• Title/Summary/Keyword: 광역논

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Groundwater level behavior analysis using kernel density estimation (비모수 핵밀도 함수를 이용한 지하수위 거동분석)

  • Jeong, Ji Hye;Kim, Jong Wook;Lee, Jeong Ju;Chun, Gun Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2017
  • 수자원 분야에 대한 기후변화의 영향은 홍수, 가뭄 등 극치 수문사상의 증가와 변동성 확대를 초래하는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 이에 따라 예년에 비해 발생빈도 및 심도가 증가한 가뭄에 대한 모니터링 및 피해경감을 위해 정부에서는 국민안전처를 비롯한 관계기관 합동으로 생활 공업 농업용수 등 분야별 가뭄정보를 제공하고 있다. 국토교통부와 환경부는 생활 및 공업용수 분야의 가뭄정보 제공을 위해 광역 지방 상수도를 이용하는 급수 지역과 마을상수도, 소규모급수시설 등 미급수지역의 용수수급 정보를 분석하여 가뭄 분석정보를 제공 중에 있다. 하지만, 미급수지역에 대한 가뭄 예?경보는 기준이 되는 수원정보의 부재로 기상 가뭄지수인 SPI6를 이용하여 정보를 생산하고 있다. 기상학적 가뭄 상황과 물부족에 의한 체감 가뭄은 차이가 있으며, 미급수 지역의 경우 지하수를 주 수원으로 사용하는 지역이 대부분으로 기상학적 가뭄지수인 SPI6를 이용한 가뭄정보로 실제 물수급 상황을 반영하기는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 미급수지역의 주요 수원인 지하수의 수위 상황을 반영한 가뭄모니터링 기법을 개발하고자 하였으며, 가용량 분석이 현실적으로 어려운 지하수의 특성을 고려하여 수위 거동의 통계적 분석을 통해 가뭄을 모니터링 할 수 있는 방법으로 접근하였다. 국가지하수관측소 중 관측기간이 10년 이상이고 강우와의 상관성이 높은 관측소들을 선정한 후, 일수위 관측자료를 월별로 분리하여 1월~12월 각 월에 대해 핵밀도 함수 추정기법(kernel densitiy estimation)을 적용하여 월별 지하수위 분포 특성을 도출하였다. 각 관측소별 관측수위 분포에 대해 백분위수(percentile)를 이용하여, 25%~100% 사이는 정상, 10%~25% 사이는 주의단계, 5%~10% 사이는 심한가뭄, 5% 이하는 매우심함으로 가뭄의 단계를 구분하였다. 각 백분위수에 해당하는 수위 값은 추정된 Kernel Density와 Quantile Function을 이용하여 산정하였고, 최근 10일 평균수위를 현재의 수위로 설정하여 가뭄의 정도를 분류하였다. 분석된 결과는 관측소를 기점으로 역거리가중법(inverse distance weighting)을 통해 공간 분포를 시켰으며, 수문학적, 지질학적 동질성을 반영하기 위하여 유역도 및 수문지질도를 중첩한 공간연산을 통해 전국 지하수 가뭄상태를 나타내는 지하수위 등급분포도를 작성하였다. 실제 가뭄상황과의 상관성을 분석하기 위해 언론기사를 통해 확인된 가뭄시기와 백문위수 25%이하로 분석된 지하수 가뭄시기를 ROC(receiver operation characteristics) 분석을 통해 비교 검증하였다.

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A Comparative Study on Methods for Outlier Test of Rainfall in Korea (국내 강우의 이상치검정 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Jung Sik;Shin, Chang Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.359-359
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    • 2018
  • 이상치는 표본자료에서 크게 어긋나 다른 자료들로부터 떨어져 표시되는 자료로써, 실제로 발생할 확률이 매우 낮은 자료로 정의되고 있다. 설계홍수량을 산정하기 위하여 적용하고 있는 극치계열의 연최대치 강우자료에는 기계오작동 및 엔지니어의 표독오류가 발생하고 있으며, 기후변화에 따른 거대태풍 및 국지적인 집중호우 발생 등으로 인한 극치값 등에서 이상치가 관측되고 있다. 통상 이상치들은 통계분석시 자료 본연의 특성을 왜곡시켜 편향된 결과를 산정할 수 있으므로 빈도해석시 이상치해석 절차를 수행하여 자료의 적정성을 확인하여야 한다. 현재 실무에서는 설계홍수량 산정요령과 하천설계기준 해설 등에서 관련 내용을 기술하고 있지만, 국내 강우자료의 기록연수의 부족으로 인하여 빈도해석시 이상치 해석이 미수행되고 있어 이상치에 따른 자료편의가 발생하면 결과물인 확률강우량이 왜곡되게 산정될 수 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 국내 주요 도시의 강우자료를 이용하여 이상치검정을 수행하였다. 대상지점으로는 서울, 부산, 대전, 대구, 인천, 광주, 울산 등의 비교적 긴 관측년수를 보유하고 있는 광역시를 선정하였으며, 지속기간은 10분, 1~24시간의 25개 강우자료를 적용하였다. 이상치검정 방법으로는 타 방법에 비하여 이상치 검정력이 뛰어난 것으로 알려진 2가지 방법을 채택하였으며, 표본자료의 평균과 표준편차로 표준화된 z값을 이용하여 상 하 한계선를 초과하는 값을 확인하는 z-Score 방법중 향상된 중위수 절대편차(MAD)에 의한 수정 z-Score 방법(Hoaglin, 1993)과 Box-Plot 방법(Tukey, 1969)을 적용하였다. Box-Plot 방법(Tukey, 1969)은 전체 자료를 25%씩 사분위로 구분하는 방법으로 정렬된 자료계열을 중앙값, 박스, 수염(whiskers), 이상치로 구분한다. 정렬된 25~75% 값들을 박스로 포함하여 외곽의 수염값들을 이상치로 분류하며, 특히 사분위수의 도식화로 데이터의 분포를 파악하기 좋으며, 이상치들의 위치와 자료의 비대칭 여부를 쉽게 파악할 수 있다. 본 연구의 수행으로 수정 z-Score 방법의 경우에는 서울과 대구지점에는 이상치가 없으며, 부산지점에는 13개, 대전지점 7개, 인천지점 5개, 광주지점 32개, 울산지점 26개가 나타났다. Box-Plot 방법으로는 서울지점 35개, 부산지점 39개, 대전지점 32개, 대구지점 38개, 인천지점 51개, 광주지점 61개, 울산지점 65개의 이상치가 분석되었다. 연구를 수행한 결과, 수정 z-Score 방법에 비하여 Box-Plot 방법에 의한 이상치가 더 많이 발생하였으며, 각각의 방법으로 지속기간 및 연도별 이상치 발생자료를 확인하였다. 방법별 이상치 발생현황 등을 분석하여 지점별 발생횟수를 분석하였으며, 추후 지점 및 자료의 보완이 수행되면 활용성을 증대시킬 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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LMDI Decomposition Analysis on Characteristics of Greenhouse Gas Emission from the Line of Railroad in Korea (LMDI 분해 분석을 이용한 국내 철도 노선별 온실가스 배출 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyung;Lim, Jee-Jae;Kim, Yong-Ki;Lee, Jae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.286-293
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    • 2012
  • Korean government is enforcing 'Greenhouse gas target management' in order to achieve Greenhouse gas reduction target. To attain Greenhouse gas reduction target, companies in Korea must establish their GHG inventory system and analysis their GHG emissions characteristics for deduction of mitigation measures. LMDI(Log Mean Divisia Index) decomposition analysis is widely used to understand characteristics of GHG emission and energy consumption. In this paper, the characteristics of GHG emission from the line of railroad in Korea is respectively analyzed in terms of conversion effect, intensity effect, production effect and distance effect. Data of railroad GHG emission from 2000 to 2007 are used. As a result, total effect of railroad's GHG emission is $96,813tCO_2eq$. Production effect ($39,865tCO_2eq$) and distance effect ($327,923tCO_2eq$) affect increase of railroad GHG emissions while Conversion effect ($-158,161tCO_2eq$) and intensity effect ($-112,814tCO_2eq$) influence decrease of the emissions.

A study on the development of quality control algorithm for internet of things (IoT) urban weather observed data based on machine learning (머신러닝기반의 사물인터넷 도시기상 관측자료 품질검사 알고리즘 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung Woon;Jung, Seung Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1071-1081
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    • 2021
  • In addition to the current quality control procedures for the weather observation performed by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), this study proposes quality inspection standards for Internet of Things (IoT) urban weather observed data based on machine learning that can be used in smart cities of the future. To this end, in order to confirm whether the standards currently set based on ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) are suitable for urban weather, usability was verified based on SKT AWS data installed in Seoul, and a machine learning-based quality control algorithm was finally proposed in consideration of the IoT's own data's features. As for the quality control algorithm, missing value test, value pattern test, sufficient data test, statistical range abnormality test, time value abnormality test, spatial value abnormality test were performed first. After that, physical limit test, stage test, climate range test, and internal consistency test, which are QC for suggested by the KMA, were performed. To verify the proposed algorithm, it was applied to the actual IoT urban weather observed data to the weather station located in Songdo, Incheon. Through this, it is possible to identify defects that IoT devices can have that could not be identified by the existing KMA's QC and a quality control algorithm for IoT weather observation devices to be installed in smart cities of future is proposed.

Analysis of Epistemic Thinking in Middle School Students in an Argument-Based Inquiry(ABI) Science Class (논의기반 탐구(ABI) 과학수업에서 나타나는 중학생들의 인식론적 사고 분석)

  • Park, Jiyeon;Nam, Jeonghee
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to examine epistemic thinking in middle school students in an argument-based inquiry science class. Participants of the study were 93 9th grade students from four classes of a middle school in a metropolitan city. Observations were made over one semester during which argument-based inquiry lessons on five subjects were conducted. Data was collected from argument-based inquiry activity worksheets and student questionnaires. After analysis of epistemic thinking in the written reflections, students were found to have the highest frequency of epistemic metacognitive skills, followed by epistemic cognition, epistemic metacognitive experience, and epistemic metacognitive knowledge. While investigating the effects of an argument-based inquiry science class on student epistemic thinking and after analysis of the reflections written for the first ABI activity and the fifth ABI activity, we found that all of the sub-elements of epistemic thinking have increased. The rate of growth for epistemic cognition is greatest, followed by epistemic metacognitive knowledge and epistemic metacognitive skills. Assessed for epistemic thinking, the level of epistemic thinking improved over the course of the argument-based inquiry science class. The results of the survey show that students actively participating and being recognized for their active participation in the argument-based inquiry science class are helpful in understanding scientific knowledge. Therefore, an argument-based inquiry science class is a teaching and learning program that allows students to understand and experience the epistemic nature of scientific knowledge and its construction through collaboration and agreement.

Analysis of Spatial Trip Regularity using Trajectory Data in Urban Areas (도시부 경로자료를 이용한 통행의 공간적 규칙성 분석)

  • Lee, Su jin;Jang, Ki tae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.96-110
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    • 2018
  • As the development of ICT has made it easier to collect various traffic information, research on creating new traffic attributes is drawing attention. Estimation and forecasts of demand and traffic volume are one of the main indicators that are essential to traffic operation, assuming that the traffic pattern at a particular node or link is repeated. Traditionally, a survey method was used to demonstrate this similarity on trip behavior. However, the method was limited to achieving high accuracy with high costs and responses that relied on the respondents' memory. Recently, as traffic data has become easier to gather through ETC system, smart card, studies are performed to identify the regularity of trip in various ways. In, this study, route-level trip data collected in Daegu metropolitan city were analyzed to confirm that individual traveler forms a spatially similar trip chain over several days. For this purpose, we newly define the concept of spatial trip regularity and assess the spatial difference between daily trip chains using the sequence alignment algorithm, Dynamic Time Warping. In addition, we will discuss the applications as the indicators of fixed traffic demand and transportation services.

A Study on the Changes in Residential Environments after Residential Environments Improvement Projects (주거환경개선사업이후 주거 환경 변화에 관한 연구 - 대구광역시 주거환경개선사업의 물리적 환경 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Young-Hwa;Lee, Sang-Hong
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2018
  • This research aims at analyzing the changes in residential environment after a residential environment improvement project focusing on the analysis into the physical environment of a residential environment improvement project, and examining in what direction the changes by residents' own efforts occurred after public support, such as infrastructure. The present residence development method has become different from the previous pulling down method and is focused on regeneration. By examining in what direction the target residence is being changed because of the development by residents' own efforts after the government's public investment at this time, this study also aims at investigating the direction to develop a guideline for residential improvement for later improvement of deteriorated residence. As for the contents of the analysis, changes in public support, such as infrastructure, and other areas after the residential environment improvement project were compared and analyzed from the land use, street system, and condition of buildings before the residential environment improvement project through field survey, geographic information system(GIS), registered land and building data and so on. The biggest change since the support from the government was that at the beginning of the project, the application of special provision of building laws and different financial supports led to lots of newly built buildings. Since then, their number has decreased rapidly, and in most cases, there have been some changes in part, such as changes in the use of land or repair of disposal tanks. Most newly built buildings were multi-household houses, and it has caused road capacity and parking lot capacity, etc., to be exceeded, which has worsened the pleasantness of the living environment. In addition, other problems have also appeared, for example, the lack of residence supporting facilities yet with a higher level of residential density. Regarding the changes in the residential environment after the residential environment improvement project, maintenance of houses were conducted in some degree as diverse alleviation policies to improve poor residence, yet the absence of the guideline for the direction of developing the whole district has made the residence environment more dense and deteriorated. To solve these problems, in advance to a residential improvement project, specific management methods based on short-, mid- and long-term plans for the direction of development by residents' own efforts and a sustainable guideline seem to be necessary.

A Study on the Runoff Reduction According to the Calculation Method of the LID Scale Considering the Land Use Area and the Application of Stormwater Storage Basin (토지이용면적을 고려한 LID 규모 산정 및 우수저류지 적용에 따른 유출저감 연구)

  • Kim, Byung Sung;Kim, Jea Moon;Kim, Seong Su;Shin, Gang Wook;Lee, Sang Jin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2021
  • Globally, due to climate change and urbanization, problems with water cycle destruction in urban areas frequently occur. In order to solve this problem, LID technique is being actively conducted the application in urban and research. In this study, some areas of the new city located in Busan was constructed using a widely used SWMM model to verify the effectiveness of the LID technique. This is to present a plan to maximize the efficiency of urban water cycle of the stormwater management target figure and the LID scale calculation method. In addition, the efficiency of runoff reduction using stormwater storage basin was analyzed in urban development projects. By calculating the scale of customized LID for each sub basin, the amount of runoff and peak runoff after LID application was reduced by 86.8 % and 69.5 %, respectively. Depending on the application of the stormwater storage basin, the reduction effect of peak runoff from 0.5 m3/s to 4.9 m3/s and delay effect of 8 minutes to 10 minutes was shown.

Estimation of soil moisture based on Sentinel-1 SAR data: Assessment of soil moisture estimation in different vegetation condition (Sentinel-1 SAR 토양수분 산정 연구: 식생에 따른 토양수분 모의평가)

  • Cho, Seongkeun;Jeong, Jaehwan;Lee, Seulchan;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2021
  • Synthetic Apreture Radar (SAR) is attracting attentions with its possibility of producing high resolution data that can be used for soil moisture estimation. High resolution soil moisture data enables more specific observation of soil moisture than existing soil moisture products from other satellites. It can also be used for studies of wildfire, landslide, and flood. The SAR based soil moisture estimation should be conducted considering vegetation, which affects backscattering signals from the SAR sensor. In this study, a SAR based soil moisture estimation at regions covered with various vegetation types on the middle area of Korea (Cropland, Grassland, Forest) is conducted. The representative backscattering model, Water Cloud Model (WCM) is used for soil moisture estimation over vegetated areas. Radar Vegetation Index (RVI) and in-situ soil moisture data are used as input factors for the model. Total 6 study areas are selected for 3 vegetation types according to land cover classification with 2 sites per each vegetation type. Soil moisture evaluation result shows that the accuracy of each site stands out in the order of grassland, forest, and cropland. Forested area shows correlation coefficient value higher than 0.5 even with the most dense vegetation, while cropland shows correlation coefficient value lower than 0.3. The proper vegetation and soil moisture conditions for SAR based soil moisture estimation are suggested through the results of the study. Future study, which utilizes additional ancillary vegetation data (vegetation height, vegetation type) is thought to be necessary.

Comparative Analysis of Epistemic Thinking in Middle School Students in Argument-Based Inquiry(ABI) Science Class of No Face-to-Face and Face-to-Face Context (비대면 및 대면 상황의 논의기반 탐구(ABI) 과학 수업에서 나타나는 중학생들의 인식론적 사고 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Jihwa;Cho, Hye Sook;Nam, Jeonghee
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.390-404
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics and changes in epistemic thinking when an argument-based inquiry science class was applied in no face-to-face and face-to-face situations. Participants of this study were 113 8th grade students of four classes from a coed educational middle school in a metropolitan city. Data collection was made over one semester during which ten argument-based inquiry science lessons on five subjects were conducted in both no face-to-face and face-to-face context. As a result of comparing and analyzing students' epistemic thinking in the argumentation of each group's generating question stage, the no face-to-face classes showed higher understanding of contents and more evidence suggestion validity than face-to-face classes did. Claim validity and categories of process in argumentation were higher in face-to-face classes than No face-to-face classes. Students were able to improve their understanding of knowledge through writing by discussing rather than direct communication in no face-to-face situations, and in face-to-face situations, students showed that their thoughts were influenced by interpersonal relationships with the group members.