• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.12
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• pp.1137-1147
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• 2022

River and groundwater stages are the main elements in the hydrologic cycle. They are spatially correlated and can be used to evaluate hydrological and agricultural drought. Stochastic simulation is often performed independently on hydrological variables that are spatiotemporally correlated. In this setting, interdependency across mutual variables may not be maintained. This study proposes the Bayesian vector autoregression model (VAR) to capture the interdependency between multiple variables over time. VAR models systematically consider the lagged stages of each variable and the lagged values of the other variables. Further, an autoregressive model (AR) was built and compared with the VAR model. It was confirmed that the VAR model was more effective in reproducing observed interdependency (or cross-correlation) between river and ground stages, while the AR generally underestimated that of the observed.

• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.1-32
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• 2005

The optimum population of a society or country can be defined as 'the population growth path that maximizes the welfare level of the society over the whole generations of both the present and the future, under the paths allowed by its endowments of production factors such as technology, capital and labor'. Thus, the optimum size or growth rate of population depends on: (i) the social welfare function, (ii) the production function, and (iii)demographic economic interrelationship which defines how the national income is disposed into consumption(birth and education of children included) and savings on the one hand and how the demographic and economic change induced thereby, in turn, affect production capacities on the other. The optimum population growth path can, then, be derived in the process of dynamic optimization of (i) under the constraints of (ii) and (iii), which will give us the optimum population growth rate defined as a function of parameters thereof. This paper estimates the optimum population growth rate of Korea by: specifying (i), (ii), and (iii) based on the recent development of economic theories, solving the dynamic optimization problem and inserting empirical estimates in Korea as the parametric values. The result shows that the optimum path of population growth in Korea is around TFR=1.81, which is affected most sensitively, in terms of the size of the partial elasticity around the optimum path, by the cost of children, share of capital income, consumption rate, time preference, population elasticity of utility function, etc. According to a survey implemented as a follow up study, there are quite a significant variations in the perceived cost of children, time preference rate, population elasticity of utility across different socio-economic classes in Korea, which implied that, compared to their counterparts, older generation and more highly educated classes prefer higher growth path for the population of Korea.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.79-105
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• 2014

Natech risk is a type of complex disasters that natural hazards trigger technological disaster or industrial accidents. Research on Natech risk has been started from the mid-1990s in European countries and the Unites States, and drawn much more attention after the Fukushima nuclear accident caused by the 2011 East Japan earthquake. While early studies on Natech risk have focused on the causal natural hazards and possibility to occur, and the resulting spill of hazardous materials from the perspective of science and engineering, the recent research interests lie on effective Natech risk management. Especially, emphasizing the difference of Natech risk management from traditional disaster management, issues of uncertainty management, integration between natural disaster and technological disaster, and responsibility, has been drawn attention. In Korea, Natech risk has not been introduced as a research topic. Although some regulatory improvements have been made in nuclear safety and chemical Substance management after the Fukushima disaster, the potential impact of natural hazards in these areas has not been considered yet. It is necessary to raise the issues of Natech risk management in research and policy areas through active discussion and interdisciplinary approaches.

• Informatization Policy
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.22-41
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• 2011

Current socioeconomic condition in South Korea is characterized by growing country with highly unemployment rate. Enhancing service industry, therefore, is one of the important government policy issues. In addition to quantitative growth of service industries, OECD comparisons between countries as shown in the competitiveness of the domestic service industry, followed by a very low-level, enhancing the competitiveness of service industries are also important issues of national policy. In particular, finance, education, insurance industry, such as relatively large enterprises have entered the service industry to remain competitive and comparable, but the case of small service industries, has shown a very low level of competitiveness. Thus, the world's leading technology and IT infrastructure can be applied to small and medium-sized service industry in order to improve productivity, customer satisfaction, and service infrastructure, resulting in improving competitiveness. The purpose of this study is to develop government supporting policy issues by analyzing the current usage of IT, problems and requirement analysis, and critical success factors for applying IT to small and medium-sized service industries. For a survey 2,000 samples are collected from service companies. The results show that IT usage is very important to improve competitiveness in small and medium sized service industry. In addition, customized it solutions are needed to satisfy different characteristics of service industry depends on types of business. Finally, government supporting programs of IT has to be improved. The results would be able to provide directions and guide lines of IT utilization in service industries.

• Journal of Nutrition and Health
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• v.43 no.5
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• pp.533-542
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• 2010

The objective of this study is to provide basic information and policy implications needed to balance the supply and demand for dietitian by projecting supply and demand for dietitian. The data from the Ministry of Health Welfare and Family on the number of licensed nutritionist, resident registration data of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security, and health insurance qualification data of the National Health Insurance Corporation were used to examine the current status of supply. To project the supply of nutritionist workforce, the in-out moves method and demographic method were used. The ratios of nutritionist to population and GDP, and that of other countries were applied as the demand projection method. According to the study results, the projection on the imbalance of supply and demand for dietitian by year 2021 differs depending on the method used. First, according to the results based on age-adjusted population ratio, there is an oversupply of 1,643 dietitians in year 2010, and 2,076 dietitians in year 2020. Second, although the projection on the imbalance of the supply and demand for dietitian differs depending on whether the GDD is calculated in won(￦) or dollar($). it is expected that there will be an oversupply in general. Third, as to the scenario using the nutritionist ratio in foreign countries, the oversupply of dietitian is likely in Korea, under any scenario, when comparing the nutritionist supply projection with the demand projection based on the nutritionist ratio in the United States. However, the projection of the supply and demand varies in each scenario when the European nutritionist ratio is applied. Under European 'scenario 1', an oversupply is expected, whereas under 'scenario 2', a shortage of supply is expected. A careful approach is required in interpreting the supply and demand projection using criteria of other countries, because dietitian assumes different roles and functions in each country. Although a slight oversupply of nutritionist workforce is projected, it does not cause a major problem as the demand for diet therapy is expected to rise due to aging and the increase of chronic diseases, and as the demand for clinical dietitians in hospitals increases. Accordingly, the demand for dietitians will rise and, in this context, the oversupply of nutritionist will not incur much problem. However, the nutritionist qualification is much too open in Korea, and this has a negative effect on the quality of the nutritionist workforce. Therefore, it is important that the nutritionist qualifications and requirements are reinforced in the future, enhance the quality level of the nutritionist supply, and maintain the balance between the supply and demand.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.175-180
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• 2010

In the almost application parts, GNSS being used the primary navigation system on world-widely. However, some of nations attempt or deliberate to enhance current Loran system, as a backup to satellite navigation system because of the vulnerability to the disturbance signal. Loran interests in supplemental navigation system by the development and enhancement, which is called eLoran, and that consists of advancement of receiver and transmitter and of differential Loran in order to increase the accuracy of current Loran-C. A significant factor limiting the ranging accuracy of the eLoran signal is the ASF in the TOAs observed by the receiver. The ASF is mostly due to the fact that the ground-wave signal is likely to propagate over paths of varying conductivity and topography. This paper presents comparison results between the predicted ASF and the measured ASF in a southern east region of Korea. For predicting ASF, the Monteath model is used. Actual ASF is measured from the legacy Loran signal transmitted Pohang station in the GRI 9930 chain. The test results showed the repeatability of the measured ASF and the consistent characteristics between the predicted and the measured ASF values.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.640-640
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• 2015

2010년과 2011년 서울에서 발생한 집중호우와 2014년 부산에서 발생한 집중호우의 발생으로 막대한 재산상의 피해와 사상자를 냈다. 2010년 9월 21일에 발생한 집중호우는 1908년 관측시작이래 가장 많은 비가 내린 것으로 기록되었으며 주거지 4,727호, 상가 1,164호, 공장 126동 등이 침수되고 13시를 기준으로 강서지점의 경우 시간당 98.5mm의 기록적인 강우를 기록하였으나, 관악지점은 5.5mm에 그쳐 두 지점간의 시간당 강우량의 편차가 약 200배 가까이 차이가 나는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같이 최근 도시지역에서 국지성 집중호우가 증가하고 있으며 지역별 강우 편차가 크고 이에 따라 침수피해발생 여부도 지역에 따라 달라진다. 강수의 공간적 분포와 그로 인한 침수해석은 도시돌발홍수 예경보 시스템에 있어 무엇보다도 중요하다. 본 연구의 목적은 도시지역 돌발홍수 예경보 시스템 구축을 위한 정량적 강수추정 QPE(Quantitative Precipitation Estimation)기법에 따른 수리 수문학적 영향을 평가하는 것이다. 정량적 강수추정을 위해 AWS, SKP, 레이더 자료를 활용하여 250m의 해상도를 가지도록 크리깅을 적용하였다: QPE 1은 34개의 AWS의 지점우량을 지구통계학적 기법 중의 하나인 크리깅을 이용하여 산정한 기법, QPE 2는 AWS와 156개의 SKP의 강우데이터를 크리깅을 이용하여 산정한 기법, QPE 3는 광덕산 레이더를 이용한 기법, QPE 4는 AWS, SKP, 광덕산 레이더 자료를 조건부 합성한 기법이다. 월류량을 산정하기 위해 도시유출해석모형인 SWMM을 강남역 일대를 대상으로 구축하고 우수관로 시스템으로 유입되지 못한 노면류(Surface flow)를 함께 고려하였다. 침수해석을 위해서는 DHM모델을 적용하였으며 2013년 7월 기간에 발생한 호우에 대하여 분석을 수행하였다. 비교수행을 위해서 인접한 서초 AWS와 강남 AWS의 지점강우량도 함께 고려하였으며 모의결과를 국가 재난관리 정보 시스템(NMDS)에 침수피해가 확인된 가옥 및 빌딩 정보와 일치여부를 적합도로 산정하였다. 산정된 적합도를 통하여 정량적 강수추정기법에 따른 수리?수문학적 영향을 평가하였다. 실제 침수흔적정보와 비교 결과, QPE 2와 QPE4가 가장 적합도가 높았으며 이에 따라 고밀도의 관측망의 구성이 도시지역 침수해석결과에도 적합할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.43-53
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• 1986

Among many microbial pesticides, Bacillus thuringiensis is one of the most hopeful pesticide and some commercial products have been appearing on the market. Because these commercial products contain living spores and toxins of the organism, there is a danger that living spores of B. thuringiensis may be scattered by wind and cause a great damage in the sericulture areas. In order to avoide these risks it is desirable to select the strain which has low pathogenicity to the silkworm, and at the sometime being highly pathogenic to the pest insects. Thus this study has been carried out to acquire some basic informations about the procedure of desicable strain selection. Three strains of B. thuringiensis var. kurstaki, var. dendrolimus and var. aizawai were used for the pathogenicity test on the silkworm, Bombux mori and the fall webwarm, Hyphantria cunea. Those strains were investigated by the agarose gel electrophoresis patterns of plasmid DNA determine whether mutation had occured. Pathogenicity tests were carried out of using isolated crystal proteins and spore-crystal protein to mixtures of each strain, seperatively. In case of using spore-crystal protein mixture, the order of pathogenicity in varities of B. thuringiensis against B.mopri and H.cunea were kurstaki, aizawai, dendrolimus and kurstaki, dendrolimus, aizawai, respectively. But using isolated crystal proteins, dendrolimus had the highest toxicity to H. cunea and the lowest toxicity to B. mori among tested three strains. From the above results, dendrolimus was presumed the most desirable straing for using microbial pesticide.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.203-209
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• 2019

Special Act on Regulatory Freedom Zone and Regional Special Development Zonet" introduced a new type of 'Freedom Special Zone of Regulation' that is legally distinguished from the existing Special Districts for Regional and Regional Development to support the innovative and strategic growth of the areas, and even passed a number of legal grounds for providing innovative regulations for regional development projects or regional strategic industries within the Special Districts. Starting with the bill legislation proposed by The Parliament Members, Kim Kyung-soo on behalf of 33 suggestors, Choo Kyung-ho, Jung Sung-ho and Hong Il-pyo submitted the bill legislation on behalf of 10 to 12 proposers, respectively. As a major matter of issue, the purpose, designation, scope of application, promotion system, application of A Bill of Three kind on Regulatory Innovation, and Balanced National Development, many kind of regulation as like types of menu, special cases, punitive regulations, and so on have been argued until the end of the bill proposed from the beginning. In this study, the differences between the bill suggested by the Parliament members and bill approved already are to be compared and analyzed to confirm how the items on issue were reflected for the bill finally and to draw up measures for the correct operation of the special regulations.

• Maritime Security
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.55-83
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• 2022

For humankind, the ocean is a treasure trove of natural resources and an important area that provides major transportation routes. However, marine ecosystems are under threat amidst the global climate change crisis. This is partly due to various sources of pollution emitted from ships, shore facilities, and other sources. In response, the navies of advanced countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and Europe have assessed such a climate change crisis as a new maritime security threat. These countries have made early efforts to prevent marine pollution from warships. These efforts have been legally embodied. This was legislation for technical and organizational structures to be practically applied in the field. Among these navies of developed countries, France has established parliamentary and intergovernmental plans to become a leader in environmental protection at the defense level, not only in the European region but throughout the world. Within this framework, the French Navy, through its internal instruction, has inclined its legal efforts to prevent marine pollution from warships. Therefore, this study examines the legislation for the prevention of marine pollution from warships within the French Navy and compares it with the marine environmental legislation applicable to the ROK Navy. It then deduces the implications for the ROK navy, which is advancing toward a Blue-Water navy.