• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2004.05b
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• pp.1280-1284
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• 2004

본 논문에서는 월 댐유입량을 예측하는데 있어서 뉴로-퍼지 시스템의 적용성을 검토하였다. 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘으로 퍼지이론과 신경망이론의 결합형태인 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)를 이용하여 모형을 구성하였다. ANFIS의 공간분야에 의한 제어규칙의 선정에 있어 퍼지변수가 증가함에 따라 제어규칙이 기하급수적으로 증가하는 단점을 해결하기 위해 퍼지 클러스터링(Fuzzy flustering)방법 중 하나인 차감 클러스터링(Subtractive Clustering)을 사용하였다. 또한 본 연구에서는 기후인자들을 인력으로 하여 모형을 구성하였으며 각각 학습기간과 검정기간으로 나누어 학습기간에는 모형의 매개변수 최적화를, 검정기간에는 최적화된 모형의 매개변수를 검정하는 순으로 연구를 수행하였다. 예측 길과, ANFIS는 댐유입량 예측시 입력자료의 종류가 많아질수록 예측능력 더욱 정확한 것으로 판단된다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.585-592
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• 2003

Among various sensitivity evaluation techniques, semi-analytical method(SAM) is quite popular since this method is more advantageous than analytical method(AM) and global finite difference method(FDM). However, SAM reveals severe inaccuracy problem when relatively large rigid body motions are identified fur individual elements. Such errors result from the numerical differentiation of the pseudo load vector calculated by the finite difference scheme. In the present study, an iterative method combined with mode decomposition technique is proposed to compute reliable semi-analytical design sensitivities. The improvement of design sensitivities corresponding to the rigid body mode is evaluated by exact differentiation of the rigid body modes and the error of SAM caused by numerical difference scheme is alleviated by using a Von Neumann series approximation considering the higher order terms for the sensitivity derivatives.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.593-600
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• 2003

Structural optimization often requires the evaluation of design sensitivities. The Semi Analytic Method(SAM) fur computing sensitivity is popular in shape optimization because this method has several advantages. But when relatively large rigid body motions are identified for individual elements. the SAM shows severe inaccuracy. In this study, the improvement of design sensitivities corresponding to the rigid body mode is evaluated by exact differentiation of the rigid body modes. Moreover. the error of the SAM caused by numerical difference scheme is alleviated by using a series approximation for the sensitivity derivatives and considering the higher order terms. Finally the present study shows that the refined SAM including the iterative method improves the results of sensitivity analysis in dynamic problems.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.9 no.3 s.32
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• pp.333-340
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• 1997

This paper will expand the third-order shear deformation theory by the double-Fourier series and reduce to the solution of a system of ordinary differential equations in time, which are integrated numerically using Newmark's direct integration method and clarify the undamped dynamic responses for the cross-ply and antisymmetric angle-ply laminated composite plates and shells with simply supported boundary condition. Numerical results for deflections are presented showing the effect of side-to-thickness ratio, aspect ratio, material anisotropy, and lamination scheme.

• Journal of KIISE
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• v.42 no.12
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• pp.1561-1567
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• 2015

Abstract Semi-supervised learning is an area in machine learning that employs both labeled and unlabeled data in order to train a model and has the potential to improve prediction performance compared to supervised learning. Graph-based semi-supervised learning has recently come into focus with two phases: graph construction, which converts the input data into a graph, and label inference, which predicts the appropriate labels for unlabeled data using the constructed graph. The inference is based on the smoothness assumption feature of semi-supervised learning. In this study, we propose an enhanced label inference algorithm by incorporating the importance of each vertex. In addition, we prove the convergence of the suggested algorithm and verify its excellence.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.6
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• pp.449-460
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• 2004

The purpose of this study is to test the applicability of neuro-fuzzy system for monthly dam inflow forecasts by using weather forecasting information. The neuro-fuzzy algorithm adopted in this study is the ANFIS(Adaptive neuro-fuzzy Inference System) in which neural network theory is combined with fuzzy theory. The ANFIS model can experience the difficulties in selection of a control rule by a space partition because the number of control value increases rapidly as the number of fuzzy variable increases. In an effort to overcome this drawback, this study used the subtractive clustering which is one of fuzzy clustering methods. Also, this study proposed a method for converting qualitative weather forecasting information to quantitative one. ANFIS for monthly dam inflow forecasts was tested in cases of with or without weather forecasting information. It can be seen that the model performances obtained from the use of past observed data and future weather forecasting information are much better than those from past observed data only.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.395-403
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• 2005

It is very important to forecast water supply for reasonal operation and management of water utilities. In this paper, water supply forecasting models using artificial intelligence are developed. Artificial intelligence models shows better results by using Temperature(t), water supply discharge (t-1) and water supply discharge (t-2), which are expressed by neural network(LMNNWS; Levenberg-Marquardt Neural Network for Water Supply, MDNNWS; MoDular Neural Network for Water Supply) and neuro fuzzy(ANASWS; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems for Water Supply). ANFISWS model which is applied for water supply forecasting shows stable application to the variable water supply data. As results, MDNNWS model shows the highest overall accuracy among proposed water supply forecasting models and the lowest estimation error with the order of ANFISWS, LMNNWS model.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.157-164
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• 2005

Existing models that predict of Daily water supply include statistical models and neural network model. The neural network model was more effective than the statistical models. Only neural network model, which predict of Daily water supply, is focused on estimation of the operational control. Neural network model takes long learning time and gets into local minimum. This study proposes Neuro Genetic hybrid model which a combination of genetic algorithm and neural network. Hybrid model makes up for neural network's shortcomings. In this study, the amount of supply, the mean temperature and the population of the area supplied with water are use for neural network's learning patterns for prediction. RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) is used for a MOE(Measure Of Effectiveness). The comparison of the two models showed that the predicting capability of Hybrid model is more effective than that of neural network model. The proposed hybrid model is able to predict of Daily water, thus it can apply real time estimation of operational control of water works and water drain pipes. Proposed models include accidental cases such as a suspension of water supply. The maximum error rate between the estimation of the model and the actual measurement was 11.81% and the average error was lower than 1.76%. The model is expected to be a real-time estimation of the operational control of water works and water/drain pipes.