• 도로교통
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• s.94
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• pp.51-64
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• 2003

본 연구는 사고요인과 사고모형의 문헌고찰을 통해 고속도로를 주행하는 버스와 화물차의 사고모형을 개발하고 그 적용방안에 대해 고찰하고자 수행되었다. 고속도로 사고 중 대형차로 인한 차량당 사고율은 승용차보다 월등히 높아 사고의 심각성을 나타내고 있으며, 따라서 이에 대한 별도의 검토가 필요한 시점에 와 있다. 특히 본 연구에 활용된 자료는 비집계된 사상자수로 구간자료를 집합화함으로써 발생하는 문제점을 해소할 수 있다. 모형의 분석기법으로 국내의 경우, 대부분 단순회귀식으로 사고모형을 개발, 적용하여 왔으나 사고수와 사상자수의 특성상 이산적 확률변수로 해석하여 포아송분포와 음이항분포로 적용하는 것이 바람직하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 버스와 화물차의 사고유형별로 적합한 사고 모형을 개발하여 이로 인한 인사사고 요인에 대한 영향을 분석하고 그 적용방안을 제시하였다. 이러한 연구는 도로설계, 운영, 교통법규, 교통행정 등의 분야에서 거시적인 정책적 방향성을 제시하리라 판단된다. 특히 본 연구는 고속도로 운영주체인 한국도로공사의 고속도로사고조서를 바탕으로 사고유형별 사고모형을 개발, 적용한 것으로 고속도로의 안정성 향상을 위한 제반 정책 수립에 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.14-28
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• 2015

Numerous research has been conducted using internet search data since the mid-2000s. For example, Google Inc. developed a service predicting influenza patterns using the internet search data. The main objective of this study is to prove the hypothesis that highway traffic indices are similar to the internet search patterns. In order to achieve this objective, a model to predict the number of vehicles entering the expressway and space-mean speed was developed and the goodness-of-fit of the model was assessed. The results revealed several findings. First, it was shown that the Google search traffic was a good predictor for the TCS entering traffic volume model at sites with frequent commute trips, and it had a negative correlation with the TCS entering traffic volume. Second, the Naver search traffic was utilized for the TCS entering traffic volume model at sites with numerous recreational trips, and it was positively correlated with the TCS entering traffic volume. Third, it was uncovered that the VDS speed had a negative relationship with the search traffic on the time series diagram. Lastly, it was concluded that the transfer function noise time series model showed the better goodness-of-fit compared to the other time series model. It is expected that "Big Data" from the internet search data can be extensively applied in the transportation field if the sources of search traffic, time difference and aggregation units are explored in the follow-up studies.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.151-159
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• 2010

This paper presents a research result that was performed to develop a more accurate freeway crash prediction model than existing models. While the existing crash models only focus on developing crash relationships associated with highway geometric conditions found on a short section of a crash site, this research applies a different approach considering the upstream highway geometric conditions as well. Theoretically, crashes occur while motorists are in motion, and particularly at freeways vehicle speed at one specific point is very sensitive to upstream geometric conditions. Therefore, this is a reasonable approach. To form the analysis data base, this research gathers the geometric conditions of the West Seaside Freeway 269.3 km and six years crash data ranging 2003-2008 for these freeway sections. As a result, it is found that crashes fit well into Negative Binomial Distribution, and, based on the developed model, total number of crashes is inversely proportional to highway curve length and radius. Contrarily, crash occurrences are proportional to tangent length. This result is different from existing crash study results, and it seems to be resulted from this research assumption that a crash is influenced greatly by upstream geometric conditions. Also, this research provides the expected effects on crash occurrences of the length of downgrade sections, speed camera placements, and the on- and off- ramp presences. It is expected that this research result is useful for doing more reasonable highway designs and safety audit analysis, and applying the same research approach to national roads and other major roads in urban areas is recommended.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.40-53
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• 2021

Recently, shared dockless e-scooter usage has rapidly increased, rather than the station-based shared mobility service, because of convenience. This transition leads to new social problems in urban areas such as increased traffic accidents and hindrance of pedestrian environments. In this study, we analyze the usage characteristics of shared e-scooters in Seoul, and identify factors influencing demand for shared e-scooters by developing a negative binomial regression model. As a result, the usage characteristics show that the average trip distance, the average trip duration, and the average trip speed were 1.5km, 9.4min, and 10.3km/h, respectively. Demographic factor, transport facility factors, land use factors, and weather factors have statistically significant impacts on demand for shared e-scooters. The results of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting effective operation strategies for areas with higher shared e-scooter demand and for establishing transport policies for facilitating shared e-scooter usage.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.73-81
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• 2014

This study dealt with the impacts of geometric structure on traffic accidents occurring on the interstates. There are standard values for the case of geometric structure which are recommended in the design guideline/policy; however, in the previous models, geometric variables were adapted as integrated ones as opposed to mixed ones in the real world so that derived models had a weakness to reflect the real. Therefore, using subdivided geometric variables, this study tried to derive the model which reflects the real world. In addition, by calculating elasticity, each variables' effect to the accidents are estimated. Hopefully, this study will help to establish the future guideline/policy of geometrics considering traffic safety.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.91-103
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• 2016

The work zone traffic management is of keen interest because the unstable traffic stream in work zones leads to not only less productive traffic operational efficiency but also negative impacts on traffic safety. A promising method to address such issues is variable speed limit systems(VSLS). VSLS is expected to increase in throughput and to enhance safety by diminishing the crash potential. In addition, the usefulness of VSLS has been demonstrated by significant amount of existing literature. The objective of this study is to identify the effectiveness of VSLS based on a meta analysis technique. Throughput and travel speed were used as measures of effectiveness for VSLS in terms of the operational efficiency and safety respectively. Results showed that approximately 16.4% increase in throughput and 16.5% decrease in travel speed were obtainable by VSLS. The outcomes of this study would be useful in developing technologies and polices for better operation of VSLS.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.599-602
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• 2005

This paper describes a experimental study determining the effects of the type and loudness of introducing sounds on the amenity and the masking degree of background noise. 132 relative test sounds with 11 types of introducing sounds and 3 steps of road traffic noise were presented to 29 subjects through headphone in the laboratory experiment. Seven scale of polar adjective such as 'Strong Weak', 'Pleasant Unpleasant', 'Clear Unclear', 'Suitable Unsuitable', 'Comfortable-Discomfortable' was employed for the evaluation of amenity. And Seven scale of mono polar adjective such as 'Very-Not at all' was employed for the evaluation of masking degree against road traffic noise. The results are as follows; Green music was evaluated the highest amenity among test sounds and murmurs of a stream, signal music, song of a bird, crying of insect was showed the amenity rank of order. The softer and weaker introducing sound was evaluated more suitable and comfortable under the road traffic noise. So adequate level of introducing sounds was considered for the desirable urban soundscape. Also the louder sounds compared to background noises had greater masking effects. But similar levels of introducing sounds were recommended considering both good amenity and masking effects.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.554-563
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• 2015

This study dealt with developing an accident model for rural signalized intersections with random parameter negative binomial method. The limitation of previous count models(especially, Poisson/Negative Binomial model) is not to explain the integrated variations in terms of time and the distinctive characters a specific point/segment has. This drawback of the traditional count models results in the underestimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) of the derived coefficient and finally affects the low-reliability of the whole model. To solve this problem, this study improves the limitation of traditional count models by suggesting the use of random parameter which takes account of heterogeneity of each point/segment. Through the analyses, it was found that the increase of traffic flow and pedestrian facilities on minor streets had positive effects on the increase of traffic accidents. Left turning lanes and median on major streets reduced the number of accidents. The analysis results show that the random parameter modeling is an effective method for investigating the influence on traffic accident from road geometries. However, this study could not analyze the effects of sequential changes of driving conditions including geometries and safety facilities.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.14 no.6
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• pp.48-53
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• 1995

A considerable number of methods are available for predicting traffic noise levels of road networks where sound is freely propagating. But surrounding buildings reflect back sound to the road and sound energy is increased by these reflectors. Therefore, this study was focussed on the establishment of the prediction method of road traffic noise under reflective conditions. This prediction method was developed by establishing prediction formulas of noise level such as $L_{10},\;L_{50},\;L_{90}\;and\;L_{eq}$. The sound energy density was employed to establish prediction formulas in terms of independent variables. The validity of the proposed prediction formulas was been confirmed by applying them to actually measured parameters of road traffic noise and noise level data. On the whole, the agreement between measured and predicted noise levels appeared to be satisfactory. The conclusion might be reached that the method developed in this study could be used to predict road traffic noise under reflective conditions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.67-74
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• 1999

Where an interchange is located just after a tunnel not only it is impossible to install the traffic signs in tunnel sections but also sufficient sight distance to identify the interchange can't be provided. The objective of this study is to suggest the safety based spacing between tunnel and interchange. For this study accident rate was used as an index representing characteristics for vehicle operation to suggest the appropriate spacing. Traffic volume and the number of accidents on freeway from 1992 to 1997 were analyzed. The relationship between accident rate and spacing represents negative logarithm function such that shorter spacing increases accident rate. An appropriate safety based spacing between tunnel and interchange for four lane freeway with the design speed of 100kph was found as 2.6km.