• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과잉확신

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Over-Efficacy in Problem Solving and Overconfidence of Knowledge on Photosynthesis: A Study of Comparison Between Multiple-Choice and Supply-Type Test Formats (광합성 문제 해결에 대한 과잉 효능감과 과잉확신: 선다형과 서답형의 비교 연구)

  • Ha, Minsu;Lee, Jun-Ki
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to explore the over-efficacy in problem solving and overconfidence of knowledge of students performing assessments in two different test formats: multiple-choice and supply-type. Two hundred and four female middle school students participated in this study. Multiple-choice and supply-type formats of tests on photosynthesis were used, and each item contained scales indicating one's self-efficacy on problem-solving and confidence of knowledge. The results showed that the correlation coefficients of performance between the two different assessment formats were less than 0.5 and the correlation coefficients between efficacy/confidence and actual performance were less than 0.45. Moreover, students tended to exhibit more over-efficacy and overconfidence in multiple-choice formats. The percentage of over-efficacy and overconfidence was higher in the group that completed the multiple-choice test first followed by the supply-type assessment than in the group that started with the supply-type followed by the multiple-choice assessment. From this study, it can be suggested that more use of supply-type assessment is required in science education. If test administrators require the combination of both multiple-choice and supply-type in an assessment, the supply-type assessment format should come first so that students can maintain the appropriate level of efficacy and confidence. In addition, science educators need to develop new learning programs to enhance students' self-monitoring skills of their problem-solving ability and knowledge.

The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors in Korea (개인투자자의 주식투자 성과 분석)

  • Byun, Young-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.135-164
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    • 2005
  • We analyze trade and balance records of 10,000 stock investment accounts of individual investors for the period of 1998 to 2003. Individual investors em an annual gross return of 12.3% while the KOSPI and the value weighted composite including KOSDAQ stocks yield 13.6% and 9.7% respectively during the same period. Net return performance is 8.3%, a drop of 5.3% mainly due to heavy trading. Individual investors' annual turnover amounts to over 270 percent. In an analysis of groups formed on the month's end position value, the performance of the top quintile is found comparable to the market while the rest yield significantly lower risk-adjusted returns than the market. We also find evidence rejecting the rational expectation model while supporting the overconfidence hypothesis which states overconfidence leads to a higher level of trading, resulting in poor performance. Individuals tilt their stock investment toward high-beta, small, and value stocks.

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Focal Calibration Loss-Based Knowledge Distillation for Image Classification (이미지 분류 문제를 위한 focal calibration loss 기반의 지식증류 기법)

  • Ji-Yeon Kang;Jae-Won Lee;Sang-Min Lee
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.695-697
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    • 2023
  • 최근 몇 년 간 딥러닝 기반 모델의 규모와 복잡성이 증가하면서 강력하고, 높은 정확도가 확보되지만 많은 양의 계산 자원과 메모리가 필요하기 때문에 모바일 장치나 임베디드 시스템과 같은 리소스가 제한된 환경에서의 배포에 제약사항이 생긴다. 복잡한 딥러닝 모델의 배포 및 운영 시 요구되는 고성능 컴퓨터 자원의 문제점을 해결하고자 사전 학습된 대규모 모델로부터 가벼운 모델을 학습시키는 지식증류 기법이 제안되었다. 하지만 현대 딥러닝 기반 모델은 높은 정확도 대비 훈련 데이터에 과적합 되는 과잉 확신(overconfidence) 문제에 대한 대책이 필요하다. 본 논문은 효율적인 경량화를 위한 미리 학습된 모델의 과잉 확신을 방지하고자 초점 손실(focal loss)을 이용한 모델 보정 기법을 언급하며, 다양한 손실 함수 변형에 따라서 지식증류의 성능이 어떻게 변화하는지에 대해 탐구하고자 한다.

Developmental Difference in Metacognitive Accuracy between High School Students and College Students (메타인지 정확성의 발달 차이 연구: 고등학생과 대학생 데이터)

  • Bae, Jinhee;Cho, Hye-Seung;Kim, Kyungil
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2015
  • Metacognitive monitoring refers to high dimensional cognitive activities. Understanding one's own cognitive processes accurately can make effective controls for their performance. Brain area related with metacognition is PFC which is completed the order of late and it can be inferred that monitoring abilities is developing during late adolescent. In this study, we explored the developmental difference in monitoring accuracy between high school students and college students using by measuring JOL(Judgment of Learning). Participants was asked that they study Spanish-Korean word pairs and judge their future performance of memory. In the result, people in both groups thought that they could remember word pairs better than their actual performance. Absolute bias scores which mean the degree to predict their performance apart from true scores showed the interaction between subject groups and task difficulty. Specifically, people judged their learning state quite accurately in easy task condition. However, in difficult task condition, both groups showed inaccuracy for predicting their learning and the magnitude of the degree was bigger in the group of high school students.

TASKS AND TECHNIQUES IN THE INITIAL PHASE OF PLAYPSYCHOTHERAPY ILLUSTRATED BY GROUP SUPERVISION PROCESSES (집단 지도 ${\cdot}$ 감독 과정을 통해 본 초기 놀이치료의 기법과 과제)

  • Hong, Kang-E;Park, Min-Sook;Nam, Min
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.142-163
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    • 1993
  • A 8 year old boy with problems of hyperactivity, impulsivity received playpsychotherapy. Through the detailed examination of their contents and group supervision of play therapy session, common mistakes novice therapist make frequently and tasks in the initial phase of play psychotherapy are illustrated. Therapist's personality and anxiety frequently interferes therapeutic processes. Common mistakes therapist makes during initial phase of play therapy are ; therapist's over-enthusiasm, overinvolvement or non-responsiveness, premature or inappropriate interpretation and direct connection of play theme to reality. It is utmost important for the therapist to make positive and trusting relationship with the patient in the initial phase of the therapy. In order to do so therapist must accept the patient as he is, permit the patient takes his leads. And as a result, the Patient can go through corrected developmental experience. In conclusion, it is a therapist's main task to establish relationship.

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The Effect of Prediction and Emotion on Hindsight Bias (예측과 정서가 후견지명 편향에 끼치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sung-Eun;Hyun, Ju-Ha;Han, Kwang-Hee
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02b
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 어떤 사건에 대한 예측 정확성 여부와 기억을 회상할 때의 정서 상태가 후견지명 편향 (hindsight bias)에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하였다. 이에 valence 축에 따라 긍정적 정서와 부정적 정서를 일으키는 두 가지 음악을 제시하고 두 조건에 대하여 기억에 대한 과잉 확신이 얼마나 달라지는가를 분석하였다. 예측 정확성 여부에 대해서는 실험 결과 데이터 중 예측 일치 조건과 불일치 조건으로 나누어 후견지명 편향에 끼치는 영향과 정서와의 상호작용이 있는가를 분석하였다. 사람들은 예측과 반대되는 결과를 접했을 때 결과에 anchoring하여 기억을 회상하려는 편향이 더욱 커졌으며 부정적인 정서보다 긍정적 정서 상태일 때 후견지명 편향이 더욱 커졌음을 밝혔다. 특히 예측과 상이한 결과 피드백을 받고 긍정적 정서 상태일 때 가장 많은 왜곡 현상을 보였으며, 예측 불일치/ 부정적 정서 조건, 예측 일치/ 긍정적 정서 조건, 예측 일치/ 부정적 정서 조건 순으로 후견지명 편향을 보였다. 이 결과는 정서 상태보다 어떤 사건에 대한 예측 정확성 여부가 후견지명 편향에 더 큰 영향을 준다는 것을 시사한다. 본 연구의 실험실 상황을 통하여 자기와 관련이 없는 중립적 과제를 통해서도 후견지명 편향이 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 특히 그 동안 거의 이루어지지 않았던 정서와 후견지명 편향의 관계를 밝히고, 기존의 예측 정확성에 따른 편향을 설명하는 모델간 논쟁이 많았으나 실험 결과가 motivational model을 지지함을 밝혔음에 의의가 있다.

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Exploring the Difficulties of High School Students in Self-Directed Scientific Inquiry (고등학생의 자기 주도적 과학탐구연구에서 나타난 어려움 탐색)

  • Kim, Gahyoung;Ha, Minsu
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.707-715
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    • 2019
  • The self-directed inquiry to improve students' core scientific competency is an important teaching method. Students experience a variety of difficulties in carrying out their inquiry tasks, sometimes fail to produce the desired results, or fail to perform a meaningless inquiry. This study was conducted to identify the causes of difficulties and failures in students' self-directed scientific inquiry. The study involved 16 high school students with experience in science research at science high schools and science-focused high schools. The data collection consisted of in-depth interviews centered on semi-structured open questions. Qualitative data analysis was imputed by finding paragraphs from the interview material that might reveal the difficulties and failures experienced by participants and the reasons for them. The study found that most of the causes of failure were lack of ability, incomplete procedures, and selection of complicated tasks. A variety of cognitive biases, such as overconfidence, planning fallacy, and groupthink, were also analyzed as causes. Based on the results of the study, it is necessary to develop an educational strategy that students can be fully prepared to reduce their trials and errors in a self-directed inquiry maximally.