• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공통지표

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Assessing the future extreme dry and wet conditions in East Asia using CMIP6-BGC (CMIP6-BGC 기반 동아시아 지역 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태 평가)

  • Jaehyeong Lee;Yeonjoo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.411-411
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    • 2023
  • 미래 대기 이산화탄소 농도가 증가함에 따라 강수 등 기후의 변화하고, 이는 유출량을 포함한 수문 순환 뿐 아니라 지면 식생 생장에 영향을 줄 것으로 예상된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 미래 CO2 증가에 따른 식생의 변화와 이로 인한 지표 유출량의 변화에 대해 이해하고자 한다. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 6차 평가보고서에서 제시한 표준 온실가스 경로 중 탄소 모듈이 포함된 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 biogeochemistry (CMIP6-BGC) 모델과 탄소 모듈이 포함안된 CMIP6 모델 결과를 활용하였다. 공통 사회경제경로 시나리오(Shared Socio-economic Pathway; SSP) 중 고탄소 시나리오인 SSP585에 따른 모델 결과물을 활용하였다. 표면 유출량 자료에 과거 기간 임계수준 방법을 (Threshold Level Method) 적용하여 동아시아 지역 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태의 빈도와 강도를 CMIP6-BGC와 CMIP6에 대해 평가하였다. CMIP6-BGC 경우, 건조 및 습윤 상태의 빈도는 각각 6.17%, 5.03% , CMIP6 경우 각각 9.29%, 6.70% 으로 예측되어, CMIP6-BGC가 CMIP6 보다 극한 상태를 과소평가하는 경향을 보였다. 또한, 잎 면적 지수(Leaf Area Index; LAI), 증산량 등의 변수를 분석하여, 기 도출된 CMIP6-BGC와 CMIP6 간의 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태 예측의 차이가 발생한 메카니즘을 이해하고자 하였다.

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Analysis of Water Resources and Water Conflicts in Korea using Aqueduct 3.0 and Water Conflict Chronology (Aqueduct 3.0과 Water Conflict Chronology를 활용한 한국의 수자원 및 물 분쟁 사례 분석)

  • Joon-Hak Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.395-395
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    • 2023
  • 전 세계 곳곳에서 매년 발생하고 있는 홍수, 가뭄, 수질 문제는 인류가 해결해야 할 공통적인 문제이다. 홍수, 가뭄, 수질 문제뿐만 아니라 수자원의 지역적인 불균형과 인근 지역의 물 분배 문제, 공유하천 문제 등으로 인한 물 사용자 간의 물 갈등, 물 분쟁도 지속되고 있다. 최근 정보통신기술이 발달함에 따라 수자원 관련 각종 위험지표, 물 갈등, 물 분쟁 사례를 자료화하여 활용할 수 있는 온라인 플랫폼이 개발되고 있다. Aqueduct 3.0은 전 세계 물 위험을 식별하고 평가할 수 있는 물 위험평가 프로그램(water risk assessment tool)으로 세계 수자원 협회에서 2019년 기존 프로그램을 업데이트하여, 온라인 플랫폼을 통해 전 세계 각국의 지역별 수자원 분포에 따른 각종 위험지도와 데이터를 무료로 제공하고 있다. 또한 세계 자연기금(World Wide Fund For Nature)도 온라인 플랫폼으로 전 세계의 물 위험 필터도구(water risk filter tool)를 제공하고 있다. 또한 물 갈등 연대기(Water Conflict Chronology)는 태평양 협회에서 전 세계 물갈등 사례를 수집하여 연대별로 정리한 것으로, 업데이트되어 2022년 사례까지 제공하고 있다. 본 연구는 Aqueduct와 Water Conflict Chronology 등 온라인 플랫폼에 탑재된 한반도 관련 수자원 자료를 조사하여 기존 자료와 분석하였다. 연구 결과 Aqueduct와 Water Conflict Chronology 등 온라인 플랫폼이 수자원 관련 교육의 유용한 도구임을 알 수 있었다.

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Emoticon by Emotions: The Development of an Emoticon Recommendation System Based on Consumer Emotions (Emoticon by Emotions: 소비자 감성 기반 이모티콘 추천 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Keon-Woo;Park, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.227-252
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    • 2018
  • The evolution of instant communication has mirrored the development of the Internet and messenger applications are among the most representative manifestations of instant communication technologies. In messenger applications, senders use emoticons to supplement the emotions conveyed in the text of their messages. The fact that communication via messenger applications is not face-to-face makes it difficult for senders to communicate their emotions to message recipients. Emoticons have long been used as symbols that indicate the moods of speakers. However, at present, emoticon-use is evolving into a means of conveying the psychological states of consumers who want to express individual characteristics and personality quirks while communicating their emotions to others. The fact that companies like KakaoTalk, Line, Apple, etc. have begun conducting emoticon business and sales of related content are expected to gradually increase testifies to the significance of this phenomenon. Nevertheless, despite the development of emoticons themselves and the growth of the emoticon market, no suitable emoticon recommendation system has yet been developed. Even KakaoTalk, a messenger application that commands more than 90% of domestic market share in South Korea, just grouped in to popularity, most recent, or brief category. This means consumers face the inconvenience of constantly scrolling around to locate the emoticons they want. The creation of an emoticon recommendation system would improve consumer convenience and satisfaction and increase the sales revenue of companies the sell emoticons. To recommend appropriate emoticons, it is necessary to quantify the emotions that the consumer sees and emotions. Such quantification will enable us to analyze the characteristics and emotions felt by consumers who used similar emoticons, which, in turn, will facilitate our emoticon recommendations for consumers. One way to quantify emoticons use is metadata-ization. Metadata-ization is a means of structuring or organizing unstructured and semi-structured data to extract meaning. By structuring unstructured emoticon data through metadata-ization, we can easily classify emoticons based on the emotions consumers want to express. To determine emoticons' precise emotions, we had to consider sub-detail expressions-not only the seven common emotional adjectives but also the metaphorical expressions that appear only in South Korean proved by previous studies related to emotion focusing on the emoticon's characteristics. We therefore collected the sub-detail expressions of emotion based on the "Shape", "Color" and "Adumbration". Moreover, to design a highly accurate recommendation system, we considered both emotion-technical indexes and emoticon-emotional indexes. We then identified 14 features of emoticon-technical indexes and selected 36 emotional adjectives. The 36 emotional adjectives consisted of contrasting adjectives, which we reduced to 18, and we measured the 18 emotional adjectives using 40 emoticon sets randomly selected from the top-ranked emoticons in the KakaoTalk shop. We surveyed 277 consumers in their mid-twenties who had experience purchasing emoticons; we recruited them online and asked them to evaluate five different emoticon sets. After data acquisition, we conducted a factor analysis of emoticon-emotional factors. We extracted four factors that we named "Comic", Softness", "Modernity" and "Transparency". We analyzed both the relationship between indexes and consumer attitude and the relationship between emoticon-technical indexes and emoticon-emotional factors. Through this process, we confirmed that the emoticon-technical indexes did not directly affect consumer attitudes but had a mediating effect on consumer attitudes through emoticon-emotional factors. The results of the analysis revealed the mechanism consumers use to evaluate emoticons; the results also showed that consumers' emoticon-technical indexes affected emoticon-emotional factors and that the emoticon-emotional factors affected consumer satisfaction. We therefore designed the emoticon recommendation system using only four emoticon-emotional factors; we created a recommendation method to calculate the Euclidean distance from each factors' emotion. In an attempt to increase the accuracy of the emoticon recommendation system, we compared the emotional patterns of selected emoticons with the recommended emoticons. The emotional patterns corresponded in principle. We verified the emoticon recommendation system by testing prediction accuracy; the predictions were 81.02% accurate in the first result, 76.64% accurate in the second, and 81.63% accurate in the third. This study developed a methodology that can be used in various fields academically and practically. We expect that the novel emoticon recommendation system we designed will increase emoticon sales for companies who conduct business in this domain and make consumer experiences more convenient. In addition, this study served as an important first step in the development of an intelligent emoticon recommendation system. The emotional factors proposed in this study could be collected in an emotional library that could serve as an emotion index for evaluation when new emoticons are released. Moreover, by combining the accumulated emotional library with company sales data, sales information, and consumer data, companies could develop hybrid recommendation systems that would bolster convenience for consumers and serve as intellectual assets that companies could strategically deploy.

The Effect of Physical Pedestrian Environment on Walking Satisfaction - Focusing on the Case of Jinhae City - (물리적 보행환경이 보행만족도에 미치는 영향 - 진해시를 사례지역으로 -)

  • Byeon, Ji-Hye;Park, Kyung-Hun;Choi, Sang-Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2010
  • Physical activity of the people has decreased due to a sedentary lifestyle according to developing the economy throughout the world. It is thought to increase the risk of chronic diseases, including obesity, diabetes, etc. People are interested in walking, which is an easy activity to engage in as an antidote to chronic diseases. The aim of this study is to increase the diminishing physical activity of modem society by inducing walking as part of everyday life through building a walking-based activity-friendly city where people can live merrily, safely and pleasantly. For this purpose, this study conducted a satisfaction survey to dwellers of Jinhae on the physical pedestrian environments which affect determining walking participation and intentions of people, and also provided a valid model to evaluate the effects of the physical environmental factors on walking satisfaction using factor analysis and multiple linear regression analysis. The results are summarized as follows. The 18 variables of the physical pedestrian environments were selected based on pre-literature reviews. The results of the satisfaction surveys showed that the satisfaction of crossing aids in segments was highest, while the building feature was the lowest. Factor analysis was run through a two-step process. The first analysis was conducted to examine the adequacy of this factor analysis on the selected 18 variables. As a result, two variables were removed and the remaining 16 variables were extracted to the four factors by second analysis. Each factor was named function of path, effect of traffic, amenity and safety based on the each factor's commonality. Each factor score of the extracted four factors was set as the independent variable, while the overall walking satisfaction was set as the dependent variable. Then, the multiple linear regression analysis was conducted and showed that all four factors had a positive influence on the overall satisfaction of walking, especially the 'function of path' and 'amenity' factors, followed by 'effect of traffic' and 'safety'. The results of this research will be used as foundational data for creating a walking-based activity-friendly city.

Analysis on the Characteristics of Heat Wave Vulnerable Areas Using Landsat 8 Data and Vulnerability Assessment Analysis (Landsat 8 영상과 취약성 분석을 활용한 폭염재해 취약지역의 특성분석)

  • KIM, Ji-Sook;KIM, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • Cities are highly susceptible to disasters due to concentration of population and infrastructure and intensive land use, and there are various factors that affect vulnerability according to regional characteristics. This study analyzed the vulnerability of the heat wave and the surface temperature extracted from Landsat 8 satellite data. Areas with high surface temperature and with high vulnerability did not match. This study overlaid the results of vulnerability analysis and the land surface temperature(LST) in order to identify causes of vulnerability. The results showed that some areas within high-density commercial and semi-residential areas were the most vulnerable, with climate exposure factors, the ratio of the vulnerable populations and residential defective areas being the main causes. Accordingly, alternatives such as green space and residential environmental improvement could be suggested. Various policies for reducing and adapting to heat wave have been established and implemented. However, it is necessary to examine the regional and spatial characteristics of the city, to accurately diagnose the cause of the heat wave, and to prepare appropriate long-term alternatives accordingly.

The Relationships between Inhibitory Control and Action Monitoring; Event-related Potential Study (억제적 통제 및 행동 감시간의 관계: 사건관련전위 연구)

  • 강승석;박성근;하태현;노규식;김명선;권준수
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2003
  • The common features of the behavioral inhibition and the action monitoring that are considered as one of the executive functions were investigated using event-related brain potentials (ERPs) and source localization analysis. The electrophysiological correlates of behavioral inhibition and action monitoring ate analyzed when the subjects performed the Go/NoGo task. Two ERP components of behavioral inhibition termed as N200 and P300 in NoGo condition were differ from those of Go condition, that is the amplitudes of NoGo N200 and P300 are largest on the fronto-central region, which may reflect the inhibitory control of frontal lobe required in NoGo condition. The error-related negativity (ERN) observed on the fronto-central region when the subjects committed error was much larger in amplitude and faster in latency than those of the correct-related negativity (CRN), which may indicate that the signal of action monitoring is much more required for the error response. The correlation analysis for the ERP components of behavioral inhibition and action monitoring revealed the significant negative correlation among the latencies of NoGo N200 and P300 and the amplitude of ERN, which may reflects that the faster subjects inhibit response, the more monitor their own action. The close relationship between behavioral inhibition and action monitoring was also supported by the results of source localization analysis, which showed the common neural sources of NoGo N200 and ERN was anterior cingulate cortex.

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A Study on Port's Influence over 'Quality of Life' in Sea Port Cities - Compare China Dalian Port with Busan Port - (해항도시의 삶의 질에 대한 항만의 영향력 분석 - 중국 대련항과 부산항의 비교분석 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Goo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.481-488
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    • 2012
  • As an exploratory research to understand the nature of relationships between ports and their neighboring communities, this study analyzes how ports influence their residents' quality of life(QOL). The QOL was measured by 17 indicators reconstructed by reviewing relevant literatures. As a result, both Busan port and Dalian port were found to have statistically significant influence on many of QOL indicators including general expenditure per capita, number of manufacturing factories per capita, number of factories's laborer per capita, the rate of pavement, number of traffic accident per capita, rate of housing supply, number of financial agencies per capita, park area per capita, number of cultural assets per capita, the size of welfare expenditure per capita, number of fire occurrence per capita. And Busan port have statistically significant influence on QOL indicators including the rate of increase in population, number of public health industries per capita, number of public health industries per capita, number of schools per capita, number of sick-beds per capita, but Dalian port not have influence. Also Dalian port have statistically significant influence on number of crime occurrence per capita, but Busan port not have influence.

Natural Regeneration Patten of Pine Seedlings on the Burned Forest Site in Gosung, Korea (고성 산불피해지에서 소나무 치수의 자연복원 패턴)

  • Lim, Joo-Hoon;Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Bae, Sang-Won
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to determine the natural succession process after forest fire by comparing height, relative growth rates in height (RGH), and tree density of pine seedlings with different fire severity. In the area damaged by surface fire, tree density was highest during the first 5 years after fire. However, in the area damaged by crown fire, tree density rapidly increased during first 5 years after fire. Pine seedlings were found only on the place with ridges, barren soil, and the aspect of north. Annual height growth of pine seedlings was decreased with time in all study sites. The empty space in pine stands gradually decreased by the invasion of Quercus species. The forest fire altered the pine forest into oak forest rapidly. In contrast, pine seedlings invaded steadily on the oak forest in the rocky area or the area with ridges.

The Analysis of K-WISC-IV Profiles in Children with High-Functioning Autism Spectrum Disorder (고기능 자폐 스펙트럼 장애 아동의 K-WISC-IV 프로파일 분석 및 융합적 적용)

  • Cho, Eun-Young;Kim, Hyun-Mi;Song, Dong-Ho;Cheon, Keun-Ah
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.341-348
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study is to distinguish children with high-functioning autism spectrum disorder (ASD) from the norm group by identifying their Intelligence with Korean Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Fourth Edition (K-WISC-IV) profile analysis. The article were administered to 90 children with high-functioning ASD (6-16) years and has surveyed the average of the Full scale IQ, index scores, and subtest scores of K-WISC-IV. Also, this study has conducted a single-subject T-test in order to verify whether Full scale IQ, index scores, subtest scores are different from those of the norm group. The results show that children with high-functioning ASD achieved significantly lower scores on Processing Speed Index, compared to the norm group. Furthermore, their scores in Comprehension, Picture Concept, Picture completion, Coding, and Symbol Search were significantly lower than those of the norm group. It is likely that what have turned out to be the cognitive weaknesses of high-functioning ASD children by K-WISC-IV analysis, including slow process speed, low social judgement, and difficulty in visual stimuli in everyday life are interrelated to their unique characters.

Determinants of Variance Risk Premium (경제지표를 활용한 분산프리미엄의 결정요인 추정과 수익률 예측)

  • Yoon, Sun-Joong
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-33
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the economic factors that are related to the dynamics of the variance risk premium, and specially, which economic factors are related to the forecasting power of the variance premium regarding future index returns. Eleven general economic variables, eight interest rate variables, and eleven sentiment-associated variables are used to figure out the relevant economic variables that affect the variance risk premium. According to our empirical results, the won-dollar exchange rates, foreign reserves, the historical/implied volatility, and interest rate variables all have significant coefficients. The highest adjusted R-squared is more than 65 percent, indicating their significant explanatory power of the variance risk premium. Next, to verify the economic variables associated with the predictability of the variance risk premium, we conduct forecasting regressions to predict future stock returns and volatilities for one to six months. Our empirical analysis shows that only the won-dollar exchange rate, among the many variables associated with the dynamics of the variance risk premium, has a significant forecasting ability regarding future index returns. These results are consistent with results found in previous studies, including Londono (2012) and Bollerslev et al. (2014), which show that the variance risk premium is related to global risk factors.