• Title/Summary/Keyword: 농작물 피해

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Future Drought Forecasting Using RCP 8.5 Scenarios in the Korean Peninsula (RCP8.5시나리오를 이용한 남한지역의 장래 가뭄 예측)

  • Jang, Dong Woo;Park, Hyo Seon;Choi, Jin Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.207-207
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    • 2016
  • 최근 2년 간 한반도에 내린 강수량은 평년에 비해 60%정도 밖에 내리지 않았다. 이로 인해 2015년에는 전국 곳곳에서 가뭄이 발생하였고, 농작물피해, 이수부분에서 어려움을 겪었다. 지역적으로 가뭄피해를 해소하고자 여러 대책이 강구되고 있고, 국가적으로 가뭄을 극복하기 위해 국가가뭄정보분석센터의 개소 등 기상, 수문정보를 바탕으로 한 가뭄 해소 노력이 증대되고 있다. 기상청에서는 기상확률예보를 통해 단기적인 강수, 가뭄 예측자료를 제공하고 있으며, 전지구모델을 상세화 한 지역기후모델을 통해 한반도 전 지역에 대해 기후변화시나리오에 의한 강수, 기온자료를 제공하고 있다. 가뭄을 예측하고, 가뭄정도를 파악하기 위해서 가뭄지수를 보편적으로 이용하고 있다. 강수와 기온은 기상학적 가뭄지수 산정에 가장 중요한 인자로 이용되고 있다. SPI는 강수자료를 이용하여 가뭄정도를 파악할 수 있는 지수이고, RDI는 강수와 기온자료를 통해 잠재 증발산량을 산정하고, 이를 고려하는 가뭄지수이다. 한반도 내 주요 관측소지점에 대해 RCP 8.5 시나리오에 의한 장래 2100년까지 가뭄지수를 산정한 결과 RDI의 경우 가뭄발생빈도와 강도가 점차 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 장래 한반도의 연 강수량은 크게 감소하지 않는데 비해 기온은 점차 증가하는 경향이 발생함에 따라 기온상승에 의한 증발산량의 증가가 극한가뭄이 발생하는 주요요인으로 판단되었다. 수도권지역의 경우 예측기간이 2100년에 가까울수록 SPI에 의한 가뭄지수는 점차 증가하여 가뭄 강도가 약해지는 것으로 예측되었고, RDI지수에 의한 가뭄지수는 점차 감소하여 극한가뭄이 발생할 가능성이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과를 통해 장래 가뭄에 의한 피해지역 예측, 수자원 계획, 이수분야에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Vulnerability Analysis for Groundwater Level Management in the Midstream of the Nakdong River (낙동강 중류 지역 지하수위 관리 취약성 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Beom;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.138-138
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    • 2017
  • 가뭄, 집중호우와 같은 자연적인 요인과 불투수면적의 증가, 각종 용수로서의 지하수 이용 증가, 지하구조물 공사 등과 같은 인위적인 요인에 의한 지하수위 하강이 이슈화 되고 있다. 지하수 위의 하강은 지하수 고갈 같은 1차적 피해뿐만 아니라 생태계 교란, 농작물 피해, 지반 침하, 싱크홀 등의 2차 피해를 야기한다. 이에 따라 지하수위 시계열 자료를 이용하여 지하수위 관리 취약성에 대한 분석을 실시하였다. 연구지역으로 낙동강 중류에 위치한 상주, 대구, 밀양 지역으로 선택하였다. 자료 수집으로 국가지하수정보센터(www.gims.go.kr)에서 제공하는 국가지하수관측망 관측정 중 자료길이가 11개년 이상인 상주, 대구, 밀양의 지하수위 관측소의 일단위 지하수위 자료와 지하수이용량 자료를 수집하였다. 관측소 인근의 하천수위 자료는 국가수자원관리종합정보시스템(www.wamis.go.kr)에서 수집하였으며, 관측소 인근의 강수자료는 기상청(www.kma.go.kr)에서 해당 지역 관측소의 일단위 강수 자료를 수집하였다. 연구지역의 지하수 함양 자료는 국가통계포털(www.kosis.kr)에서 수집하였다. 수집한 일 단위 수문 자료를 이용하여 각 관측소의 연평균, 갈수기, 풍수기에 대해서 연구지역의 지하수위 관리 취약성 분석을 실시했고, 자료 분석 시 충적층 지하수위 자료는 인근 수계에 따른 변동이 크기 때문에 암반층 지하수위 자료에 대해서 분석을 실시하였다. 분석한 결과는 표준화 과정을 거쳐 지수로 산정하였고, 산정된 지수를 통해 연구지역 내 지하수위 관리 취약성 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구를 전국단위 국가지하수관측망으로 적용하게 되면 지하수 개발 및 관리 정책 수립에 있어 큰 도움이 될 것으로 생각된다.

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Drought Assessment Using Standardized Precipitation Index and Streamflow Drought Index in Yeoncheon Region (연천지역의 표준 강수 지수와 하천 유량 가뭄지수를 이용한 가뭄 평가)

  • Il Hwan Kim;Joo-heon Lee;Il-Moon Chung
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.241-256
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    • 2023
  • Long-term droughts and frequent spring droughts are causing damage to crops, which are the means of livelihood of residents of the Yeoncheon region. To analyze the degree of drought in Yeoncheon, the ratio of monthly precipitation and discharge was reviewed through observed data, and the standardized precipitation index and streamflow drought index were calculated. As a result of drought analysis using precipitation and discharge observation stations near the Yeoncheon basin, it was analyzed that the drought that occurred in 2014 was common to all drought indices and that drought occurred continuously until 2019, either large or small. In the case of drought indices with a duration of 12 months, it is expected that the damage caused by the drought would be severe as the drought period lasted 24 months. In order to manage drought damage, it is important to understand and predict the current state of drought. In order to cope with drought in advance, it is urgent to implement an integrated operation management strategy for rivers and waterworks structures according to the degree and duration of drought.

Developed using Quadcopter Crop Protection and Monitoring System from Wild Animals (쿼드콥터를 이용한 야생동물로부터 농작물보호 및 감시 시스템 개발)

  • Lim, Hyeon-Woo;Jie, Min-Seok;Choi, Won-Hyuck
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.303-310
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    • 2016
  • Due to population explosion and develop of the industry, expressways, national roads and railways has been developed a lot. But it increased the disconnection of the ecosystem. The phenomenon of wild animals' habitat simplification has been increased. The damage appeared in succession because of the harmful wild animal. Our country is making efforts relief of some affected farming household's financial compensation. But the affected populations can't sleep at night or they are suffering in their basic life because of this kind of night patrol. This research is based on the study of wild animal's ecosystem and their habits, generate and regenerate supersonic waves and infrasound, prevent wild animal's approach to some extent and stop the approximation effectively, focusing on develop a quadcopter about discrete pulses system.

An Analysis of the Hail Damages to Korean Forests in 2017 by Meteorology, Species and Topography (2017년 우박에 의한 산림피해의 기상, 수종 및 지형 특성 분석)

  • Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Eunsook;Lee, Bora;Kim, Sunhee;Jang, Keunchang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.280-292
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    • 2017
  • Hail is not a frequently occurring weather event, and there are even fewer reports of hail damages to forest stands. Since the 2000s, an increase in hail incidence has been documented in Europe and the United States. In Korea, severe hails occurred in Jeollanam-do province on May 31 and in Gyeongsangbuk-do province on June 1, 2017. Hail size was ranged from 0.5 to 5.0 cm in diameter in Jeollanam-do, and from 1.5 to 3.0 cm in Gyeongsangbuk-do. This study was aimed to analyze the hail damages to forests by species and topography based on damage-categorized maps created by using drones and aerial photographs, and to analyze relationships of the damages with meteorological factors. The total damaged forest area was 1,163.1ha in Jeollanam-do, and 2,942.3ha in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Among the 'severe' damaged area 326.7ha, 91% was distributed in Jeollanam-do, and concentrated in the city of Hwasun which covers 57.2% of the total 'severe' damaged area. The most heavily damaged species was Korean red pine(Pinus densiflora S. & Z.) followed by P. rigida. Most broad-leaved trees species including oaks were recovered without any dead trees found. Liliodendron tulipifera was the most severely damaged in terms of the rate of 'severe' degree individuals which are needed to be checked whether they will die or be recovered. Cause of the death of pines was considered as the combination of physical damage caused by the hail and long-lasting drought with high air temperature that occurred before and after the hail event. No pathogens and insects were found which might have affected to tree deaths. We suggested a dieback mechanism of the pine trees damaged by hail and drought.

Groundwater Quality in the Shallow Aquifer at the Plastic Film Houses Area near Livestock Area in Kyongan River Basin (경안천유역내 축산단지 인근 시설원예지역의 천층지하수 수질특성)

  • 김진호;문광현;안승구
    • Journal of Korea Soil Environment Society
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to show the groundwater quality in the shallow aquifer at the plastic film houses area near livestock areas in Kyong=n river. The study was conducted at 31 sites in Pogok Myon. Yongin City, Kyonggi Province on March, June and August in 1998, Medium value of CO $D_{cr}$ by survey months was as follows ; June(8.0mg/L) > April(4.4mg/L) > August(3.2mg/L). And the value of $NH_3$-N showed same tendency ; June (0.21mg/L) > April(0.08mg/L) > August (0.04mg/L). In case of nitrate- nitrogen, the changes by survey months were shown similar. But 28% of survey sites exceeded to agricultural groundwater quality reference level(20mg/L). And sulfur concentrations at some survey sites exceeded the reference level(50mg/L). But the other items of water quality were shown to suitable level for agriculture. The result showed that groundwater quality management should be taken for agricultural using at the livestock and plastic film house areas.

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A Prediction Model for Agricultural Products Price with LSTM Network (LSTM 네트워크를 활용한 농산물 가격 예측 모델)

  • Shin, Sungho;Lee, Mikyoung;Song, Sa-kwang
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.416-429
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    • 2018
  • Typhoons and floods are natural disasters that occur frequently, and the damage resulting from these disasters must be in advance predicted to establish appropriate responses. Direct damages such as building collapse, human casualties, and loss of farms and fields have more attention from people than indirect damages such as increase of consumer prices. But indirect damages also need to be considered for living. The agricultural products are typical consumer items affected by typhoons and floods. Sudden, powerful typhoons are mostly accompanied by heavy rains and damage agricultural products; this increases the retail price of such products. This study analyzes the influence of natural disasters on the price of agricultural products by using a deep learning algorithm. We decided rice, onion, green onion, spinach, and zucchini as target agricultural products, and used data on variables that influence the price of agricultural products to create a model that predicts the price of agricultural products. The result shows that the model's accuracy was about 0.069 measured by RMSE, which means that it could explain the changes in agricultural product prices. The accurate prediction on the price of agricultural products can be utilized by the government to respond natural disasters by controling amount of supplying agricultural products.

A Study on Facilities Damage Characteristics Caused by Forest Fire in Goseong-Gun (고성산불로 인한 시설물피해특성 연구)

  • Yeom, Chanho;Lee, Si-young;Park, Houngsek;Kwon, Chungeun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: In this studies we examine the facilities damage characteristics caused by forest fire. Therefore, we surveyed damaged facilities from forest fire which was occurred on Goseong-Gun on march 28 in 2019.(damaged areas was 40ha) The types of facilities uses were house, public facility, warehouse and so on. 17 facilities were destroyed. The purpose of this study was to for establishing a disaster safety village in rural areas where damage from a similar type of disaster occurs repeatedly by conducting the consciousness survey targeting at experts and disaster safety officials in a local government. Method: We surveyed meteorological factors(temperature, wind speed, wind direction, humidity) per a minute for analyzing weather condition on Goseong-Gun when forest fire was occurred, spread and extinguished. And we surveyed forest fire risk factors(a slope degree, a slope direction, a geographical feature, a distance between forest and facility, main species, the existence of crown fire ignition, the direction of facility, the main material of building) around 10 damaged facilities. Finally, we analyzed damage pattern of facilities using meteorological factor and forest fire reisk fator Result: The weather condition of Kanseonng AWS (No.517) was high temperature, arid and strong wind, when the forest fire was occurred and spread. An average wind speed was 4.1m/s and the maximum wind speed was 11.6m/s. The main direction of wind was W(225~315°). Damaged facilities were located on the steep slope area and on the mountaintop. The forest density around facilities was high and main species was korean red pine. The crown fire was occurred in the forest around damaged facilities. The average distance was 13.5m from forest to facilities. When the main matarial of building was made by fire resistance materials (for example, rainforced concrete), the damage was slightly. on the other hand, when by flammable material (for example, a Sandwich Panel), the facilities were totally destroyed Conclusion: The results of this research which were the thinning around house, making a safety distance, the improvement of main material of building and etc, will be helpful for establishing a counter measure for a forest fire prevention of facilities in wild land urban interface

Analysis of Freezing Injury Rate, Hormone and Soluble Sugars between 'Fuji' and 'Hongro' Apple Trees in Flowering Period (개화기 사과 '후지'와 '홍로'의 품종간 저온 피해율, 호르몬과 유리당 분석)

  • Jeong, Jae Hoon;Han, Jeom Hwa;Ryu, Suhyun;Cho, Jung Gun;Lee, Seul-Ki
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.320-327
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    • 2021
  • Freezing damage to fruit trees is frequently occurring due to cold in winter and low temperature in spring to abnormal weather caused by global warming. In particular, the freezing injury of deciduous fruit trees is highly dependent on the developmental stages of the flower buds. And the cold resistance is weakened as the growth progresses, so it is most vulnerable period from flowering to petal fall(post-bloom). Therefore, this study was conducted to analyze the cause of the freezing injury caused by severe low temperature to 'Fuji', which has a late flowering period more than 'Hongro' in April 2020. We investigated freezing injury rate in 'Fuji' and 'Hongro' apple trees damaged by natural low temperature at Boeun-gun, Chungbuk province in Korea. In addition, flower buds in the same developmental stage (tight cluster) were treated artificially low temperature to investigate the injury rate for accurate comparative analysis between varieties, and to analyze the soluble sugar and hormone contents in the flower buds. As a result of survey in natural low temperature, 'Fuji' had a higher injury rate than 'Hongro' in both orchards, and in particular, B orchard 'Fuji' had the highest injury rate of 60.5%. Also there were significantly difference in the freezing injury rate between 'Fuji' and 'Hongro' in artificially low temperature treatments. As a result of analyzing the soluble sugar contents in 'Hongro' was higher than 'Fuji'. Also ABA, IAA and SA contents were more increased in the damaged tissue than in the normal flower buds by low temperature treatments. Consequently, it was assumed that the freezing injury was closely related to soluble sugar contents in the flower buds. In particular, the freezing injury rate was negatively correlated with the sorbitol contents.

Study of Growth and Anthocyanin Accumulation by Ozone Stress in Rice (벼 오존가스 노출에 따른 초기 생육 및 안토시아닌 생합성 변화 분석 연구)

  • HyeonSeok Lee;WoonHa Hwang;SeoYeong Yang;Yeongseo Song;WooJin Im;HoeJeong Jeong;ChungGen Lee;Juhee Kim;MyoungGoo Choi
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the concentration of fine dust causative substances (NOx, VOC, etc.) in the atmosphere has increased, resulting in high concentrations of tropospheric ozone (O3) and increased damage to crops. This study aimed to analyze the impact of high concentrations of ozone gas on the initial growth of rice plants and investigate the relationship between ozone damage resistance and anthocyanin biosynthesis. To achieve this, rice plants were exposed to elevated levels of ozone g as using an ozone chamber, and subsequent measurements were taken to assess changes in growth, the percentage of damaged leaves, and the anthocyanin content. The results revealed that varieties with a higher proportion of damaged leaves exhibited a relative increase in anthocyanin biosynthesis following ozone exposure. Notably, detrimental effects on growth, such as decreased biomass, were mitigated. Additionally, Anthocyanin biosynthesis genes in rice were listed by selecting homologous genes from Arabidopsis and Maize. The expression of OsF3H2, OsFLS1 and OsLDOX3 was induced during ozone treatment. This result is expected to contribute to the study of the protection mechanism of plants from ozone damage.