• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간적 상관성

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Short-term Distributed Rainfall Prediction using Stochastic Error Field Modeling

  • Kim, Sun-Min;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Takara, Kaoru
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2005
  • 이류모형을 이용한 단기예측 레이더 강우자료와 관측 레이더자료의 비교를 통하여 얻어진 예측오차를 분석하였다. 임의 시점까지의 예측오차 장에 나타나는 확률분포 형태와 공간적 상관성을 분석하여 이들 특성을 반영하는 추후의 예측오차 장을 모의할 수 있었다. 모의된 예측오차 장과 합성된 단기예측 강우 장은 이류모형을 이용한 예측에 따른 불확실성 을 추계학적으로 반영한 예측강우를 제공한다.

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The Analysis of Hydrological Response Structure Based on Spatial Correlation of Extracted Geomorphic Variables by Using DEM (DEM에 의해 추출된 지형인자의 공간상관성을 기반으로 한 수문학적 응답구조의 해석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2010
  • The hydrological-geomorphic character is closely related with runoff in basin. A development of GIS greatly helps investigating about mechanism between theirs. We analyze local slope and hillslope length which are related with hydrological response. But variation of these geomorphic variables has very wide range at each pixel. So there's a limit as to use directly. Therefore we investigate a relation between hydrological response and distributed geomorphic variables according to statistical character of distributed map considering spatial correlation. As a result, the local slope affects peak discharge, and the hillslope length affects peak discharge and time, mean and variance of hydrological response. Henceforth these hydrological-geomorphic analyze methods can be improved that hydrology response is directly analogized with DEM data.

Analysis of Commercial Facility Locational Pattern Using GIS and Spatial Data Mining (GIS와 공간데이터마이닝을 이용한 상업시설물의 입지패턴 분석)

  • Hong, Sung-Eon;Lee, Yong-Ik
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2010.05b
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    • pp.630-633
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    • 2010
  • 입지분석은 공간 및 비공간적 특성이 중요하게 다루어져야 함에도 불구하고 공간데이터 타입(spatial data type), 공간관계(spatial relationship), 그리고 공간 자기상관성(spatial autocorrelation)의 복잡성에 기인한 처리의 어려움으로 인해 기하학적거리나 공간적 위치와 같은 단순 공간적 특성만 이용되었다. 본 연구에서는 서울시 대형할인점을 사례로하여로 GIS에 의한 공간데이터와 비공간데이터(인구통계 등)를 통합 구축한 후, 공간데이터마이닝 기법을 이용하여 입지패턴(location pattern)을 분석 추출하여 보고자 한다.

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A Comparison of Spatio-Temporal Variation Pattern of Sea Surface Temperature According to the Regional Scale in the South Sea of Korea (지역 규모에 따른 한국 남부해역 표층수온의 시·공간적 변동 패턴 비교)

  • Yoon, Dong-Young;Choi, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.182-193
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    • 2011
  • In order to compare the spatio-temporal variation pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) in Korea's Southern areas of the sea according to a regional scale, this study has selected the winter and summer seasons for 31 years (1980~2010) in a period aspect and selected three areas of the sea such as the Western areas of the sea (region B) and Eastern areas of the sea (region C) around Jeju Island in addition to overall Southern areas of the sea (region A) in regional aspect. The regression analysis was applied to find out a temporal variation pattern of SST, and the weighted mean center (WMC) of SST as well as analysis of a standard deviational ellipse (SDE) was respectively applied. As a result of regression analysis of SST, it showed a rising long-term trend for all two seasons in three regions. However, though the average SST for 31 years was all similar in three regions in the summer season, the region C appeared more highly than region B in the winter season. The spatial variation pattern of SST for two seasons showed that it is respectively different from each other in three regions. The spatial variation pattern of SST appeared as E-W direction in region A, SE-NW direction in region B and SW-NE direction in region C. In addition, the relationship between the location of the WMC of SST and the average SST showed correlation in regions A and B in the winter season, whereas it appeared that there is no correlation in region C. Accordingly, it can be known that the regional scale should be considered in case of analysis of spatio-temporal variation patterns of SST.

Identifying Key Factors to Affect Taxi Travel Considering Spatial Dependence: A Case Study for Seoul (공간 상관성을 고려한 서울시 택시통행의 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Hyangsook;Kim, Ji yoon;Choo, Sangho;Jang, Jin young;Choi, Sung taek
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.64-78
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    • 2019
  • This paper explores key factors affecting taxi travel using global positioning system(GPS) data in Seoul, Korea, considering spatial dependence. We first analyzed the travel characteristics of taxis such as average travel time, average travel distance, and spatial distribution of taxi trips according to the time of the day and the day of the week. As a result, it is found that the most taxi trips were generated during the morning peak time (8 a.m. to 9 a.m.) and after the midnight (until 1 a.m.) on weekdays. The average travel distance and travel time for taxi trips were 5.9 km and 13 minutes, respectively. This implies that taxis are mainly used for short-distance travel and as an alternative to public transit after midnight in a large city. In addition, we identified that taxi trips were spatially correlated at the traffic analysis zone(TAZ) level through the Moran's I test. Thus, spatial regression models (spatial-lagged and spatial-error models) for taxi trips were developed, accounting for socio-demographics (such as the number of households, the number of elderly people, female ratio to the total population, and the number of vehicles), transportation services (such as the number of subway stations and bus stops), and land-use characteristics (such as population density, employment density, and residential areas) as explanatory variables. The model results indicate that these variables are significantly associated with taxi trips.

Bayesian analysis of directional conditionally autoregressive models (방향성 공간적 조건부 자기회귀 모형의 베이즈 분석 방법)

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1133-1146
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    • 2016
  • Counts or averages over arbitrary regions are often analyzed using conditionally autoregressive (CAR) models. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only the inter-distance or boundaries between the sub-regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2009) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions, using different weights given to neighbors in different directions. The proposed model, directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Bayesian inference method is discussed based on efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of the posterior distributions of the parameters. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.

Uncertainty Analysis of Spatial Characteristics Related to Probability Rainfall Estimation Using Sequential Indicator Simulation (Sequential Indicator Simulation을 이용한 확률강우량의 공간적 불확실성 평가)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.350-350
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    • 2017
  • 저수지의 설계홍수량 산정 시 인근의 기상관측 자료를 활용하고 있으나 인근에 기상관측 자료가 없거나 저수지 배후 유역이 큰 경우에는 단일 기상관측 자료를 이용하기에는 한계가 있다. 따라서 실무적으로 지점별 기상관측소의 자료를 이용하여 설계홍수량을 산정할 때에는 각 관측소 자료를 이용하여 확률강우량을 산정하고 Thiessen 가중평균을 한 후 면적우량환산계수 (ARF)를 곱하여 사용하고 있는데, Thiessen 방법의 경우 방법이 간단하지만 지형 고도 효과는 무시되고 우량계의 지배면적에 의한 우량계의 분포 상태만을 고려하게 된다. 그러므로 설계홍수량 산정시 사용되는 Thiessen 방법은 공간적 불확실성을 내포하고 있고, 특히 소규모 저수지의 설계홍수량을 산정하는 경우에는 저수지 유역의 국소적인 특징을 나타내기 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 설계홍수량 산정 시 저수지 위치에 해당하는 확률강우량의 공간적 불확실성을 평가하기 위하여 SIS(Sequential Indicator Simulation) 방법을 이용하였다. SIS 방법은 Kriging 기법과 마찬가지로 베리오그램으로부터 얻어지는 공간적 상관관계를 기반으로 하고 있는 방법으로 Kriging 기법과 달리 공간분포의 국소적인 특성을 평가할 수 있다는 장점을 가지고 있다.

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Application of Central Composite Design in Simulation Experiment (시뮬레이션 실험에서 중심합성계획의 응용)

  • 권치명
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2004
  • 중심합성계획(central composite design: ccd)은 반응 표면이 곡면적인 특성을 나타낼때 반응 공간을 추정하기 위해 사용되는 실험계획이다. 반응공간이 2차 회귀모형으로 나타나는 경우에 반응곡면의 변화량을 알기 위해서는 변수의 수준이 3이상이 되어야하는데 ccd는 적은 횟수의 실험으로 곡면을 효과적으로 추정하기 위해 2$^{k}$ 요인실험에 추가적으로 중심점(central point)과 축점(axial point)을 표본점에 포함시키는 계획이다. 본 연구에서는 시뮬레이션 실험에서 반응변수가 2차 회귀모형으로 근사되는 경우에 cod를 이용하여 관심 성과치의 반응표면을 추정하고자 한다. 일반적인 실험에서와는 달리 시뮬레이션 실험에서는 두개의 표본점(인자 수준의 조합)에서 분석자가 공통 난수계열(common random number series)을 부여하여 시뮬레이션 시스템 요소의 변화과정을 유사하게 통제할 수 있다. 일반적으로 공통난수법(common random number method)에 의해 얻어지는 두 표본점에서의 반응변수는 서로 양의 상관관계를 가지며 대조 난수(antithetic random number)에 의한 두 반응변수는 음의 상관성을 가지는 것으로 알려졌다. 본 연구는 ccd의 표본점에 공통난수와 대조난수 법을 이용하여 회귀모형의 파라미터를 효과적으로 추정하는 방법을 조사하고 이를 (s, S) 재고관리 모형에 적용하여 그 효율성을 평가하고자 한다.

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An Efficient Signature Recognition Based on Histogram Using Statistical Characteristics (통계적 속성을 이용한 히스토그램 기반 효율적인 서명인식)

  • Cho, Yong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.701-709
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents an efficient signature recognition method by using the hybrid similarity criterion, which is in inverse proportion to distance and in proportion to correlation between the images. The distance is applied to express the spacial property of image, and the correlation is also applied to express the statistical property. The proposed criterion provides the robust recognition to both the geometrical variations such as position, size, and rotation and the shape variation. The normalized cross-correlation(NCC), which is calculated by considering 4 directions based on the histogram of binary image, is applied to express rapidly and accurately the similarity between the images. The proposed method has been applied to the problem for recognizing the 20 truck images of 288*288 pixels and the 105(3 persons * 35 images) signature images of 256*256 pixels, respectively. The experimental results show that the proposed method has a superior recognition performance that appears the image characters well. Especially, the hybrid criterion of NCC and ordinal distance has a superior recognition performance to the hybrid criterion using city-block or Euclidean distance.

Optimal Spatial Scale for Land Use Change Modelling : A Case Study in a Savanna Landscape in Northern Ghana (지표피복변화 연구에서 최적의 공간스케일의 문제 : 가나 북부지역의 사바나 지역을 사례로)

  • Nick van de Giesen;Paul L. G. Vlek;Park Soo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.40 no.2 s.107
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    • pp.221-241
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    • 2005
  • Land Use and Land Cover Changes (LUCC) occur over a wide range of space and time scales, and involve complex natural, socio-economic, and institutional processes. Therefore, modelling and predicting LUCC demands an understanding of how various measured properties behave when considered at different scales. Understanding spatial and temporal variability of driving forces and constraints on LUCC is central to understanding the scaling issues. This paper aims to 1) assess the heterogeneity of land cover change processes over the landscape in northern Ghana, where intensification of agricultural activities has been the dominant land cover change process during the past 15 years, 2) characterise dominant land cover change mechanisms for various spatial scales, and 3) identify the optimal spatial scale for LUCC modelling in a savanna landscape. A multivariate statistical method was first applied to identify land cover change intensity (LCCI), using four time-sequenced NDVI images derived from LANDSAT scenes. Three proxy land use change predictors: distance from roads, distance from surface water bodies, and a terrain characterisation index, were regressed against the LCCI using a multi-scale hierarchical adaptive model to identify scale dependency and spatial heterogeneity of LUCC processes. High spatial associations between the LCCI and land use change predictors were mostly limited to moving windows smaller than 10$\times$10km. With increasing window size, LUCC processes within the window tend to be too diverse to establish clear trends, because changes in one part of the window are compensated elsewhere. This results in a reduced correlation between LCCI and land use change predictors at a coarser spatial extent. The spatial coverage of 5-l0km is incidentally equivalent to a village or community area in the study region. In order to reduce spatial variability of land use change processes for regional or national level LUCC modelling, we suggest that the village level is the optimal spatial investigation unit in this savanna landscape.