• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.85-93
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• 2015

Previous studies have estimated crash prediction models with the fixed effect model which assumes the fixed value of coefficients without considering characteristics of each intersections. However the fixed effect model would estimate under estimation of the standard error resulted in over estimation of t-value. In order to overcome these shortcomings, the random effect model can be used with considering heterogeneity of AADT, geometric information and unobserved factors. In this study, data collections from 89 intersections in Daejeon and estimates of crash prediction models were conducted using the random and fixed effect negative binomial regression model for comparison and analysis of two models. As a result of model estimates, AADT, speed limits, number of lanes, exclusive right turn pockets and front traffic signal were found to be significant. For comparing statistical significance of two models, the random effect model could be better statistical significance with -1537.802 of log-likelihood at convergence comparing with -1691.327 for the fixed effect model. Also likelihood ration value was computed as 0.279 for the random effect model and 0.207 for the fixed effect model. This mean that the random effect model can be improved for statistical significance of models comparing with the fixed effect model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.1155-1163
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• 2012

This paper suggests a method for getting sums of squares due to sources of variation under the assumption of two-way fixed effects model. The method used for calculating the quantities due to fixed-effects is based on the projections of an observation vector y on the column space generated by the model matrix X under the assumed model. The suggested method shows that the calculation of Type II sums of squares by projections is much easier than the classical Type II analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.111-115
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• 2003

소지역 모형들은 고정된(fixed)효과와 랜덤 효과를 포함하는 일반적 선형 혼한 모형의 특별한 경우로 간주될 수 있다. 소지역 평균이나 종계는 고정된 효과와 랜덤 효과의 일치 결합으로 표현될 수 있다. 블록 대각 공분산 구조를 갖는 선형 혼합모형(mixed model) 아래서 EBLUP은 실재문제에 있어서 많이 소지역 모형에 응용된다. 설계 가중값(design weight) 들에 의존하고 설계-일치(design consistency) 성질을 만족하는 Pseudo-EBLUP 추정량들은 소지역추정에서 합해지면 (aggregated) 사후-수정(post-adjustment)없이 벤치마킹 성질을 만족한다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.553-560
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• 2014

This paper deals with estimable functions of parameters of less than full rank linear model. In general, the parameters of an overspecified model are not uniquely determined by least squares solutions. It discusses how to formulate linear estimable functions as functions of parameters in the model and shows how to use projection matrices to check out whether a parameter or function of the pamameters is estimable. It also presents a method to form a basis set of estimable functions using linearly independent characteristic vectors generating the row space of the model matrix.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.602-616
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• 2009

EU and NAFTA which are huge regional economic blocs came out the world economy at the end of the twentieth century. It is the first that Europe has been trying to establish regional economic integration which is a revolutionary change to world economy. So that regional economic integration of Europe(European Union) has been improving to make a complete economic political integration. This paper analyzes trade creation effect for joining European Union(EU) of Central Eastern European countries with random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation. 12 Central Eastern European countries have become membership states of EU since 2004 is able to get 27.4% of trade increase effect on average between old and new membership countries one another as well as between new membership countries one another respectively. It is very important for some countries have a plan to affiliate to EU in the future to realize such a big effect if they are in.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.487-494
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• 2012

This paper discusses a method for getting a basis set of estimable functions of model parameters in a two-way fixed effects model. Since the fixed effects model has more parameters than those that can be estimated, model parameters are not estimable. So it is not possible to make inferences for nonestimable functions of parameters. When the assumed model of matrix notation is reparameterized by the estimable functions in a basis set, it also discusses how to use projections for the estimation of estimable functions.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.209-231
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• 1997

본 논문은 전통적인 산업연관분석이 고정투입계수를 시용하고 있어서 상대가격체계의 변화에 따른 경제 주체들의 비용최소화 노력을 모형 내에 반영하지 못하고 있다는 한계를 극복하기 위하여 상대가격체계의 변화에 따라 가변투입계수를 갖는 "반복다중최적화(IMO) 모형"을 이용하여 탄소세 부과가 가격구조에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석 결과는 고정투입계수모형에 비하여 가격인상효과는 전반적으로 낮게 나타났으며, 특히 에너지집약산업은 고정투입계수모형에 비하여 가격상승률이 낮게 나타난 반면, 기타산업은 가격상승폭이 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 에너지원에 대한 탄소세의 부과효과가 상대가격변화에 적응한 경제주체들의 비용최소화 노력으로 각 산업으로 분산된 결과라 여겨진다.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.31-47
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• 2012

The Eurozone was launched to set a goal on using the single currency perfectly in 1999. Using the Euro could get rid of exchange cost and cost of Foreign exchange risk management which was approximately 1% of each member's GDP. It was possible that members has maintained a stable level of inflation and stimulate investment and employment with low interest rate. In addition, they could lead to economic growth and investment as well as increase the Euro demand in financial market. Especially, members has used the Euro as the method of payment on trade each other so that the volume of trade among the Eurozone members has increased continuously which was called "the effect of single market." This paper analyzes the correlation between using the Euro and members' export/import by using random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation. As a result, Eurozone members can get export decreasing effect of 4.68% and import increasing effect of 10.5% respectively on average by using the Euro.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.623-632
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• 1998

이원혼합모형에서 고정효과의 추정가능한 함수에 대한 신뢰구간을 구하는 경우에 어떤 분산성분추정량을 선택하는 것이 가장 바람직한가를 모의실험을 통하여 살펴본다 혼합모형에서는 t-분포와 일반화최소제곱추정량을 사용하여 신뢰구간을 구할 수 있는데, 일반적으로 분산성분을 알 수 없기 때문에 분산성분을 반드시 추정하여야만 한다. 이 경우 분산성분의 추정량으로 가장 많이 사용되는 추정량들인 Henderson의 방법 III 추정량, 사전추측값이 1인 MINQUE 추정량, MLE(최우추정량), REMLE(제한최우추정량)를 이용하여 분산행렬을 추정하고, 신뢰구간의 포함범위확률과 평균길이를 모의실험을 통하여 살펴본다. 모의실험의 결과는 4가지 추정량 모두 비슷한 신뢰구간의 포함범위확률과 평균길이를 갖는 것으로 판명되었다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.177-187
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• 1997

This article considers the power performance of the tests in unbalanced two way mixed linear models with one fixed factor. The generalized least squares (GLS) F statistic testing no differences among the effects of the levels of the fixed factor is estimated using Henderson's method III, minimum norm quadratic unbiased estimator (MINQUE) with prior guess 1, maximum likelihood (ML) and resticted maximum likelihood (REML). We investigate the power performance of these test statistics. It can be shown, through simulation, that the GLS F statistics using four estimators produce similar type I error rates and power performance.