• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.49-59
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• 2001

In the transportation planning process, origin and destination(O-D) trip matrix is one of the most important elements. There have been developments and applications of the methodology to adjust old matrices using link traffic counts. Commonly, the accuracy of an adjusted O-D matrix depends very much on the reliability of the input data such as the numbers and locations of traffic counting points in the road network. In the real application of the methodology, decisions on the numbers and locations of traffic counting points are one of the difficult problems, because usually as networks become bigger, the numbers of traffic counting points are required more. Therefore, this paper investigates these issues as an experiment using a nationwide network in Korea. We have compared and contrasted the set of link flows assigned by the old and the adjusted O-D matrices with the set of observed link flows. It has been analyzed by increasing the number of the traffic counting points on the experimental road network. As a result of these analyses, we can see an optimal set of the number of counting links through statistical analysis, which are approximately ten percentages of the total link numbers. In addition, the results show that the discrepancies between the old and the adjusted matrices in terms of the trip length frequency distributions and the assigned and the counted link flows are minimized using the optimal set of the counted links.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 2002.02a
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• pp.45-77
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• 2002

교통혼잡 문제가 점점 심각해짐에 따라 대중교통의 중요성은 날로 부각되며, 대중교통을 지원하기 위한 정책들이 속속 입안되고 있어 대중교통을 심도 있게 분석할 수 있는 틀의 개발은 필연적이라 할 수 있다. 이에 본 연구는 대중교통 통행배정모형 개발과 대중교통 기종점통행량(OD) 추정을 목적으로 수행되었다. 대중교통 통행배정모형의 개발부분에서는 기존의 대중교통 통행배정모형이 개별차량과 다른 대중교통의 특성을 정확히 반영하고 있지 못하다는 한계를 극복하고자, 최적경로 탐색에는 유전자 알고리즘(Genetic Algorithm)을 통행량 배정에는 로짓모형을 기반으로 한 확률적 통행량 배정모형(Stochastic Network Loading Model)을 이용하여 TATSN 모형을 개발하였다. 그리고, 대중교통 기종점통행량의 추정은 전통적인 기종점통행량 추정 방법인 기종점조사 방법이 시간과 비용이 과대하게 소요된다는 단점을 인식하여 관측통행량을 이용하여 추정하는 방법을 제안하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.4 s.90
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• pp.149-159
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• 2006

Traditional trip tables are estimated through large-scale surveys such as household survey, roadside interviews, and license Plate matching. These methods are, however, expensive and time consuming. This paper presents two origin-destination (OD) trip matrix estimation methods from link traffic counts in stochastic assignment, which contains perceived errors of drivers for alternatives. The methods are formulated based on the relation between link flows and OD demands in logit formula. The first method can be expressed to minimize the difference between observed link flows and estimated flows, derived from traffic assignment and be solved by gradient method. The second method can be formulated based on dynamic process, which nay describe the daily movement patterns of drivers and be solved by a recursive equation. A numerical example is used for assessing the methods, and shows the performances and properties of the models.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.61-70
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• 2001

The origin and destination(O-D) matrix is one of the most important elements in transportation planning process. Traditionally, transport planners survey the O-D movements in order to estimate the O-D matrix. Even though the cost of the O-D survey requires high amounts of resources, the accuracy is relatively low. Therefore, many researchers have studied the estimation of the O-D matrix for automobile from traffic counts. however, there is a little attention for the application on the transit O-D matrix estimation from traffic counts. The objective of this study is therefore the estimation of the transit O-D matrix from traffic counts using Gradient method. which is verified by the reliability analysis using a contrived small example network.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.3 s.74
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• pp.49-58
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• 2004

The first and perhaps the most critical and perhaps the most important step in the process of predicting future traffic volume in a region (Zone) is to estimate the number of trips generated in from each traffic analysis zone. Most trip generation models for urban transportation planning, and highway in Korea are regression models. In Korea the category analysis has not been tried for last decades since the proper data such as the household travel behavior data have not been collected. Recently, the comprehensive household travel behavior survey such as ${\ulcorner}$1996 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$, ${\ulcorner}$2002 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$ has been done. In this paper, the cross-classification tables of Seoul Metropolitan Area including the City of Seoul and Kyonggi Province are estimated by the category analysis. The tables are compared with regression models and ${\ulcorner}$2002 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$ data in terms of predictive capabilities in Seoul Metropolitan Area. Improvement strategies for trip generation forecast in Seoul Metropolitan Area are proposed.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.77-88
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• 2001

Until now, though most of the studies related to demand estimation method using traffic counts use methods based on singleclass, travel demands or flows are made by mixing various vehicles in real networks. In general, existing demand estimation methods based on traffic counts estimate O/D by converting a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts into a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts through PCE conversion, and analyze a O/D matrix by dividing into a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts after multiplying an estimated O/D matrix by the fixed ratio of a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts before PCE conversion. However, the merits of a demand estimation method based on multiclass calculate each route choice ratio about multiclass O/D, and maximize the estimation capability of multiclass by calculating each gradient, the reduction direction of objective function. Therefore, this study aims to establish a demand estimation method which considers congestion between vehicle and vehicle by using multiclass instead of singleclass.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.21-32
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• 2007

The households to be surveyed are usually huge number at the level of a city or metropolitan survey, not to mention a nationwide travel survey. Therefore, household travel surveys to figure out true origin-destination (O/D) trip patterns (population O/D) are conducted through a sampling method rather than by surveying all of the population in the system. Therefore, the population O/D pattern can only be estimated by expanding the sampled O/D patterns to the population. It is very difficult to avoid the errors involved in the process of sampling, surveying and expanding O/D data. In order to minimize such errors while estimating the true O/D patterns of the population, the validation and adjustment process should employed by doing a comparison between the expanded sample O/D data and observed link traffic volumes. This study suggests a method of validation and adjustment of the expanded sample O/D data by comparing observed link volumes at several screenlines. The study also suggests a practical technique to modify O/D pairs which are excluded in the screenline validation process by comparing observed traffic volume with the results of traffic assignment analysis. An empirical study was also conducted as an example applying the suggested methods of validation and adjustment with Korea's nationwide O/D data and highway network.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.71-82
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• 2012

Some previous studies adopted a method statistically based on the observed traffic volumes and travel times to estimate the parameters. Others tried to find an optimal set of parameters to minimize the gap between the observed and estimated traffic volumes using, for instance, a combined optimization model with a traffic assignment model. The latter is frequently used in a large-scale network that has a capability to find a set of optimal parameter values, but its appropriateness has never been demonstrated. Thus, we developed a methodology to estimate a set of parameter values of BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function using Harmony Search (HS) method. HS was developed in early 2000, and is a global search method proven to be superior to other global search methods (e.g. Genetic Algorithm or Tabu search). However, it has rarely been adopted in transportation research arena yet. The HS based transportation network calibration algorithm developed in this study is tested using a grid network, and its outcomes are compared to those from incremental method (Incre) and Golden Section (GS) method. It is found that the HS algorithm outperforms Incre and GS for copying the given observed link traffic counts, and it is also pointed out that the popular optimal network calibration techniques based on an objective function of traffic volume replication are lacking the capability to find appropriate free flow travel speed and ${\alpha}$ value.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.99-110
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• 1999

This study deals with the adaptability questions of O-D table estimation models. Its objectives are two-fold; (1) to estimate the characteristics of various O-D table estimation models(i.e. linear regression models. entropy models and statistic models) and (2) to find the model which estimates the O-D table with the best accuracy under the various data conditions. In Pursuing the above, this study gives the particular attentions to the test of the models, using the Sioux Falls network and equilibrium assignment method of MINUTP. The major findings are the followings. Firstly. it finds that the statistic models have the most goodness of fat among all models, if the required data are all Prepared. But it Presents that statistic models are the most sensitive against the underspecification and inconsistency problems of link data. Secondly, It shows that the linear regression models have the worst goodness of fat among all models. But the linear regression models are the most insensitive to the underspecification and inconsistency problems. Thirdly, THE/1 model of entropy model is sensitive against the underspecification and incon-sistency problems, but THE/2 model is insensitive. Finally, other informations like total volume, zonal Production and attraction volumes in 0-D table, help models to gain the better goodness of fit. Especially, in the statistic models. both the zonal production and attraction volume data are helpful to estimate the link volumes. It can be expected that the results dive some implications not only to the selection of optimal model under the various given data, but also to the development or modification of model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.61-72
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• 2001

기존의 링크교통량으로부터 OD추정모형은 기존 OD에 대한 추정의 종속성이 커, 기존 OD나 관측링크교통량의 오차에 따라 추정결과가 일관적이지 않은 문제점을 가지고 있다. 또한 관측링크교통량의 정확도가 중요함에도 불구하고 차종구분 없이 링크교통량을 이용하여 정보의 손실을 초래하였고 결과적으로 OD 추정력을 저하시켰다. 그렇지만 다차종 링크교통량으로부터 다차종 OD를 구하는 연구는 거의 없었으며, 그 추정결과가 단일차종에 대한 추정결과와 어떻게 다른지에 대한 연구도 전무하였다. 본 연구의 목적은 기존의 OD 추정모형이 기존 OD에 대해 종속성을 가지며 차종구분 없이 모형을 구성함으로써 추정력의 저하를 초래하였음을 밝히고, 이에 대한 대안으로 종속성 문제를 완화하고 차종구분을 통해 OD 추정모형의 추정력을 증진시키자 하는 것이다. 이를 위해 유전알고리즘을 이용한 다차종 OD행렬 추정모형(GAMUC)을 구축하고, 이를 기존의 바이레벨 모형의 IEA 알고리즘 및 다차종으로 확장한 모형(IEAMUC)과 게임이론측면에서 검토하였으며, 사례네트워크에 대해 각 기법을 비교하였다. 본 연구는 유전알고리즘을 이용한 OD 추정기법을 축도로에 적용한 임용택 등(2000)과 이를 네트워크로 확장한 백승걸 등(2000)의 연구를 다차종으로 확장한 것이다. 사례분석 결과 기존 OD의 오차변화나 관측링크교통량의 오차변화 등에 있어 GAMUC가 IEA나 IEAMUC보다 추정력이 양호하여, 실제 OD를 알 수 없는 도시부 네트워크에서 GAMUC 모형의 적용력이 우수하였다. 또한 차종을 구분하지 않은 기존 모형은 실제 OD와는 전혀 다른 OD 구조를 도출할 수 있음을 보였으며, 단일 차종을 여러 차종으로 구분하여 OD를 추정하는 것이 더 양호한 추정력을 확보하는 것으로 나타났다.