• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기상보정계수

Search Result 108, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Physical Parameters Derived from TRMM TMI Data Sets (TRMM TMI 관측과 태풍 강도와의 관련성)

  • Byon, Jae-Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.359-367
    • /
    • 2008
  • TRMM TMI data were used to investigate a relationship between physical parameters from microwave sensor and typhoon intensities from June to September, 2004. Several data such as 85GHz brightness temperature (TB), polarization corrected temperature (PCT), precipitable water, ice content, rain rate, and latent heat release retrieved from the TMI observation were correlated to the maximum wind speeds in the best-track database by RSMC-Tokyo. Correlation coefficient between TB and typhoon intensity was -0.2 - -0.4 with a maximum value in the 2.5 degree radius circle from the center of tropical cyclone. The value of correlation between in precipitable water, rain, latent heat, and typhoon intensity is in the range of 0.2-0.4. Correlation analysis with respect to storm intensity showed that maximum correlation is observed at 1.0-1.5 degree radius circle from the center of tropical cyclone in the initial stage of tropical cyclone, while maximum correlation is shown in 0.5 degree radius in typhoon stage. Correlation coefficient was used to produce regressed intensities and adopted for typhoon Rusa (2002) and Maemi (2003). Multiple regression with 85GHz TB and precipitable water was found to provide an improved typhoon intensity when taking into account the storm size. The results indicate that it may be possible to use TB and precipitable water from satellite observation as a predictor to estimate the intensity of a tropical cyclone.

Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Imha-Dam Watershed Hydrologic Cycle under RCP Scenarios (RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 임하댐 유역의 미래 수문순환 전망)

  • Jang, Sun-Sook;Ahn, So-Ra;Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.156-169
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study was to evaluate the RCP climate change impact on hydrological components in the Imha-Dam watershed using SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) Model. The model was calibrated for six year(2002~2007) and validated for six year(2008~2013) using daily observed streamflow data at three watershed stations. The overall simulation results for the total released volume at this point appear reasonable by showing that coefficient of determination($R^2$) were 0.70~0.85 and Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency(NSE) were 0.67-0.82 for streamflow, respectively. For future hydrologic evaluation, the HadGEM3-RA climate data by scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 of the Korea Meteorological Administration were adopted. The biased future data were corrected using 34 years(1980~2013, baseline period) of weather data. Precipitation and temperature showed increase of 10.8% and 4.9%, respectively based on the baseline data. The impacts of future climate change on the evapotranspiration, soil moisture, surface runoff, lateral flow, return flow and streamflow showed changes of +11.2%, +1.9%, +10.0%, +12.1%, +18.2%, and +11.2%, respectively.

Evaluation of Evapotranspiration and Soil Moisture of SWAT Simulation for Mixed Forest in the Seolmacheon Catchment (설마천유역 혼효림에서 실측된 증발산과 토양수분을 이용한 SWAT모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Lee, Ji-Wan;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.289-297
    • /
    • 2010
  • Common practice of Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model validation is to use a single variable (i.e., streamlfow) to calibrate SWAT model due to the paucity of actual hydrological measurement data in Korea. This approach, however, often causes errors in the simulated results because of numerous sources of uncertainty and complexity of SWAT model. We employed multi-variables (i.e., streamflow, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture), which were measured at mixed forest in Seolmacheon catchment ($8.54\;km^2$), in order to assess the performance and reduce the uncertainties of SWAT model output. Meteorological and surface topographical data of the catchment were obtained as basic input variables and SWAT model was calibrated using daily data of streamflow (Jan. - Dec.), evapotranspiration (Sep. - Dec.), and soil moisture (Jun. - Dec.) collected in 2007. The model performance was assessed by comparing its results with the observation (i.e., streamflow of 2003 to 2008 and evapotranspiration and soil moisture of 2008). When the multi-variable measurements were used to calibrate the SWAT model, the model results showed better agreement with the measurements compared to those using a single variable measurement by showing increases in coefficient of determination ($R^2$) from 0.72 to 0.76 for streamflow, from 0.49 to 0.59 for soil moisture, and from 0.52 to 0.59 for evapotranspiration. The findings highlight the importance of reliable and accurate collective observation data for improving performance of SWAT model and promote its facilitation for estimating more realistic hydrological cycles at catchment scale.

Gridding of Automatic Mountain Meteorology Observation Station (AMOS) Temperature Data Using Optimal Kriging with Lapse Rate Correction (기온감률 보정과 최적크리깅을 이용한 산악기상관측망 기온자료의 우리나라 500미터 격자화)

  • Youjeong Youn;Seoyeon Kim;Jonggu Kang;Yemin Jeong;Soyeon Choi;Yungyo Im;Youngmin Seo;Myoungsoo Won;Junghwa Chun;Kyungmin Kim;Keunchang Jang;Joongbin Lim;Yangwon Lee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.39 no.5_1
    • /
    • pp.715-727
    • /
    • 2023
  • To provide detailed and appropriate meteorological information in mountainous areas, the Korea Forest Service has established an Automatic Mountain Meteorology Observation Station (AMOS) network in major mountainous regions since 2012, and 464 stations are currently operated. In this study, we proposed an optimal kriging technique with lapse rate correction to produce gridded temperature data suitable for Korean forests using AMOS point observations. First, the outliers of the AMOS temperature data were removed through statistical processing. Then, an optimized theoretical variogram, which best approximates the empirical variogram, was derived to perform the optimal kriging with lapse rate correction. A 500-meter resolution Kriging map for temperature was created to reflect the elevation variations in Korean mountainous terrain. A blind evaluation of the method using a spatially unbiased validation sample showed a correlation coefficient of 0.899 to 0.953 and an error of 0.933 to 1.230℃, indicating a slight accuracy improvement compared to regular kriging without lapse rate correction. However, the critical advantage of the proposed method is that it can appropriately represent the complex terrain of Korean forests, such as local variations in mountainous areas and coastal forests in Gangwon province and topographical differences in Jirisan and Naejangsan and their surrounding forests.

Evaluation of Meteorological Elements Used for Reference Evapotranspiration Calculation of FAO Penman-Monteith Model (FAO Penman-Monteith 모형의 증발산량 산정에 이용되는 기상요소의 평가)

  • Hur, Seung-Oh;Jung, Kang-Ho;Ha, Sang-Keun;Kim, Jeong-Gyu
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
    • /
    • v.39 no.5
    • /
    • pp.274-279
    • /
    • 2006
  • The exact estimation of crop evapotranspiration containing reference or potential evapotranspiration is necessary for decision of crop water requirements. This study was carried out for the evaluation and application of various meteorological elements used for the calculation of reference evapotranspiration (RET) by FAO Penman-Monteith (PM) model. Meteorological elements including temperature, net radiation, soil heat flux, albedo, relative humidity, wind speed measured by meteorological instruments are required for RET calculation by FAO PM model. The average of albedo measured for crop growing period was 0.20, ranging from 0.12 to 0.23, and was slightly lower than 0.23. Determinant coefficients by measured albedo and green grass albedo were 0.97, 0.95 and standard errors were 0.74, 0.80 respectively. Usefulness of deductive regression models was admitted. To assess an influence of soil heat flux (G) on FAO PM, RET with G=0 was compared with RETs using G at 5cm soil depth ($G_{5cm}$) and G at surface ($G_{0cm}$). As the results, RET estimated by G=0 was well agreed with RET calculated by measured G. Therefore, estimated net radiation, G=0 and albedo of green grass could be used for RET calculation by FAO PM.

Detrending Crop Yield Data for Improving MODIS NDVI and Meteorological Data Based Rice Yield Estimation Model (벼 수량 자료의 추세분석을 통한 MODIS NDVI 및 기상자료 기반의 벼 수량 추정 모형 개선)

  • Na, Sang-il;Hong, Suk-young;Ahn, Ho-yong;Park, Chan-won;So, Kyu-ho;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.37 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-209
    • /
    • 2021
  • By removing the increasing trend that long-term time series average of rice yield due to technological advancement of rice variety and cultivation management, we tried to improve the rice yield estimation model which developed earlier using MODIS NDVI and meteorological data. A multiple linear regression analysis was carried out by using the NDVI derived from MYD13Q1 and weather data from 2002 to 2019. The model was improved by analyzing the increasing trend of rime-series rice yield and removing it. After detrending, the accuracy of the model was evaluated through the correlation analysis between the estimated rice yield and the yield statistics using the improved model. It was found that the rice yield predicted by the improved model from which the trend was removed showed good agreement with the annual change of yield statistics. Compared with the model before the trend removal, the correlation coefficient and the coefficient of determination were also higher. It was indicated that the trend removal method effectively corrects the rice yield estimation model.

Uncertainty of Hydro-meteorological Predictions Due to Climate Change in the Republic of Korea (기후변화에 따른 우리나라 수문 기상학적 예측의 불확실성)

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.3
    • /
    • pp.257-267
    • /
    • 2014
  • The impact of the combination of changes in temperature and rainfall due to climate change on surface water resources is important in hydro-meteorological research. In this study, 4 hydro-meteorological (HM) models from the Rainfall Runoff Library in the Catchment Modeling Toolkit were used to model the impact of climate change on runoff in streams for 5 river basins in the Republic of Korea. Future projections from 2021 to 2040 (2030s), 2051 to 2070 (2060s) and 2081 to 2099 (2090s), were derived from 12 General Circulation Models (GCMs) and 3 representative concentration pathways (RCPs). GCM outputs were statistically adjusted and downscaled using Long-Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) and the HM models were well calibrated and verified for the period from 1999 to 2009. The study showed that there is substantial spatial, temporal and HM uncertainty in the future runoff shown by the interquartile range, range and coefficient of variation. In summary, the aggregated runoff will increase in the future by 10~24%, 7~30% and 11~30% of the respective baseline runoff for the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. This study presents a method to model future stream-flow taking into account the HM model and climate based uncertainty.

Study on Ship Performance in a Seaway for Application to Early Stage of Hull-Form Design (선박의 파랑 중 운항성능을 고려한 초기 선형설계에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Yoo-Won;Kim, Yonghwan;Park, Dong-Min
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.54 no.3
    • /
    • pp.171-186
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper introduces a study on ship performance in waves to consider the effects of added resistance in the early stage of hull-form design. A ship experiences a loss of speed in actual seaways, hence this study proposes the overall procedure of a new design concept that takes into account the hydrodynamic performance of ship in waves. In the procedure, the added resistance is predicted using numerical methods: slender-body theory and Maruo's far-field formulation, since these methods are efficient in initial design stage, and an empirical formula is adopted for short waves. As computational models, KVLCC2 hull and Supramax bulk carrier are considered, and the results of added resistance and weather factor for test models are discussed. The computational results of vertical motion response and added resistance of KVLCC2 hull are compared with the experimental data. In addition, the sensitivity analysis of added resistance and weather factor for KVLCC2 hull to the variations of ship dimensions are conducted, and the change of the added resistance and propulsion factors after hull form variations are discussed.

An applicability estimation of the HSPF model considering watershed scale (유역의 규모를 고려한 HSPF 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Choi, Hyun-Gu;Kim, Dong-IL;HwangBo, Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.204-204
    • /
    • 2011
  • 최근에 들어 도시화와 이상기후의 영향으로 유역에서의 유출특성과 오염물질 발생특성이 변화하고 있어 이에 따라 체계적인 유역 관리가 요구되고 있다. 우리나라는 하천 및 호소에 대한 수질 관리를 생활하수, 공장폐수 등 점오염원을 중심으로 수질관리정책 및 대책을 추진하여 왔으나, 오염물질의 상당량은 비점오염원에서 유발되고 있다. 또한 오염총량제의 실시 이후 국내에서는 비점오염원 관리의 중요성이 점오염원에 비해 상대적으로 높아짐으로서 유역수질모델링의 중요성을 인식하고 있으며, 비점오염원에 관련된 연구도 활발히 진행되고 있다. 이를 위해 유역의 유출 및 수질 분석을 효율적으로 하기 위해 유역간 물질의 교환 및 전달이 유역 규모에 따라 얼마나 높은 정확성을 나타내는지를 분석하고 이를 검토하여 효과적인 유역수질모델링의 방법이 제시되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 통합적 수질관리의 필요성 증대에 따라, 유역 내 수문 순환 및 비점 오염원의 발생 거동을 정량적으로 분석할 수 있는 HSPF(Hydrologic Simulation Program - Fortran) 모형을 통해 오염총량 단위유역을 각각의 소유역으로 순차적으로 모의하여 검 보정을 수행 후 그 결과로 계산된 매개변수들을 단위유역 전체에 대한 분석에 입력하여 수행한 모의 결과와 비교 평가하였다. 또한, 이를 바탕으로 비점오염원에 의한 유역 내 하천 수질 영향도를 파악하였다. 유량 및 수질해석을 위하여 남강유역의 2004년부터 2007년까지 강우와 기상자료, 유량과 오염원 자료를 수집하여 입력 자료를 구축하였다. 또한, 대상유역에 해당되는 환경기초시설의 방류 유량 및 수질을 유입시킴으로써 HSPF모의가 진행되었다. 하천수질에 영향을 줄 수 있는 비점오염원은 강우 및 기상 관련 자료의 입력을 통하여 유역 내 유출 조건의 초기입력을 수행하였으며, 강우 입력에 따른 유출에 영향을 고려하기 위하여 토지이용 및 토양도를 고려하였다. 그리고 유역의 규모를 고려하였을 때 오염총량 단위유역의 유역 규모에 따라 모의를 실시한 결과를 바탕으로 HSPF 모형의 정확성 여부를 판단하여 정확성이 높은 방법을 선택할 수 있도록 하였다. 모의결과 소유역을 순차적으로 모의한 결과(CaseA)가 전체유역을 모의한 결과(CaseB)보다 실측치와 더 높은 상관계수를 나타냄을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에서의 평가방법을 바탕으로 유역수질모델링이 이루어진다면 추후 비점오염원에 대한 효과적인 관리에 도움이 될 것이며, 모니터링 기법 및 GIS기반 유역관리모델 개발, 4대강 비점오염원 최적관리기법 연구 등에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

Hourly Rainfall Surface Prediction with Meteorological Radar Data (기상레이더 자료를 이용한 시우량곡면 예측)

  • 정재성;이재형
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.187-195
    • /
    • 1996
  • In this study, a methodology for the hourly prediction of rainfall surfaces was applied to the Pyungchang river basin at the upstream of South Han river with meteorological radar and ground rainfall data. The methods for the exclusion of abnormal echoes, and suppression of ground clutter, and the augmentation of attenuation effects associated with rainfall phenomena were reviewed, and the relationship between radar reflectivity (Z) and rainfall rate (R) was analyzed. The transformation of augmented radar reflectivities into the rdar rainfall surfaces was carried out, and afterward they were synthesized with the ground rainfall data generating the hourly rainfall surfaces. For the prediction of hourly rainfall surface, the moving factors of rainfall field estimated by the cross correlation coefficient method and the temporal variation of radar rainfall intensities were considered. The synthesized hourly rainfall surfaces were used to predict the hourly rainfall surfaces up to 3 hours in advance and subsequently the results were compared with the measured and the synthesized. It seems that the prediction method need to be verified with more data and be complemented further to consider the physical characteristics of rainfall field and the topography of the basin.

  • PDF