• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.358-358
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• 2021

자연재해 중 홍수는 전 세계적으로 가장 큰 인적 및 물적 피해를 발생시키고 있으며, 지구온난화로 가속화되고 있는 기후변화는 더욱 극심한 호우와 태풍 현상을 야기하고 있다. 최근 우리나라에서도 2020년 장마는 역대 가장 긴 장마로 기록되는 등 변화된 기상현상으로 인해 홍수피해의 빈도와 강도가 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 따라서, 이상기후로 인한 홍수피해에 대한 대비와 적응을 위해 위험도 평가, 예·경보시스템, 대피체계 등과 같은 비구조적 대책의 수립이 필요하다. 그 중 홍수피해에 대한 위험도 평가는 과거 홍수피해자료를 바탕으로 지역별 피해양상이나 상대적인 피해위험도를 파악할 수 있으므로 홍수피해 저감대책 수립에 중요한 비구조적 도구로 인식되고 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 행정구역별 과거 강우특성 및 홍수피해자료를 분석하여 강우조건에 따라 예상되는 홍수피해위험도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위해 먼저, 국민재난안전포털에서 제공하는 재해연보에서 행정구역별 최근 20년 동안의 호우 및 태풍으로 인한 피해자료를 수집하여 인적 및 물적 피해특성 자료를 구축하고, 홍수피해가 발생한 기간에 대해 기상청에서 제공하는 시강우량 자료를 수집하여 홍수피해 사상별 다양한 강우특성자료를 구축한다. 구축된 자료를 이용하여 행정구역별 강우-피해 상관분석을 수행하고, 회귀분석 과정에서 이상치가 존재할 경우 회귀모형의 적합도를 향상시키기 위해 이상치를 제거하고 분석하여, 회귀식의 결정계수 및 유의성 검정결과를 바탕으로 3가지 원인별(호우, 태풍, 종합), 2가지 홍수피해별(인적, 물적) 강우-피해 최적 회귀함수를 선정한다. 최종적으로 강우조건에 따른 홍수피해 규모를 예측하고, 이를 통하여 행정구역별 상대적인 홍수피해위험도를 평가한다. 본 연구를 통해 행정구역별 강우조건에 따른 예상 홍수피해위험도를 분석하여 홍수피해에 대한 저감대책 수립에 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.155-155
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• 2020

최근 전 세계적으로 기후변화 및 이상기후로 인해 홍수, 가뭄과 같은 수자원과 관련된 재해들의 빈도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 가뭄은 발생 시작 및 종료 시기가 명확하지 않고, 그 피해가 광범위한 특징으로 인해 농업분야에 직접적인 피해를 주고 있으며, 농산물 생산성 및 안정적인 농업용수 확보에 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 과거 가뭄을 해석하기 위해서는 일반적으로 강수량, 가뭄지수 등 단일지표를 활용하여 가뭄을 평가하였으나, 최근 선제적인 가뭄대응을 위해 다양한 인자들을 종합하여 판단하는 취약성 평가 (Vulnerability Assessment) 개념을 도입하였다. 농업가뭄 취약성은 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 기상 및 수문학적 가뭄에 의한 작물 생산 피해 및 가축의 피해를 동반할 수 있는 가능성으로 정의한다. 본 연구에서는 농업용 저수지 중심의 농업용수 기반 취약성 평가 항목을 선정하여 농업가뭄 취약지도를 작성하였다. 민감도, 노출도 및 적응능력 개념에 적합한 대응변수를 활용하여 저수지의 저수율, 용수 부족 및 가뭄 대응능력 뿐만 아니라 사회·환경적, 기상학적 영향을 고려한 평가 항목 선정하였다. 항목별 단위 및 특성을 통합하기 위해 스케일 재조정 (Re-Scaling), Z-Score 등 다양한 방법을 활용하여 표준화를 실시하였으며, AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), 엔트로피 분석 등을 통해 항목별 가중치를 산정하였다. 또한 농업가뭄에 긍정적인 영향과 부정적인 영향을 미치는 항목을 구분하여 대응변수를 적용하였다. 이를 바탕으로 농업가뭄 취약성을 평가하여 항목별 등급을 구분하였으며, 전국 167개 시군을 대상으로 농업가뭄 취약지도를 작성하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 시군별 맞춤형 농업가뭄 대응정책의 기초자료 활용 가능하며, 농업가뭄 취약지역/상습가뭄지역에 대한 정보 제공이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.154-165
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• 2016

Recently, the frequency of extreme rainfall event has increased due to climate change and impermeable area also has increased due to rapid urbanization. Therefore, we ought to prepare countermeasures for flood reduction to reduce the damage. To consider climate change, the frequency based rainfall was calculated according to the aimed period(reference : 1971~2010, Target period I : 2011~2040, Target period II : 2041~2070, Target period III : 2071~2100) and the flood discharge was also calculated by climate change using HEC-HMS model. Also, the flood elevation was calculated by each alternative through HEC-RAS model, setting 5 sizes of drainage pumps and reservoirs respectively. The flood map was constructed using topographical data and flood elevation, and the economic analysis was conducted for reduction of flood damage using Multi dimension - Flood Damage Analysis, MD-FDA. As a result of the analysis on the flood control effect, a head of drainage pump was reduced by 0.06m up to 0.44m while it was reduced by 0.01m up to 1.86m in the case of a detention pond. The flooded area shrunk by up to 32.64% from 0.3% and inundation depth also dropped. As a result of a comparison of the Benefit/Cost index estimated by the economic analysis, detention pond E in period I and pump D in period II and III were deemed appropriate as an alternative for climate change. The results are expected to be used as good practices when implementing the flood control works considering climate change.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.296-304
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• 2018

The objective of this study was to analyze the impact of climate change on rice yield and quality. Experiments were conducted using SPAR(Soil-Plant-Atmosphere-Research) chambers, which was designed to create virtual future climate conditions, in the National Institute of Crop Science, Jeonju, Korea, in 2016. In the future climate conditions($+2.8^{\circ}C$ temp, 580 ppm $CO_2$) of year 2051~2060 according to RCP 8.5 scenario, elevated temperature and $CO_2$ accelerated the heading date by about five days than the present climate conditions, resulted in a high temperature environment during grain filling stage. Rice yield decreased sharply in the future climate conditions due to the high temperature induced poor ripening. And the spikelet numbers, ripening ratio, and 1000-grain weight of brown rice were significantly decreased compared to control. The rice grain quality was also decreased sharply, especially due to the increased immature grains. In the future climate conditions, expression of starch biosynthesis-related genes such as granule-bound starch synthase(GBSSI, GBSSII, SSIIa, SSIIb, SSIIIa), starch branching enzyme(BEIIb) and ADP-glucose pyrophosphorylase(AGPS1, AGPS2, AGPL2) were repressed in developing seeds, whereas starch degradation related genes such as ${\alpha}-amylase$(Amy1C, Amy3D, Amy3E) were induced. These results suggest that the reduction in yield and quality of rice in the future climate conditions is likely caused mainly by the poor grain filling by high temperature. Therefore, it is suggested to develop tolerant cultivars to high temperature during grain filling period and a new cropping system in order to ensure a high quality of rice in the future climate conditions.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.143-151
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• 2010

The impact of climate change on rice plants in Gangwon province was examined by comparing the climatic conditions during the recent 10 years (2000~2009) with those of normal (1971~2000) years, and by evaluating the rice plant responses. The daily mean air temperature increased by $0.5^{\circ}C$ while the daily range decreased by $0.1^{\circ}C$ as compared with the normal years. During the main rice growing period in field (from June to September) precipitation increased from 900 to 1,051mm and sunshine hours decreased from 704 to 619 hours. The respiration consumption effect during the rice growing period increased by 0.07 as a result of increased air temperature and reduced sunshine hours. The optimum heading date (determined by the mean air temperature for 40 days after the heading) was delayed in Chuncheon, Hongcheon, Wonju, and Gangneung compared with the normal. The maximum climatic yield potential based on mean temperature and sunshine hours for 40 days after the rice heading decreased by 94 kg/10a mainly due to the decrease in sunshine. The mean air temperature for 40 days after the rice heading from 1999 to 2009 in Chuncheon, Cheorwon, and Gangneung was generally above $22^{\circ}C$ implying that yield and quality of rice can be reduced. Therefore, it is necessary to delay the heading date by planting mid- to late-maturing varieties or by changing the transplanting date in order to produce high quality rice and to maintain rice productivity. In addition, it is also important to develop or select cultivars suitable to changing climate for each region in Gangwon province.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.296-306
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• 2019

BACKGROUND: Temperature is known to be the main factor affecting development, growth and reproduction of organisms and also a physical factor directly related to insect survival. Insects as ectothermal species should be responsive to climate changes for their survival and develop various survival strategies under the unfavorable temperature such as low temperature. The purpose of this study is to identify genes contributing to adaptation of low temperature. METHODS AND RESULTS: To identify genes contributing to adaptation of low temperature, the transcriptomic data were obtained from fat body in Plutella xyostella larvae via next generation sequencing. We identified structural proteins, heat shock proteins, antioxidant enzymes, detoxification proteins, and cryoprotectant mobilization and biosynthesis-related proteins. Genes encoding chitinase, cuticular protein, Hsp23, chytochrome protein, Glutathione S transferase, and phospholipase 2 were up-regulated under low temperature. Proteins related to energy metabolism such as UDP-glycosy ltransferase, trehalase and trehalose transporter were down-regulated. CONCLUSION: When insect pests were exposed to low temperature, changes in gene expression of fat body could provide some hints for understanding temperature adaptation strategies.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.623-634
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• 2010

The elevated water storage tanks highly crowded in the western region in Jeju island is an important landmark of Jeju island. This study examines the reasons that the elevated water storage tanks appeared in a high density. After examination, this study found that the elevated water storage tanks formed under the influences of climate, hydrogeologic structure, soil, topography and land use. In particular, the elevated water storage tanks in Jeju are closely related to the crapping system with which water has to be supplied using sprinkler due to well drained soil and hydrogeological characteristics. The results of this study show that elevated water storage tank landscape in the western region of Jeju island is an agricultural landscape particularly made in the course of farmers' adaptation to the natural environment of Jeju island.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.37-48
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• 2023

The possibility of a super-large disaster is increasing due to changes in national territory, urban space and social environment, extreme weather conditions due to climate change, and paralysis of national infrastructure due to natural disasters. In this study, in order to support the systematic establishment of national territorial disaster prevention strategies for future disasters, alternatives to intelligent national territorial disaster prevention policies for future disasters were considered. Changes in the national environment related to future disasters, domestic and foreign prior studies and policy trends related to national disaster prevention, and studies related to the national disaster management system were investigated, and institutional and technical policy alternatives were derived. As a policy alternative, it was suggested that the creation of a self-adapting national territory for future disasters should be systematized and continuously supported through a technically intelligent decision-making support system.

• Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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• 2020.12a
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• pp.50-50
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• 2020

기후변화의 영향으로 자생지에서 고사하고 있는 구상나무 유묘의 대기온도와 연령에 따라 건전도를 파악하고자 지리산 구상나무 실생묘를 대상으로 엽록소형광을 측정하였다. 2020년 7, 8, 9월에 걸쳐 월별 1회씩 연생별(1, 2, 3, 5, 6년생) 20개체를 대상으로 13시, 19시에 개체당 3회 반복 측정하였다. 측정 당시 평균대기온도는 24.6, 26.9, 20.6℃이었으며 잎을 20분간 광을 차단 후 Fv/Fm값을 측정하였다. Fo는 식물이 암적응 된 상태에서 포화광을 조사하기 직전의 형광 초기값이며, Fm은 식물이 암적응 된 상태에서 포화광을 통해 유도된 최대 형광수치를 의미한다. Fv는 Fm-Fo이며, 광화학 반응의 최대 양자수율로 식물의 잎이 광합성을 수행할 수 있는 잠재력을 의미하고 식물의 광합성 활성과 건전도에 대한 지표로 사용된다. 일반적으로 건강한 잎의 Fv/Fm값이 0.8을 기준으로 낮은 값은 광계II의 반응 중심이 손상을 잎은 경우이거나 스트레스 환경에 있는 경우이다. 13시 측정 결과 8월 측정값 중 1년생과 3년생이 0.8 이하로 측정되었고 그 외에는 전부 0.8 보다 높게 나타났다. 19시 측정 결과 8월에 1, 2, 3년생이 0.8 이하로 측정되었으며, 9월에는 1년생의 경우를 제외하고 모두 0.8 보다 높게 나타났다. 1, 2, 3년생은 8월의 높은 온도에 영향을 받아 고산지대에 자생하는 구상나무의 특성상 고온에 대한 스트레스를 받은 것으로 판단되며, 연령이 비교적 높은 5, 6년생은 온도변화에 비교적 안정적인 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 엽록소형광 측정의 결과를 근거로 3년생 이하의 개체는 온도변화에 민감하게 반응하는 반면, 5년생 이상의 개체는 비교적 안정적으로 건전도가 유지된 것으로 판단되었다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.108-121
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• 2021

Field studies at Suwon, Cheorwon, and Jinbu were carried out to determine the relationship between mean temperature from transplanting to heading (MT) and growth at heading stage of rice. P lant height (P H) and dry weight (DW) at heading stage were significantly correlated with MT, showing second degree polynomials. The optimal temperatures for PH and DW were 23.2 ℃ and 22.8 ℃, respectively. Little differences in rice growth among soils collected from the experimental sites and the temperature-response in a phytotron study supported that MT was the main determinant of the growth shown in the field study. Though number of days to heading increased as MT decreased, cumulative temperatures (CT) affected by sites and MT for given varieties were fairly constant. When applying specific CT for each of the varieties to the temperature in North Korea, (1) five regions (Kaesong, Haeju, Sariwon, Nampo, Pyongyang) were suitable for early to mid-maturing varieties and (2) 14 regions (Yongyon, Singye, Anju, Kusong, Sinuiju, Changjon, Wonsan, Hamhung, Pyonggang, Yangdok, Huichon, Supung, Sinpo, Kanggye) were suitable only for early-maturing varieties. In (1) regions, the similar extent of growth with that in Suwon could be achieved when mid-maturing varieties grown in Suwon are cultivated. Among (2) regions, early-maturing varieties are expected to demonstrate the similar extent of growth with that in Cheorwon in 9 regions except Hamhung, Kanggye, Pyonggang, Yangdok, and Sinpo. For Hamhung and Kanggye, the target PH was assessed as 4cm higher than that shown in Cheorwon. P lant height of 8-14cm and DW of 2-4g per hill greater than those shown in Cheorwon were the target growth for P yonggang, Yangdok, and Sinpo to attain the similar amount of growth with that in Cheorwon. It is suggested that rice varieties for North Korea could be bred by adjusting the target growth at the breeding sites in South Korea.