• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다층성장모형

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Development of Growth Model Using Ecological Momentary Assessment: Based on Senior Vitality Quotient (생태순간평가를 이용한 성장모형개발: 노년 활력 지수를 활용하여)

  • Jeon, Hee Jin;Song, Hye Sun;Lee, Ji Hyun;Park, Kiho;Choi, Kee-Hong;Seo, Dong Gi
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.313-326
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    • 2021
  • This study was to introduce ecological momentary assessment and show how to apply it to real-world research. As preliminary study for sustainable development, the result explained growth model using senior's longitudinal data and suitability of multi-level model in EMA data with regression analysis. The total variance of dependent variable was determined through a base model with only intercept and approximately 47% of total variance was caused by individual differences and 53% by time point differences. Second model was used to verified that each individual has a different effect on the senior vitality and effect on time was not significant. This is because it is the result of a preliminary stage where treatment is not involved and there is no significant change in process of collecting EMA data without external intervention. Third model that add gender as an independent variable showed significant change in both time and gender. Finally compared the PRD for each model and found models that without gender variables fit the data more effectively. This suggests that studies dealing with longitudinal data such as EMA data should adopt multi-level model that can measure individual characteristics, taking into account respondents' time and context.

The effect of off-line and on-line fandom activity participation on adolescents' academic time management skills -A multi-level growth curve analysis- (청소년의 온라인 및 오프라인 팬덤 활동이 청소년의 학습시간 관리능력에 미치는 영향 -다층성장모형의 적용-)

  • Jeon, Suah;Han, Yoonsun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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    • no.56
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    • pp.101-132
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    • 2016
  • Fandom is a meaningful social phenomenon that represents a significant dimension of contemporary Korean youth culture. Previous research, however, has considered fandom as a deviant activity that is negative in nature, and there is scant research on the positive effects of fandom activity. This study examined the effects of off-line and on-line fandom activity participation on adolescents' academic time management capability. Data were collected from three waves (2010, 2012, and 2014) of the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey (middle school cohort; N=2,206 at baseline). Results from the multi-level growth curve analysis were as follows. First, more than half of the adolescents reported participating in fandom activities, and the majority of them participated in both online and offline activities. Second, adolescents' academic time management capability improved over time. Third, both off-line and on-line fandom activity participation was positively associated with adolescents' academic time management capability at the baseline (first year of middle school). The size of this relationship, however, decreased over time (from middle school to high school). This study presented the importance of appropriate guidance by adults to develop and promote the positive aspects of fandom activity, and highlighted the need for further research that focuses on the positive aspects of fandom activities.

The Analysis of Factors Affecting the Roadmap for Participation in Renewable Energy Projects Using a Multi-Level Model (다층모형을 활용한 신재생 에너지 사업 참여 로드맵에 미치는 영향 요인 분석)

  • Kim, Han-Jib
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.422-433
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    • 2021
  • At this point in time when active participation in renewable energy projects is required, basic information on growth engines and substantial promotion strategies for participation in renewable energy projects is needed. According to the this study tried to provide basic information for vitalizing participation in the renewable energy business by analyzing the factors affecting the new energy business participation roadmap using the multi-layered model. As a result of this study, it can be seen that in order to achieve an effective new energy business participation roadmap, it is necessary to re-establish the new and renewable energy business participation factors by industry. Specifically, it is necessary to prepare appropriate countermeasures such as the leading organization of the project, profit distribution method, green industry financial support, project implementation method, power plant location, and comprehensive long-term strategy, and there is an institutional approach that can promote the development of related industries. found to be necessary. Above all, it suggested that in order to achieve an effective new energy project participation roadmap, an institutional approach is needed that can expand the supply of new and renewable energy while minimizing the burden on the national economy and promote the development of related industries.

The Moderating Effect of Gender in the Relationship between Physical Education and Adolescents' Internalizing and Externalizing Problem Behaviors: Using Multi-level Growth Modeling (체육시간과 청소년의 외현화·내재화 문제와의 관계에서 성별의 조절효과: 다층성장모형의 적용)

  • Taekho Lee;Seokyoung Lee;Yoonsun Han
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.131-158
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the relationship between physical education and externalizing(aggression) and internalizing(depression, social withdrawal) problem behaviors among adolescents. The moderating role of gender and time in the association between physical education and problem behavior was also identified. This study used data from the second, third, and fourth waves of the middle school student cohort (N=2,133, N=2,151, N=1,979) of the Korean Children-Youth Panel Survey(KCYPS). Main analyses involved multilevel growth model with interaction terms. The dependent variables were aggression, depression, and social withdrawal. The independent variables were gender and physical education (exercise hours) at school. The control variables were abuse, school-adjustment, annual household income and parents' highest level of education. The major longitudinal findings of this study are as follows: First, there was significant change according to the passage of time only in aggression among externalizing and internalizing problems. Second, gender differences exist in aggression and depression. Third, exercise hours of physical education had a negative relationship with internalizing problems. Fourth, there were no gender differences over time in both externalizing and internalizing problems. Fifth, the interaction between exercise hours of physical education and time was statistically significant for social withdrawal. Sixth, the interaction between exercise hours of physical education and gender was statistically significant for depression. The results of this study may become an academic basis for suggesting policy directions that promote increased exercise hours in physical education classes at school.

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Analysis of Determinants of Employment Retention Rate (고용유지율 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sikyoon
    • Korean Journal of Labor Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.169-193
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the determinants that affect employment retention rate in order to diagnose dynamic employment stability in Korea. For this analysis, we constructed multi-level hierarchical data linking Workplace panel survey data and employment insurance job history data. And the determinants were analyzed using a multi-level analysis model suitable for these data. As result of the analysis, it is estimated that the employment stability is very low in Korea due to the widespread existence of the marginal sectors with low wage level and high level of nonstandard employment. In addition, the results of this analysis show that employment structure of Korea occupies considerable area of short-term employment where employment and unemployment are repeated, and overall employment stability is weak. This fact is likely to be a limiting factor for continued growth, as there is limited opportunity for skill development and skills formation at the corporate and individual levels. According to the results of this analysis, it is required to improve the quality of the employment structure for continuous growth and skill formation.

인공신경망을 이용한 부실기업예측모형 개발에 관한 연구

  • Jung, Yoon;Hwang, Seok-Hae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.415-421
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    • 1999
  • Altman의 연구(1965, 1977)나 Beaver의 연구(1986)와 같은 전통적 예측모형은 분석자의 판단에 따른 예측도가 높은 재무비율을 선정하여 다변량판별분석(MDA: multiple discriminant analysis), 로지스틱회귀분석 등과 같은 통계기법을 주로 이용해 왔으나 1980년 후반부터 인공지능 기법인 귀납적 학습방법, 인공신경망모형, 유전모형 둥이 부실기업예측에 응용되기 시작했다. 최근 연구에서는 인공신경망을 활용한 변수 및 모형개발에 관한 보고가 있다. 그러나 지금까지의 연구가 주로 기업의 재무적 비율지표를 고려한 모형에 치중되었으며 정성적 자료인 비재무지표에 대한 검증과 선정이 자의적으로 이루어져온 경향이었다. 또한 너무 많은 입력변수를 사용할 경우 다중공선성 문제를 유발시킬 위험을 내포하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 부실기업예측모형을 수립하기 위하여 정량적 요인인 재무적 지표변수와 정성적요인인 비재무적 지표변수를 모두 고려하였다. 재무적 지표변수는 상관분석 및 요인분석들을 통하여 유의한 변수들을 도출하였으며 비재무적 지표변수는 조직생태학내에서의 조직군내 조직사멸과 관련된 생태적 과정에 대한 요인들 중 조직군 내적요인으로 조직의 연령, 조직의 규모, 조직의 산업밀도를 도출하여 4개의 실험집단으로 분류하여 비재무적 지표변수를 보완하였다. 인공신경망은 다층퍼셉트론(multi-layer perceptrons)과 역방향 학습(back-propagation )알고리듬으로 입력변수와 출력변수, 그리고 하나의 은닉층을 가지는 3층 퍼셉트론(three layer perceptron)을 사용하였으며 은닉충의 노드(node)수는 3개를 사용하였다. 입력변수로 안정성, 활동성, 수익성, 성장성을 나타내는 재무적 지표변수와 조직규모, 조직연령, 그 조직이 속한 산업의 밀도를 비재무적 지표변수로 산정하여 로지스틱회귀 분석과 인공신경망 기법으로 검증하였다. 로지스틱회귀분석 결과에서는 재무적 지표변수 모형의 전체적 예측적중률이 87.50%인 반면에 재무/비재무적 지표모형은 90.18%로서 비재무적 지표변수 사용에 대한 개선의 효과가 나타났다. 표본기업들을 훈련과 시험용으로 구분하여 분석한 결과는 전체적으로 재무/비재무적 지표를 고려한 인공신경망기법의 예측적중률이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 로지스틱회귀분석의 재무적 지표모형은 훈련, 시험용이 84.45%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형은 84.45%, 85.08%로서 거의 동일한 예측적중률을 가졌으나 인공신경망기법 분석에서는 재무적 지표모형이 92.23%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형에서는 91.12%, 88.06%로서 향상된 예측적 중률을 나타내었다.

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인공신경망을 이용한 부실기업예측모형 개발에 관한 연구

  • Jung, Yoon;Hwang, Seok-Hae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.415-421
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    • 1999
  • Altman의 연구(1965, 1977)나 Beaver의 연구(1986)와 같은 전통적 예측모형은 분석자의 판단에 따른 예측도가 높은 재무비율을 선정하여 다변량판별분석(MDA:multiple discriminant analysis), 로지스틱회귀분석 등과 같은 통계기법을 주로 이용해 왔으나 1980년 후반부터 인공지능 기법인 귀납적 학습방법, 인공신경망모형, 유전모형 등이 부실기업예측에 응용되기 시작했다. 최근 연구에서는 인공신경망을 활용한 변수 및 모형개발에 관한 보고가 있다. 그러나 지금까지의 연구가 주로 기업의 재무적 비율지표를 고려한 모형에 치중되었으며 정성적 자료인 비재무지표에 대한 검증과 선정이 자의적으로 이루어져온 경향이었다. 또한 너무 많은 입력변수를 사용할 경우 다중공선성 문제를 유발시킬 위험을 내포하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 부실기업예측모형을 수립하기 위하여 정량적 요인인 재무적 지표변수와 정성적 요인인 비재무적 지표변수를 모두 고려하였다. 재무적 지표변수는 상관분석 및 요인분석들을 통하여 유의한 변수들을 도출하였으며 비재무적 지표변수는 조직생태학내에서의 조직군내 조직사멸과 관련된 생태적 과정에 대한 요인들 중 조직군 내적요인으로 조직의 연령, 조직의 규모, 조직의 산업밀도를 도출하여 4개의 실험집단으로 분류하여 비재무적 지표변수를 보완하였다. 인공신경망은 다층퍼셉트론(multi-layer perceptrons)과 역방향 학습(back-propagation)알고리듬으로 입력변수와 출력변수, 그리고 하나의 은닉층을 가지는 3층 퍼셉트론(three layer perceptron)을 사용하였으며 은닉층의 노드(node)수는 3개를 사용하였다. 입력변수로 안정성, 활동성, 수익성, 성장성을 나타내는 재무적 지표변수와 조직규모, 조직연령, 그 조직이 속한 산업의 밀도를 비재무적 지표변수로 산정하여 로지스틱회귀 분석과 인공신경망 기법으로 검증하였다. 로지스틱회귀분석 결과에서는 재무적 지표변수 모형의 전체적 예측적중률이 87.50%인 반면에 재무/비재무적 지표모형은 90.18%로서 비재무적 지표변수 사용에 대한 개선의 효과가 나타났다. 표본기업들을 훈련과 시험용으로 구분하여 분석한 결과는 전체적으로 재무/비재무적 지표를 고려한 인공신경망기법의 예측적중률이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 로지스틱회귀 분석의 재무적 지표모형은 훈련, 시험용이 84.45%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형은 84.45%, 85.08%로서 거의 동일한 예측적중률을 가졌으나 인공신경망기법 분석에서는 재무적 지표모형이 92.23%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형에서는 91.12%, 88.06%로서 향상된 예측적중률을 나타내었다.

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School adjustment trajectory of adolescents from continued single parent family and its associated factors (지속적 한부모가족 청소년의 학교생활적응 변화궤적과 관련 요인)

  • Kim, Sangha;Chin, Meejung
    • Journal of Family Relations
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.75-95
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: This study aims to examine a school adjustment trajectory of adolescents from continued single parent families and its associated factors by comparing it to that of adolescents of two-parent families. Methods: We selected 4th grade students from Korean Youth & Youth Panel Survey (KCYPS). Using a multi-level growth modeling, we followed the trajectory of school adjustment until 9th grade and the effects of family income, parenting styles, and academic motivations of adolescents on the intercepts and the slopes. Results: Adolescents' school adjustment were decreased from 4th grade to 7th grade and then increased from 7th to 9th grade. The adolescents of continued single parent families showed a lower school adjustment than those of two parent families and this trend remained constant during the period. The effects of family income, parenting style, and academic motivation were confirmed to explain the gap between the adolescents of single parent and two parent families. Conclusions: The results imply that an earlier intervention is necessary to reduce the gap. We need to offer income support and decent quality of work for single parent family to reduce the economic hardship and also provide parental education that is designed to enhance academic expectations and motivations.

The Effects of Middle School Students' Belongingness Orientation on their Psychological Adaptation and Friend Networks: A Short-term Longitudinal Social Network Analysis (중학생의 소속감 지향성이 심리적 적응 및 친구 네트워크에 미치는 영향력 비교: 소셜 네트워크 분석을 활용한 단기-종단적 분석)

  • Lee, Seungjin;Ko, Young-gun
    • Korean Journal of School Psychology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2021
  • Intimate friendships and a sense of belonging have positive effects on adolescent's psychological adaptation. Belongingness orientation is the motivation to belong. It is divided into growth orientation and deficit-reduction orientation, both of which have different effects on psychological adaptation and interpersonal characteristics. This study was conducted to determine how adolescents' belongingness orientation affected their psychological adaptation and friend networks. Students in their second year of middle school were surveyed both at the beginning and end of the spring semester. Friend networks were measured through network centrality analysis. Multilevel regression analysis produced three major results. The first major result was that the correlations between growth orientation and loneliness and between growth orientation and stress at the beginning of the spring semester was statistically significant even when friend network centrality was included in the analysis model, but the correlation between deficit-reduction orientation and loneliness and between deficit-reduction orientation and stress were not statistically significant. The second major result was that growth orientation significantly predicted friend network centrality at the end of the spring semester. This effect was significant even when friend network centrality at the beginning of the semester and psychological adaptation level at the end of the spring semester were added to the analysis model. The third major result was that the correlation between friend network centrality at the end of the semester and psychological adaptation level was statistically significant even when psychological adaptation levels at the beginning and the end of the semester were included in the analysis model. This study is meaningful in that it had a short-term longitudinal design and empirically demonstrated the relationship between belongingness orientation and psychological adaptation level of adolescents and between belongingness orientation and the development of friend networks. Lastly, we discussed limitations of this study and provided suggestions for future research.

Task-Specific Influences of Robotics on Manufacturing Jobs (제조업 일자리의 과업 특성에 따른 로봇의 차별적인 고용 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Heonyeong Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.73-90
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    • 2023
  • This research examines the impact of robotics integration on job dynamics in the U.S. manufacturing sector, adding to the critical dialogue on technological evolution and the future of jobs. Anchored in the task-model framework, the study hypothesizes that robotic integration exerts differential influences on diverse occupational clusters, each identified by their unique task-specific attributes. An in-depth examination was undertaken to elucidate the interplay between robotic integration and the occupation clusters. Employing a multilevel growth curve model, our empirical investigation tracked employment dynamics from 2012 to 2022 across 52 U.S. regions, covering 307 manufacturing occupations. The findings suggest a pronounced job decline within occupations necessitating manual dexterity. Nonetheless, the evidence does not conclusively support that the extent of robotics integration exacerbates this trend. These findings imply that the employment shifts in the U.S. manufacturing sector are predominantly driven by long-standing trends of deindustrialization and functional specialization, rather than by the recent diffusion of robotic technologies.