• Journal of Service Research and Studies
• /
• v.7 no.3
• /
• pp.57-70
• /
• 2017

It is anticipated that the employment structure of the whole industry will change drastically as the Fourth Industrial Revolution era arrives. Particularly, there are numerous reseraches that the development of artifical intelligence will promote automation causing jobs in manufacturing industry to decrease; thus, the economy will be reorganized with service-centered jobs, which heavily depend on human ability. This study was conducted to verify the trend-forecasting model based on the theoretical analysis. We analyzed the change in employment structure over the past decades in each country and period to gain insights from the changes in the employment structure caused by the Fourth Industrial Revoltion. The results of this study are as follows: First, we investigaed whether the current economy is moving along the U-shaped model suggested by an existing researcher. As a result of the analysis, the data substantiated that the change of the employment structure is moving along the U-shaped model. It is also suggested that this U-shaped trend is expected to accelerate in the era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. In the future, more accurate data analyses are needed to verify the model, and additional researches on the change in the employment structed is also needed.

• Korean Journal of Labor Studies
• /
• v.23 no.2
• /
• pp.169-193
• /
• 2017

This study analyzed the determinants that affect employment retention rate in order to diagnose dynamic employment stability in Korea. For this analysis, we constructed multi-level hierarchical data linking Workplace panel survey data and employment insurance job history data. And the determinants were analyzed using a multi-level analysis model suitable for these data. As result of the analysis, it is estimated that the employment stability is very low in Korea due to the widespread existence of the marginal sectors with low wage level and high level of nonstandard employment. In addition, the results of this analysis show that employment structure of Korea occupies considerable area of short-term employment where employment and unemployment are repeated, and overall employment stability is weak. This fact is likely to be a limiting factor for continued growth, as there is limited opportunity for skill development and skills formation at the corporate and individual levels. According to the results of this analysis, it is required to improve the quality of the employment structure for continuous growth and skill formation.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
• /
• 2000.06a
• /
• pp.7-26
• /
• 2000

구조 조정을 거치면서 한국의 기업들은 고용관계의 구조와 관해에서 현저한 변화를 보이고 있다. 하지만 이러한 변화의 실상과 내용에 대한 정보의 결여로 인해 정책 당국자들은 올바른 사업장 단위의 고용관계 정책 입안에 애로를 겪고 있다. 정확한 현실 진단과 효율적 정책 입안을 위해 기업 단위의 고용관계 고용 및 인적자원경영 관행에 대한 정확한 실태 및 변화 추세 파악이 필요하다. 이 논문은 고용관계 패널조사의 필요성과 아울러 그 조사방법에 대한 함의를 얻기 위해 주요선진 국가들에서 80년대부터 실시한 사업장 단위 고용관계 패널조사의 경험들을 검토하고 이에 기초하여 한국현실에 적합한 사업장 단위 노사관계 패널조사의 의미와 방향을 모색한다. 특히 패널 조사의 특성과 관련된 조사방법 상의 문제점들이 집중적으로 논의된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.33-52
• /
• 1998

본 연구에서는 국토동남권의 인구와 고용에 따른 공간구조 변화과정을 분석하고 향후 경부고속철도 건설에 따른 변화를 예측하였다. 본 연구의 공간범위는 양산시, 울산시, 경주시, 포항시를 대상지역으로 한 총 52개 지역공간을 기초분석 단위로 하였다. 국토동남권내 인구와 고용의 공간구조를 분석 전망하기 위하여 공간구조 측정방법인 로렌쯔곡선측정식, 중심성측정식, 접근도측정식등의 기법을 이용하였으며 공간적 집중과 분산의 정도를 전망하였다. 본 연구에서는 1970년부터 1994년까지 인구와 고용구조를 조사하여 공간구조의 변화과정을 분석하였다. 그리고 현재까지 계획된 건설 공정을 바탕으로 개통 예정시점인 2006년부터 2016년까지의 국토동남권 공간구조를 전망하기 위하여 3가지 시나리오에 따라 인구와 고용의 공간구조 변화를 예측하였다. 시나리오(1)은 경부고속철도의 서울-대구 구간을 우선적으로 건설하여 운행하고 대구-부산 구간은 경부철도의 기존선을 전철화하여 활용하는 방안이다. 시나리오(2)는 경부고속철도를 기본계획과 같이 2006년 완공하고 국토동남권내 1개 정차역인 경주시 건천역을 개통하였을 경우이다. 시나리오(3)은 시나리오(2)와 같은 조건하에서 국토동남권내 2개 정차역인 건천역과 울산역을 개통하였을 경우이다. 시나리오 (2)와 (3)의 경우는 일본 시즈오카현 노선을 경유하는 신간선 주변의 지역공간 특성이 우리나라 국토동남권과 유사함을 근거로 신간선개통전과 개통후의 지역공간 변화를 분석하여 본 연구와 비교하였다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
• /
• v.34 no.1
• /
• pp.87-133
• /
• 2012

This paper consists of two parts. The first part introduces a simple endogenous growth model. It is based on Romer(1990), but extends the original model by incorporating individual workers skill heterogeneity. Based on the heterogeneity, the model has a labor allocation mechanism between skilled (research) and unskilled (production) sectors. Different from Romer(1990), the labor allocation is determined by both demand and supply conditions of the economy. The endogenous growth model presented in this paper shows how the shape of the distribution of human capital affects on the labor allocation, hence on the employment structure, wage profile and economic growth. The model can be extended to an open economy. With the heterogeneity, the extended model explains distributional effect as well as growth effect of the economic openness. The second part provides empirical evidence in support of the extension part of the model presented in the first part. Based on the endogenous growth framework as proposed by Romer(1990) and Rivera-Batiz and Romer(1991), the model explains how economic openness affects labor allocation between skilled and unskilled sectors. According to the model, economic openness can affect labor allocation through two channels; knowledge spillover and specialization. First, the openness promotes knowledge spillover and hence increases the productivity of workers in the skilled sectors. This makes the economy employs more workers in the skilled sector. On the other hand, the openness causes global specialization which leads more employment in the skilled sector for the developed countries but at the same time, leads less employment in the skilled sector for the developing countries since the developing countries have comparative advantages in the unskilled sector. The empirical results obtained using cross country panel data in this paper support these two effects of knowledge spillover and specialization.

• Korea journal of population studies
• /
• v.22 no.1
• /
• pp.5-36
• /
• 1999

본 논문은 우리나라 청소년 인구의 장기적 경제활동참여율 변동추이와 고용(실업)구조에 있어서의 변화에 관한 연구이다. 청소년층의 경제활동참여와 취업은 학교교육의 이수, 군복무, 결혼·출산을 통한 자신의 가족형성 등 일련의 생애전이과정(life-course transitin)과의 긴밀한 연계속에서 이루어지며 따라서 집단적으로는 연령단계에 따라서 큰 변화를 보인다. 본 논문에서는 먼저 지난 20여년간(1980년대-1990대) 청소년층의 연령단계별 경제활동참여 및 취업률이 어떻게 변화해 왔는가를 살펴본다. 청소년기에는 학교에서 노동시장으로의 진입과정(school-to-work transition)을 포함하고 있기 때문에 청소년층의 경제활동참여율 및 취업률은 무엇보다 동 연령집단의 취학률 및 진학률의 변화와 직접적으로 연결되어 있다. 본 논문에서 제시되는 자료에 의하면 지난 20여년간 우리나라 청소년층의 고등학교 및 대학진학률은 지속적이고 급격하게 상승하고 있었던 것으로 나타나고 있으며, 따라서 이러한 변화가 그들의 경제활동참여율 및 고용구조에 있어서의 변화에 미친 영향을 경험적 자료를 통하여 살펴본다. 1980년대 초반이후 우리나라 학교교육체제에 있어서의 변화가 청소년층의 취업구조에 미친 가장 주요한 영향 중의 하나는 높은 대학진학률에 따른 청소년 노동력의 고학력화와 그에 따른 고(高)실업의 문제이다. 본 논문에서는 사회구조적 요인과 고실업을 낳는 노동시장에 있어서의 불평등한 기회구조에 관한 이론적 논의와 경험적 증거들을 제시한다.

• Economic Analysis
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.65-97
• /
• 2020

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of exports on Korea's employment and to decompose driving factors of change in Korea's employment embodied in exports (EEX). This study uses a multi-regional input-output (MRIO) and structural decomposition analysis (SDA) for empirical analysis, and uses a dataset of World Input-Output Tables (WIOTs) and Socio-Economic Accounts (SEAs) from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD). The main findings of the empirical results are summarized as follows. First, Korea's EEX continues to increase and Korea's share of EEX compared to total employment shows an upward trend. However, Korea's employment inducement coefficient of value-added exports showed a downward trend during the 2000-2014 period. Second, final demand from three countries (China, the United States, and the Rest of the World (RoW)) has affected a significant portion of Korea's EEX. Finally, from the results of the SDA, the effect of changes in final demand was the most important driving factor for the increase in Korea's EEX. Based on the results of this empirical analysis, this study discusses useful policy implications that could increase domestic employment in Korea.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
• /
• 2009.05a
• /
• pp.184-185
• /
• 2009

하이브리드 코팅 시스템을 이용하여 CrN 을 기초로 3성분계 코팅을 합성한다. 이번 연구는 C를 첨가한 음이온 고용경화와 Mo를 첨가한 양이온 고용경화의 영향이 미세구조와 기계적 성질에 미치는 영향을 알아보는 것이다. Cr-C-N 과 Cr-Mo-N 코팅은 23, 43GPa의 최대 경도 값을 가진다. 이 경도강화는 고용강화로 설명할 수 있다.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
• /
• v.21 no.1
• /
• pp.1-26
• /
• 2013

The objectives of this paper are to analyze the effect of government R&D expenditure on employment in the Korean manufacturing sector in which employment is rapidly declining. According to the results of our empirical analysis, government R&D expenditure decreases the level of employment in Korean manufacturing sector in short term period, but it has positive effect on employment by compensation effect in the middle and long term period. Second, the effect of private R&D expenditure on job creation is three times larger than that of government R&D expenditure. Third, costs of labor and capital has negative effect on employment. This study is believed to help understanding the relation between R&D expenditure and employment, and providing policy implications of how to plan and manage government R&D expenditure as a tool of job creation.

• Journal of Labour Economics
• /
• v.25 no.3
• /
• pp.35-57
• /
• 2002

This paper investigates the employment and wage structural changes that have occurred around the economic crisis in 1997. We propose a theoretical model for external effects of human capital within firms and provide their estimation. When the employment and wage structural changes are considered simultaneously, labor demand decreases seem to more than offset labor supply changes during the period. While educational human capital, human capital accumulated with firm-tenure, human capital of married workers and of white-collar workers are considered to have positive external effects, human capital of relatively-old workers and managerial workers are considered to have negative external effects. We suggest that while employment restructuring with regard to age, tenure, and education and managerial workers during the period have improved the efficiency of firms, those with regard to married and white-collar workers have not.