• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기후 적응

Search Result 574, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Prediction Model of Pine Forests' Distribution Change according to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 소나무림 분포변화 예측모델)

  • Kim, Tae-Geun;Cho, Youngho;Oh, Jang-Geun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • v.48 no.4
    • /
    • pp.229-237
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study aims to offer basic data to effectively preserve and manage pine forests using more precise pine forests' distribution status. In this regard, this study predicts the geographical distribution change of pine forests growing in South Korea, due to climate change, and evaluates the spatial distribution characteristics of pine forests by age. To this end, this study predicts the potential distribution change of pine forests by applying the MaxEnt model useful for species distribution change to the present and future climate change scenarios, and analyzes the effects of bioclimatic variables on the distribution area and change by age. Concerning the potential distribution regions of pine forests, the pine forests, aged 10 to 30 years in South Korea, relatively decreased more. As the area of the region suitable for pine forest by age was bigger, the decreased regions tend to become bigger, and the expanded regions tend to become smaller. Such phenomena is conjectured to be derived from changing of the interaction of pine forests by age from mutual promotional relations to competitive relations in the similar climate environment, while the regions suitable for pine forests' growth are mostly overlap regions. This study has found that precipitation affects more on the distribution of pine forests, compared to temperature change, and that pine trees' geographical distribution change is more affected by climate's extremities including precipitation of driest season and temperature of the coldest season than average climate characteristics. Especially, the effects of precipitation during the driest season on the distribution change of pine forests are irrelevant of pine forest's age class. Such results are expected to result in a reduction of the pine forest as the regions with the increase of moisture deficiency, where climate environment influencing growth and physiological responses related with drought is shaped, gradually increase according to future temperature rise. The findings in this study can be applied as a useful method for the prediction of geographical change according to climate change by using various biological resources information already accumulated. In addition, those findings are expected to be utilized as basic data for the establishment of climate change adaptation policies related to forest vegetation preservation in the natural ecosystem field.

An Agrometeorological Reference Index for Projecting Weather-Related Crop Risk under Climate Change Scenario (농작물의 기상재해 발생위험 판정기준 설정 및 지구 온난화에 따른 기준기상위험의 변화 전망)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Jin-hee;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.162-169
    • /
    • 2016
  • The agrometeorological reference index means 'the agrometeorological damage possibility' or the possibility of the normal year climate condition to damage the crop cultivation in a certain region. It is a reference used to compare the cultivation risk of a crop by region. The global climate warming is expected to increase the winter temperature. At the same time, the frequency of extreme weather events will also increase. Therefore, people pay attention to the potential of low temperature-induced damages (e.g., frost damage and injury) to fruit trees under the future climate condition. However, simple damage projection based on climate conditions does not help the climate change adaptation in the practical aspect because the climate change affects the phenology of fruit trees as well. This study predicted the phenology of the pear, peach, and apple trees by using the climate change scenarios of major regions. Furthermore, low temperature induced agrometeorological reference indices were calculated based on the effects of temperature on each plant growth stage to predict the damage possibility. It was predicted that the breaking rest would delay more in the future while the bud-burst date and flowering date will be earlier. In Daegu, Jeonju, and Mokpo, the breaking rest delayed more as time passed. The bud-burst date and flowering date of Seoul and Incheon regions were later than other regions. Seoul and Incheon showed a similar pattern, while Daegu and Jeonju revealed a similar pattern. Busan and Mokpo also showed a similar pattern. All regions were safe from the frost damage during the dormancy period. However, plants were vulnerable to frost damage between the breaking rest and the bud-burst period. Regions showed different frost damage patterns between the bud-burst period and the flowering period. During the bud-burst and flowering period, the risk level decreased in general, although the risk of some areas tended to increase.

Yield Comparison Simulation between Seasonal Climatic Scenarios for Italian Ryegrass (Lolium Multiflorum Lam.) in Southern Coastal Regions of Korea (우리나라 남부해안지역에서 이탈리안 라이그라스에 대한 계절적 기후시나리오 간 수량비교 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Moonju;Sung, Kyung Il
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
    • /
    • v.42 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study was carried out to compare the DMY (dry matter yield) of IRG (Italian ryegrass) in the southern coastal regions of Korea due to seasonal climate scenarios such as the Kaul-Changma (late monsoon) in autumn, extreme winter cold, and drought in the next spring. The IRG data (n = 203) were collected from various Reports for Collaborative Research Program to Develop New Cultivars of Summer Crops in Jeju, 203 Namwon, and Yeungam from the Rural Development Administration - (en DASH). In order to define the seasonal climate scenarios, climate variables including temperature, humidity, wind, sunshine were used by collected from the Korean Meteorological Administration. The discriminant analysis based on 5% significance level was performed to distinguish normal and abnormal climate scenarios. Furthermore, the DMY comparison was simulated based on the information of sample distribution of IRG. As a result, in the southern coastal regions, only the impact of next spring drought on DMY of IRG was critical. Although the severe winter cold was clearly classified from the normal, there was no difference in DMY. Thus, the DMY comparison was simulated only for the next spring drought. Under the yield comparison simulation, DMY (kg/ha) in the normal and drought was 14,743.83 and 12,707.97 respectively. It implies that the expected damage caused by the spring drought was about 2,000 kg/ha. Furthermore, the predicted DMY of spring drought was wider and slower than that of normal, indicating on high variability. This study is meaningful in confirming the predictive DMY damage and its possibility by spring drought for IRG via statistical simulation considering seasonal climate scenarios.

Spatiotemporal Assessment of the Late Marginal Heading Date of Rice using Climate Normal Data in Korea (평년 기후자료를 활용한 국내 벼 안전출수 한계기의 시공간적 변화 평가)

  • Lee, Dongjun;Kim, Junhwan;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.316-326
    • /
    • 2014
  • Determination of the late marginal heading date (LMHD), which would allow estimation of the late marginal seeding date and the late marginal transplanting date, would help identification of potential double cropping areas and, as a result, establishment of cropping systems. The objective of this study was to determine the LMHD at 51 sites in Korea. For these sites, weather data were obtained from 1971 to 2000 and from 1981 to 2010, which represent past and current normal climate conditions, respectively. To examine crop productivity on the LMHD, climatic yield potential (CYP) was determined to represent the potential yield under a given climate condition. The LMHD was calculated using accumulated temperature for 40 days with threshold values of $760^{\circ}C$, $800^{\circ}C$, $840^{\circ}C$ and $880^{\circ}C$. The value of CYP on a given LMHD was determined using mean temperature and sunshine duration for 40 days from the LMHD. The value of CYP on the LMHD was divided by the maximum value of CYP (CYPmax) in a season to represent the relative yield on the LMHD compared with the potential yield in the season. Our results indicated that the LMHD was delayed at most sites under current normal conditions compared with past conditions. Spatial variation of the LMHD differed by the threshold temperature. Overall, the minimum value of CYP/CYPmax was 81.8% under all of given conditions. In most cases, the value of CYP/CYPmax was >90%, which suggested that yield could be comparable to the potential yield even though heading would have occurred on the LMHD. When the LMHD could be scheduled later without considerable reduction in yield, the late marginal transplanting date could also be delayed accordingly, which would facilitate doublecropping in many areas in Korea. Yield could be affected by sudden change of temperature during a grain filling period. Yet, CYP was calculated using mean temperature and sunshine duration for 40 days after heading. Thus, the value of CYP/CYPmax may not represent actual yield potential due to change of the LMHD, which suggested that further study would be merited to take into account the effect of weather events during grain filling periods on yield using crop growth model and field experiments.

Developing a Platform of Platform for Disaster Technology and Information Sharing (재난기술·정보 공유를 위한 글로벌체계 플랫폼 개발)

  • Lee, Young Jai
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-19
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper introduces platform of platform (POP) for global network on climate adaptation change and disaster risk reduction (CCA/DRR). The POP consists of disaster prevention technology e-market platform, e-learning platform, information sharing platform, and monitoring platform for AMCDRR action plan. The POP is developing based on Korean e-Government standard framework and supports Web and mobile service. Additionally the POP uses special product and technology to search and classify data about CCA/DRR.

Analysis of Small Hydro Power Sites Using Diversion Weirs for Agricultural Purpose (농업용 취수보를 이용한 소수력발전시설 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Chul-Hyung;Park, Wan-Soon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.219-219
    • /
    • 2011
  • 최근 지방자치단체에서는 농업용 취수보를 이용한 소수력발전에 관심을 가지고 지자체내의 유휴자원인 하천유수를 이용하여 소수력발전을 함으로써 환경친화적인 에너지를 생산하여 석유 등 에너지 수입대체 효과와 전력수요 급증시의 부하평준화에 기여하고자 하고 있다. 이는 정부의 "저탄소 녹색성장의 에너지정책"에 부응하는 것이며, 또한 하천에 소규모 인공호수를 조성함으로써 소수력발전소 인근지역의 경관개선과 관광자원화에 기여함은 물론 농업용수 공급과 하천유지수를 조정하여 안전한 하천으로서 그 기능을 하도록 계획한 것이다. 이와 병행하여 소수력발전소에서 발생한 무공해 청정에너지를 생산함으로써 전 세계적으로 관심이 높아지고 있는 '온실가스 배출 감축' 노력에 동참함으로써 선진형 기후변화 대응체계에 적응할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 농업용 취수보를 대상으로 소수력 발전시설의 성능분석 기법을 이용하여 소수력발전시설적용 타당성을 조사 분석하였다. 그림 1은 농업용 취수보인 북평보의 유역면적도를 나타내고, 그림 2는 북평보에 소수력발전시설을 적용할 경우의 부하특성을 나타낸다.

  • PDF

Application of NLG technology to Weather Commentator System (기상해설 시스템 (Weather Commentator System)에서 자연언어 생성 기술의 적응)

  • Kim, Jung-Eun;Paik, Hae-Seung;Choi, Key-Sun
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
    • /
    • 2001.04b
    • /
    • pp.1025-1028
    • /
    • 2001
  • 본 논문은 기후자료로 제공되는 기상 데이터베이스로부터 사람이 이해할 수 있는 수준의 분석문을 생성하는 시스템에 자연언어 생성 기술을 적용한 연구에 관한 것이다. 기상청에서 제공되는 여러가지 자료들을 이용하여 기상관련 지식을 획득하였으며, 제한된 영역에서 잘 구조화된 템플릿을 정의하고 담화관계를 설정함으로써 관련 기상자료에 대한 해설문을 생성할 수 있었다. 실험 결과, 본 시스템은 비교적 좋은 성능을 나타냄을 알 수 있었다.

  • PDF

A Study on relation to the Climatic Adaptation and Clothing Weight - In the Case of High School Students - (기후적응과 착의량의 관계에 관한 연구 -고등학교 학생을 중심으로-)

  • Ahn Pil-ja;Choi Jeong-Wha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.16 no.4 s.44
    • /
    • pp.417-430
    • /
    • 1992
  • To examine the effects of clothes upon human's physiological adaptation to the changes of climatic conditions, clothing weight was examined. The results are as follows; 1. According to the change in temperature, the total, upper and outer clothing weight showed remarked change. Clothing weight change was greatest between the July and October, the change was greater in the coast land and the girl students. 2. The clothing weight tends to be light under outdoor in both regions in all seasons except in July, it is remarked in inland and December. 3. The correlation between $R\"{o}hrer$ Index, Body Fat and clothing weight was recognised to be significantly reversed. 4. Positive correlation between health conditions and clothing weight was recognized in December 5. The correlation between exercise hours and clothing weight was negatively significant in December.

  • PDF

Using spatial data and crop growth modeling to predict performance of South Korean rice varieties grown in western coastal plains in North Korea I. Generation of daily weather data for model input (공간정보와 생육모의에 의한 남한 벼 품종의 북한 서부지대 적응성 예측 I. 최근 30년간 기후자료에 근거한 일 기상자료 복원)

  • 구자민;한상욱;김희동;김영호
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
    • /
    • 2002.11a
    • /
    • pp.65-68
    • /
    • 2002
  • 몇 개 농업관련 시험장에서 북한 벼 품종의 출수반응을 관찰한 결과 북한에서 조생종으로 분류된 품종들은 온도에 민감한 반응을 보여 기준품종인 남한의 오대벼에 비해 출수가 빨랐고, 중생종은 그보다 출수가 늦어 전체적으로 남한 품종의 조만성과 유사하였다 (양 등, 2000). 또한 유전자 분석을 통해 북한품종 및 계통 101개를 남한품종과 비교해 본 결과 40% 유사도 수준에서 남한 품종과 같이 통일형과 자포니까형으로 나눌 수 있었으며, 자포니카형 품종들간 유사도는 80%에 달했다.(정 등, 2001)(중략)

  • PDF

The Distributional Patterns of Alpine Plants of Mt. Halla, Cheju Island, Korea (한라산 고산식물의 분포 특성)

  • 공우석
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-208
    • /
    • 1998
  • 제주도의 기온온난화가 한라산 고산식물 분포에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구의 하나로 한라산 고산식물 8종의 수평 및 수직 분포역과 생육환경이 조사되었다. 그 결과 희귀하거나 멸종 위기 상태에 있는 고산식물들에 관한 생물지리학적 기초 자료와 정보가 축적되었다. 한라산 고산식물은 분포특성에 따라 8가지 유형으로 분류되며, 그 중 70퍼센트 정도가 한반도의 고산지나 일본열도의 것들과 공통적인 것으로 밝혀졌다. 이들은 빙하기 동안 동북아시아에서 한반도를 거쳐 제주도로 유입되었고, 일부는 일본열도에 전파된 것으로 생각된다. 현재 이들 고산식물은 열악한 기후, 척박한 토질과 지질 그리고 동결과 융해가 반복되는 주빙하성 환경에 적응하여 산정부 일대에 주로 분포한다. 본 연구는 한라산 고산식물의 분포와 과거 및 현재 환경과의 관계에 대한 기초 자료를 구축하여, 한반도의 자연환경 변천사를 파악하고, 기온온난화가 지속될 때 한라산 고산경관과 생태계가 당면할 문제를 파악하고 대안을 제시하는데 필요한 정보를 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

  • PDF