• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과소추정

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Gendered Reporting Gap of the Housework Time: A Comparison of Time Diary and Stylized Survey Questionnaire (성별 가사노동시간 측정 : 시간일지와 서베이문항 방식 비교)

  • kim, Eun-Ji;kim, Su-Jeong
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the estimates of housework time by gender using two representative methods of time use study: Time Diary and Stylized Survey Questionnaire. Our analysis is based on the data from the Lifetime Use Survey(2004), which used time-diary questions, and the Korean Labor & Income Panel Study(KLIPS 2004), which used stylized questions on housework hours. The results show that men over-report their housework time in the stylized time use questions. In contrast, women under-report their housework time, which is unusual in the previous studies on response errors and reporting gap. Subgroup analysis shows that widowed/divorced men tend to over-report their contribution to housework more than other groups whereas among women, groups burdened with employed work, caring and housework underestimate their housework time. This reporting gap is explained by gendered norm and perception of time pressure. The theory to explain under-reporting of the housework time has been undeveloped in the previous studies. Our study suggests that perceptions of time pressure be an important factor to explain women's reporting gap of housework estimates.

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Simulation of crop growth under an intercropping condition using an object oriented crop model (객체지향적 작물 모델을 활용한 간작조건에서의 작물 생육 모의)

  • Kim, Kwang Soo;Yoo, Byoung Hyun;Hyun, Shinwoo;Seo, Beom-Seok;Ban, Ho-Young;Park, Jinyu;Lee, Byun-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.214-227
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    • 2018
  • An object oriented crop model was developed to perform crop growth simulation taking into account complex interaction between biotic and abiotic factors in an agricultural ecosystem. A set of classes including Atmosphere class, Plant class, Soil class, and Grower class were designed to represent weather, crop, soil, and crop management, respectively. Objects, which are instance of class, were linked to construct an integrated system for crop growth simulation. In a case study, yield of corn and soybean, which was obtained at an experiment farm in Rural Development Administration from 1984 to 1986, were compared with yield simulated using the integrated system. The integrated system had relatively low error rate of corn yield, e.g., <4%, under sole and intercropping conditions. In contrast, the system had a relatively large underestimation error for above ground biomass except for grain compared with those observed for corn and soybean. For example, estimates of biomass of corn leaf and stem was 31% lower than those of observed values. Although the integrated system consisted of simple models, the system was capable of simulating crop yield under an intercropping condition. This result suggested that an existing process-based model would be used to have more realistic simulation of crop growth once it is reengineered to be compatible to the integration system, which merits further studies for crop model improvement and implementation in object oriented paradigm.

Testing for Overdispersion in a Bivariate Negative Binomial Distribution Using Bootstrap Method (이변량 음이항 모형에서 붓스트랩 방법을 이용한 과대산포에 대한 검정)

  • Jhun, Myoung-Shic;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-353
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    • 2008
  • The bootstrap method for the score test statistic is proposed in a bivariate negative binomial distribution. The Monte Carlo study shows that the score test for testing overdispersion underestimates the nominal significance level, while the score test for "intrinsic correlation" overestimates the nominal one. To overcome this problem, we propose a bootstrap method for the score test. We find that bootstrap methods keep the significance level close to the nominal significance level for testing the hypothesis. An empirical example is provided to illustrate the results.

A Comparative Study of Primary Production by using the $^{14}C$ and Oxygen Methods ($^{14}C$ - 법과 산소법에 의한 일차생산 비교연구)

  • 심재호;강성현
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 1986
  • Photometric Winkler titration provides high precision enough to use the oxygen method in moderately productive waters In short incubation (2-4hr), about $2{\mu\textrm{g}}C/\ell/h$ can be differentiated by the photometric titration. The oxygen and $^{14}C$ methods resulted in good agreement with each other in the diurnal primary production measurements. Despite small descrepancies the severe underestimation of $^{14}C-technique$ was not observed in short-term incubation. Size-fractionated production studies indicated the importance of nanoplanktonic production in the coastal water (62-88%). Bacterial respiration may lead to significant underestimation in estimating net photosynthesis in the oxygen method. In spite of some problems associated with the ecological application of antibiotics, it seems feasible to use Gentamycin in separating planktonic respiration from that of total community.

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Spatial Gap Estimation for Word Separation in Handwritten Legal Amounts on BAnk Check (필기체 수표 금액 문장에서의 단어 분리를 위한 공간적 간격 추정)

  • Kim In-cheol;Kim Kyoung-min
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1096-1101
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    • 2005
  • An efficient method of estimating the spatial gaps between the connected components has been prposed to separatethe individual words from a handwritten legal amount on bank check. Owing to the inherent problem of underestimation or overestimation, the previous gap measures have much difficulty in being applied to the legal amounts that usually include the great shape variability by writer's unconstrained writing style and touching or irregular gaps between words by space limitation. In order to alleviate such burden and improve word separation performance, we have developed a modified version of each distance measure. Through a series of word separation experiments, we found that the modified distance measures show a better performance with over $2-3\%$ of the word separation rate than their corresponding original distance measures.

Selection of the Optimum Global Natural Vegetation Mapping System for Estimating Potential Forest Area (지구상(地球上)의 잠재삼림면적(潜在森林面積)을 추정(推定)하기 위한 적정(適定) 식생도제작(植生圖製作) 시스템의 선발(選拔))

  • Cha, Gyung Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.86 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 1997
  • The optimum global natural vegetation mapping(GNVM) system was selected as a series of the study to estimate potential forest area of the globe. To select the system, three types of GNVM systems which are simple system with Light Climatic Dataset(LCD), altitude-allowed system with LCD and altitude-allowed system with Heavy Climatic Dataset(HCD) were established and compared. The three GNVM systems spherically interpolate such spotty climate data as those observed at weather stations the world over onto $1^{\circ}{\times}1^{\circ}$ grid points, product vegetation type classification, and produce a potential natural vegetation(PNV) map and a PNV area. As a result of comparison with three GNVM systems, altitude-allowed LCD system represented natural vegetation distribution better than other versions. The difference between the simple system versus the one with altitude allowance indicated that the simple version tends to over-represent the warmer climate areas and under-represent cold and hostile climate areas. In the difference between altitude-allowed versions of LCD and HCD, HCD version tended to overestimate moist climate areas and to underestimate dry climate areas.

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Estimating Station Transfer Trips of Seoul Metropolitan Urban Railway Stations -Using Transportation Card Data - (수도권 도시철도 역사환승량 추정방안 -교통카드자료를 활용하여 -)

  • Lee, Mee-Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.693-701
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    • 2018
  • Transfer types at the Seoul Metropolitan Urban Railway Stations can be classified into transfer between lines and station transfer. Station transfer is defined as occurring when either 1) the operating line that operates the tag-in card-reader and that operating the first train boarded by the passenger are different; or 2) the line operating the final alighted train and that operating the tag-out card-reader are different. In existing research, transportation card data is used to estimate transfer volume between lines, but excludes station transfer volume which leads to underestimation of volume through transfer passages. This research applies transportation card data to a method for station transfer volume estimation. To achieve this, the passenger path choice model is made appropriate for station transfer estimation using a modified big-node based network construction and data structure method. Case study analysis is performed using about 8 million daily data inputs from the metropolitan urban railway.

Estimation of discharge for Namneung river basin using satellite precipitation (위성강수를 이용한 남능강 유역 유출량 추정)

  • Joo Hun Kim;Chung Soo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.428-428
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    • 2023
  • 글로벌 위성 기반의 강수량 관측에 대한 역사는 1979년에 Arkin의 의해 제안된 IR(Infra-Red) 방법에 의해 위성으로부터 강우자료를 유도하는 개념이 도입된 이후 1987년 해양에서의 비교적 정확한 강수량 추정이 가능한 다중 채널의 마이크로파(MW) 복사계를 이용한 방법에서 1997년TRMM(Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission)위성의 PR(Precpipitation Radar)의 레이더를 이용하는 방법, 그리고 2014년 GPM(Global Precipitation Measurement Mission) 핵심 위성(GPM Core Observatory)에 탑재된 Dual PR에 의한 방법으로 위성강수의 정확도를 매우 높여가고 있다(Kim et al. 2013). 한국과 아세안의 경제협력이 증가하면서 국내 ODA 정책에서 아세안은 가장 우선적인 대상이 되었다. 정부는 2011-2015년 기간에 라오스 등 26개 국가를 중점협력국에 포함시켰고, 2021~2025년간 적용될 제3기 중점협력국에 라오스를 포함하고 있다. 본 연구는 위성영상으로부터 유도된 위성강수 자료를 이용하여 라오스의 남능강 유역에 대한홍수량을 추정하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 분석자료인 위성강수 자료는 GSMaP 위성강수 자료를 이용하였다. 이 자료는 1시간의 시간해상도와 0.1°의 공간해상도를 갖는다. 라오스 남능강 유역 9개 지점의 2019년 8월~9월까지의 총강수량 비교 결과 9개 지점의 1일 관측강우의 경우 유역내 평균 약 699.2mm였고, 위성강수는 425.4mm로 위성강수가 과소추정되는 결과를 보이고 있으나 두 자료간의 결정계수(r2)는 약 0.79의 정확도를 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 위성강수를 이용한 홍수량 분석 결과 같은 시기에서 남능강 유역 출구점의 첨두유출량은 약 5,786m3/s로 분석되었다. 분석도구는 한국건설기술연구원에서 개발하여 운영중인 GRM 강우-유출 모형을 이용하였다. 향후 위성강수와 지점강수의 조합에 의한 다운스케일링 기법에 대한 연구를 수행하여 계측자료가 부족한 지역에서의 홍수량을 분석하는 연구를 진행할 계획이다.

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A Study of New Modified Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model Development Using Direct Parameter Estimation (직접적인 매개변수 추정방법을 이용한 새로운 수정된 Neyman-Scott 구형펄스모형 개발 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Joo, Kyoung-Won;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2011
  • Direct parameter estimation method is verified with various models based on Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model (NSRPM). Also, newly modified NSRPM (NMSRPM) that uses normal distribution is developed. Precipitation data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 47 years is applied for parameter estimation. For model performance verification, we used statistics, wet ratio and precipitation accumulate distribution of precipitation generated. The comparison of statistics indicates that absolute relative error (ARE)s of the results from NSRPM and modified NSRPM (MNSRPM) are increasing on July, August, and September and ARE of NMNSRPM shows 10.11% that is the smallest ARE among the three models. NMNSRPM simulates the characteristics of precipitation statistics well. By comparing the wet ratio, MNSRPM shows the smallest ARE that is 16.35% and by using the graphical analysis, we found that these three models underestimate the wet ratio. The three models show about 2% of ARE of precipitation accumulate probability. Those results show that the three models simulate precipitation accumulate probability well. As the results, it is found that the parameters of NSRPM, MNSRPM and NMNSRPM are able to be estimated by the direct parameter estimation method. From the results listed above, we concluded that the direct parameter estimation is able to be applied to various models based on NSRPM. NMNSRPM shows good performance compared with developed model-NSRPM and MNSRPM and the models based on NSRPM can be developed by the direct parameter estimation method.

A Study on the Population Estimation of Small Areas using Explainable Machine Learning: Focused on the Busan Metropolitan City (해석가능한 기계학습을 적용한 소지역 인구 추정에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 대상으로)

  • Yu-Hyun KIM;Donghyun KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the structure of the population has been changing rapidly, with a declining birthrate and aging population, and the inequality of population distribution is expanding. At this point, changes in population estimation methods are required, and more accurate estimates are needed at the subregional level. This study aims to estimate the population in 2040 at the 500m grid level by applying an explainable machine learning to Busan in order to respond to this need for a change in population estimation method. Comparing the results of population estimation by applying the explainable machine learning and the cohort component method, we found that the machine learning produces lower errors and is more applicable to estimating areas with large population changes. This is because machine learning can account for a combination of variables that are likely to affect demographic change. Overestimated population values in a declining population period are likely to cause problems in urban planning, such as inefficiency of investment and overinvestment in certain sectors, resulting in a decrease in quality in other sectors. Underestimated population values can also accelerate the shrinkage of cities and reduce the quality of life, so there is a need to develop appropriate population estimation methods and alternatives.