• Title/Summary/Keyword: 금액적 가치추정

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Estimating the Benefit of the Smart Water Grid using the Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치평가법을 이용한 스마트워터그리드의 편익 추정)

  • Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Choi, Hanju;Suh, Jinsuhk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.120-120
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화에 대비한 지속가능한 물 관리를 위해 첨단 ICT를 물 관리에 접목한 스마트워터그리드(Smart Water Grid)가 미래 사회의 새로운 패러다임으로 제기되고 있다. 스마트워터그리드를 활용한 안정적인 물공급을 위해서는 다양한 수자원 확보가 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 스마트워터그리드의 편익을 산정하기 위하여 조건부가치평가법을 이용하여 스마트워터그리드 사업을 추진하는데 소요되는 비용과 이를 통하여 생기게 될 경제적 상황을 설명하면서 응답자들에게 기꺼이 추가적으로 지불하고자 하는 금액에 대해 질문하였다. 조사로부터 얻은 정보를 활용하여 과학적인 통계적 분석을 수행함으로써 평균 지불의사를 추정하고 이를 스마트워터그리드 편익으로 산정하였다. 추정결과 2014년 10월 기준으로 스마트워터그리드에 대한 추가지불의사액은 3,514원(원/가구/년)이고 2013년 12월 기준 불변가격으로 환산하면 3,221원(원/가구/년)으로 추정되었다. 2013년 12월 불변가격 기준 스마트워터그리드의 연간 편익은 59,452백만원으로 추정되었다.

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Socal Vaule of Multiregional Water system - Using Conjoint Valuation Method (광역상수도의 사회적 편익 추정 연구 -조건부 가치측정법을 사용하여-)

  • Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Kim, Shang-Moon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.267-270
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    • 2009
  • 최근 우리나라는 기후온난화 등으로 인해 봄철과 겨울철에 심각한 가뭄이 자주 발생하고 있으며 그 정도는 점차 심해지고 있다. 2001년과 2002년 사이에 발생한 가뭄으로 약 100여개 시군에서 제한급수가 시행되기도 하였으며 2008년 말부터 발생하고 있는 남부지방의 가뭄은 식수를 걱정해야 할 정도로 심각한 실정이다. 이러한 기후변화는 수돗물의 안정적인 공급을 위한 수자원확보를 어렵게 하고 있다. 특히 하천수를 취수원으로 하고 있는 지방상수도의 경우 수돗물의 안정적인 공급과 수질측면에서 가뭄에 매우 취약한 조건을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 가뭄에 대처하고 안정적인 물 공급을 제공할 수 있는 광역상수도의 역할이 중요해 지고 있다. 광역상수도는 여름철 홍수기에 가두어 놓은 댐의 물을 사용함으로써 안정적으로 물을 제공할 수 있다. 광역상수도는 가뭄시 안정적인 수돗물을 공급할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 지역간의 요금편차를 제거하여 수도요금의 지역간 형평성을 고려할 수 있다. 또한 광역상수도를 사용하는 지방자치단체의 경우, 지방상수원 보호구역의 해제로 인해 지역개발을 활성화 시킬 수 있으며 국가차원에서도 물관리의 효율성을 증대시킬 수 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 광역상수도의 사회적 편익을 조건부 가치측정법(CVM)을 이용하여 추정하였다. 조건부가치측정법은 비사장 재화에 대한 가치를 추정할 수 있는 통계적 방법이다. 추정결과 안정적인 물공급을 위한 광역상수도의 가치는 음의 효용을 허용하지 않았을 경우, 가구당 5,796원의 지불의사금액으로 추정되었다. 이러한 결과는 광역상수도의 투자계획시 정책자료로 사용될 수 있으며 물정책 당국자에게 물관리측면에서 유용한 자료로 사용될 수 있다.

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Estimation of Willingness-to-pay for Rehabilitation and Upgrading of Reservoirs in Protecting Against Natural Disasters and Dam-Break (재해·재난 예방을 위한 저수지개보수사업의 지불의사금액 추정)

  • Park, Sung Kyung;Lim, Cheong Ryong;Han, Jae Hwan;Chung, Won Ho
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the economic effect of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs as a prevented method against natural disasters under recent abnormal weather conditions and dam-break. For the analysis, we divide the purpose of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs into the stable supply of rural water under uncertain weather conditions and the prevention of collapse due to the aging of the reservoir. We measure the economic effect of rehabilitation and upgrading of reservoirs by estimating the resident's willingness-to-pay for the project through Contingent Valuation Method(CVM). The result shows that distributions of willingness-to-pay to prevent natural disasters and dam-break are similar to each other. About 66% of the residents in sample regions are willing to pay for the project. The resident's willingness-to-pay to protect natural disasters and dam-break are 32,250 to 46,147 won and 28,427 to 47,308 won respectively on average for all sample regions. The comparison of willingness-to-pay by type of regions shows that paddy field areas are the highest followed by facility cultivation areas and urban areas. In addition, total expected value of the projects calculated based on the resident's willingness-to-pay for paddy field areas and facility cultivation areas are much larger than actual project costs. This implies that rural residents are fully aware of the importance of the project to prevent natural disasters and dam-break and are willing to pay for additional costs if needed.

Study on Variability of WTP Estimates by the Estimation Methods using Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Data (양분선택형 조건부가치측정(CV) 자료의 추정방법에 따른 지불의사금액의 변동성 연구)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2016
  • This study investigated the variability of WTP estimates(i.e. mean or median) with ad hoc assumptions of specific parametric probability distributions(i.e. normal, logistic, lognormal, and exponential distribution) to estimate WTP function using dichotomous choice CV data on mortality risk reduction. From the perspective of policy decision, the variability of these WTP estimates are intolerable in comparison with those of Turnbull nonparametric estimation method which is free from ad hoc distribution assumptions. The Turnbull nonparametric estimation can avoid a kind of misspecification bias due to ad hoc assumption of specific parametric distributions. Furthermore, the WTP estimates by Turnbull nonparametric estimation are robust because the similar estimates are elicited from a dichotomous choice or double dichotomous choice CV data, and the statistically significant WTP estimates can be obtained even though it is not possible by parametric estimation methods. If there are considerable variability among those WTP estimates by parametric estimation methods in condition with no criteria of model adequacy, the mean WTPs from Turnbull nonparametric estimation can be the robust estimates without ad hoc assumptions, which can avoid controversial issues in the perspective of policy decisions.

A Study on the Measuring of the Economic Value of a Public Library (공공도서관 경제적 가치 측정에 관한 연구 - 대출 서비스를 중심으로 -)

  • Pyo Soon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.243-261
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    • 2006
  • Variety methods are applied to estimating the value of a public library. This study explored the methods valuing of a public library focused on the consumer surplus and contingent valuation and measured the direct economic value of a public library by using these methods. 84% of the respondents are perceived that public library impact their life. And the users indicated that they are willing to pay 8,720 won per month to use a public library and 1,470 won to borrow a book from the library. Given reasonable assumptions about the cost of service, users place a value on the use of a public library is 1/3 times, the borrowing a book from the library is 3 times.

Value Analysis of Barrier-free Facilities at Subway Stations Using CVM with a Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question (이중양분선택형 질문법을 이용한 CVM에 의한 지하철 역사 Barrier-free 시설의 가치분석)

  • Jung, Hun-Young;Baik, Sang-Keun;Baek, Eun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2008
  • As the aged and physically disabled people are expected to increase in the next several years, traffic demand especially for the 'mobility handicapped people' will be stronger. According to this trend, our society needs the improvement of social overhead capital for the aged and the disabled. First of all, Barrier-free of public transport facilities is urgent case. The purpose of this study is to estimate value of the Barrier-free facilities at subway stations by using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) with Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question and to analyze the factor which affects the WTP(Willingness To Pay) of subway users by using Survival Analysis. As a result of this study, 'Elevators' and 'Escalators' are higher than 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair' in the aspect of the average willingness to pay. Therefore the government is recommended to install the Barrier-free facilities for going up and down such as 'Elevators' and 'Escalators', and then supply others for just using subway, and passing such as 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair'. Also, the average willingness to pay of 'mobility handicapped people' is higher than that of 'normal people'. It indicates that 'mobility handicapped people' value each Barrier-free facility high compared to 'normal people'.

A Study on the Indirect Benefits of Undergrounding Overhead Power Line Projects in an Urban Area Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용한 도심지 송전선로 지중화사업의 간접편익 추정)

  • Park, Chan-Ho;Kim, Sung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6D
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    • pp.871-879
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    • 2008
  • Recently, as there are a rise in the standard of living and higher concerns of an electromagnetic wave and environment, undergrounding the aerial cables which are supported by large pylons and generally considered as the least attractive feature of an urban area is on an increasing trend to improve aesthetic benefits and electric reliability. This study applied Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) which is expected to become an effective tool to measure indirect benefit to estimate the substantial benefits of undergrounding overhead power line projects in an urban area. The tunneling construction project of the 345kV Shinsungnam electric power cable in Seongnam city was selected and a hypothetical scenario was given to respondents to determine their levels of Willingness to Pay (WTP) for undergrounding overhead power lines. The result from the estimation of the WTP of undergrounding overhead power lines in Seongnam city was calculated as approximately 17.1 billion won. Placing existing overhead lines underground is difficult to justify economically. Most undergrounding costs appear to be justified by aesthetic and public policy considerations. Therefore, considering the result of this study, undergrounding overhead power lines is of great benefit to public.

Analyzing the Economic Value and Planning Factors of Hubs within Urban Green Infrastructure - Focusing on the Case of Sejong Lake Park - (도시 그린인프라 핵심지역의 경제적 가치와 계획 요소 분석 - 세종호수공원 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Dong-Kyu;An, Byung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2021
  • This study targets the urban park corresponding to the core areas (Hubs) of Green Infrastructure and estimates their value utilizing the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) and determines the planning factors which affect them. The research aims to provide basic data for supporting the value improvement in the planning stage for urban parks representing green infrastructure. The primary purpose of this research is to derive variables that affect economic value and planning factors to improve the use-value of urban parks, one of the Hubs of the green infrastructure. In this study, Sejong Lake Park, located in Sejong City, is the target site. This study collected the responses of 105 people by conducting a survey on the intention to pay for the use-value and the planning factors that affect it, targeting visitors to Sejong Lake Park. The study conducts Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) on this survey responses. The results are as follows: first, as a result of analyzing the variables which affect willingness to pay for use-value, residence and age influence the willingness to pay significantly among socioeconomic characteristics. Next, the survey responses of Double-bounded dichotomous choices (DB-DC) CVM are converted into variables through statistic techniques. Furthermore, the variables are used for a Logit model to draw coefficients. The average willingness to pay per person for the use-value of Sejong Lake Park using the derived coefficients was approximately found to be 8,597 won. Therefore, as of 2019, Sejong Lake Park, with a total of 430,000 visitors, is estimated to have an annual economic value of 3.7 billion won. Third, the average Likert scale of the planning factor affecting the decision to pay for the economic value of Sejong Lake Park was the highest along the waterfront landscape, and the convenience facilities and waterfront landscape showed the highest willingness to pay, 10,000 won. In the range between 2,500 won and 5,000 won, the waterfront area ranks highest. Therefore, it can be said that visitors to Sejong Lake Park take account of the economic value of using the waterfront landscape the most. This study is meaningful as a thesis on use-value and the planning factors that affected value evaluation results of urban parks, and the analysis of the correlation between the planning factors of urban parks as hubs located in urban areas.

이중 양분선택형 질문 CV자료에서의 정박효과 검토

  • Sin, Yeong-Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.51-73
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    • 1998
  • 조건부가치측정법(CVM)의 지불의사 유도방법인 이중 양분선택형 질문법은 단일 양분선택형 질문 CV자료의 통계적 비효율성을 극복하기 위한 방법으로 제안되었다. 이 방법은 여러 가지 장점에도 불구하고 출발점 편의의 심리학적 근거인 정박효과 (anchoring effect)의 발생 가능성을 의심받고 있다. 그러므로 본 논문에서는 이중 양분선택형 질문 CV자료에서 정박효과를 검토할 수 있는 일반적 지불의사금액모형을 제시하고, 그 모형으로부터 정박효과를 검토할 수 있는 방법을 제안한다. 모형은, Cameron and Quiggin(1994)이 제안한 이변량 모형에 두 번째 내재 지불의사금액의 설명변수로서 처음 제시된 특정금액에 대한 양분선택적 응답결과를 포함시킨 형태이다. 이 모형에서 처음 제시된 특정금액에 대한 양분선택적 응답결과의 계수 부호가 음(-)이고 통계적으로 유의하다면 정박효과가 발생하는 것으로 볼 수 있다. 그러나 만약 이러한 계수 검토에서 정박효과 발생을 확인할 수 없는 경우, 두 번의 응답에서 두 지불의사금액 추정치들의 평균이 다르다고 볼 수 없다면 정박효과를 우려할 필요가 없다. 이 검토 모형 및 방법을 본 연구에서 한강 수질 개선에 대한 CV자료에 적용해 본 결과 정박효과를 우려할 필요가 없음을 확인할 수 있다.

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Contingent Valuation Method with a Risk Answering Mechanism (위험응답메커니즘을 포함한 조건부가치평가)

  • Park, Joo Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.793-816
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a new answering mechanism called RAM (Risk Answering Mechanism) which can be applied to a contingent valuation method. The RAM is derived from the theory of expected utility maximization under the assumption that there exists an uncertainty in a nonmarket good of interest. In RAM, a respondent would accept an uncertain offer only if his or her WTP for the mean of the offer is large enough to exceed the bidding price by more than a risk premium. This is in a striking contrast with a traditional answering mechanism (TAM) in which the WTP is simply compared with the bidding price. Therefore, the TAM would underestimate the WTP by a risk premium without considering the uncertainty a respondent may face. An empirical comparison is made between RAM and TAM using a survey data on the Tong river. It is found that underestimation problem is very serious in the TAM.

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