• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.207-222
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• 1999

공공기관에서 발간하는 통계자료들을 살펴보면 대부분 관찰값으로 빈도수나 또는 전체를 기준으로 하여 그 빈도수가 차지하는 퍼센트 정도로 나타나 있다. 그러나 우리는 꾸준히 변하는 사회에 살고 있는데 객관적인 자료는 쉽게 설명되지 않으며 이해하기 어렵다. 예를 들어 모든 자동차 사고 가운데 승용차의 사고는 다른 종류보다 제일 많은 60% 이상을 차지한다. 그러나 승용차는 등록된 모든 차량종류에서 70% 이상을 점유하고 있으므로 다른 차종보다 사고율은 제일 낮다. 따라서 교통사고 건수가 제일 많은 승용차가 다른 차종에 비하여 제일사고율이 낮고 가장 안전한 차종이라는 것을 경험할 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 1991년부터 발표된 교통사고에 대한 일반적인 통계자료를 우리들의 생활 속에서 느낄 수 있는 위험 인지도로 바꾸어 계산하여 분석하였다. 차종별, 지역별, 연령별, 도로종류별, 사고 유형별, 교통수단별, 시간별, 법규위반별로 구분된 교통사고의 위험에 대한 인지도를 총 인구수(시도별)와 등록된 여러 종류의 자동차의 대수 또는 여러 종류의 도로 길이 등과 같은 요인들을 고려하여 비교 분석하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2004.03a
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• pp.629-634
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• 2004

교통사고는 자동차가 주행하는 도로상에서 장소와 시간 및 건수에 관계없이 발생하는 특성을 지닌다. 또한 엄정한 사고처리 및 사고방지를 위한 후속대책 수립을 위해 피해상황과 현장주변의 교통상황을 신속하고 정확하게 조사할 필요성이 있다. 이러한 시공간적인 발생 특성과 사고조사의 특수성을 감안할 때 현재의 현장조사체계는 과학적이며 현대화된 조사방법의 도입을 통해 시급히 개선되어야 한다. 따라서 본 연구는 효율적인 사고 조사를 위한 'PDA용 교통사고자료 현장수집 시스템(TacGIS)' 을 개발함으로써 교통사고 현장조사 분야에 새로운 전기를 마련하였으며, 사고조사의 신뢰성 및 신속성을 확보하는 데 큰 도움이 될 것이다 또한, 이는 최근 GSIS 분야에서 화제가 되고 있는 LBS와 Mobile GSIS 기술의 새로운 활용 사례가 될 것이다. 개발된 시스템은 PDA를 이용한 Mobile GSIS의 주요기능, 사고위치자료를 취득을 위한 GPS 수신기능 그리고 현장에서 수집된 사고자료를 실시간으로 PC서버에 유ㆍ무선으로 전송할 수 있는 기능으로 이루어 졌다.으로 이루어 졌다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.81-89
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• 2015

Crashes that occur at tollgates have different characteristics compared to those of the mainline on expressways in terms of crash cause, crash type, and vehicle type. Due to this fact, the safety performance function (SPF) focused on the expressway tollgates, apart from the mainline, should be developed. The aim of this study is, therefore, to identify the influential factors and develope a SPF for crashes at tollgates. Firstly, we established independent variables affecting crashes at tollgates through literature review and descriptive statistical analysis. Based on these variables, two negative binomial regression models with different form of independent variables were developed and goodness-of-fits of each model were compared. According to the results, the number of crashes increases i) as AADT, Hi-pass rate, and heavy vehicle rate increase, ii) as average lane width decreases, iii) on the mainline tollgate type. The safety performance function developed in this study could be applied to select hot-spots for expressway tollgates.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.160-168
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• 2017

In the past 10 years, the accidents caused by drowsy driving have occupied about 23% of all traffic accidents in Korea expressway network and this rate is the highest one among all accident causes. Unlike other types of accidents caused by speeding and distraction to the road, the accidents by drowsy driving should be managed differently because the drowsiness might not be controlled by human's will. To reduce the number of accidents caused by drowsy driving, researchers previously focused on the spot based analysis. However, what we actually need is a segment (link) and occurring time based analysis, rather than spot based analysis. Hence, this research performs initial effort by adapting link concept in terms of drowsy driving on highway. First of all, we analyze the accidents caused by drowsy in historical accident data along with their road environments. Then, links associate with driving time are analyzed using digital tachograph (DTG) data. To carry this out, negative binomial regression models, which are broadly used in the field, including highway safety manual, are used to define the relationship between the number of traffic accidents on expressway and drivers' behavior derived from DTG. From the results, empirical Bayes (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) analysis are performed for potential risk segments of accident caused by drowsy driving on the future. As the result of traffic accidents caused by drowsy driving, the number of the traffic accidents increases with increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT), the proportion of trucks, the amount of DTG data, the average proportion of speeding over 20km/h, the average proportion of deceleration, and the average proportion of sudden lane-changing.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.108-109
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• 2018

국내 5년간의 해양사고 현황을 살펴보면 충돌사고가 가장 많은 비율을 차지하고 있으며, 사고 건수 또한 증가하는 주세이다. 우리나라에서는 해상교통안전진단 규정에 따라 통항 안전성 확보가 가능하다고 평가하는 기준을 근접도에 따른 충돌 확률 $10^{-4}$으로 정하고 있으나, 이 기준에는 해상교통흐름 및 교통량을 반영하고 있지 않은 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해상교통조사를 기반으로 부산항 접근해 역의 선박 충돌 확률 산출을 목적으로 한다. 충돌 확률은 부산신항 $1.058{\times}10^{-4}$, 부산항 $0.830{\times}10^{-4}$으로 해상교통안전진단 기준인 $10^{-4}$과 근사한 값으로 산출되었으며, 최근 10년간 부산항 접근 해역의 해양사고 발생 위치와 비교해본 결과 충돌 확률이 높은 곳에서 실제 사고가 발생한 것을 확인하였다. 추후에 다양한 항만의 충돌확률 산출을 통하여 국내 해상교통량 기반의 충돌확률을 확립하는데 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.181-193
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• 2017

The paper introduces bottom-up and optimal combination methods that can analyze and forecast hierarchical time series. These methods allow forecasts at lower levels to be summed consistently to upper levels without any ad-hoc adjustment. They can also potentially improve forecast performance in comparison to independent forecasts. We forecast regional traffic accident counts as time series data in order to identify efficiency gains from hierarchical forecasting. We observe that bottom-up or optimal combination methods are superior to independent methods in terms of forecast accuracy.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.47-56
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• 2008

Generally, accident exposure at intersections is relatively higher than that at roadway segments due to more possibility of merging, diverging, turning, crossing, and weaving maneuver. Furthermore, the traffic accident rate at intersections has been rapidly increasing since 1990's. Since there is more opportunity of conflict at unsignalized intersection, frequency and severity of traffic accident are more severe than signalized intersections. The purpose of the study is to analyze factors causing vehicle crashes and provide intersection design guidelines to improve intersection safety. For this study, vehicle to vehicle crash data of 116 rural 3 legs unsignalized were collected and field surveys were conducted for traffic and geometric conditions. Ordered probit models were developed to analyze the severity of crashes. It was found that weather, obstacles in minor roadsides, presence of major exclusive right lane, presence of major road crosswalk, difference between posted speed of major road and minor road, land-use around intersections, shoulder width of major road, ADT of major road are significant factors for intersection safety.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.1-15
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• 2011

The RLC systems is one of the intelligent transportation systems that has gained a nation-wide support for last decades and being installed to discourage motorists from running the red lights at signalized intersections. It is taken for granted that the RLC will provide motorists with increased safety, so that their installments are always justifiable. However, in order to acquire more efficiency and wider supports from the general public in future RLC installments, an improved methodology for analyzing the effects of the RLC systems is required. In order to satisfy this requirement, this research performed the following tasks. First, the number of signal violations after the RLC systems were investigated in order to check its resulting effects. Second, the number of crashes after the RLC systems were collected and compared with the number of signal violations. Third, a statistical analysis was carried out to develop the relationships between the signal violations and the crashes based on negative binomial distribution. The analysis revealed that the number of crashes has a close relationship with the RLC placement, traffic volume, vehicle speed, the number of phases, and the number of lanes for major approaches. Finally, based on the results found in this analysis, this research presents a methodology for analyzing the safety effects of placing the RLC that should be of service when investigating the economic consequences of the RLC systems.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.173-184
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• 2008

Development of an accident estimation model based on accident data can be made after accident occurrences. However, the taking of historical accident data is not easy, and there have been differences between real accident data and police-reported accident data. Also, another difficult shortcoming is that historical traffic accident data better consider driver behavior or intersection characteristics. A new method needs to be developed that can predict accident occurrences for traffic safety improvement in black spots. Traffic conflict decision techniques can acquire and analyze data in time and space, requiring less data collection through investigation. However, there are shortcomings: as existing traffic conflict techniques do not operate automatically, the analyst's opinion could easily affect the study results. Also, existing methods do not consider the severity of traffic conflicts. In this study, the authors presented traffic conflict decision criteria which consider conflict severity, including opposing left turn traffic conflict and cross traffic conflict decision criteria. In order to test these criteria, the authors acquired three signalized intersection images (two intersections in Sungnam city and one intersection in Paju) and analyzed the acquired images using image processing techniques based on individual vehicle tracking technology. Within the analyzed images, level 1 conflicts occurred 343 times over three intersections. Some of these traffic conflicts resulted in level 3 conflict situations. Level 3 traffic conflicts occurred 25 times. From the study results, the authors found that traffic conflict decision techniques can be an alternative to evaluate traffic safety in black spots.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.3 no.3
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• pp.162-168
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• 2016

The objective of this study was to estimate the roadkill occurrence of water deer (Hydropotes inermis), a representative roadkill species in South Korea. For this estimation, I analyzed national road statistics and roadkill statistics, and then reviewed case studies that estimated the number of deer roadkill in other countries to apply the estimating methods to our case. As a result, the estimated number of water deer vehicle collision was at least 60,000 per year in South Korea.