• Title/Summary/Keyword: 구간절단

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Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis on Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료를 이용한 경험적 베이즈 예측분석)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level, and based on the time the performances of items are investigated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior of a failure rate is known in the exponential lifetime distribution with censored accelerated failure time data, we utilize the empirical Bayesian method by using the moment estimators in order to estimate the parameters of the prior distribution and obtain the empirical Bayesian predictive density and predictive intervals for a future observation under the normal stress level.

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Statistical analysis of recurrent gap time events with incomplete observation gaps (불완전한 관측틈을 가진 재발 사건 소요시간에 대한 자료 분석)

  • Shin, Seul Bi;Kim, Yang Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.327-336
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    • 2014
  • Recurrent event data occurs when a subject experiences same type of event repeatedly and is found in various areas such as the social sciences, Economics, medicine and public health. To analyze recurrent event data either a total time or a gap time is adopted according to research interest. In this paper, we analyze recurrent event data with incomplete observation gap using a gap time scale. That is, some subjects leave temporarily from a study and return after a while. But it is not available when the observation gaps terminate. We adopt an interval censoring mechanism for estimating the termination time. Furthermore, to model the association among gap times of a subject, a frailty effect is incorporated into a model. Programs included in Survival package of R program are implemented to estimate the covariate effect as well as the variance of frailty effect. YTOP (Young Traffic Offenders Program) data is analyzed with both proportional hazard model and a weibull regression model.

Dynamic Behavior of Pretensioned Concrete Member during Detensioning (긴장재 절단에 따른 프리텐션 부재의 동적 거동 고찰)

  • Kim, Jangho;Mun, Do Young;Ji, Goangseup;Kim, Gyuseon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5A
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    • pp.747-756
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of the important parameters on the transfer length during the dynamic flame cutting of tendon experimentally. The considered parameters were strand diameter, concrete cover thickness, stirrup, debonding strand and release method. Ten pretensioned concete beam specimens were cast and tested. Time history curves for the axial strain of tendon were measured by electrical resistance strain gauges mounted on the strands. Experimental results indicated that large dynamic shock effects occurred near cut-end during the sudden release. The prestressing forces are dependent on the parameters above considered. The ratio of residual prestressing forces of 12.7 mm strands is greater than 15.2 mm strands. Using debonding strand and gradual release are more efficient for applying prestressing forces.

Construction and Design Related Issues in Road Widening for Concrete Pavement (콘크리트포장 확장접속부의 시공 및 설계상의 문제점 분석)

  • Yang, Sung-Chul
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.4 s.30
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2006
  • Through field surveys and evaluation on several widened concrete pavements, issues on construction and design related problems are broken down into three categories to be discussed; poor smoothness, influence of traffic vibration on concrete curing, and poor connection to the existing pavement. There are many places where about 100mm only of the marginal strip is removed and where defects such as widening and faulting are observed. Also cracks arise again from the patched areas due to stress concentration near the joint. Roughness on the widened concrete pavement was evaluated and there are some stations where the smoothness limit is over passed. For design consideration, shortage of the required force in the tie-bar is expected in case of road widening specially from 3 lanes to 4 lanes. Finally the average pull-out force of specimens made from the current practice was about 57% of the required force. New connecting methods were suggested in this study.

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A Case Study on Explosive Demolition of Turbine Building of Steel Frame Structure (터빈동 철골구조물 발파해체 시공사례)

  • Hoon, Park;Sung-Woo, Nam;You-Song, Noh;Chul-Gi, Suk
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2022
  • While the construction of dismantling the old industrial complex and restoring the dismantled industrial site to its original natural environment the is underway. In this paper, we introduce a case of dismantling a turbine building which one of the a large steel frame structures in an old industrial complex by applying the progressive collapse method among the blasting demolition methods. We used a charge container that generates a metal jet to cut dismantling the turbine building. The thickness of the steel structure was adjusted to 30 mm or less by applying gouging, which was a method of digging deep grooves by gas and oxygen flames or arc thermal, in the part where the cutting thickness was thick in the blasting section. The total amount of charge used for the blasting of turbine building was 175 kg, 165 electronic detonators and 124 charge containers. As a result of the blasting demolition, the turbine building was collapsed precisely according to the estimated direction. The blasting demolition was completed without causing any damage to the surrounding facilities.

Experimental Analysis of Terminus and Horizontal Crack Behaviors in Continuously Reinforced Concrete Pavement (연속철근 콘크리트 포장 단부 및 수평균열 거동 실험적 분석)

  • Cho, Young-Kyo;Kim, Seong-Min;An, Zuog;Han, Seung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the necessity of the anchor lug system in continuously reinforced concrete pavement(CRCP) by comparing longitudinal displacements of CRCPs with and without anchor lugs, and to investigate the effect of horizontal cracking on CRCP performance by measuring the vertical displacements. The measurements before and after the anchor lug section was separated were conducted for 12 days in June, and for 14 days in August after the abrupt displacements according to cutting disappeared, respectively. This short term measurement results showed that when anchor lugs were installed, a daily displacement variation at any location was less than 0.1mm; therefore, longitudinal movements were negligibly small. When there were no anchor lugs, longitudinal displacements mainly occurred near the free end and the displacement variation was small; therefore, an expansion joint system seems to be employed at a CRCP terminus without installing anchor lugs. However, further studies are needed to verify the terminus behavior due to annual temperature changes. The horizontal crack width variation was ignorable and did not affect the vertical displacement of the slab. Therefore, the horizontal crack did not delaminate the slab and did not seem to reduce the structural capacity and performance of CRCP.

A study on the bedrock erosional forms at Dutayeon, Yanggu (양구 두타연 인근 지역의 기반암 하상지형 연구)

  • KIM, Jong Yeon;KIM, Chang Hwan
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.31-49
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    • 2012
  • Satae cheon, a tributary of the Suip cheon in Yanggu, Gangwon province, is an international river extended to North Korea. Most of drainage basin area of the river was the fierce battle field during the Korean War(1950-1953) and hard to access as it located between the MDL(Military Demarcation Line) and the CCZ(Civilian Control Zone: about 10km south from MDL). By the restriction of access to the sites, most of natural landscape have been well conserved except limited use for military activities. Even the landfoms in that area were not studied, except the government's heritage reports. Satae Cheon's channel follows the Imdang fault line(N-S) to Satae-ri and flow to west to the Dutayeon area. The river meanders along geological structure or weak line at the Dutayeon area. The meandering channel was shorten by the meander cut which linked the thalweg line of meander loop ant the meander neck. As a result of this cut, the river cliff formed by the Satae cheon became the part of newly formed channel bed and the S-forms are formed. After the channel route stabilized, channel incised the rock with large potholes and undulating walls were formed. The channel width changes from 1m to 10m with restriction of the undulating walls, so this part can be regarded as inner channel or inner gorge. From the point of planar forms it also can be slot-type canyon.

Statistical analysis of estimating incubation period distribution and case fatality rate of COVID-19 (COVID-19 바이러스 잠복 시간 분포 추정과 치사율 추정을 위한 생존 분석의 적용)

  • Ki, Han Jeong;Kim, Jieun;Kim, Sohee;Park, Juwon;Lee, Joohaeng;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.777-789
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    • 2020
  • COVID-19 has been rapidly spread world wide since late December 2019. In this paper, our interest is to estimate distribution of incubation time defined as period between infection of virus and the onset. Due to the limit of accessibility and asymptomatic feature of COVID-19 virus, the exact infection and onset time are not always observable. For estimation of incubation time, interval censoring technique is implemented. Furthermore, a competing risk model is applied to estimate the case fatality and cure fraction. Based on the result, the mean incubation time is about 5.4 days and the fatality rate is higher for older and male patient and the cure rate is higher at younger,female and asymptomatic patient.

Analysis of Vegetation Structure with The Types of Abandoned Channels in The Mangyeong River (만경강 폐천 유형별 식생구조 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Jin;Hong, Il;Yeo, Hong-Koo;Cho, Kang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2023-2027
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 현재와 과거의 하도 지형자료 분석을 통하여 만경강에서 나타나는 폐천(Abandoned channel)을 파악하고, 유형을 폐쇄형, 개방형, 육화형 폐천으로 구분하여 각각의 본류구간과 함께 식물상 및 식생분포 특성을 비교하였다. 만경강의 경우 1918년 하도 형태가 경지정리 및 치수사업에 따른 제방축조 등 인위적인 절단(Engineered cutoff)으로 8개소 이상의 구간에서 하도 선형이 크게 변경됨으로써 폐천이 형성되는 것으로 나타났다. 현재 폐천부지는 육화형태의 농지 이용 및 개방형 또는 폐쇄형의 습지로 유지되는 것으로 조사되었다. 폐천 유형에 따라 나타난 식물상은 폐쇄형 56종류, 개방형 31종류로 조사되었다. 육화형의 본류의 경우 보에 의한 영향으로 달뿌리풀 (Phragmites japonica)과 저수로 검정말(Hydrilla verticillata) 등의 수생식물이 우점하는 정체수역이 나타났다. 개방형 폐천은 갈수기에도 수심이 깊은 수역이 확보되어 본류에 비하여 출현종수가 높았다. 폐쇄형 폐천은 연꽃(Nelumbo nucifera), 애기부들(Typha angustifolia) 등의 다양한 수생식물이 출현하여 본류에 비해 안정된 습지 생태계를 유지하였다. 만경강의 개방형과 폐쇄형 폐천은 수생식물의 증가와 전형적인 습지생태계를 유지하고 있었으며 본류의 정체수역이 관찰되었다. 본래 하천의 연속성을 향상하기 위한 유수생태계의 복원은 하천의 건강성을 향상하기 위한 방안이 될 것이다.

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Optimal Interval Censoring Design for Reliability Prediction of Electronic Packages (전자패키지 신뢰성 예측을 위한 최적 구간중도절단 시험 설계)

  • Kwon, Daeil;Shin, Insun
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2015
  • Qualification includes all activities to demonstrate that a product meets and exceeds the reliability goals. Manufacturers need to spend time and resources for the qualification processes under the pressure of reducing time to market, as well as offering a competitive price. Failure to qualify a product could result in economic loss such as warranty and recall claims and the manufacturer could lose the reputation in the market. In order to provide valid and reliable qualification results, manufacturers are required to make extra effort based on the operational and environmental characteristics of the product. This paper discusses optimal interval censoring design for reliability prediction of electronic packages under limited time and resources. This design should provide more accurate assessment of package capability and thus deliver better reliability prediction.