• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중로짓분석

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Upper-Level Expectation in Random Coefficient Logit Model (다중 로짓 모형에서의 상위차원의 예측치 통계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Woo;Ryu, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.5 no.2 s.10
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 다음의 두 가지 목적이 있다. 첫째, 각종 실증분석에 있어서의 다중모형의 효율성에 대한 소개와, 둘째, 다중모형의 분석에 있어서 상위단계의 예측되는 가치를 측정하기 위한 새로운 통계를 소개하는 데 있다. 다중모형의 이론적 틀은 광범위하게 사용되는 기존의 1단계 모형의 통계적 문제점(이분산 등)을 보완하고, 현실을 더욱 실체적으로 파악한다는 측면에서 앞으로 지역분석의 중추적 틀로서 자리매김하리라 예상되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 다중모형의 효율성을 가상 자료가 아닌 실제 자료를 이용하여 검증하였으며, 특히 기존에 제시되지 않은 다중로짓모형에서의 상위수준의 잔차 또는 예측치를 계산하는 통계량을 제시하였다. 이 새로운 통계량은 실증분석에 있어서의 관찰치와의 상관관계와 그 분산의 분석에 있어서 잘 행위하고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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An Analysis of Multiple-Vehicle Accidents on Freeways Using Multinomial Logit Model (다항로짓모형을 이용한 고속도로 다중추돌사고 특성 분석)

  • Jeon, Hyeonmyeong;Kim, Jinhee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to analyze effects of factors on the number of vehicles involved in traffic accidents on freeway sections. In previous studies about traffic accident severity, the analysis of accidents involving multiple vehicles was insufficient. However, multiple-vehicle accidents are likely to cause casualties and are the main reasons increasing accident duration and social costs. In this study, the number of vehicles involved in an accident was interpreted as the result of the accident, not as the cause of the accident, and the impacts of each accident factor were analyzed using a multinomial logit model. The results indicate that multiple-vehicle accidents are mainly related to following factors: nighttime, driver's faults, obstacles on the road, a downhill slope, heavy vehicles, and freeway mainline sections including tunnels and bridges.

Comparison of Multinomial Logit and Logistic Regression on Disability Pensioners' Characteristic (다범주 자료의 다항로짓 모형과 로지스틱 회귀모형 비교;장애연금 특성분석 중심으로)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.589-602
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    • 2008
  • This article studies on disability pensioners' characteristic with multinomial logit and logistic regression model. Seven factors are examined on whether each factor is reflected in degree of disability in the disability pension. By incorporating multinomial logit and logistic regression model, effectiveness and characteristic of the seven factors are investigated on the degree of disability. Result shows all the seven factors are significant on the degree of disability, while among the seven, five factors, age, sex, type of coverage, type of category, insured duration show a trend in degree of disability and the other two, cause of disability and class of standard monthly income are not effective on trend in degree of disability. Results from analyses might be useful for disability pension management.

The Relationships between Land Use Patterns and Mode Choices for Home-Based Work Trips: The Case Seoul metropolitan Region (토지이용패턴과 통행수단선택간의 관계 : 서울의 통근통행수단을 중심으로)

  • 전명진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 서울대도시권을 대상으로 토지이용패턴과 통행수단선택간의 관계를 경헙적으로 분석하여 수도권 토지이용 및 교통정책에 시사점을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 다중 로짓모형을 이용한 분석에서 직장 및 주거빌도가 높을수록 전철과 버스 등 대중교퉁수단에 대한 의존도를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 직장중심지의 경우 버스보다는 자가용이용율이 높은 것으로 나타나 고밀도 정책이 반드시 대중교통수단으로의 이동을 의미하는 것은 아니라는 사실을 경험적으로 입증하고 있다.

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Forecasting Future Market Share between Online-and Offline-Shopping Behavior of Korean Consumers with the Application of Double-Cohort and Multinomial Logit Models (생잔효과와 다중로짓모형으로 분석한 구매형태별 시장점유율 예측)

  • Lee, Seong-Woo;Yun, Seong-Do
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.45-65
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    • 2009
  • As a number of people using the internet for their shopping steadily rises, it is increasingly important for retailers to understand why consumers decide to buy products via online or offline. The main purpose of this study is to develop and test a model that enhance our understanding of how consumers respond future online and offline channels for their purchasing. Rather than merely adopting statistical models like most other studies in this field, the present study develops a model that combines double-cohort method with multinomial logit model. It is desirable if one can adopt an overall encompassing criterion in the study of consumer behaviors form diverse sales channels. This study uses the concept of cohort or aging to enable this comparison. It enables us to analyze how consumers respond to online and offline channels as people aged by measuring their shopping behavior for an online and offline retailers and their subsequent purchase intentions. Based on some empirical findings, this study concludes with policy implications and some necessary fields of future studies desirable.

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Effects of the Residential Area and Personal Characteristics of Households on the Preference of Residential Location Factors (가구의 거주지역 및 인적 특성요인이 주거입지 선호에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Wonseok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to analyze the effects of the residential area and personal characteristics of households on the preference of residential location factors. The main results of this study are as follows. Firstly, considering the results of multiple regression analysis, it can be seen that preference of location factors is differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of households by individual location factors. Secondly, considering the results of binomial logistic regression analysis, it can be also elucidated that the preferred location factors are differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of the households. Therefore, it is judged that the residential area and personal characteristics of household and the location factors of the household are mutually influencing each other.

The regular physical activity impact on the individuals involved euphoria and determinants of engagement (규칙적 체육활동 참여가 개인의 행복감에 미치는 영향과 참여유도 결정요인)

  • Kim, Mi-Ok;Huh, Ji-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of regular participation in physical activity on personal happiness by analyzing the "2014 National Leisure Sports Participation Survey". By using cross-tabulation and the binary logit model, it is found that there is a positive correlation between those two variables. The effect of positive affect on happiness index was found to be influenced by age, education level, occupation, income, marital status, appear. The results of the analysis of the relationship between the presence of sports facilities and the participation of regular physical activity using crosstab analysis and the analysis of physical activity showed positive relationship between two variables. Hence, it is expected that providing more opportunities to participate in sports programs can lead the public to more regular participation in physical activity.

Determinants of Consumer Preference by type of Accommodation: Two Step Cluster Analysis (이단계 군집분석에 의한 농촌관광 편의시설 유형별 소비자 선호 결정요인)

  • Park, Duk-Byeong;Yoon, Yoo-Shik;Lee, Min-Soo
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2007
  • 1. Purpose Rural tourism is made by individuals with different characteristics, needs and wants. It is important to have information on the characteristics and preferences of the consumers of the different types of existing rural accommodation. The stud aims to identify the determinants of consumer preference by type of accommodations. 2. Methodology 2.1 Sample Data were collected from 1000 people by telephone survey with three-stage stratified random sampling in seven metropolitan areas in Korea. Respondents were chosen by sampling internal on telephone book published in 2006. We surveyed from four to ten-thirty 0'clock afternoon so as to systematic sampling considering respondents' life cycle. 2.2 Two-step cluster Analysis Our study is accomplished through the use of a two-step cluster method to classify the accommodation in a reduced number of groups, so that each group constitutes a type. This method had been suggested as appropriate in clustering large data sets with mixed attributes. The method is based on a distance measure that enables data with both continuous and categorical attributes to be clustered. This is derived from a probabilistic model in which the distance between two clusters in equivalent to the decrease in log-likelihood function as a result of merging. 2.3 Multinomial Logit Analysis The estimation of a Multionmial Logit model determines the characteristics of tourist who is most likely to opt for each type of accommodation. The Multinomial Logit model constitutes an appropriate framework to explore and explain choice process where the choice set consists of more than two alternatives. Due to its ease and quick estimation of parameters, the Multinomial Logit model has been used for many empirical studies of choice in tourism. 3. Findings The auto-clustering algorithm indicated that a five-cluster solution was the best model, because it minimized the BIC value and the change in them between adjacent numbers of clusters. The accommodation establishments can be classified into five types: Traditional House, Typical Farmhouse, Farmstay house for group Tour, Log Cabin for Family, and Log Cabin for Individuals. Group 1 (Traditional House) includes mainly the large accommodation establishments, i.e. those with ondoll style room providing meals and one shower room on family tourist, of original construction style house. Group 2 (Typical Farmhouse) encompasses accommodation establishments of Ondoll rooms and each bathroom providing meals. It includes, in other words, the tourist accommodations Known as "rural houses." Group 3 (Farmstay House for Group) has accommodation establishments of Ondoll rooms not providing meals and self cooking facilities, large room size over five persons. Group 4 (Log Cabin for Family) includes mainly the popular accommodation establishments, i.e. those with Ondoll style room with on shower room on family tourist, of western styled log house. While the accommodations in this group are not defined as regards type of construction, the group does include all the original Korean style construction, Finally, group 5 (Log Cabin for Individuals)includes those accommodations that are bedroom western styled wooden house with each bathroom. First Multinomial Logit model is estimated including all the explicative variables considered and taking accommodation group 2 as base alternative. The results show that the variables and the estimated values of the parameters for the model giving the probability of each of the five different types of accommodation available in rural tourism village in Korea, according to the socio-economic and trip related characteristics of the individuals. An initial observation of the analysis reveals that none of variables income, the number of journey, distance, and residential style of house is explicative in the choice of rural accommodation. The age and accompany variables are significant for accommodation establishment of group 1. The education and rural residential experience variables are significant for accommodation establishment of groups 4 and 5. The expenditure and marital status variables are significant for accommodation establishment of group 4. The gender and occupation variable are significant for accommodation establishment of group 3. The loyalty variable is significant for accommodation establishment of groups 3 and 4. The study indicates that significant differences exist among the individuals who choose each type of accommodation at a destination. From this investigation is evident that several profiles of tourists can be attracted by a rural destination according to the types of existing accommodations at this destination. Besides, the tourist profiles may be used as the basis for investment policy and promotion for each type of accommodation, making use in each case of the variables that indicate a greater likelihood of influencing the tourist choice of accommodation.

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Multiple Regression Analysis between Weather Factor and Line Outage using Logit Model (로짓(Logit) 모델을 이용한 날씨요소와 송전선로 고장의 다중회귀분석)

  • Shin, Dong-Suk;Lee, Youn-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Baek-Seok;Bang, Min-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.187-189
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the effect of weather factors(such as winds, rain, snows, temperature, clouds and humidity) on transmission line outages. The result shows that weather variables have significant effects on the transmission line historical outages and the relationship between them is nonlinear. Multiple regression analysis using Logit model is proved to be appropriate in forecasting line failure rate in KEPCO systems. It could also provide system operators with useful informations about system operation and planing.

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Poverty Reduction in Elderly Household Types: The Impact of Basic Pension (기초연금의 노인가구 유형별 빈곤감소 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Anna
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the impact of the Basic Pension scheme in terms of poverty reduction and income distribution among elderly households by focusing on the differences in the household type. It compares the data before (2013) and after (2016, 2019) the introduction of Basic Pension by using Household Income and Expenditure Survey data. Empirical analyses indicate that, first, the overall income and the public income transfer of the elderly households increased during the period compared. Second, the poverty rate was considerably higher for the elderly living alone than for other household types. The government policy led to poverty-reduction for all types of elderly households, wherein the effect was most profound in the case of elderly living with spouse. Third, income distribution improved for all types of elderly households, though maximum margin was observed in the case of the elderly living alone. Fourth, according to the multivariate logit regression, the Basic Pension had a positive impact on reducing the risk of poverty (defined as below 40% of median income) among the elderly households.