• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기술성장곡선

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Case Study on Measuring Technology Level Applying Growth Curve Model: Three Core Areas of Fishery Science and Technology (성장곡선 모형 적용을 통한 기술수준평가 사례 연구 : 특정 수산과학기술 분야를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Wan-Min;Park, Ju-Chan;Bark, Pyeng-Mu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to discuss possibilities of applying growth curve models, such as Logistic, Log-Logistic, Log-Normal, Gompertz and Weibull, to three specific technology areas of Fishery Science and Technology in the process of measuring their technology level between Korea and countries with the state-of-the art level. Technology areas of hazard control of organism, environment restoration, and fish cluster detect were selected for this study. Expert panel survey was conducted to construct relevant panel data for years of 2013, 2016, and a future time of approaching the theoretical maximum technology level. The size of data was 70, 70 and 40 respectively. First finding is that estimation of shape and location parameters of each model was statistically significant, and lack-of-fit test using estimated parameters was statistically rejected for each model, meaning all models were good enough to apply for measuring technology levels. Second, three models other than Pearl and Gompertz seemed very appropriate to apply despite the fact that previous case studies have used only Gompertz and Pearl. This study suggests that Weibull model would be a very valid candidate for the purpose. Third, fish cluster detect technology level is relatively higher for both Korea and a country with the state-of-the-art among three areas as of 2013. However, all three areas seem to be approaching their limits(highest technology level point) until 2020 for countries with the state-of-the-art. This implies that Korea might have to speed up her research activities in order to catch up them prior to 2020. Final suggestion is that future study may better apply various and more appropriate models respectively considering each technology characteristics and other factors.

A study of Mechanical Properties of Hot Mix Asphalt for Developing of Quiet Pavement (저소음 포장체 개발을 위한 아스팔트 혼합물의 역학적 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Jeong, Tae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2009
  • Our domestic economy has been developed very rapidly after 1960's. Also, it is dramatically increasing traffic on road and surround environmental issues. Especially, rapid economic growth has been induced large construction of pavement, and bigger and higher traffic for transportation. These are making air pollution, traffic noise and vibration. The social requirement against the revealed road environment and traffic sound reduction is being demanded. Traffic noise of city zone is showed over the environmental specification more than 57%. In order to overcome these situations, the social attention is being increased. The quiet pavement is the same format of permeable pavement, but is not same for functional performance. In this research, it has been carried out to evaluate the fundamental-mechanical properties of hot mix asphalt for quiet pavement. Especially, couple of laboratory tests are conducted like marshall stability, resilient modulus, indirect tensile test, and compaction energy analysis with gyratory compaction curve. Also, two-layer pavement system has been adopted for developing of quiet pavement. The basic performance of hot mix asphalt of quiet pavement show a satisfaction of specification of hot mix asphalt.

A Study on Technological Forecasting for Promising Alternative Technologies Using Fisher-Pry Modification Model (Fisher-Pry 수정모형을 활용한 유망대체기술 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sung-Il;Kim, Byung-Nam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.104-114
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    • 2019
  • In the global market competition, countries and businesses are actively engaged in technology prediction activities to maximize their profits by attempting to enter and preempting the core technology of the future. In this paper, we propose a growth model based on patent application trends to predict the time to replace a product with a promising new technology to dominate the market. Although the Fisher-Pry model that Bhargava generalized to predict the emergence of promising alternative technologies was relatively satisfactory compared to the original Fisher-Pry model, it was difficult to predict the replacement rate behavior properly due to a parameter problem. The application of the Fisher-Pry Modification Model in the form of a quadratic equation through the patent trend analysis of the optical storage system for the purpose of verifying the time alternative to the light storage technology has resulted in satisfactory verification results. It is expected that small and medium-sized companies and individual researchers will apply this model and use it more easily to predict the time to replace the market for promising replacement technologies.

A Study on the Electronic Potential Occurrance and Delevery Specific Property by ionic Density Transformation (이온농도 변화에 따른 뉴런의 전위발생과 전달특성에 관한 연구)

  • 김석환;류광렬;허창우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.509-515
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    • 1999
  • 신체를 구성하는 여러 가지 요소 중에서 인간이 일상생활을 하는 데에는 신진대사를 일정하게 유지하기 위한 인체내의 여러 가지 전달물질들이 그 구성에 맞게 역할을 수행하여야 한다. 그러나, 만약 그 구성 비율이 바뀔 때에는 인체 내에 이상이 발생하게 된다. 그 대표적인 예로는 운동을 심하게 하였을 경우 갈증과 근육의 피로감이 몰려오게 되는데 이는 세포내의 이온농도의 변화에 의한 것이며 이때 물, 스포츠 이온 음료 등을 섭취한다. 순간적으로 그 증상이 회복되지는 않지만 신경계 내에서 회복하는데 에는 많은 시간이 소요된다. 생리학, 임상적으로 나트륨과 물은 신진대사에 밀접한 연관이 있다. 인체의 나트륨은 음식물의 섭취량과 나트륨의 생리작용사이의 균형에 좌우된다. 건강한 상태에서 나트륨의 생리적인 손실은 무시할 만 하며 나트륨 생리작용은 음식물의 섭취량과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 칼륨은 단지 전체 신경계 용질의 일부이기 때문에 이것은 세포의 체적과 세포 용질의 삼투현상을 결정하는 주요한 것이다. 더욱더 칼륨은 신진대사 과정의 많은 중요한 변수가 되며, 세포밖의 칼륨은 전체중에 매우 작은 일부이긴 하지만 신경근육 작용에 매우 큰 영향을 준다. 세포안과 밖의 칼륨의 농도 비율은 흥분성 조직내의 막 전위의 주요한 결정요소가 된다. 본연구에서는 세포막 설계 후 시뮬레이션을 통한 정상상태의 세포막 전위의 활동전위 전달 특성과 Na, K의 이온 농도를 변화시킬 경우의 세포막 전위의 활동저위 전달 특성곡선을 비교 관찰하여 운동 생리학적인 신경세포내의 전달특성 메카니즘을 이해, 분석하였다.서의 속도를 최소한으로 줄이면서 스케줄링에 의해 시간 문제를 해결하는 방법을 제시하도록 한다. 이는 기초과학 수준이 높은 북방권 국가들의 과학자들이 주로 활용되고 있다는 점에서도 잘 알 수 있으며 우리의 과학기술 약점을 보완하는 원천으로써 외국인 연구 인력이 대안이 되고 있음을 시사한다. 본 연구에서는 한국 연구 조직에서 일하는 외국인 연구자들의 동기 및 성과에 영향을 미치는 많은 요인들을 확인할 수 있었다. 상관관계, 분산분석, 회귀분석 등을 통해 활용 성과에 미치는 영향 요인들을 도출하였다. 설문 분석을 통하여 동기 및 성과 사이에는 강한 상관관계가 존재하는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며 이는 전통적인 동기 이론들과 부합한다. 대부분의 변수가 동기 및 성과에 동시에 영향을 미치는 것으로 조사되었으며 그중에서도 조직 협력 문화, 외국인 연구자의 의사소통 및 협력성, 외국인 연구자의 연구 능력 관련 변수들 및 연구 프로젝트의 기술수명주기, 외국인 연구자의 기존 기술지식의 흡수 등이 가장 중요한 변수로 나타났다. 이는 우리가 주로 중국 및 러시아 과학자들을 활용하여 상업화하는 외국인 연구인력 활용 패턴과도 일치하는 결과이다. 즉 우호적인 조직문화를 가지고 있는 연구 조직에서, 이미 과학기술 지식을 많이 가지고 있고 연구 능력도 높은 외국인 과학기술자를, 한국에서 기술이 태동 또는 성장하고 있는 연구 분야에서 활용하는 것이 가장 성과가 좋다는 사실을 확인시켜 주고 있다. 국내에서 최초로 수행된 본 연구는 외국인 연구 인력의 활용 성과가 매우 높으며, 우리의 과학기술혁신시스템을 보완하는

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The assessment of performances of regional frequency models using Monte Carlo simulation: Index flood method and artificial neural network model (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 지역빈도해석 기법의 성능 분석: 홍수지수법과 인공신경망 모델)

  • Lee, Joohyung;Seo, Miru;Park, Jaeheyon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.156-156
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 지역빈도해석을 기반으로한 인공신경망 모델과 기존에 널리 사용되는 방법인 홍수지수법의 성능을 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 평가하였다. 컴퓨터 기술이 발달함에 따라 인공지능에 대한 접근성이 좋아지며 수문학을 포함한 다양한 분야에 적용되고 있다. 인공지능을 이용하여 강수량 및 유량 등 다양한 수문자료에 대한 예측이 이루어지고 있으나 빈도해석에 관한 연구는 비교적 적다. 본 연구에서 사용된 인공 지능 모델은 대상 지점의 지형학적 자료와 수문학적 자료를 이용하여 인공신경망을 통해 지점의 확률강우량(QRT-ANN) 및 확률분포형의 매개변수 (PRT-ANN)를 추정한다. 지형학적 자료로는 위도, 경도 그리고 고도가 사용되었으며 수문학적 자료로는 대상 지점의 최근 30년 일일연최대강우량을 사용하였다. 지역빈도해석의 정확도는 지역 내 통계적 특성이 비슷한 지점들이 포함되면 될수록 높아진다. 통계적 특성으로는 불일치 척도, 이질성 척도, 적합성 척도가 있으며 다양한 조건의 통계적 특성에 따른 세 개의 지역빈도해석 방법의 성능을 평가하고자 하였다. 대상 지역 내 n개의 지점이 있다고 가정하였을 때, 홍수지수법의 경우 n-1개의 지점으로 추정한 지역 성장곡선을 이용하여 나머지 1개 지점의 확률강우량을 산정할 수 있으며 인공신경망 모델들 또한 n-1개 지점들의 자료를 이용하여 모델을 구축한 뒤 나머지 지점의 확률강우량 및 확률분포형의 매개변수를 예측할 수 있다. PRT-ANN의 경우 예측된 매개변수를 이용하여 확률강우량을 산정하며 시뮬레이션 시행마다 발생시킨 자료의 지점빈도해석 결과에 대한 나머지 세 방법의 평균 제곱근 상대오차 (Relative root mean square error, RRMSE)를 계산하였다. 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 성능 분석을 통하여 관측값의 다양한 통계적 특성에 맞는 지역빈도해석 방법을 제시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Development of Highly Efficient Underwater Loudspeaker for Attracting and Threatening Fish (어류의 유집과 구집용 수중 스피커 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Chun-Duck;Lee Chai-Bong
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2006
  • Fisheries policy change from catching to farming requires more intensive consideration for aquaculture industry. The oceanic farm is a desirable cost effective aquaculture method. However. in odor to gather fish in the oceanic farm, eating sound or any attracting sound should be radiated through underwater loudspeaker. In this Paper, it has been found in literature that the frequency range responding to fish is about 16Hz to 13kHz but sensitive frequency range is about 150Hz to 2kHz and sound pressure level is about 100dB to 150dB reference $1{\mu}Pa$. Therefore, frequency range and output sound level of designed underwater loudspeaker has been specified as 150Hz to 3kHz and 100dB to 145dB reference $1{\mu}bar$. respectively To verify the stability and the endurance to the pressure of 40m water depth, manufactured underwater loudspeaker was examined before sea trial in manufactured water pressure tank which gives a maximum of 10 atmospheric Pressure. We experimented on acoustic characteristic with manufactured underwater loudspeaker under water depth of 10m.

Analyses of Mesh Selectivity in Trawl Cod - end for Priacanthus macracanthus (홍치에 대한 트롤 끝자루의 망목선택성 분석)

  • Kim, Sam-Kon;Youm, Mal-Gu;Park, Chang-Doo
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 1996
  • The fishing experiment was carried out in order to analyses the mesh selectivity for trawl cod - end in the Southern Korean Sea and East China Sea from June,1991 through December, 1992. The mesh selectivity was examined for the five kinds with opening mesh size, of which having mesh s izes 51.2mm, 70.2mm, 77.6mm, 88.0mm and 111.2mm. In this report, mesh selectivity were taken analyses trawl cod - end for Priacanthus macracanthus. The main results obtained were as follows : 1. The relation equations between total length(TL) and body height(BH), body girth(BG) and body weight(BW) were BH=0.256 TL+2.963, BG=0.620 TL+8.650 and $BW=7.34{\times}10^{-5}TL^{2.6956}$, respectively. 2. 50% selection length and selection factor of trial cod - end with opening mesh size having 51.2mm, 70.2mm, 77.6mm, 88.0mm were 94.8mm, 1.85 ; 159mm, 2.27 ; 204mm, 2.09 ; 217.3mm, 2.18, respectively. 3. Range of opening mesh size from 51.2mm to 88.0mm, parameters of master curve were slope 2.70, intercept - 5.7 and selection factor 2.11.

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Development of A Model for Estimating ITS Market Size in Korea (지능형교통체계(ITS)의 시장예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 배상훈
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2001
  • Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) was first introduced in Korea early 1990's, and Korean government has put a lot of efforts for flourishing it in the entire nation. Regardless of these efforts, private participation is not active enough to accelerate ITS implementation in Korea. Expert group made every endeavor to analyze the current situation, and found out some phenomena. It may be summarized as two folds. Firstly, private sector has a lack of confidence on the future ITS market. Budget in the strategic plan is the only publication and guide that private sector can refer to, and it merely indicates deployment costs. Secondly, direction and procedure of R&D are not well defined. It implies that private sector takes too much risk when they invest for R&D. This research, therefore, focuses on the first issues. Concretely, the goal of the project was to establish and analyze the model for estimation the future ITS market side. Author reviewed both quantitative and qualitative models, and concluded that diffusion model in qualitative model was suitable for ITS market estimation. According to model calibration. it is estimated that 14 trillion Won was the market size in 2020 under normal condition. Impact of this result may seduce Information Technology(IT) related private companies into ITS market. Although this research couldn't cover various topics, it nay dedicate in boosting ITS in Korea. Also, it will be a good starting point for further study for the advancement of ITS.

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Evaluating Properties for Bi-layer PZT thin film Fabricated by RF-Magnetron Sputtering System (RF-마그네트론 스퍼터링법으로 제작한 이층형 PZT의 특성평가)

  • Lim, Sil-Mook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.222-227
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    • 2020
  • Pb(Zr,Ti)O3(denoted as PZT) in the perovskite phase is used as a dielectric, piezoelectric, and super appetizer material owing to its ferroelectric properties. A PZT film was formed by an RF magnetron sputtering process by preparing a target composed of Pb1.3(Zr0.52Ti0.48)O3. The PZT film was formed by dividing the material into a mono-layer PZT produced continuously with the same sputtering power and a bi-layer PZT produced with two-stage sputtering power. The bi-layer PZT consisted of a lower layer produced under low-power sputtering conditions and an upper layer produced under the same conditions as the mono-layer PZT. XRD revealed small amounts of pyrochlore phase in the mono-layer PZT, but only the perovskite phase was detected in the bi-layer PZT. SEM and AFM revealed the upper part of the bi-layer PZT to be more compact and smooth. Moreover, the bi-layered PZT showed superior symmetry polarization and a significantly reduced leakage current of less than 1×10-5 A/cm2. This phenomenon observed in bi-layer PZT was attributed to the induction of growth into a pure perovskite phase by suppressing the formation of a pyrochlore phase in the upper PZT layer where the densely formed lower PZT layer was produced sequentially.

A Study of Longitudinal Changes in Mother-Child Interaction and its Effect on Media Device Addiction (모-자녀 상호작용 변화 양상에 따른 자녀의 미디어 기기 중독 차이)

  • Yeon, Eun Mo;Choi, Hyo-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.346-353
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to explore types of longitudinal changes in interactions between mothers and 4-year-old children in primary school as well as the effects on media device addiction. To explore interaction types between mothers and children, latent class growth modeling (LCGM) and BCH were used in a three-step approach. Data from the 6-10th wave of the Panel Study of Korea Children were used. First, the trajectory of the mother-child interactions was linear and decreased across time. This linear decrease was classified into the following three trajectories: high-decreasing, average-deceasing, and low-decreasing. Second, BCH was performed to examine media device addiction in each trajectory, and the findings show that children who had low initial mother-child interactions over time were more likely to experience daily disturbances in adaptive functions such as withdraw or tolerance than other groups of children. The results indicate that maximizing the quality of mother-child interactions in childhood through primary school can lower media device addiction in children.