• Title/Summary/Keyword: 극치 분석

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A Study on the Design of Classifier for Urine Analysis System (요분석 시스템의 분류기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 전계록;김기련;예수영;김철한;정도운;조진호
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a classifier of urine analysis system was designed using preprocessing and fuzzy algorithm. Preprocessing were processed by normalizing data of strip using calibration curve composed of achromatic colors value and by calculating three stimulus. FUZZY classifier capable of analyzing a qualitative concentration of test items was composed of fuzzifier by gaussian shaped membership function, inference of MIN method, and defuzzifier of centroid method through verification by measuring standard solution and by classifying concentration classes. After tuning membership function according to relating standard solution with urinalysis sample, the possibility to adapt classifier designed for urine analysis system near a bed was verified as classifying measured urinalysis samples and observing classified result. Of all test items, experimental results showed a satisfactory agreement with test results of reference system.

Concept of Seasonality Analysis of Hydrologic Extreme Variables and Design Rainfall Estimation Using Nonstationary Frequency Analysis (극치수문자료의 계절성 분석 개념 및 비정상성 빈도해석을 이용한 확률강수량 해석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.733-745
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    • 2010
  • Seasonality of hydrologic extreme variable is a significant element from a water resources managemental point of view. It is closely related with various fields such as dam operation, flood control, irrigation water management, and so on. Hydrological frequency analysis conjunction with partial duration series rather than block maxima, offers benefits that include data expansion, analysis of seasonality and occurrence. In this study, nonstationary frequency analysis based on the Bayesian model has been suggested which effectively linked with advantage of POT (peaks over threshold) analysis that contains seasonality information. A selected threshold that the value of upper 98% among the 24 hours duration rainfall was applied to extract POT series at Seoul station, and goodness-fit-test of selected GEV distribution has been examined through graphical representation. Seasonal variation of location and scale parameter ($\mu$ and $\sigma$) of GEV distribution were represented by Fourier series, and the posterior distributions were estimated by Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. The design rainfall estimated by GEV quantile function and derived posterior distribution for the Fourier coefficients, were illustrated with a wide range of return periods. The nonstationary frequency analysis considering seasonality can reasonably reproduce underlying extreme distribution and simultaneously provide a full annual cycle of the design rainfall as well.

Estimation of Frequency of Storm Surge Heights on the West and South Coasts of Korea Using Synthesized Typhoons (확률론적 합성태풍을 이용한 서남해안 빈도 해일고 산정)

  • Kim, HyeonJeong;Suh, SeungWon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2019
  • To choose appropriate countermeasures against potential coastal disaster damages caused by a storm surge, it is necessary to estimate the frequency of storm surge heights estimation. As the coastal populations size in the past was small, the tropical cyclone risk model (TCRM) was used to generate 176,689 synthetic typhoons. In simulation, historical paths and central pressures were incorporated as a probability density function. Moreover, to consider the typhoon characteristics that resurfaced or decayed after landfall on the southeast coast of China, incorporated the shift angle of the historical typhoon as a function of the probability density function and applied it as a damping parameter. Thus, the passing rate of typhoons moving from the southeast coast of China to the south coast has improved. The characteristics of the typhoon were analyzed from the historical typhoon information using correlations between the central pressure, maximum wind speed ($V_{max}$) and the maximum wind speed radius ($R_{max}$); it was then applied to synthetic typhoons. The storm surges were calculated using the ADCIRC model, considering both tidal and synthetic typhoons using automated Perl script. The storm surges caused by the probabilistic synthetic typhoons appear similar to the recorded storm surges, therefore this proposed scheme can be applied to the storm surge simulations. Based on these results, extreme values were calculated using the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) method, and as a result, the 100-year return period storm surge was found to be satisfactory compared with the calculated empirical simulation value. The method proposed in this study can be applied to estimate the frequency of storm surges in coastal areas.

Evaluation of Extreme Rainfall based on Typhoon using Nonparametric Monte Carlo Simulation and Locally Weighted Polynomial Regression (비매개변수적 모의발생기법과 지역가중다항식을 이용한 태풍의 극치강우량 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Chun, Si-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.193-205
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    • 2009
  • Typhoons occurred in the tropical Pacific region, these might be affected the Korea moving toward north. The strong winds and the heavy rains by the typhoons caused a natural disaster in Korea. In the research, the heavy rainfall events based on typhoons were evaluated quantitative through various statistical techniques. First, probability precipitation and typhoon probability precipitation were compared using frequency analysis. Second, EST probability precipitation was calculated by Empirical Simulation Techniques (EST). Third, NL probability precipitation was estimated by coupled Nonparametric monte carlo simulation and Locally weighted polynomial regression. At the analysis results, the typhoons can be effected Gangneung and Mokpo stations more than other stations. Conversely, the typhoons can be effected Seoul and Inchen stations less than other stations. Also, EST and NL probability precipitation were estimated by the long-term simulation using observed data. Consequently, major hydrologic structures and regions where received the big typhoons impact should be review necessary. Also, EST and NL techniques can be used for climate change by the global warming. Because, these techniques used the relationship between the heavy rainfall events and the typhoons characteristics.

Color Factor Analysis of in Farnsworth Test Panel D-15 (색각 검사용 Farnsworth Test Panel D-15의 칼라 인자 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Geun;Park, Sang-An
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2000
  • In order to color analyze of in Farnsworth Test Panel D-15 using a Protan, Deutan and Tritan test, we introduced the CIE system so that measured the reflectance light spectrum intensity in the 380~780 nm wavelength regions. The color difference of Panel D-15 was depended on the intensity of reflectance ratio in the 400~450 nm, 500~600 nm and more than 650 nm wavelength regions. From the reflectance spectra, we obtained the tristimulus X, Y, Z values, the $L^*a^*b^*$ and $L^*ab$ values of the 3-Dimension CIELAB system in a complement plane and light-darkness axis, the $U^*V^*$ values and the x, y values of chromaticity coordinates.

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Assessment of Wind Resource Around the Korean Peninsula by Using Marine Buoys Datasets (해상부이 데이터 분석을 통한 한반도 해역의 바람자원 평가)

  • Oh, Ki-Yong;Kim, Ji-Young;Lee, Jun-Shin
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2011
  • In recent years, many countries have been endeavoring to exploit the offshore wind energy in terms of overcoming the limitations of on-land wind energy. Considering that mountains cover 70 percent of the Korean Peninsula and arable plains for wind energy are negligibly small, Korean government aggressively drives the offshore wind development of the Korean Peninsula. As part of preliminary investigation of offshore wind resources, KEPCO-RI (Korea Electric Power Corporation-Research Institute) has been analyzing marine buoy datasets measured at 5 positions over the period of 12 years, including estimation of extreme wind speed. It can be observed that variation of yearly wind speed, monthly wind speed as well as frequency distribution of wind direction. Wind classes of buoy sites are estimated by extrapolated average wind speed using log law. In addition, wind turbine class based on IEC code is assessed for evaluation of suitable wind turbine.

Derivation of SDF(Severity-Duration-Frequency) Curve using Non-Stationary Drought Frequency Analysis (비정상성 가뭄빈도해석에 의한 SDF 곡선의 유도)

  • Jang, Ho Won;Park, Seo Yeon;Kim, Tae Woong;Lee, Joo Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.150-150
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화로 인하여 극한 홍수와 극한 가뭄 발생이 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있어 이에 대한 위험이 대두되고 있는 실정이다. 홍수 및 가뭄 수문시계열의 빈도해석시에 일반적으로 활용되는 정상성 빈도해석기법은 수문자료의 정상성을 기반으로 한 빈도해석이 대부분이기 때문에 기후변화 및 수문자료의 비정상성을 반영한 새로운 빈도해석 기법이 요구되고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 5개의 대표 관측지점(서울, 포항, 추풍령, 여수, 광주)를 선별하고 1976년부터 2015년까지 일강우자료를 활용하여 기상학적 가뭄지수인 SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)를 산정하였다. 산정한 SPI의 경향성을 Mann-Kendall 분석을 하였으며, 정상성 및 비정상성 빈도해석을 위하여 최적확률분포로 선정된 GEV 분포 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄빈도해석을 위하여 SPI를 입력자료로 활용하였으며, 산정된 SPI의 비정상성을 반영한 비정상성 빈도해석의 경우 Bayesian 모형을 기반으로 한 MCMC(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 모의를 이용하여 극치분포의 사후분포 매개변수를 추정하였다. 추정 값을 바탕으로 하여 가뭄의 관측소별 빈도해석을 실시하였고 재현기간별-지속기간별 가뭄심도를 추정하여 관측소별 가뭄심도-지속기간-빈도(SDF,Severity-Duration-Frequency) 곡선을 유도하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 정상성과 비정상성 빈도해석 결과의 비교연구를 수행하였으며 기후변화에 따른 비정상 시계열로 구성된 가뭄빈도해석에 매우 유용하게 적용될 수 있을 것으로 나타났다.

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Estimation of Extreme Wind Speeds in the Western North Pacific Using Reanalysis Data Synthesized with Empirical Typhoon Vortex Model (모조 태풍 합성 재분석 바람장을 이용한 북서태평양 극치 해상풍 추정)

  • Kim, Hye-In;Moon, Il-Ju
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • In this study, extreme wind speeds in the Western North Pacific (WNP) were estimated using reanalysis wind fields synthesized with an empirical typhoon vortex model. Reanalysis wind data used is the Fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (ERA5) data, which was deemed to be the most suitable for extreme value analysis in this study. The empirical typhoon vortex model used has the advantage of being able to realistically reproduce the asymmetric winds of a typhoon by using the gale/storm-forced wind radii information in the 4 quadrants of a typhoon. Using a total of 39 years of the synthesized reanalysis wind fields in the WNP, extreme value analysis is applied to the General Pareto Distribution (GPD) model based on the Peak-Over-Threshold (POT) method, which can be used effectively in case of insufficient data. The results showed that the extreme analysis using the synthesized wind data significantly improved the tendency to underestimate the extreme wind speeds compared to using only reanalysis wind data. Considering the difficulty of obtaining long-term observational wind data at sea, the result of the synthesized wind field and extreme value analysis developed in this study can be used as basic data for the design of offshore structures.

Development and Evaluation of Flood Prediction Models Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques (인공지능 기법을 활용한 홍수예측모델 개발 및 평가 - 한강수계 댐을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Hemie;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Yoo, Je-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.131-131
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화의 영향으로 극치강우의 변동성이 커지고 있으며 계획빈도를 초과하는 폭우로 피해가 증가하고 있다. 기존의 물리기반의 홍수예측모델은 개념적 및 구조적 제약과 함께 다양한 유역조건 및 수문기상 조건에 기인한 강우-유출 관계의 불확실성을 고려하는 데 한계가 있다. 특히 한정된 홍수 사상을 통해 구축된 관측 자료로 인해 새로운 홍수 사상 예측 능력이 저조할 수밖에 없다. 따라서 기존 물리모형 기반의 홍수예측과 함께, 딥러닝(deep learning) 모형을 고려한 홍수예측 모델 개발과 개선이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 분야에서 활용되는 인공지능(artificial intelligence, AI) 기술을 종합적으로 검토하고, 홍수 예측 측면에서의 활용 가능성 및 신뢰성을 고려하여 AI 기법을 채택하였다. 한강수계에 존재하는 댐 중 일부를 선정하여 대상 댐의 수문·기상학적 자료를 전처리한 후, 인공지능 기반의 홍수예측모형을 구축 및 최적화하였다. 다양한 예측인자와 모델 구성으로 홍수예측력에 대한 평가를 다각적으로 수행함으로써 홍수예측모델의 신뢰성을 제고하였다. 전반적으로 우수한 결과를 도출하였고, 유역면적이 작을수록 결과가 좋았다. 이는 넓은 유역일수록 복잡한 강우-유출 과정이 내재되어 있기 때문으로 판단되며, 넓은 유역에는 본 연구에서 활용한 자료에 추가적인 자료를 도입하여 모형 개선이 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단하였다. 수문 예측 연구에 통계모형이나 기계학습모형의 적용은 많이 있었지만, 딥러닝 기법 활용은 새로운 시도라는 점에서 의미가 있다.

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Establishment of allowable flooding scale in urban basin in response to extreme precipitation caused by climate change (기후변화에 따른 강수의 극단화에 대응한 도시유역의 허용침수규모 설정)

  • Cho, Woncheol C.;Ahn, Jeonghwan H.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.75-75
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 기후변화에 따른 강우현상의 극한화에 대응한 도시치수규모 설정 방안에 대한 연구이다. 발생가능한 모든 강우상태를 강우지속시간과 강우량 매트릭스로 구성하고 모든 강우상태에 대한 침수규모를 사전에 산정한 후 도시침수 상태를 추정하는 2변수(강우량, 강우지속시간) 회귀식을 개발하였다. 치수규모 결정을 위해서 지금까지 사용해 오던 "발생빈도" 기준의 극치통계의 개념적, 공학적 의미를 재해석하여 물리적으로 의미가 있는 "침수 특성치" 기준으로 대전환하자는 것이다. 기술적으로 가능해졌기 때문이다. 도시유역의 침수를 정량적(침수심, 침수면적)으로 모의할 수 있는 방법을 제시하기 위한 침수상태의 기준이 될 침수특성치로는 관로첨두유출량, 최대침수면적, 침수총량, 평균침수심, 특정지점의 최대침수심, 특정지점의 침수지속시간 등 6가지를 선정하였다. 우리나라에서 발생가능한 모든 강우상태에 대한 침수 발생 가능성을 점검하여 침수특성치를 분석하고 해당 유역의 "물리적/사회적 특성"을 고려한 "사회적 합의"에 의해 "감당할 수 있는 피해의 정도"에 맞춘 도시유역 치수계획규모를 설정하는 방안을 확립하는 것이다. 또 결과로 구해지는 다음과 같은 형태의 유역별 침수특성치 산정식(2변수 회귀식)을 각 유역별로 구해 놓으면 기상예보(강우지속시간-강우량)에 따라 유역의 침수 특성치를 쉽게 추정하여 사전에 확립해둔 방재대책을 시행할 수 있게 한다.

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