• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교차검증

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A Brief Empirical Investigation of Seaport Clustering by Using Meta-Frontier and Cross-efficiency Models (메타프론티어와 교차효율성 모형을 통한 항만 클러스터링의 실증적 검증소고)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.27-42
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    • 2016
  • This study is to investigate seaport clustering by using meta-frontier and cross-efficiency models. Data covers the 13 Asian ports during 2009, 2010 and 2013 with 3 inputs(depth, total area, and number of cranes) and 1 output(TEU). Correlations coefficient from cross-efficiency matrix are used for measuring clustering dendrogram. After that, meta-frontier analysis for investigating whether the clustering using cross-efficiency method increases the meta-efficiency. Empirical main results are as follows: First, group efficiencies of Busan, Incheon, and Gwangyang ports are increased. Second, meta and group efficiencies of China ports are greater than those of Korean ports. Third, distortion of technology gap of Gwangyang is lower than that of Busan and Incheon. Fourth, Gwangyang, clustering with Ningbo, Chingtao, Tokyo and Caosung ports in 2009 and with Dubai port in 2013 can increase the efficiency. Fifth, to enhance the efficiency, Busan port should be clustered to group 2 in 2010 and group 1 in 2013, and Incheon port clustered to group 2 in 2010 and 2013. Fifth, it is empirically investigated that Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang ports can increase the efficiency by using Cross-efficiency and Meta-frontier models. Port policy planner should promote the clustering policy for Busan with Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Singapore, Incheon and Gwangyang with Chingtao, Nagoya, Ningbo, Tokyo, and Kaoshung ports.

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피싱 웹사이트 URL의 수준별 특징 모델링을 위한 컨볼루션 신경망과 게이트 순환신경망의 퓨전 신경망

  • Bu, Seok-Jun;Kim, Hae-Jung
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2019
  • 폭발적으로 성장하는 소셜 미디어 서비스로 인해 개인간의 연결이 강화된 환경에서는 URL로써 전파되는 피싱 공격의 위험성이 크게 강조된다. 최근 텍스트 분류 및 모델링 분야에서 그 성능을 입증받은 딥러닝 알고리즘은 피싱 URL의 구문적, 의미적 특징을 각각 모델링하기에 적절하지만, 기존에 사용하는 규칙 기반 앙상블 방법으로는 문자와 단어로부터 추출되는 특징간의 비선형적인 관계를 효과적으로 융합하는데 한계가 있다. 본 논문에서는 피싱 URL의 구문적, 의미적 특징을 체계적으로 융합하기 위한 컨볼루션 신경망 기반의 퓨전 신경망을 제안하고 기계학습 방법 중 최고의 분류정확도 (0.9804)를 달성하였다. 학습 및 테스트 데이터셋으로 45,000건의 정상 URL과 15,000건의 피싱 URL을 수집하였고, 정량적 검증으로 10겹 교차검증과 ROC커브, 정성적 검증으로 오분류 케이스와 딥러닝 내부 파라미터를 시각화하여 분석하였다.

Study on Landslide using GIS and Remote Sensing at the Kangneung Area(II)-Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Cross-Validation using the Probability Technique (GIS 및 원격탐사를 이용한 2002년 강릉지역 태풍 루사로 인한 산사태 연구(II)-확률기법을 이용한 강릉지역 산사태 취약성도 작성 및 교차 검증)

  • Lee Saro;Lee Moung-Jin;Won Joong-Sun
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the susceptibility of landslides at Kangneung area, Korea, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified from interpretation of satellite image and field surveys. The topographic, soil, forest, geologic, lineament and land cover data were collected, processed and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and remote sensing data. Using frequency ratio model which is one of the probability model, the relationships between landslides and related factors such as slope, aspect, curvature and type of topography, texture, material, drainage and effective thickness of soil, type, age, diameter and density of wood, lithology, distance from lineament and land cover were calculated as frequency ratios. Then, the frequency ratio were summed to calculate a landslide susceptibility indexes and the landslide susceptibility maps were generated using the indexes. The results of the analysis were verified and cross-validated using actual landslide location data. The verification results showed satisfactory agreement between the susceptibility map and the existing data on landslide locations.

Evaluation and Analysis of Gwangwon-do Landslide Susceptibility Using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀분석 기법을 이용한 강원도 산사태 취약성 평가 및 분석)

  • Yeon, Young-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.116-127
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    • 2011
  • This study conducted landslide susceptibility analysis using logistic regression. The performance of prediction model needs to be evaluated considering two aspects such as a goodness of fit and a prediction accuracy. Thus to gain more objective prediction results in this study, the prediction performance of the applied model was evaluated considering two such evaluation aspects. The selected study area is located between Inje-eup and Buk-myeon in the middle of Kwangwon. Landslides in the study area were caused by heavy rain in 2006. Landslide causal factors were extracted from topographic map, forest map and soil map. The evaluation of prediction model was assessed based on the area under the curve of the cumulative gain chart. From the results of experiments, 87.9% in the goodness of fit and 84.8% in the cross validation were evaluated, showing good prediction accuracies and not big difference between the results of the two evaluation methods. The results can be interpreted in terms of the use of environmental factors which are highly related to landslide occurrences and the accuracy of the prediction model.

Power Consumption Forecasting Scheme for Educational Institutions Based on Analysis of Similar Time Series Data (유사 시계열 데이터 분석에 기반을 둔 교육기관의 전력 사용량 예측 기법)

  • Moon, Jihoon;Park, Jinwoong;Han, Sanghoon;Hwang, Eenjun
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.9
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    • pp.954-965
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    • 2017
  • A stable power supply is very important for the maintenance and operation of the power infrastructure. Accurate power consumption prediction is therefore needed. In particular, a university campus is an institution with one of the highest power consumptions and tends to have a wide variation of electrical load depending on time and environment. For this reason, a model that can accurately predict power consumption is required for the effective operation of the power system. The disadvantage of the existing time series prediction technique is that the prediction performance is greatly degraded because the width of the prediction interval increases as the difference between the learning time and the prediction time increases. In this paper, we first classify power data with similar time series patterns considering the date, day of the week, holiday, and semester. Next, each ARIMA model is constructed based on the classified data set and a daily power consumption forecasting method of the university campus is proposed through the time series cross-validation of the predicted time. In order to evaluate the accuracy of the prediction, we confirmed the validity of the proposed method by applying performance indicators.

Model based Facial Expression Recognition using New Feature Space (새로운 얼굴 특징공간을 이용한 모델 기반 얼굴 표정 인식)

  • Kim, Jin-Ok
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.17B no.4
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2010
  • This paper introduces a new model based method for facial expression recognition that uses facial grid angles as feature space. In order to be able to recognize the six main facial expression, proposed method uses a grid approach and therefore it establishes a new feature space based on the angles that each gird's edge and vertex form. The way taken in the paper is robust against several affine transformations such as translation, rotation, and scaling which in other approaches are considered very harmful in the overall accuracy of a facial expression recognition algorithm. Also, this paper demonstrates the process that the feature space is created using angles and how a selection process of feature subset within this space is applied with Wrapper approach. Selected features are classified by SVM, 3-NN classifier and classification results are validated with two-tier cross validation. Proposed method shows 94% classification result and feature selection algorithm improves results by up to 10% over the full set of feature.

An Analysis of the Fake News Assessment Criteria on Fact-check Coverage (팩트체크 보도의 가짜뉴스 판단 기준 검토)

  • Baek, Kanghui
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.172-181
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the fact-check coverage provided by the SNU fact-check center site(factcheck.snu.ac.kr). A total of 50 articles that were cross-checked by multiple news media organizations were analyzed. The study's variables were topics, types, characteristics, consistency of the news media organizations' judgement, and fact-check sources. This study found that fact-checking coverage was generally focused on presidential or general election candidates or politicians, as well as political topics. The types of fact-checking coverage primarily included factual information, as well as some opinions or interpretations. Fact-check coverage was mainly focused on the facts of the statements themselves, causal relationships, or the timing or target of the comparison criteria. On average, the fact-checking coverage most frequently assigned the judgment 'mostly false, and primarily used interviews of individuals or data from organizations involved in the issue, government data, and experts' statements as the bases for its fact-checking judgements.

A Study on the Searching Behavior of OPAC Users (온라인 열람목록의 이용행태에 관한 연구)

  • Sakong Bok-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.165-208
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the characteristics of user interface that affect the searching behavior of OPAC users. and then to propose how to design user-friendly interfaces of OPACS. An experiment was conducted on two systems with different interfaces to grasp the effect of user interface to search process and search outcome. A $2\times2$ cross-over design was used for the experiment. Sixty five searchers participated in the experiment. Several statistical techniques such as carry-over effect and system effect of a $2\times2$ cross-over design, $\chi^2$ test, t- test, McNemar test, test of marginal homogeneity through maximum likelihood method, factor analysis, regression analysis, and analysis of variance were applied according to the hypotheses tested and the data analyzed.

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A study on Appropriate Range of Vertical Grade at Urban Road Intersections (상관관계분석을 통한 도시부 평면 교차로의 종단경사 적정범위 연구)

  • Lee, ki-young;Yoon, Byoung-Jo;Jang, Jae-Hun;Yang, Sung-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.199-200
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    • 2015
  • 도시부 교차로의 설계는 지방부 교차로와 근본적으로 달라야 하나, 현행 도시부 교차로 설계는 지방부 교차로 설계기준을 준용하고 있다. 본 연구는 도시부 및 지방부 교차로의 차이점을 비교 분석하고, 국내외 교차로 종단경사 설계기준을 검토한 후 적정 설계기준(안)을 적용한 후, 이를 통계적 분석기법을 활용하여 검증하여 설계기준을 정립하는 순으로 진행 하였다. 분석결과 정면충돌사고율과 차대차추돌사고율이 종단경사와 상관관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구를 통해 적정 교차로 종단경사를 적용한 설계가 이루어져야 함을 확인 할 수 있었다.

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Landslide susceptibility mapping and validation using the GIS and Bayesian probability model in Boeun (GIS 및 원격탐사를 이용한 2002년 강릉지역 태풍 루사로 인한 산사태 연구 (II) - 확률기법을 이용한 강릉지역 산사태 취약성 분석 및 교차 검증)

  • 이명진;이사로;원중선
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2004.03a
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    • pp.481-486
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 분석된 산사태 발생원인을 근거로 산사태 발생 가능 지역에 대한 산사태 발생원인에 대한 등급값을 이용하여, 인접한 연구지역에 교차 적용하여 위험성을 평가하여 취약성도를 작성하고 산사태 피해 예방을 위한 방재 사업, 국토개발 계획 및 건설계획을 위한 기초 자료로 적용 및 활용할 수 있도록 하였다. 연구대상 지역은 여름철 집중호우시 산사태가 많이 발생하는 지역으로 정하였으며, 행정구상으로 강원도 강릉시 사천면 사기막리와 주문진읍 삼교리에 해당한다. 산사태가 발생할 수 있는 요인으로 지형도로부터 경사, 경사방향, 곡률, 수계추출을, 정밀토양도로부터 토질, 모재, 배수, 유효토심, 지형을, 임상도로부터 임상, 경급, 영급, 밀도를, 지질도로부터 암상을, Landsat TM 영상으로부터 토지이용도와 추출하여 격자화 하였으며, 아리랑1호 영상으로부터 선구조를 추출하여 l00m 간격으로 버퍼링한 후 격자화 하였다. 이렇게 구축된 산사태 발생 위치 및 발생요인 데이터베이스를 이용, Frequence ratio를 이용하여 각 요소간의 분류를 산사태와의 상관관계를 바탕으로 취약성도를 구하였다. 그리고 계산된 산사태 취약성 지수의 기존 산사태 발생을 설명하는 능력을 정량적으로 표현하기 위하여 추정능력을 계산하였다 또한 이를 교차적용 하여 산사태 취약성도를 각각의 경우에 맞게 만들었다 이러한 평가는 산사태 피해 예방을 위한 방재 사업, 국토개발 계획, 건설계획 등에 기초자료로서 적용 및 활용될 수 있다.

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