• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기대수명

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그래핀 소재를 기반으로 하는 K-Propeller 모형 개발

  • 유장욱;정찬대;노창균
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.162-163
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    • 2021
  • 그래핀수지로 기존에 황동(Ni-Al-Bronze) 프로펠러 대체 가능 제품의로 고가의 황동을 그래핀수지 특히 재생 플라스틱 활용으로 저가로 공급 가능하다. 또한, 재활용이 가능한 친환경 프로펠러임, 가벼운 소재를 이용하여 연료 효율 증대, 연료 효율을 향상시켜 연안해운 저탄소 실현, 마찰저항을 최소화하여 선박의 추진성능 개선, 해양생물 부착 방지(방오기능)를 통한 프로펠러 수명연장 기대, 프로펠러 검사 및보수 유지비용 절약 기대, 향후 폐기물에 그래핀을 혼합한 재생 자재로 활용 가능이 크다.

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Applicability of Hammer-Peening Treatment for Fatigue Life Improvement of Fatigue Damaged Weld Joints (피로손상된 용접이음의 피로수명 향상을 위한 햄머피닝 처리법의 적용)

  • Kim, In Tae;Park, Min Ho;Cheung, Jin Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2013
  • In this study, fatigue tests were performed on longitudinal out-of-plane gusset fillet welded joints and transverse non-load-carrying cruciform rib fillet welded joints, and then applicability of hammer-peening treatment on improvement of fatigue life for fatigue damaged weld joints were investigated. Fatigue tests were carried out on three types of gusset and rib welded specimens: as-welded specimens, post-weld hammer peened specimens and hammer peened specimens at 50% of as-welded specimen's fatigue life. Before and after hammer peening treatment, the geometry of weld toes and surface stresses near weld toes were measured. As a result of hammer peening treatment, compressive residual stresses of 30-83MPa were introduced near weld toes of the gusset and rib welded joints, and 130% increase in fatigue life and fatigue limit of the welded joints could be realized by hammer peening treatment at 50% fatigue life of as-welded conditions.

Life-cycle estimation of HVDC full-bridge sub-module considering operational condition and redundancy (HVDC 풀-브리지 서브모듈의 동작 조건과 여유율을 고려한 수명예측)

  • Kang, Feel-soon;Song, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1208-1217
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    • 2019
  • The life-cycle prediction of the sub-module which is the unit system of MMC is very important from the viewpoint of maintenance and economic feasibility of HVDC system. However, the life-cycle prediction that considers only the type, number and combination of parts is a generalized result that does not take into account the operating condition of the sub-module, and may significantly differ from the life-cycle of the actual one. Therefore, we design a fault tree for the purpose of reflecting the operation characteristics of the full-bridge sub-module and apply the MIL-HDBK-217F to the failure rate of the basic event to predict the life-cycle of the full-bridge sub-module. It compares the life-cycle expectancy of the conventional failure rate analysis with the proposed fault-tree analysis and compares the lifetime according to whether the redundancy of the full-bridge sub-module is considered.

Evaluation of life Expectancy of Power System Equipment Using Probability Distribution (확률분포를 이용한 전력설비의 기대여명 추정)

  • Kim, Gwang-Won;Hyun, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a novel evaluation method of life expectancy of power system equipment. The life expectancy means expected remaining lifetime; it can be usefully utilized to maintenance planning, equipment replacement planning, and reliability assessment. The proposed method is composed of three steps. Firstly, a cumulative probability for future years is evaluated for targeted age year. Secondly, the cumulative probability is modeled by well-blown cumulative distribution function(CDF) such as Weibull distribution. Lastly, life expectancy is evaluated as the mean value of the model. Since the model CDF is established in the proposed method, it can also evaluate the probability of equipment retirement within specific years. The developed method is applied to examples of generators of combined cycle power plants to show its effectiveness.

Stochastic Disaggregation and Aggregation of Localized Uncertainty in Pavement Deterioration Process (포장파손과정의 지역적 불확실성에 대한 확률적 분해와 조합)

  • Han, Daeseok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1651-1664
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    • 2013
  • Precise analysis on deterioration processes of road pavements is not so simple matter due to severe uncertainty originated from a lot of explanatory variables engaged in. For those reasons, most analytical models for pavement deterioration prediction have often preferred to probabilistic approaches than deterministic models. However, the general probabilistic approaches that treat overall characteristics of population or entire sample would not be suitable for providing detail or localized information on their changing process. Considering the aspects, this paper aimed to suggest a stochastic disaggregation method to analyze the localized deterioration speeds and its variances changed by time and condition states. In addition, life expectancies and their uncertainty were estimated by probabilistic algorithm using the disaggregated stochastic process. For an empirical study, pavement inspection data (crack) accumulated from 2003 to 2010 from Korean national highway network was applied. This study can contribute to securing reliability of life cycle cost analysis, which is one of the primary analyses in road asset management, with much advanced deterioration forecasting functions. In addition, it would be meaningful trials as fundamental research for preventive maintenance strategy that demands essential understanding on changing process of the deterioration speed of pavement.

A study comparison of mortality projection using parametric and non-parametric model (모수와 비모수 모형을 활용한 사망률 예측 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.701-717
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    • 2017
  • The interest of Korean society and government on future demographic structures is increasing due to rapid aging. Korea's mortality rate is decreasing, but the declined gap is variable. In this study, we compare the Lee-Carter, Lee-Miller, Booth-Maindonald-Smith model and functional data model (FDM) as well as Coherent FDM using non-parametric smoothing technique. We are then examine a reasonable model for projecting on mortality declined rate trend in terms of accuracy of mortality rate by ages and life expectancy. The possibility of using non-parametric techniques for the prediction of mortality in Korea was also examined. Based on the analysis results, FDM and Coherent FDM, which uses the non-parametric technique and reflects the trend of recent data, are excellent. As a result, FDM and Coherent FDM are good fit, and predictability is also excellent assuming no significant future changes.

Expected Life Evaluation of Offshore Wind Turbine Support Structure under Variable Ocean Environment (해양환경의 변동성을 고려한 해상풍력터빈 지지구조물의 기대수명 평가)

  • Lee, Gee-Nam;Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.435-446
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    • 2019
  • Because offshore structures are affected by various environmental loads, the risk of damage is high. As a result of ever-changing ocean environmental loads, damage to offshore structures is expected to differ from year to year. However, in previous studies, it was assumed that a relatively short period of load acts repeatedly during the design life of a structure. In this study, the residual life of an offshore wind turbine support structure was evaluated in consideration of the timing uncertainty of the ocean environmental load. Sampling points for the wind velocity, wave height, and wave period were generated using a central composites design, and a transfer function was constructed from the numerical analysis results. A simulation was performed using the joint probability model of ocean environmental loads. The stress time history was calculated by entering the load samples generated by the simulation into the transfer function. The damage to the structure was calculated using the rain-flow counting method, Goodman equation, Miner's rule, and S-N curve. The results confirmed that the wind speed generated at a specific time could not represent the wind speed that could occur during the design life of the structure.

A comparative study of stochastic mortality models considering cohort effects (코호트 효과를 고려한 확률적 사망률 예측 모형의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.347-373
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    • 2021
  • Over the past 50 years, explorative research on the nation's mortality decline patterns has showed a decrease in age-specific mortality rates in all age groups, but there were different improvement patterns in specific mortality rates depending on ages and periods. Greater distinct improvement was observed in mortality rates among women than men, and there was a noticeable improvement in mortality rates in certain groups especially in the more recent decades, revealing a structural change in the overall trends regarding death periods. In this paper, we compare various stochastic mortality models considering cohort effects for mortality projection using Korean female mortality data and further explore the uncertainty related to projection. It also created age-specific mortality rates and life expectancy for women until 2067 based on the results of the analysis, and compared them with future age-specific mortality rates and life expectancy provided by the national statistical office (KOISIS). The best optimal model could vary depending on data usage periods. however, considering the overall fit and predictability, the PLAT model would be regarded to have appropriate predictability in terms of the mortality rates of women in South Korea.

자연모사 감각센서

  • Han, Chang-Su
    • Journal of the KSME
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.42-45
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    • 2016
  • 인간의 오감을 비롯해 생명체의 감각기관은 선택성, 감도, 크기, 수명, 소모전력 등 여러 측면에서 매우 뛰어난 성능과 장점을 가지고 있으며, 기존센서의 개념적 한계를 극복할 수 있어서 이 분야의 파괴적 혁신을 기대할 수 있다. 감각기관의 구조 및 원리에 대한 심층적인 분석과 공학적인 모사기술이 결합된다면 초감각을 지닌 동물의 감지능력까지도 모사가 가능할 것이다.

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