• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정 기법

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A Study on Decision Support by Comparison of Environmental Performance before and after Project (사업 전후 환경성 비교를 통한 의사결정 지원 연구)

  • Kim, Gil-Ho;Yeo, Kyu-Dong;Kim, Hyun-Jung;Lee, Sang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.455-455
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    • 2011
  • 개발로 인한 환경변화는 관련 분석모형을 통해 직접적으로 예측하기 하는 것이 가장 바람직하지만 데이터 취득의 어려움, 분석 방법론의 부재 등의 이유로 정량적 평가가 어려운 현실이다. 그렇기 때문에 수자원사업을 계획시 대부분 환경적인 영향을 매우 정성적인 형태로 평가하거나 수질과 같은 대표적인 항목에 대해서만 예측하는 수준이다. 기존의 연구 또한, 유역 또는 행정구역의 현재의 현 상황을 평가하기 위한 것이 주이며, 수자원사업과 관련성이 적은 항목도 일부 포함되어 있기 때문에 수자원사업의 특수성을 반영하기에 한계가 있다. 현 상황의 이러한 문제점을 인식하여 본 연구는 오늘날 대표적 의사결정 기법이라 할 수 있는 계층화분석과정(AHP)과 다속성효용이론(MAUT)을 활용하여 향후 수자원사업과 관련된 다기준의 사결정 과정에서의 환경성 평가방안을 제시하였다. 환경성 평가기준은 수질, 경관, 생태계 이렇게 세 가지 항목으로 구성하였고, 각 평가기준에 대한 수준을 직접적으로 대변 가능한 정량화 방안을 제시하였다. 그리고 앞서 정량화된 값을 표준화하기 위하여 MAUT 기법으로부터 평가기준별 효용함수를 도출하였다. 한편, 사업을 시행함에 따라 예상되는 환경성변화는 사업전 환경성과 사업 후 환경성을 비교하도록 하였고, 이때 해당사업의 특수성을 반영하고자 별도의 설문과정을 통해 평가기준별 가중치를 결정하였다. 본 연구는 환경성 검토시 생태학적, 물리적 분석에 기반을 둔 정량적 예측의 어려움을 보완하기 위해 정성적 예측을 추가적으로 제시하였고, 사업의 특수성과 평가항목이 갖는 일반성을 명확히 구분하여 의사결정 과정에서 주관적인 요소를 최소화하였다. 또한, 평가항목별 사업전후의 환경성을 비교, 검토함으로써 실제 사업추진 과정에서 개발로 인한 부정적 영향의 사전예방에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Evaluation of Risk Factors to Detect Anomaly in Water Supply Networks Based on the PROMETHEE and ANP (상수도관망의 이상징후 판정을 위한 위험요소 평가 - PROMETHEE와 ANP 기법 중심으로)

  • Hong, Sung-Jun;Lee, Yong-Dae;Kim, Sheung-Kown;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.1 s.162
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we proposed a layout of the integrated decision support system in order to prevent the contamination and to manage risk in water supply networks for safe and smooth water supply. We evaluated the priority of risk factors to detect anomaly in water supply networks using PROMETHEE and ANP techniques, which are applied to various Multi-Criteria Decision Making area in Europe and America. To develop the model, we selected pH, residual chlorine concentration, discharge, hydraulic pressure, electrical conductivity, turbidity, block leakage and water temperature as the key data item. We also chose pipe corrosion, pipe burst and water pollution in pipe as the criteria and then we present the results of PROMETHEE and ANP analysis. The evaluation results of the priority of risk factors in water supply networks will provide basic data to establish a contingency plan for accidents so that we can establish the specific emergency response procedures.

Development of an Inundation Risk Evaluation Method Based on a Multi Criteria Decision Making (다기준 의사결정기법을 기반으로 하는 침수위험 평가기법의 개발)

  • Park, Moo-Jong;Choi, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, several factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. For the validation of the suggested method, the results from the suggested method are compared with the historical inundation records occured on 1998 and the relative inundation risk estimated by the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. From the comparison, it is found that the suggested method may generate better results to estimate the relative inundation risk of each subcatchment than the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. Also, it can be applied to establish a rehabilitation order of subcatchments for mitigating the inundation risk.

Comparative Evaluation of Multipurpose Reservoir Operating Rules Using Multicriterion Decision Analysis Techniques (다기준 의사 분석 기법에 의한 다목적 저수지의 운영율 평가)

  • Go, Seok-Gu;Lee, Gwang-Man;Go, Ik-Hwan
    • Water for future
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 1992
  • Selection of the best operation rule among a set of alternatives for a multipurpose reservoir system operation requires to evaluate many minor criteria I n addition to the major objectives assessed to the system, These problems are sufficiently complex and difficult that they are beyond heuristic decision rules and experiences in case several noncommensurable multiple criteria are included in the evaluation. With the assistance of multicriterion decision analysis techniques, it is possible to select the best one among various alternatives by systematically comparing and ranking the alternatives with respect to the criteria of choice. Evaluation criteria for multipurpose reservoir system operating rules were identified and defined, and the multicriterion decision analysis techniques were applied to evaluate the fore developed operating rules of the existing Chungju multipurpose project according to the identified nine multiple criteria. The application result shows that the methodology is very efficient to select the best operation alternative among a finite number of operating rules with many evaluation criteria for a large scale reservoir system operation.

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MCDM Approach for Flood Vulnerability Assessment using TOPSIS Method with α Cut Level Sets (α-cut Fuzzy TOPSIS 기법을 적용한 다기준 홍수취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Gyumin;Chung, Eun-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.977-987
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop a multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) approach for flood vulnerability assessment which considers uncertainty. The flood vulnerability assessment procedure consists of three steps: (1) use the Delphi process to determine the criteria and their corresponding weights-the adopted criteria represent the social, economic, and environmental circumstances related to floods, (2) construct a fuzzy data matrix for the flood vulnerability criteria using fuzzification and standardization, and (3) set priorities based on the number of assessed vulnerabilities. This study uses a modified fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-level sets which considers various uncertainties related to weight derivation and crisp data aggregation. Further, Spearman's rank correlation analysis is used to compare the rankings obtained using the proposed method with those obtained using fuzzy TOPSIS with fuzzy data, TOPSIS, and WSM methods with crisp data. The fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-cut level sets is found to have a higher correlation rate than the other methods, and thus, it can reduce the difference of the rankings which uses crisp and fuzzy data. Thus, the proposed flood vulnerability assessment method can effectively support flood management policies.

The Allocation Precedence of the Limited Same Resource to the Concurrent Activities under Multiple Criteria (다기준하 동일 한정 자원의 배당 우선순위 결정)

  • Hwang, Jin-Ha
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2008
  • This study provides a effective approach to the construction management problem with the limited number or amount of available resources using the analytic hierarchy process. Construction management is a series of decision making processes for planning and controling of cost, time and quality as main objectives in construction works. When several activities need the limited same resource at the same time, it is very hard to decide the priority of the activities in the real situations. For that the scientific decision making method and procedure for resource allocation are required. This study solves the resource allocation problem by dealing with the decision making problem which the activities are distributed to multiple projects and under multiple criteria. The analytic hierarchy process is a method devised to solve complex multi-criteria decision problems. The result shows that this study can be effectively used to make decisions in situations involving multiple objectives by evaluating the prioritized ranking and degree of the activity alternatives based on the overall preferences.

Analysis of Ventilation Impact in Multi-Family Residential Building Utilizing TOPSIS Method (다기준 의사결정방법을 이용한 공동주택 내 환기장치 종류별 효과분석)

  • Park, Kyung-Yong;Kim, Gil-Tae;Kim, Tae-Min;Ji, Won-Gil;Kwag, Byung-Chang
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2022
  • With increasing airtight building construction aimed at reducing energy consumption, indoor relative humidity is increasing which can lead to condensation and moisture damage in multi-family residential buildings. This has led to increased implementation of mechanical ventilation to control indoor moisture. However mechanical ventilation systems consume additional energy and generate noise. As this leads to occupant discomfort, it is necessary to select a ventilation system that addresses the energy and noise issues. This research measured the ventilation performance, energy consumption, and noise level of mechanical ventilation devices in multi-family residential buildings. TOPSIS, a multi-criteria decision making technique was used to determine appropriate ventilation strategies in addition to occupant ventilation system operation preference.

Determination of Investment Priority for River Improvement Project at Downstream of Dams Using PROMETHEE (PROMETHEE 기법을 이용한 댐 직하류 하천정비사업 투자우선순위 결정)

  • Kim, Gil Ho;Sun, Seung Pyo;Yeo, Kyu Dong;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1B
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2012
  • Sometimes, there exist many alternatives for doing a SOC project. However, the limitation of the fund requires the determination of investment priority for the alternatives. This may be performed according to the degree of importance of individual alternatives. Especially, the river improvement project at the downstream of dams has complex and various values and this characteristics make it difficult decision-maker to do reasonable determination. This study aims to determine an investment priority of 33 alternatives in the river improvement project at the downstream of dams using PROMETHEE method which has advantages in determining the priority. In this study, we determined evaluation criteria and attributes by considering the functions and objectives of the river improvement project at the downstream of dams. The eigenvector method in AHP was used to estimate the relative importance of evaluation criterion. Based on the estimation, we determined investment priority of 33 alternatives by PROMETHEE method and the priority of alternatives was derived in the order of Juam regulation dam, Unmun dam, Yongdam dam and so on. The results of this study could provide a reasonable standard to the decision-maker for the determination of investment priority of alternatives.

Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method (다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정)

  • Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • In this study, robustness index and uncertainty analysis were proposed to quantify the risk inherent in the process of climate change vulnerability assessment. The water supply vulnerability for six metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, and Ulsan), except for Seoul, were prioritized using TOPSIS, a kind of multi-criteria decision making method. The robustness index was used to analyze the possibility of rank reversal and the uncertainty analysis was introduced to derive the minimum changed weights of the criteria that determine the rank reversal between any paired cities. As a result, Incheon and Daegu were found to be very vulnerable and Daegu and Busan were derived to be very sensitive. Although Daegu was relatively vulnerable against the other cities, it can be largely improved by developing and performing various climate change adaptation measures because it is more sensitive. This study can be used as a preliminary assessment for establishing and planning climate change adaptation measure.

Site Suitability Analysis Using Theory of Games (게임이론을 이용한 적지분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Sin;Lee, Sang-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.275-279
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    • 2005
  • 수자원 개발에 있어 중요한 문제 중의 하나는 개발가능지의 선택과 후보지가 복수일 때 개발 우선순위를 결정하는 것이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 문제 해결을 위하여 적지분석을 실시한다. 적지분석 과정은 크게 기초 조사 및 자료수집, 예비후보지의 선정, 대안평가, 입지선정의 :t단계로 구분되는데 여기서 2-3단계인 예비후보지 선정과 대안평가 단계가 적지분석 기법이 적용되어야 할 과정이다. 기존의 의사결정 방법론들은 각 대안의 우선순위를 위해 각 항목들에 대한 가중치나 확률치를 이용한 수치적 계산에 의한 방법들이 대부분이며, 또한, 각 후보지에 대해서 동일한 항목에 대한 정보를 요구하게 되어 한 후보지이라도 정보가 없는 경우 우선순위를 위한 계산과정에서 제외하거나 결정자의 경험 등에 의한 추정 값을 사용할 수밖에 없다. 이러한 이유로 본 연구에서는 입지선정에서 대상 후보지의 인자비교를 위한 항목의 자료 유무에 관계없이 적지분석이 가능하도록 게임이론을 적용하여 수자원 개발 가능 후보지를 도출하기 위한 기본모형을 개발하였다.

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