• Title/Summary/Keyword: 네스티드 로짓 모형

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Analysis of Prework Trip-Making and Modal Choice (통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택행태 분석)

  • 윤대식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 지금가지 통근통행자의 활동참여 분석(activity Participation analysis)이 주로 일과후 활동참여(postwork activity participation)에 초점이 주어졌다는 점을 감안하여 일과전 활동참여(preworkactivity Participation)를 분석하고자 하였다. 이러한 연구배경하에서 본 연구는 통근통행자의 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 행태를 네스티드 로짓모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구는 모형의 경험적 추정을 위해 1995년 미국 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS)의 일부분으로 수집된 뉴욕 대도시지역의 설문조사자료를 이용하였으며, 추정된 경험적 모형을 바탕으로 의미 있는 결과를 논의하였다. 본 연구에서 추정된 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 네스티드 로짓모형은 통계적 측면이나 행태적 측면에서 볼 때 대체로 타당한 분석결과를 보여준다. 교통수단 선택모형(조건부 모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이, 운전면허 소지여부, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구내 직장인수, 연간 가구소득, 교통수단의 통행시간이 통근통행자의 교통수단 선택에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 한편 통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부 선택모형(한계모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이 성별, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구의 생애주기가 통근통행자의 비 통근통행 발생여부에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구로부터의 중요한 발견은 추정된 네스티드 로짓모형의 inclusive value의 추정계수값을 살펴봄으로써 가능한데, 모형의 경험적 추정결과는 본 연구에서 가설화된 네스티드 로짓모형구조의 타당성을 입증시켜 준다. 아울러 직장인의 교통수단 선택은 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부의 선택과 밀접한 관련을 가지면서 이루어진다는 사실을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Analysis of Urban Workers' Travel Pattern Choice Behavior (통근통행자의 통행패턴 선택행태의 분석)

  • 윤대식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 1997
  • The main objective of this research is to develop urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model. For this research, a hovel pattern choice model was empirically estimated by using a survey data collected from Kyongsan and Yeungchun City. For this research, a nested logit model structure was employed. For the model specification, it is hypothesized that urban workers' daily travel pattern choice behavior is represented by two stages of choices with single-destination or multi destination travel pattern choice as the higher stage, and the number of tours as the lower stage. The urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model developed in this research yields intuitively reasonable results. From the empirical results, it is found to be sensible to represent urban workers' daily travel patterns as the nested logit model structure Hypothesized in this research. furthermore, future directions of model development are suggested.

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A Nested Logit Model of Auto Ownership and Vehicle Type Choices (승용차 보유대수와 차종선택에 대한 네스티드로짓모형의 추정)

  • Park, Sang-Jun;Kim, Seong-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2007
  • The study examines households' auto ownership and car type choice with a nested legit model. In summary. ${\rho}^2$ and the inclusive values, which represent the goodness of fit of the model, are statistically significant. Therefore. the nested logit model is superior to the standard legit model in this case. Also. the elasticity of operating costs is larger than 1, which means households' car ownership and car type choice is very sensitive to the operating costs. Finally, the elasticity of the operating costs in the lower income group is higher than that or the operating costs in the higher income group.

Development of Mode Choice Model for the Implementation of Next-generation High Speed Train(HEMU-430X) (차세대 고속열차 도입에 따른 수단분담모형 개발 및 적용방안)

  • LEE, Kwang Sub;CHUNG, Sung Bong;EOM, Jin Ki;NAMKUNG, Baek Kyu;KIM, Seok Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.461-469
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    • 2015
  • The next generation high-speed train, HEMU-430X, was developed and is now being tested. However, the existing mode choice models based on the guidelines for feasibility studies do not consider a high-speed train with a higher speed than KTX. This limitation might result in inaccurate demand forecasting. In this research, a stated preference survey was conducted in order to supplement the problem by considering the characteristics of HEMU-430X. Based on the survey results, this research developed two mode choice models, including a multinomial logit model and a nested logit model. For this purpose, the utility functions of travel time and travel costs were estimated using a Limdep 8.0 NLOGIT 3.0 package. After comparing the two models, it was concluded that the nested logit model is appropriate. The paper suggested a plan to implement the nested logit model and presented a policy implication.

Analysis of Participation Behavior and Factors of Urban Leisure Activity (도시 여가활동의 참여행태 및 요인분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwang;Yun, Dae-Sic;Kim, Kap-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2004
  • This research develops a model of participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. A nested legit model was found to be an appropriate approach. Data collected from Deagu and Pohang City were used for empirical estimation of model parameters. The empirical results confirmed several behavioral aspects associated with participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. The paper presents a discussion on implications that can be inferred from the empirical results. Finally, future potential research question are also discussed.

A Study on the Parking Place Choice Behaviors Using Stated Preference Data (the case of shopping trips) (SP Data를 이용한 주차장선택행태 분석에 관한 연구 (쇼핑통행을 중심으로))

  • 정성용;윤용득;배영석;이재륜
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2001
  • A parking facility choice model. which can be applied to analyze of the driver's parking behavioral changes in response to the local government's parking policy changes and to predict parking demand by the facility types, is developed. Under the context of the stated preference discrete choice model, socioeconomic variables and parking alternative characteristic variables are introduced as explanatory variables. A parking facility choice model for the shopping trip purpose is derived using multinomial logit model and nested logit model and the stated preference data collected in Taegu metropolitan area. The result shows that the sign of all the estimated parameters are logically consistent and the model's goodness of fit is reasonably good. As a result of the elasticity analysis of the model, the elasticity of parking cost is highest, and the elasticity of walking distance between parking place and the destination is higher than parking place searching and ingress time. This means that the parking places are supplied around the destination in the form of small-size parking place. The findings in this study is expected to provide a fundamental data for various short-term parking policy analyses and for parking facility's demand estimations.

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A Analysis on Preference of Funeral Type by Socioeconomic Characteristics using Nested Logit Model (네스티드로짓모형을 활용한 사회경제적 특성에 따른 장사유형 선호 분석)

  • Joo, Ho Sang;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.933-943
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants for preferred funeral methods depending on socio-economic characteristics. In South Korea, the Act on Funeral Services, Etc. categorizes funeral methods into burial, inurnment, and natural burial. This study empirically analyzes how and what socio-economic characteristics affect choices among these three categories. Data is collected from Social Survey 2017 and funeral facilities in the country. The data to be analyzed is developed in terms of a hierarchy which puts the burial and cremation methods in an upper class and the inurnment and natural burial methods in a lower class. Based on this data, a nested logit model is employed to conduct empirical analysis. The analysis indicates that those characteristics that have a statistically significant influence on preferred methods include gender, age, householder, marriage, satisfaction with life, class awareness, monthly income, housing type, housing tenure type, and living in city area. Each variable's modulus of calculated direct and cross elasticity need to be used to analyze the outcome of a nested logit model. In this study, the modulus of direct and cross elasticity are determined for the significant variables. The calculated direct elasticity is applied to analyze the likelihood of choosing each funeral method when there are changes in the significant variables. When a particular method has been selected, on the other hand, the cross elasticity is utilized to analyze changes to the likelihood of choosing the other methods. One of the most notable results is related to natural burial. In order to meet the demand for natural burial, it is necessary to provide more burial sites and raise awareness of natural burial. This will facilitate the efficient use of national territorial space.

Model Specification and Estimation Method for Traveler's Mode Choice Behavior in Pusan Metropolitan Area (부산광역권 교통수단선택모형의 정립과 모수추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ik-Ki;Kim, Kang-Soo;Kim, Hyoung-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.3 s.81
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2005
  • Mode choice Analysis is essential analysis stage in transportation demand forecasting process. Therefore, methods for calibration and forecasting of mode choice model in aspect of practical view need to be discussed in depth. Since 1980s, choice models, especially Logit model, are spread widely and rapidly over academic area, research institutes and consulting firms in Korea like other developed countries in the world. However, the process of calibration and parameter estimation for practical application was not clearly explained in previous papers and reports. This study tried to explain clearly the calibration process of mode choice step by step and suggested a forecasting mode choice model that can be applicable in real policy analysis by using household survey data of Pusan metropolitan are. The study also suggested a way of estimating attributes which was not observed during the household survey commonly such as travel time and cost of unchosen alternative modes. The study summarized the statistical results of model specification for four different Logit models as a process to upgrade model capability of explanation for real traveler's choice behaviors. By using the analysis results, it also calculated the value of travel time and compared them with the values of other previous studies to test reliability of the estimated model.

Analysis of Green Vehicle Purchasing Behavior Using Logit Model (로짓모형을 이용한 친환경차 구매행태 분석)

  • HAHN, Jin-Seok;LEE, Jang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2016
  • This study assumes a vehicle choice model based on the multinomial model and analyzes the vehicle choice behaviors of consumer. An SP survey targeting drivers was implemented and data was collected for model estimates, with the possible choice options of the survey takers limited to gasoline, HEV, PHEV, and EV vehicles. The explanatory variable mostly displayed a significance level of under 5%, and excluding variables for price and fuel the remaining variables were all consistent with the logical direction with the plus (+) sign and the results were determined to be rational. Consumers selecting mid-size & full-size vehicles are able to afford more than consumers that selected other vehicle types, so there was relatively little consideration given to low fuel costs when compared to vehicle price. For this reason, it was determined that for the full-size vehicle model the fuel variable could be disregarded. Socio-economic variables that were statistically significant were the age and infor variables for the sub-compact & compact, the age, infor and inc3 variables for the mid-sized & full-size vehicles.

A Study of Mode Choice Analysis of Blind Spot Areas for Public Transportation in Four Metropolitan Cities (대도시권 대중교통 사각지대 통행자들의 수단선택 모형 개발 - 급행버스 노선 도입에 따른 선호의식 조사를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hwang Bae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.565-569
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    • 2012
  • This study selected blind spot areas for public transportation in four metropolitan cities including Busan, Daegue, Gwangju, and Daejeon. Then this study developed a nested logit model and analyzed the changes of mode choice behaviors after adopting rapid transit system using stated preference(SP) survey. As the study results, blind spot areas have more potential public transportation demand and tendency to shift to public transportation from autos than built-up areas. This study results can be utilized to evaluate demand changes for new rapid transit system in a circular expressway and an arterial highway connecting CBD and surrounding areas. The study results also can be utilized to analyze the potential public transportation demand in the surrounding areas.