• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계절적변동

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Seasonal Adjustment on Chain-Linking (연쇄가중법 도입에 따른 계절변동조정)

  • Jeon, Gyeong-Bae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2009
  • Chain-linking is a method for aggregating volume measures which would improve the quality of estimates of economic growth over the present fixed base in Korea. There is a risk that choice of chain-linking techniques such annual overlap, one-quarter overlap or over-the-year overlap may create an artificial seasonality to the volume series. The empirical results on Korean GDP suggest that the use of the annual overlap is recommended. And conducting seasonal adjustment after chain-linking to produce the chain-linked seasonally adjusted GDP is more appropriated in Korea.

Seasonal changes in clothing microclimate (의복기후의 계절적 변동)

  • 김양원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Emotion and Sensibility Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.164-168
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    • 2001
  • 의복착용시의 쾌적성은 의복의 보온력 조절에 의해 의복내 기후를 형성하여, 체온을 일정하게 유지하게 하는 역할을 하므로 건강과 직접적인 관련이 있다. 그러므로 건강이나 쾌적성 평가의 측면에서 의복내기후가 체계적으로 파악되어야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 사무실 환경에서 의복착용시 착용실험을 실시하여 계절적인 의복내기후의 변동을 살펴보았다. 그 결과 겨울 31.8$^{\circ}C$, 48.6%, 봄 33.5$^{\circ}C$, 47.9%, 여름 32.7$^{\circ}C$, 64.6%, 가을 31.9$^{\circ}C$, 43.6%인 것으로 나타났다. 또한 계절간의 차이는 의복내온도에 있어서 가을과 겨울간에는 차이가 없었으며, 봄과 여름간에는 차이가 있었다. 의복내습도는 여름과 겨울간에는 차이가 없었으며, 다른 계절간에는 차이가 뚜렷하였다.

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Seasonal Variation of Airborne Chlorides in Coast by Sea Area and Region, South Korea (해역 및 지역에 따른 해안가 대기중 염분량의 계절적 변동)

  • Jung, Jahe;Lee, Jong-Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.611-619
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    • 2023
  • The first survey of the airborne chlorides along the nationwide coast of South Korea was conducted 18 years ago, and the area index of coastal airborne chlorides and salt attack environmental rating are being utilized in the design, construction, and maintenance of domestic structures. However, due to environmental changessuch as climate change and coastal topography changes, changes of airborne chlorides along the coast are expected to occurregionally and by sea area. Therefore, the second survey has been conducted since 2021. Inthis paper, we analyzed the seasonal variations of airborne chlorides along the coast by region and sea area for one year of the second survey. Additionally, we compared the results withthe survey results of Japan's coastal airborne chlorides, which islocated close to South Korea and has a similar climate, to increase the objectivityofthe analysis. The averageairborne chloridesin the second surveywas highest on the west coast, and the seasonal variation was also the largest on the west coast. Looking at the seasonal variations by sea area, the East Sea had highairborne chloridesinthe summer and autumn,theWestSea inthe autumnandwinter, and the SouthSea in the summer. In addition, compared to the firstsurvey, allsea areasshowed short periods ofsignificantly higher coastalsalinity and clearerseasonal variations.

An Empirical Study on the Stock Volatility of the Korean Stock Market (한국 증권시장의 주가변동성에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Chul-Yong
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.16
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    • pp.43-60
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    • 2003
  • There are several stylized facts concerning stock return volatility. First, it is persistent, so an increase in current volatility lasts for many periods. Second, stock volatility increases after stock prices fall. Third, stock volatility is related to macroeconomic volatility, recessions, and banking crises. On the other hand, there are many competing parametric models to represent conditional heteroskedasticity of stock returns. For this article, I adopt the strategy followed by French, Schwert, and Stambaugh(1987) and Schwert(l989, 1990). The models in this article provide a more structured analysis of the time-series properties of stock market volatility. Briefly, these models remove autoregressive and seasonal effects from daily returns to estimate unexpected returns. Then the absolute values of the unexpected returns are used in an autoregressive model to predict stock volatility.

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Identification of runoff variation using hydrological model and hydrological sensitivity analysis (수문모형과 수문학적 민감도 분석을 이용한 유량 변동량 규명)

  • Kim, Sang Ug
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.462-462
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    • 2017
  • 유량은 기후적 요인과 인간활동 요인에 의하여 변동된다. 특히 우리나라는 지난 30년 동안 전지구적인 기후변화와 특정지역에서의 인간활동의 변화가 급격하게 진행된 바 있으므로, 합리적인 수자원 계획을 수립하기 위해서는 두 가지 요소들로 인한 유량의 변동량을 정량적으로 분리하여 분석할 필요가 있다. 또한 우리나라와 같이 연강수량의 대부분이 특정 계절에 집중되는 국가나 유역에서는 월별, 계절별 및 년별로 구분된 수문분석을 시행하여야 보다 실질적인 수자원 관리계획을 수립할 수 있다. 그러나 유량의 변동량을 특정 원인별로 구분하여 분석하고자 하는 연구는 기존의 홍수나 가뭄 자체에 관한 연구에 비해 미미한 형편이며, 다양한 시간단위를 이용한 원인별 유량 변동량의 산정에 관한 연구는 더욱 찾아보기 힘들다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 및 인간활동으로 인한 유량 변동량을 정량적으로 분리하기 위하여 수문모형(hydrological model)을 이용한 방법과 수문학적 민감도 (hydrological sensitivity) 분석 방법을 소양강 상류유역 및 섬강 유역에 대해 적용하고 유량 변동량의 결과를 월별, 분기별 및 년별로 구분하여 제시하였다. 먼저 두 유역에 대한 기후변화 및 인간활동의 양상을 강수, 온도, 유량, 인구변화, 불투수층 변화의 추세를 통해 파악하였으며, 인간활동으로 인해 발생되는 급진적인 변동점을 탐색하기 위해 이중누가곡선, Pettitt 검정 및 베이지안 변동점 (Bayesian change point) 분석을 시행하였다. 탐색된 변동점을 활용하여 수문모형에 의한 유량 변동량을 정량화하기 위하여 변동점 이전 구간에 대해 보정 및 검증된 SWAT모형을 사용하였으며, 6가지의 Budyko 곡선 함수들로부터 각각 유량 변동량을 산정하여 수문모형에 의한 유량 변동량을 검증하였다. 최종적으로 수문모형을 이용한 방법을 통해 두 유역에 대한 기후변화 및 인간활동으로 인한 유량 변동량을 정량화하였다. 소양강 상류유역은 기후변화로 인한 유량 변동량이 인간활동으로 인한 유량변동량보다 상대적으로 크게 산정되었으며, 섬강 유역은 소양강 유역과 반대의 결과를 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히 본 연구에서는 해당 분석결과를 월별 및 분기별로 구분하여 제시함으로써, 향후 특정 지역 및 시기에서의 합리적인 수자원 관리계획의 수립에 활용될 수 있는 기초적인 자료를 제공하였다.

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Seasonal Fluctuation and Vertical Microdistribution of Drosophilid Flies Dwelling in the Broad-Leaved Forests on Cheju-Do (Quelpart Island)* (제주도 활엽수림에 서식하는 초파리의 계절에 따른 변동과 수직 미분포)

  • 김원택
    • The Korean Journal of Zoology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.325-336
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    • 1996
  • Community organization of the drosophilid flies was investigated with respect to the seasonal variation in species abundance and vertical microdistribution on the basis of the trapped collections in the two natural forests on Cheju-do from May to October 1994. The dominant species were Drosophila bizonata, D. curviceps, D. lutescens, D. angu leris, D. tsigana and D. immigrans in the annual collections. The pattern in seasonal changes of the dominant species was similar at the two survey sites. Seasonal fluctuation in the species diversity was more affected by evenness than by species richness (number of species). The seasonal variation of abundance showed an unimodal pattern in all of the dominant species. The seasonal patterns of vertical microdistribution revealed difference in some of the dominant species between the two survey sites. These results suggest that the predominant species in the forest avoid niche overlap by means of seasonal separation of breedings and that the vertical microdistribution is strongly affected by factors associated with season and vertical site in the deep wooded forests.

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The Regional Dependency of Cloud-radiative Forcing on the Sea Surface Temperature in the Interannual and Seasonal Time Scales (경년과 계절 시간 규모하에서 해수면 온도에 대한 구름복사 강제력의 지역 의존도)

  • Lee, Woo-Seop;Kwak, Chong-Heum;So, Seon-Sup;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Kim, Maeng-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.558-567
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    • 2003
  • The regional dependency of cloud-radiative forcing at the top of atmosphere is studied using ERBE (Earth Radiation Budget Experiment), ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) and NCEP/NCAR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis data for 60 months from January 1985 to December 1989 over tropical ocean. In the interannual time scale, the dependency of cloud-radiative forcing on the sea surface temperature over the equatorial eastern Pacific ocean is about 7.4Wm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for longwave radiation and about -4.4Wm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for shortwave radiation, respectively. This shows that the net cloud-radiative forcing due to the increase of sea surface temperature over the equatorial eastern Pacific ocean heats the atmosphere. But the dependency is reversed over tropical oceans with -3.4Wm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for longwave and 1.9WmWm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for shortwave radiation, indicating that the net cloud-radiative forcing cools the atmosphere over tropical oceans. In raw data including seasonal cycle, the dependency of cloud-radiative forcing over the equatorial eastern Pacific ocean is very similar to that in interannual time scale in both the magnitude and the sign. But the dependency of cloud-radiative forcing on the sea surface temperature over tropical oceans is about 0.2Wm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for longwave and 2.7Wm$^{-2}$K$^{-1}$ for shortwave radiation, respectively. These results represent that the role of seasonal cycle on the cloud radiative forcing is gradually more important than role of interannual time scale as the ocean area is broadening from the tropical central Pacific to the tropical ocean.

Seasonal fluctuation of susceptibility of the green peach aphid to insecticides in Chinese cabbage field (포장에서 복숭아혹진딧물(Myzus persicae Sulzer)의 계절적 변동에 따른 약제 감수성)

  • ;Naoki Motoyama
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.218-221
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    • 1993
  • Sensitivities of insecticides and their seasonal variation were investigated against Myzus persicae. Some aphicides such as malathion were not effective on Myzus persicae in Chinese cabbage field. Difference of seasonal sensitivity was from I time to 16 times.

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Seasonal fluctuation of Carboxylesterase activity in field collected populations of the green peach aphid (Carboxyl Esterase의 활성측정에 의한 복숭아혹진딧물, Myzus persicae S.의 살충제포장저항성도의 계절적변동)

  • ;;Naoki Motoyama
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.348-353
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    • 1993
  • The fluctuation of insecticide resistance in the green peach aphid (GPA) in fields was investigated by caboxy1 esterase (CE) activity index analysis. Of the GP A Populations occurred on the red pepper seedlings, aphids in the untreaLed and treaLed with acephate plots showed 40 and 78 resistance percent (RP), respectively. Aphids in the untreated kale field showed the RP value 24 in July, contrast to 83 in October. Mean RPs of aphids from 18 localities were 50 + 14 in summer and B2+ 10 in late fall, indicating a seasonal fluctuation of Lhe CE activity.

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