• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.195-195
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• 2020

이 연구는 기후변화 위험에 노출되어 있는 북한에 대한 잠재증발산량의 미래 변화를 전망하였다. 이를 위해 IPCC AR5의 RCP 기후변화 시나리오로부터 모의된 미래 기온자료를 APCC (APEC Climate Center) Integrated Modeling (AIMS)를 사용하여 25개 관측 지점에 대해서 상세화하여, McGuinness-Borne 방법으로 잠재증발산량을 추정하였다. 6개의 성능 지표와 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)로 27개 GCMs 간의 과거 기후 재현성을 비교하여, 관측 지점 규모에서 적정 GCM을 선정하였다. 마지막으로 각 지점에서 선정된 대표 시나리오(representative climate change scenarios, RCCS)로 북한 지역의 잠재증발산량의 미래 변화를 3개의 구간(F1: 2011-2040; F2: 2041-2070; F3: 2071-2100)에서 all CCS(climate change scenario)와 비교하고, 미래 변화를 정량적으로 제시하였다. 그 결과 공간 해상도가 더 높은 GCM이 RCCS로 선정되었으며, 미래로 갈수록 잠재증발산량이 증가하리라 전망되었다. 또한, 여름철 잠재증발산량의 모델 간 변동성은 미래 구간에 따라 점진적으로 증가되었고, 연 평균 증발산량은 과거 기후대비 1.4배(F1), 2.0배(F2) 및 2.6배(F3) 증가하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.355-355
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• 2021

극한 폭염사상은 지난 20세기 이후 점점 더 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 더 광범위한 지역에서 발생하고 있다. 이러한 폭염사상은 다가오는 지구 온난화 시대에서 그 강도가 더 강해지고 지속기간이 길어질 것으로 예상되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 극한강우에 대한 강우강도-지속기간-빈도(intensity-duration-frequency, IDF)곡선의 개념을 폭염사상에 적용하여 미래의 극심한 폭염사상에 대한 발생확률, 강도 및 지속날짜(heat wave intensity-persistence day-frequency, HPF) 간의 관계를 확인해보고자 한다. 또한 해당 모델의 불확실성은 베이지안 기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 우리나라 6개 주요 지역(대관령, 서울, 대전, 대구, 광주, 부산)에 대해 16개의 미래 일 최대 기온 앙상블 자료를 이용하여 비정상성 HPF곡선을 적용하였다. 미래 극한 폭염 앙상블 결과를 분석한 결과, 2050년을 기준으로 지속기간 2일에 대해 극한 폭염의 강도가 RCP 4.5 이하 시나리오 기준 1.23 ~ 1.69 ℃ 범위에서 상승할 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났으며, RCP 8.5 이하 시나리오 기준의 경우 1.15 ~ 1.96 ℃ 범위로 나타났다. 또한 HPF 모델의 매개변수 추정으로 인한 불확실성의 경우, 다양한 기후 모델의 변동성으로 인한 불확실성보다 크게 나타났다. 모델의 매개변수 추정에 따른 불확실성을 반영한 결과, 2010~2050년에 해당하는 폭염의 강도에 대한 delta change의 95% 신뢰구간은 RCP 4.5 이하에서 0.53 ~ 4.94 ℃, RCP 8.5 이하에서 0.89 ~ 5.57 ℃로 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.295-295
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• 2022

강우 변동성과 기온의 증가 추세로 전 세계 여러 지역에서 가뭄의 빈도, 지속기간, 심각도, 영향면적이 증가하고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 극심한 가뭄은 담수 생태계에 심각한 결과를 가져올 수 있으며, 이는 중대한 사회적 경제적 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 수질오염총량관리 단위유역에서 기상학적 가뭄 발생 시 하천 수생태계가 받는 수질 스트레스 위험도가 식별된다. 기상학적 가뭄은 표준강수지수(SPI)로 한정되며 하천 수질은 BOD로 한정되어 분석이 수행된다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 하천의 수질 스트레스를 식별하기 위하여 가뭄 시 환경영향 지수인 Environmental Drought Condition Index-water quality(EDCI-wq)를 제안한다. EDCI-wq는 기상학적 가뭄이 발생하였을 때 수생태계가 평상시 대비 스트레스를 받을 가능성을 표현한 지수이다. 최종적으로 산정된 EDCI-wq를 기반으로 하천 구간별로 관심, 주의, 경계, 심각 단계 구분 기준을 마련하여 기상학적 가뭄 발생 시 하천 수생태계가 받는 수질 스트레스를 단계적으로 식별할 수 있는 수질 스트레스 위험도 지도가 작성된다.

• The Korean Journal of Zoology
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.327-333
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• 1988

계절에 따른 초파리 집단내 역위다형 현상의 변동상을 알기 위하여 전주근교의 과수원에서 1983년 1월부터 11월까지 격월로 여섯번 채집한 집단 표본을 분석하였다. 총 1071마리에서 얻은 15개형의 역위는 모두 편동원체역위(paracentric inversion)였으며, 이 중 7개형은 세계형91위(cosmopolitan inversion)였고, 나머지 8개형은 지역형역위(endemic inversion)였다. 개체당 역위의 평균 보유수는 0.639이고 역위를 보유한 개체의 빈도는 0.465였다. 7개의 세계형역위에 대한 표본집단을 분석한 결과 격월 집단간에서 유의한 차이를 보이는 반면 1월과 1 1월 표본간에서는 그 성황이 오히려 비숫해짐으로서 집단내 총역위빈도는 주기적으로 변동하고 있음이 암시된다. 역위와 환경변수와의 다중상관분석에서는 기온, 습도, 강수량이 역위빈도에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고 역위 중 In(2L)t가 상기한 환경변수 모두에 대하여 유의한 상관관계를 보인 반면, In(3R)C와 In(3R)P는 어느 것과도 상관성을 보이지 않았다. 염색체내 그리고 염색체간의 연관 또는 조합의 검정결과 연관불평형혈상을 1월, 5월, 그리고 7월 표본의 제3염색체에서, 그리고 비균일조합은 1월과 7월 표본에서 역시 제3염색체에서만 산출 되었다. Seasonal changes of inversion frequencies in Chonju 0. melanogaster populations were studied. A total of 1071 males were collected six times with ho months intewal from January through November in 1983. to analyse diploid sets of chromosomes carried by males, each male was mated to several virgin females homoBvgous for cytologically standard sequence in all chromo-somes. From each mating, more than seven FL larvae were selected in random and tested to find chromosomal aberrations. In the present study, 15 different inversions were found and identified to be paracentric only In both second and third chromosomes; seven were cosmopolitan and the rest eight endemic types. The average frequency of inversions was 0.465 and the mean number of inversions carried by a single male was 0.639. The linkage disequilibria were detected between the leK and right arms of third chromosomes from the samples of January, May and Julv, Whereas nonrandom associations appeared also in the third chromosomes only in January and Julv samples. In multiple regression analysis among frequencies of inversions and environ-mental variables it appeared that mean temperature, relative humidity and total precipitation for a month skipped over 30 days before collected affect to change to frequencies of particular inver-sions. With respect to the behavior of inversions in the present samples, it is suggested, with the Friedman's analysis of variance by ranks of inversion frequency orders, that the frequencies of inversions change cyclically year to year.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.45-53
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• 2005

Urban stream is an important place supporting urban ecosystem. This study was carried out to clarify the role of Jungrangchun for wintering waterbirds in Seoul. We monitored the fluctuation of waterbirds population using our census data (1997/98 winter) and pervious census data (the Ministry of Environment and National Institute of Environmental Research $1999{\sim}2004$). Wintering behaviours of common teals (Anas crecca) were also observed to understand the habitat use of waterbirds in this area. As a result of this, Jungrangchun was an important place to support $3,004\sim8,237$ wintering birds, mainly dabbling ducks and diving ducks. The population of diving ducks showed high annual fluctuation whilst the population of dabbling ducks regularly used this area every year The maximum number of waterbirds foraged and rested in late January and late February. In daily use, the number of waterbirds increased on afternoon and rapidly increased after sunset. It is assumed that waterbirds used this area not only as a nocturnal feeding site but also daytime feeding site. Thus, this result suggest that Jungrangchun is important for not only the daily use but also the nocturnal use of wintering waterbirds. The number of diving ducks was increased with low temperature and high wind speed. Therefore, this area was also a shelter of diving ducks on chilly and windy day.

• KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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• v.64 no.3
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• pp.185-192
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• 2019

Early-maturing rice type is cultivated to produce rice before the Korean Thanksgiving Day. We investigated the flowering and ripening characteristics of major breeding lines in early maturing rice type. In Jeonju, field growth days (FGD) from transplanting to heading changed about 3.3 days by 10 days of transplanting days and about 2.5 days by the change of mean temperature during growth period. As the temperature during ripening stage, 1000 brown rice weight was changed 0.2 g, the rice quality of brown and milled rice was changed 5% and 6.5%, respectively. Baegilmi and Kittake showed early heading habit suitable for harvesting before Korean Thanksgiving. Joun and Pecos showed good ripening characteristics under high temperature during the ripening stage. We expect that these characteristics might be useful for breeding new rice cultivars for harvesting before Korean Thanksgiving.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.198-221
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• 2021

After large-scale reforestation in the 1960s and 1970s, forests in Korea have gradually been aging. Net ecosystem CO₂ exchange of old-growth forests is theoretically near zero; however, it can be a CO₂ sink or source depending on the intervention of disturbance or management. In this study, we report the CO₂ budget dynamics of the Gwangneung deciduous old-growth forest (GDK) in Korea and examined the following two questions: (1) is the preserved GDK indeed CO₂ neutral as theoretically known? and (2) can we explain the dynamics of CO₂ budget by the common mechanisms reported in the literature? To answer, we analyzed the 15-year long CO₂ flux data measured by eddy covariance technique along with other biometeorological data at the KoFlux GDK site from 2006 to 2020. The results showed that (1) GDK switched back-and-forth between sink and source of CO₂ but averaged to be a week CO₂ source (and turning to a moderate CO₂ source for the recent five years) and (2) the interannual variability of solar radiation, growing season length, and leaf area index showed a positive correlation with that of gross primary production (GPP) (R²=0.32~0.45); whereas the interannual variability of both air and surface temperature was not significantly correlated with that of ecosystem respiration (RE). Furthermore, the machine learning-based model trained using the dataset of early monitoring period (first 10 years) failed to reproduce the observed interannual variations of GPP and RE for the recent five years. Biomass data analysis suggests that carbon emissions from coarse woody debris may have contributed partly to the conversion to a moderate CO₂ source. To properly understand and interpret the long-term CO₂ budget dynamics of GDK, new framework of analysis and modeling based on complex systems science is needed. Also, it is important to maintain the flux monitoring and data quality along with the monitoring of coarse woody debris and disturbances.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.61-71
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• 2009

Most deciduous trees in temperate zone are dormant during the winter to overcome cold and dry environment. Dormancy of deciduous fruit trees is usually separated into a period of rest by physiological conditions and a period of quiescence by unfavorable environmental conditions. Inconsistent and fewer budburst in pear orchards has been reported recently in South Korea and Japan and the insufficient chilling due to warmer winters is suspected to play a role. An accurate prediction of the flowering time under the climate change scenarios may be critical to the planning of adaptation strategy for the pear industry in the future. However, existing methods for the prediction of budburst depend on the spring temperature, neglecting potential effects of warmer winters on the rest release and subsequent budburst. We adapted a dormancy clock model which uses daily temperature data to calculate the thermal time for simulating winter phenology of deciduous trees and tested the feasibility of this model in predicting budburst and flowering of Niitaka pear, one of the favorite cultivars in Korea. In order to derive the model parameter values suitable for Niitaka, the mean time for the rest release was estimated by observing budburst of field collected twigs in a controlled environment. The thermal time (in chill-days) was calculated and accumulated by a predefined temperature range from fall harvest until the chilling requirement (maximum accumulated chill-days in a negative number) is met. The chilling requirement is then offset by anti-chill days (in positive numbers) until the accumulated chill-days become null, which is assumed to be the budburst date. Calculations were repeated with arbitrary threshold temperatures from $4^{\circ}C$ to $10^{\circ}C$ (at an interval of 0.1), and a set of threshold temperature and chilling requirement was selected when the estimated budburst date coincides with the field observation. A heating requirement (in accumulation of anti-chill days since budburst) for flowering was also determined from an experiment based on historical observations. The dormancy clock model optimized with the selected parameter values was used to predict flowering of Niitaka pear grown in Suwon for the recent 9 years. The predicted dates for full bloom were within the range of the observed dates with 1.9 days of root mean square error.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.327-336
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• 2016

The Bagan, the central part of Myanmar, is dry zone where the mean annual precipitation is less than 600 mm for the last ten years. Forest in this region has been degraded due to biotic and abiotic disturbances. While there have been various efforts to rehabilitate the degraded area, the information on growth and physiological characteristics of planting species and the impacts of planting trees in the region still lacks. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the growth and physiological water use efficiency characteristics of five species (Azadirachta indica A. Juss., Acacia catechu Willd., Eucalyptus camaldulensis Dehn., Acacia leucophloea (Roxb.) Willd. and Albizia lebbek (L.) Willd.) which are utilized as rehabilitation species in the dry zone and to identify the impacts of tree planting on microclimate change in dry zone. The growth and the foliar carbon isotope composition of seedlings and the above mentioned five species planted in 2005 were measured. And from February 2015 to January 2016, microclimatic factors air temperature and relative humidity at 60 cm and 2 m above soil, soil temperature, soil water contents and precipitation were measured at every 30-minute interval from the two weather stations installed in the plantation located in Ngalinpoke Mt. Range. One was established in the center of A. indica plantation, and the other was in the barren land fully exposed to the sunlight. Among the five species, A. indica and A. lebbek which showed higher water use efficiency could be recommended as rehabilitation species in dry zone. Planting trees in the dry area was shown to affect the change of microclimate with shading effects, declining temperature of the land surface and aridity of the air, and to contribute to conserving more water in soil by preventing direct evaporation and containing more water with fine roots of trees.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.49 no.5
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• pp.675-689
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• 2014

This study applied Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(EEMD), a new methodology to define the timing of spring onset over the Republic of Korea and to examine its spatio-temporal change. Also this study identified the relationship between spring onet timing and some atmospheric variations, and figured out synoptic factors which affect the timing of spring onset. The averaged spring onset timing for the period of 1974-2011 was 11th, March in Republic of Korea. In general, the spring onset timing was later with higher latitude and altitude regions, and it was later in inland regions than in costal ones. The correlation analysis has been carried out to find out the factors which affect spring onset timing, and global annual mean temperature, Arctic Oscillation(AO), Siberian High had a significant correlation with spring onset timing. The multiple regression analysis was conducted with three indices which were related to spring onset timing, and the model explained 64.7%. As a result of multiple regression analysis, the effect of annual mean temperature was the greatest and that of AO was the second. To find out synoptic factors affecting spring onset timing, the synoptic analysis has been carried out. As a result the intensity of meridional circulation represented as the major factor affect spring onset timing.