent class analysis is employed in the present study. The finding of the present study are as follows: First, four latent groups were identified: (1) action/maintenance stage(33.6%), (2) contemplation/preparation to action/maintenance stage(14.8%), (3) continuously contemplation/preparation stage(29.6%), and (4) continuously pre-contemplation stage(22.1%). Second, the results of a multinomial logistic regression found that socio-demographic and clinical characteristics were associated with the identified longitudinal patterns of smoking behaviors. Compared to a continuously pre-contemplation stage, higher levels of depressive symptoms and drinking behavior were associated with increased odds of being in action/maintenance stage. The findings of the present study highlight that a tailored intervention is needed for individuals with continuously pre-contemplation stage and contemplation stage.

Predictors of Latent Class of Longitudinal Medical Expenses of Older People and the Effects on Subjective Health (노인 의료비 변화궤적의 잠재계층 유형: 예측요인과 주관적 건강에 대한 영향)

  • Song, Si Young;Jun, Hey Jung;Choi, Bo Mi
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.467-484
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to explore latent classes of longitudinal medical expenses of older people and to analyze its predictors and its effects on subjective health. Among participants of the Korean Health Panel, the sample of this study includes 1,119 people who is 65-year-old or older and reported their medical expenses for nine consecutive years. The analyses were conducted in three steps. First, Growth Mixture Model (GMM) was applied to find distinct subgroups showing similar patterns in medical expenses. The results showed four groups which were classified as high medical expenditure maintenance group, medical expenditure increase group, low medical expenditure maintenance group, and medical expenditure reduction group. Second, the multinominal logistic regression found that the presence of spouse, economic participation, the number of chronic diseases, and the type of health insurance were significant predictors of latent classes in medical expenses. In particular, the greater the number of chronic diseases, the higher the likelihood of belonging to the high medical expenditure maintenance group. In addition, medical benefit recipients are more likely to belong to the low medical cost maintenance and medical cost reduction groups. Third, multiple regression analysis revealed that the older people in the groups with low or reducing expenses reported better subjective health than people with higher expenses. This study has its meanings in exploring the heterogeneity in longitudinal medical expenses among older people and its predictors and its associations with health outcome. The results of this research provide background information in establishing public health policy for older people.

Change of Concentration of Hormones and Metabolic Materials in Serum by Age in Hanwoo (한우 혈청에서 호르몬 및 대사물질 농도들의 연령에 따른 변화에 관한 연구)

  • 전기준;김종복;최재관;이창우;황정미;김형철;양부근;박춘근;나기준
    • Journal of Embryo Transfer
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.215-225
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    • 2003
  • This study was carried out to investigate the change of blood compositions by age in Hanwoo, and a total of 866 of Hanwoo, which consisted with 638 of steer and 228 of bulls, were used to measure serum concentrations. A multiple regression equation was estimated with collection age and blood composition as independent and dependent variables, respectively. Complicated regression equations for blood compositions in steer and bulls were IGF-I(cubic), calcium (linear), and IP(linear). Linear and cubic equations were fitted to testosterone in steer and creatinine in bulls, respectively. A cubic equation in steer and linear equation in bulls were fitted to HDLC. Equations of quadratic in steer and cubic in bulls were fitted to concentration of triglyceride, globulin, and A/G ratio. BUN was fitted by equations of cubic in steer and quadratic in bulls. TP and albumin were fitted by equations of quadratic in steer and linear in bulls. A cubic regression equation did not explain the change of cortisol by age in steer and bulls. A cubic regression equation did explain the change of glucose by age in steer, but not in bulls. Higher R-square values (R-SQUARE>0.1) were estimated to IGF-1, albumin, creatinine, Inorganic phosphorous(IP) and HDLC in steer, and testosterone, IGF-I, TP, albumin, glucose, creatinine, IP, and HDLC in bulls for the fitted regression equations of blood compositions. Therefore, IGF-I, albumin, creatinine, IP, and HDLC were regarded as comparatively large variation by age in steer and bulls.

Comparison of Predictive Performance between Verbal and Visuospatial Memory for Differentiating Normal Elderly from Mild Cognitive Impairment (정상 노인과 경도인지장애의 감별을 위한 언어 기억과 시공간 기억 검사의 예측 성능 비교)

  • Byeon, Haewon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2020
  • This study examined whether Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) is related to the reduction of specific memory among linguistic memory and visuospatial memory, and to identify the most predictive index for discriminating MCI from normal elderly. The subjects were analyzed for 189 elderly (103 healthy elderly, 86 MCI). The verbal memory was used by the Seoul Verbal Learning Test. visuospatial memory was measured using the Rey Complex Figure Test. As a result of multiple logistic regression, verbal memory and visuospatial memory showed significant predictive performance in discriminating MCI from normal elderly. On the other hand, when all the confounding variables were corrected, including the results of each memory test, the predictive power was significant in distinguishing MCI from normal aging only in the immediate recall of verbal memory, and the predictive power was not significant in the immediate recall of visuospatial memory. This result suggests that delayed recall of visuospatial memory and immediate recall of verbal memory are the best combinations to discriminate memory ability of MCI.

Identifying and Predicting Adolescent Smoking Trajectories in Korea (청소년기 흡연 발달궤적 변화와 예측요인)

  • Chung, Ick-joong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • no.39
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    • pp.5-28
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is two-fold: 1) to identify different adolescent smoking trajectories in Korea; and 2) to examine predictors of those smoking trajectories within a social developmental frame. Data were from the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS), a longitudinal study of 3,449 youths followed since 2003. Using semi-parametric group-based modeling, four smoking trajectories were identified: non initiators, late onsetters, experimenters, and escalators. Multinomial logistic regressions were then used to identify risk and protective factors that distinguish the trajectory groups from one another. Among non smokers at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from non initiators by a variety of factors in every ecological domain. Among youths who already smoked at age 13, escalators who increased their smoking were distinguished from experimenters who almost desisted from smoking by age 17 by self-esteem and academic achievement. Finally, implications for youth welfare practice from this study were discussed.