• Title/Summary/Keyword: 구간추정

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A Comparative Study on Misconception about Statistical Estimation that Future Math Teachers and High School Students have (통계적 추정에 관한 예비 수학교사들과 고등학생들의 오개념 비교 분석)

  • Han, Ga-Hee;Jeon, Youngju
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.247-266
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, three main concepts are chosen for this statistical estimation study, based on previous studies: confidence interval and reliability, sampling distribution of mean and population mean estimation, and relationships between elements of confidence interval. The main objectives of this study are as follows: 1. How are the attitudes that future math teachers and high school students have to ward the statistical estimation? 2. Is there some difference in the awareness of misconceptions about the statistical estimation that future math teachers and high school students have? A study result shows that both groups have difficulties in understanding statistical concepts and their meaning used in Unit Statistical Estimation. They tend to wrongly think that the meaning of reliability is the same as that of probability. They also have difficulties in understanding sample variance in the sampling distribution of mean, which makes it impossible to connect with population mean estimation. It is shown that relationships between elements consisting of confidence interval are not consistent.

A frequency offset estimation and compensation algorithm for high speed modem (고속 광대역 모뎀의 주파수 오프셋 추정 및 보상 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon;Cho, Jin-Woong;Lee, Chung-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.225-227
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 OFDM 방식의 고속 광대역 모뎀의 주파수 오프셋을 추정하고 보상하는 알고리즘에 관한 것이다. 설계된 주파수 오프셋 추정 및 보상 알고리즘은 프리앰블 구간에서 초기 CFO(carrier frequency offset)를 추정 및 보상하고, 데이터 전송구간에도 잔류 CFO를 추정하고 보상하도록 동작한다. 초기 CFO보상은 시간축에서 동작하고, 잔류 CFO 보상은 FEQ 뒤에서 파일럿 캐리어의 정보를 이용하여 이루어진다. 잔류 주파수 오프셋을 보상할 때에는 ADC/DAC의 SFO(sampling frequency offset)도 추정하여 잔류 CFO와 동시에 보상하게 된다.

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Comparing Methods to Select Functional Form in Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Methods (양분선택형 비시장가치평가법에 있어서 함수모형선택을 위한 제 방법론 비교)

  • Lee, Hee-Chan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.25-44
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문의 목적은 양분선택질문형 비시장가치평가법을 통한 편익추정에 사용되는 제 함수의 적합성 여부를 검증하기 위해 사용될 수 있는 방법론들을 비교 검토하는 것이다. 여가수렵의 환경적 요인의 변화에 따른 편익추정에 사용된 함수의 적합성을 판단하기 위해 변이계수접근법, 함수설정 오류 테스트, 그리고 비모수접근법 등이 각 함수에 적용되었다. 결과에 따르면, 편익추정에 이용된 세 가지 로짓함수(선형, 로그, 쉐어모형) 모두 적합한 것으로 판정되었다. 주어진 함수형태에 적용된 세 방법론간에 밀접한 일치성을 보였으며 경우에 따라서는 상호보완적이라는 함축성을 보이기도 하였다 이와 같은 결론은 로짓함수로부터 추정된 값들에 Krinsky-Robb 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 구축한 신뢰구간의 함수간 비교를 통해서도 확인되었다. 주어진 환경 시나리오에 대해 각 함수로부터 도출된 평균 추정치의 신뢰구간이 모두 충분히 중복되었기 때문에 편익추정과 관련하여 함수형태간에 유의적 차이가 없음이 입증된 것이다.

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Curvature Estimation Method of Curve Section Using Relative Displacement Between Body and Bogie of Rolling-stock (철도차량 차체/대차간 상대변위를 이용한 곡선구간 곡률반경 추정 방법)

  • Hur, Hyun-Moo;Park, Joon-Hyuk;You, Won-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.1479-1485
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    • 2012
  • The development of a technique for the real-time sensing of a curve section is very important for active rolling-stocks in order to improve the curving performance. However, conventional methods using expensive track inspection equipment or various complex sensors are not practicable to be applied to commercial vehicles. Therefore, we have proposed a new method to estimate the curve radius of a curve section. This method uses the relative displacements occurring between the body and the bogie when the rolling-stock is running on a curve. To verify the validity of this method, we conducted a vehicle dynamics simulation and test using a real vehicle on a test line. The results confirmed the validity of the proposed method. We expect that this method will be effectively applied in studies of active rolling-stocks to increase the curving performance using active control technology.

Comparison of Some Nonparametric Statistical Inference for Logit Model (로짓모형의 비모수적 추론의 비교)

  • 정형철;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2002
  • Nonparametric statistical inference for the parameter of logit model were examined. Usually nonparametric approach is milder than parametric approach based on normal theory assumption. We compared the two nonparametric methods for legit model, the bootstrap and random permutation in the sense of coverage probability. Monte Carlo simulation is conducted for small sample cases. Empirical power of hypothesis test and coverage probability for confidence interval estimation were presented for simple and multiple legit model respectively. An example were also introduced.

Interval Estimation in Mixed Model by Use of PROC MIXED (PROC MIXED를 활용한 혼합모형의 신뢰구간추정)

  • Park Dong-Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2006
  • PROC MIXED in SAS can be utilized to make inferences on parameters in a mixed model by use of Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method or Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method which has more merits than ANOVA method. A regression model with unbalanced nested error structure that belongs to a mixed model is used to construct confidence intervals on variances among groups, within groups, and regression coefficients in the model. PROC MIXED is applied to three different sample sizes for simulation. As a result of the simulation study, PROC MIXED generates confidence intervals on parameters that maintain the stated confidence coefficient in a large sample size. However, it does not generate confidence intervals that maintain the stated confidence coefficient for variance components among groups and intercept in a small sample size.

임의 중단모형하에서의 평균잔여수명함수의 추정

  • Lee, In-Seok;Lee, U-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 1994
  • 이 연구에서는 Hjort(1991)에의해 제안된 누적위험률함수의 비모수적 추정량을 이용하여 무한인 구간까지 정의된 평균잔여수명함수의 추정량을 제안하고 제안된 추정량의 일치성과 점근적 정규성을 밝히고, 모의실험을 통하여 다른 추정량들과 비교하고자 한다.

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Analysis of Traffic Flow on Weaving Sections Using Stochastic Models (확률모형을 이용한 엇갈림 구간의 교통류분석)

  • 이승준;이정도;최재성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 1999
  • For decades, many traffic flow studies on the analysis and determination of level of service (LOS) for the weaving sections have been made to Provide several regression equations. Weaving and non-weaving speeds were dependent variables for the equations, with independent variables being weaving length, number of lanes, and weaving ratios. One of the difficulties in developing the equations was that the weaving areas were rare in Korea, so the statistical analyses for calibrating the equation parameter could not be performed in a desirable manner. In this regard, a new and stochastic methodology for predicting the weaving and non-weaving speeds within the weaving sections was required. In this study the following design variables were developed; influence area of the weaving section. headway distribution within the weaving section, maximum weaving volume of the weaving section, length of the ideal weaving section, and speed estimations for the weaving and non-weaving flows. The evaluation of the new model was made comparing the delay in the weaving section with the one in the freeway basic section.

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Efficient Anomaly Detection Through Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석 기반 신뢰구간 추정을 통한 효율적인 이상감지)

  • Kim, Yeong-Ju;Heo, You-Kyung;Park, Jin-Gwan;Jeong, Min-A
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39C no.8
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    • pp.708-715
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we suggest a method of realtime confidence interval estimation to detect abnormal states of sensor data. For realtime confidence interval estimation, the mean square errors of the exponential smoothing method and moving average method, two of the time series analysis method, where compared, and the moving average method with less errors was applied. When the sensor data passes the bounds of the confidence interval estimation, the administrator is notified through alarming. As the suggested method is for realtime anomaly detection in a ship, an Android terminal was adopted for better communication between the wireless sensor network and users. For safe navigation, an administrator can make decisions promptly and accurately upon emergency situation in a ship by referring to the anomaly detection information through realtime confidence interval estimation.

Prediction of Conditional Variance under GARCH Model Based on Bootstrap Methods (붓스트랩 방법을 이용한 일반화 자기회귀 조건부 이분산모형에서의 조건부 분산 예측)

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, Man-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.287-297
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    • 2009
  • In terms of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic(GARCH) model, estimation of prediction interval based on likelihood is quite sensitive to distribution of error. Moveover, it is not an easy job to construct prediction interval for conditional variance. Recent studies show that the bootstrap method can be one of the alternatives for solving the problems. In this paper, we introduced the bootstrap approach proposed by Pascual et al. (2006). We employed it to Korean stock price data set.